Education - Atlantic Council https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/issue/education/ Shaping the global future together Tue, 18 Jul 2023 19:38:53 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.2.2 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/09/favicon-150x150.png Education - Atlantic Council https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/issue/education/ 32 32 Russia’s invasion highlights the need to invest more in Ukrainian studies https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/ukrainealert/russias-invasion-highlights-the-need-to-invest-more-in-ukrainian-studies/ Tue, 25 Apr 2023 16:44:06 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=639761 The full-scale Russian invasion of Ukraine has highlighted the need for greater international investment into Ukrainian studies but has also created huge challenges for Ukrainian academia, writes Oleksandra Gaidai.

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Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine has highlighted the need for greater international investment in Ukrainian studies. However, this discussion does not always take into account the realities of wartime Ukraine.

While Russia’s invasion has generated unprecedented international interest in Ukrainian studies, it has also had a profound and overwhelmingly negative impact on the academic community in Ukraine itself. This must be taken into account. After all, the international development of Ukrainian studies depends largely on the state of academia in Ukraine. As Andriy Zayarnyuk wrote last year, “the center of Ukrainian studies is now in Ukraine.”

A recent report evaluating the current state of Ukrainian and Crimean Tatar studies identified more than 160 study centers located mainly in North America and Europe. Ukrainian studies centers are mostly placed within Slavic studies departments, with courses tending to focus on Ukrainian culture, language, and literature rather than politics and economics.

Europe has the most centers primarily concentrated in Germany, Austria, Switzerland, and Poland. Notably, Ukrainian studies remains virtually nonexistent in some neighborhood countries such as Romania and Turkey. This absence became particularly evident following Russia’s full-scale invasion, with a recent survey of Ukrainian studies professionals identifying increased demand for expert commentary.

Even in countries with Ukrainian studies programs, the focus is often limited. Universities typically employ individual lecturers who offer courses on Ukrainian topics which can change from semester to semester. Factors leading to the closure of Ukrainian studies centers include lack of funding, lack of student interest, weak institutionalization, and reliance on the activities of individual researchers.

A more comprehensive approach to Ukrainian studies is clearly needed. This should include the establishment of Ukrainian professorships to make studies an integral part of the academic environment and less exposed to changes in political preferences.

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Growing international interest in Ukraine as a result of Russia’s invasion has already boosted the field of Ukrainian studies. Universities have been able to bypass bureaucracy to host more people from Ukraine, with a diverse range of Ukrainian academics fleeing the war and arriving in the West over the past fifteen months. Among students, interest in Ukrainian studies has never been higher. The challenge is to ensure this does not become a mere passing fad.

To make Ukrainian studies more resilient in the long run, Ukrainian topics need to be integrated into existing classes on subjects such as Soviet or Russian imperial history, or even European studies, contemporary politics, and international relations. The goal should be to make Ukraine part of the conversation on different issues.

At the same time, much will depend on parallel progress in Ukraine. Key objectives include translating source materials, integrating Western academic practices, and improving English skills among the academic community.

Wartime realities in Ukraine have created new possibilities for Ukrainian academia but have also deepened many of the problems that existed before the invasion. Much of the country’s educational infrastructure has been destroyed, but the impact on human capital has been even more devastating. In short, Ukraine is currently losing many of its best people including significant numbers of irreplaceable academic professionals.

Ukraine’s universities are currently in survival mode but reform is also on the agenda. Just one day before the full-scale invasion began in February 2022, the Ukrainian government adopted a new two-year development strategy for the country’s higher education system. The Ministry of Education has since announced that it will use this strategy as a road map for the reconstruction and continuation of reforms in the post-war period. However, the strategy was designed before the war and does not target the specific problems caused by Russia’s invasion.

Last month, Oksen Lisovyi was appointed as Ukraine’s new Minister of Education. It is not yet clear whether he intends to implement radical reform with long-term goals or keep the existing higher education system largely in place. While support for change is widespread, many within the academic community and education industry also appear to favor a more conservative approach.

Ukraine may not have the luxury of time for an extended debate. Funding for education has been severely cut as a result of the Russian invasion, with academics struggling to survive on inadequate salaries. This is forcing many to consider a career change. Others have left their university positions to serve in the army. It is not clear how many will return to academia, or whether they will have jobs to return to.

Students also find themselves confronted by harsh realities. With no end in sight to the Russian invasion, today’s Ukrainian high school graduates face a choice between an uncertain fate in their homeland or exploring the wide range of study options currently available at European and North American universities.

Ukraine’s universities have responded to the challenges of the invasion with ingenuity, utilizing tools developed during the Covid pandemic to switch to distance learning. However, uncertainty over the future looms large.

Some Ukrainian universities still maintain cooperation with Western institutions, but these relationships typically depend on prewar ties and offer one-sided academic mobility enabling Ukrainian scholars and students to study abroad. It would be good to see European and North American universities launch more nonresident fellowships for Ukrainians who are unwilling or unable to leave the country.

It may also be time to consider establishing new platforms and institutions for collaboration between Ukrainian scholars and their international colleagues. Ukraine can offer opportunities for Western academics focused on the Soviet and Russian empires who are no longer able to access Russian archives. Ukraine’s State Archive Service has been digitizing materials for some time and has introduced a united search system of Ukrainian archives.

The past year of war has sparked unprecedented interest in Ukrainian studies while creating both huge challenges and exciting opportunities. Ukrainian studies is now widely recognized as an important field that requires far more international attention. Looking ahead, the discussion must address both institutional and practical issues. The most important task at this stage is to prevent the further erosion of Ukraine’s academic potential and create the conditions for sustainable post-war development.

Oleksandra Gaidai is a Department of History postdoctoral fellow at American University.

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Safeguarding the past: The Arab world’s cure to Holocaust amnesia https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/menasource/safeguarding-the-past-the-arab-worlds-cure-to-holocaust-amnesia/ Mon, 17 Apr 2023 21:30:38 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=637455 On the eve of Yom Hashoah, it is no longer considered taboo in the MENA region to promote Holocaust education and genocide prevention. The region’s youth are more receptive to discussing the events of one of the darkest chapters of human history, despite the political, religious, and educational challenges shrouding this historic move that has been praised in some nations in the region and criticized in others.

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Seventy-eight years after World War II, as facts fade and fewer survivors remain, the Holocaust risks being forgotten. This natural amnesia is compounded by widespread campaigns to revise or repress Holocaust history. International Holocaust Remembrance Day on January 27 and Holocaust Remembrance Day (Yom Hashoah) on April 17 are important annual observances to counter these trends, but much more needs to be done year-round. Surprisingly, the Arab world may soon become a world leader in rejecting denialism to reassert “Never again!”

Present events constantly reshape the perceptions of the past and, indirectly, future outcomes. There are people in every country around the world who claim that the Holocaust never took place. In the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region, Holocaust denial is mainly a trend among the younger generation due to a lack of Holocaust education in schools and after-school activities. For decades, the Holocaust has been a taboo subject, politicized and conflated with the Israeli-Palestinian conflict in official discourse. Historical truth is clouded, if not overshadowed, by key actors in the Arab world who connect Israeli state policies and the Jewish people worldwide—past and present, using them interchangeably, as if they were one. Opposition to Israel becomes resistance to the reality of Jewish suffering and injustice done to Jews in the past.

As a result, the Holocaust was absent from public consciousness until 2009, when Morocco’s King Mohammed VI became the first Arab leader to recognize the Holocaust by addressing the matter in a message addressed to the launch event of the Aladdin Project at UNESCO in Paris.

“Amnesia has no effect on my understanding of the Holocaust, or that of my people,” said the king, adding, “We must together endeavor to reassert reason and the values which underpin the legitimacy of a space of co-existence where the words of dignity, justice, and freedom will express themselves in the same way and will coexist, with the same requirements, regardless of our origins, cultures or spiritual ties. This is our interpretation, in Morocco, of the duty of remembrance dictated by the Shoah.”

Speaking at international conferences and forums devoted to the Holocaust and intercultural dialogue, King Mohammed VI and representatives of the Moroccan government have frequently emphasized the significance of denouncing anti-Semitism, instilling togetherness, and religious coexistence in Moroccan society, learning from the lessons of the Holocaust, and highlighting the crucial role that education plays in this context.

Challenges for Holocaust education in the Arab world

Past efforts at Holocaust education in the Arab world have too often suffered from a lack of context-specific sensitivity. In contrast to the king’s speech, which expresses the values and ideals of the Moroccan tradition as the basis for affirming Holocaust remembrance, others have simply translated Euro-centric Holocaust materials into Arabic, mainly from fear by civil society actors they would be blamed for “normalizing” with Israel if they tried to teach about the Holocaust. To effectively use Holocaust education as a tool for genocide prevention, the content should be tailored to Arab audiences using relevant wording, metaphors, names, and historical events.

In contrast to other areas of the world, World War II battles were fought, and Jews of the MENA region, directly or indirectly, experienced the Holocaust. Employing this little-known history in creating educational content is essential to sparking children’s imagination.

On the other hand, if this would only be a requirement, rather than a shared process of mutual development, educators would not take ownership of these materials and will lack the motivation to use these materials towards the essential goal of developing Holocaust education within the Arab world.

The power of participation

Today, initiatives all over the Middle East and North Africa try to promote Holocaust education through standard education approaches. However, teacher-to-student Holocaust education, while powerful, cannot reach the vast audience in need of this vital information and perspective. There is an increasing need to use state-of-the-art media, including those that allow for online sharing of ideas. While the hateful have exploited the Internet to spread racism, Holocaust denial, and other destructive ideologies, it can also serve as a powerful tool to educate and empower those fighting hate.

In 2011, the Kivunim Institute and Mimouna Association organized the first conference on the Holocaust in the Arab world commemorating the actions of the late King Mohammed V at Al Akhawayn University in Ifrane. An article in the New York Times praised the event as a “first of its kind in an Arab or Muslim nation, and a sign of historical truth triumphing over conspiracy theories and anti-Semitic dogma.”

The Mimouna Association and United States Holocaust Memorial Museum (USHMM) in 2017 jointly created the first Arabic-language Holocaust curriculum by and for Muslims. The Holocaust education material created was tailored to the specific context of the Arab and Muslim world.

The USHMM, which is celebrating its thirtieth anniversary this month, has prioritized promoting Holocaust education in the Arab world, for example, through Holocaust commemorations in Morocco in 2018 and 2022, and Egypt and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) in 2022 and 2023. In 2022, the USHMM organized an important Holocaust commemoration in the UAE and Egypt.

In the Emirates, Ahmed Obaid Al Mansoori created in 2021 the first Holocaust memorial exhibition in the Arab world at the Crossroads of Civilization Museum in Dubai. This permanent exhibit is the first of its kind in the Arab world, and offers visitors a setting within which to begin to understand the Holocaust and fight the denial of this dark chapter of human history.

In Morocco this year, the Mimouna Association, in partnership with the Council of Jewish Communities in Morocco, the United Nations Information Centre, and the ASF, provided over 120 students from different Moroccan universities and institutes, Moroccan Muslim activists, and members of the Moroccan Jewish community with an opportunity to engage and learn more about the history of the Holocaust.

In the largest synagogue of Casablanca, 350 guestsincluding university students, Morocco’s Minister of Education Chakib Benmoussa, diplomats from the United States, Israel, France, Germany, Poland, The Vatican, and Spain, as well as representatives from Moroccan civil society and international organizationspacked the pews to honor King Mohammed V, savior of the Moroccan Jewish community.

Recognizing the deep convictions, moral approach, and brave policy of Sultan Mohammed V, the US ambassador to Morocco, Puneet Talwar, affirmed, “His Majesty King Mohammed V protected Morocco’s Jews from the Nazis. And His Majesty King Mohammed VI has carried on that legacy. He has spoken forcefully against the denial of the Holocaust.”

The Chief Rabbi of Casablanca, Rabbi Joseph Israel, said a customary Moroccan prayer honoring the king and his forefathers. The Muslim students also heard the Chapters of Psalms, Kaddish, Yizkor, and the Kel Malei Rachamim in memory of the Holocaust victims.

On the eve of Yom Hashoah, it is no longer considered taboo in the MENA region to promote Holocaust education and genocide prevention. The region’s youth are far more receptive to discussing the events of one of the darkest chapters of human history, despite the political, religious, and educational challenges shrouding this historic move that has been praised in some nations in the region and criticized in others.

El Mehdi Boudra is a nonresident senior fellow at the Atlantic Council’s Middle East Programs. Follow him on Twitter: @ElBoudra.

N7 Initiative

The N7 Initiative, a partnership between the Atlantic Council and Jeffrey M. Talpins Foundation, seeks to broaden and deepen normalization between Israel and Arab and Muslim countries. It works with governments to produce actionable recommendations to deliver tangible benefits to their peoples.

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Nawaz in Dawn: For Pakistan to prosper, it must invest in its children https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/insight-impact/in-the-news/nawaz-in-dawn-for-pakistan-to-prosper-it-must-invest-in-its-children/ Thu, 13 Apr 2023 20:40:00 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=652732 The post Nawaz in Dawn: <a href="https://www.dawn.com/news/1746219/for-pakistan-to-prosper-it-must-invest-in-its-children">For Pakistan to prosper, it must invest in its children</a> appeared first on Atlantic Council.

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The post Nawaz in Dawn: <a href="https://www.dawn.com/news/1746219/for-pakistan-to-prosper-it-must-invest-in-its-children">For Pakistan to prosper, it must invest in its children</a> appeared first on Atlantic Council.

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The future of women in India: Barriers, facilitators and opportunities https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/in-depth-research-reports/issue-brief/the-future-of-women-in-india-barriers-facilitators-and-opportunities/ Mon, 27 Mar 2023 13:00:00 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=626294 This issue brief describes cross-cutting themes, a proposed theory of change, and recommendations that emerged from the Atlantic Council and US Department of State expert convening, “Future of Women and Work in South Asia” on how to foster cross-sectoral collaboration and catalyze knowledge sharing to support women’s economic empowerment in South Asia.

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The barriers South Asian women face in the workforce are deep and intersecting, including but not limited to: accessing digital technology; disruptions to supply chains; the dual burden of managing eldercare and childcare; limited physical and mental health services; and the increased risk of gender-based violence (GBV). These are key obstacles to women’s labor force participation, and all were exacerbated by the COVID-19 pandemic. According to a joint report published by the International Finance Corporation and the United Nations Entity for Gender Equality and the Empowerment of Women (UN Women), 35 percent of women entrepreneurs in India reported that they have suffered declining revenues due to COVID-19, and 72 percent of female small business owners in Sri Lanka reported experiencing difficulties accessing their usual financial services. The same report found that female job-loss rates resulting from COVID-19 are about 1.8 times higher than male job-loss rates globally.

Women’s participation and advancement in the labor force not only benefits women themselves, but also men, families, communities, and the entire nation. Despite this, women’s work is a minefield of visible and invisible barriers, rooted in inequality, patriarchy, and privilege. Global corporations, civil society, governments, and businesses across the South Asian region and the globe are committed and poised to support women’s advancement in the workplace, and are well positioned to accelerate and complement these efforts through direct investments and advocacy. But, first, two key areas must be explored, and they serve as the foci for this issue brief:

  1. Raise awareness of key economic challenges facing women across the region.
  2. Explore best practices and opportunities for addressing these pressing challenges.

To date, these efforts have been limited and/or siloed within particular domains and there is a paucity of scientific evidence pointing to how these efforts are effectively supporting women’s economic recovery.

This issue brief describes cross-cutting themes, a proposed theory of change, and recommendations that emerged from the Atlantic Council and US Department of State expert convening, “Future of Women and Work in South Asia.” The convening’s goal was to foster cross-sectoral collaboration and catalyze knowledge sharing to support women’s economic empowerment in South Asia. The project also aimed to elucidate strategies for increasing philanthropic and corporate investments to appropriately address the challenges and barriers women face.

The South Asia Center serves as the Atlantic Council’s focal point for work on the region as well as relations between these countries, neighboring regions, Europe, and the United States.

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Trajectories of Iraqi youth two decades after the 2003 invasion: Between aspirations and reality https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/commentary/event-recap/trajectories-of-iraqi-youth-two-decades-after-the-2003-invasion-between-aspirations-and-reality/ Fri, 24 Mar 2023 18:32:02 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=628303 On March 20, 2023, the Atlantic Council’s Iraq Initiative hosted a discussion with a number of young Iraqi civil society activists and prospective leaders to reflect on the 20th anniversary of the 2003 Iraq invasion.

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Opening remarks: 

On March 20, to reflect on the twenty-year anniversary of the U.S. invasion of Iraq, the Atlantic Council’s Iraq Initiative held a discussion to amplify the voices of Iraqi youth. “Trajectories of Iraqi youth two decades after the 2003 invasion: Between aspirations and reality” featured introductory remarks from the Director of the Iraq Initiative, Abbas Kadhim, and was moderated by Hezha Barzani, a Program Assistant for the empowerME Initiative at the Atlantic Council.   

In his introductory speech, Abbas Kadhim stressed the importance of including youth in the debate about the future of Iraq, arguing that “youth are not only entitled to be present, but are called to lead the debate, as they will be the most affected by it”. This was further emphasized in Hezha Barzani’s introduction, where he noted that 60 percent of Iraq’s current population is under the age of twenty-five. 

The panel featured empowerME Program Assistant Nibras Basitkey, who highlighted the importance of being solution-oriented when discussing the future of Iraqi youth. It also featured a researcher at the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute, Shival Fazil, who claimed that Iraqi youth “do not feel represented by the current system of government in Iraq and are stretching across ethnic and religious identities in favor of an issue-based coalition, seeking political reform”. Adjunct fellow Hamzeh Hadad from the Center for New American Security noted that the years following the invasion “were tumultuous, with Iraqis facing global issues” such as the expansion of the Islamic State of Iraq and al-Sham (ISIS) and the global pandemic. This point was built upon by co-Founder and President of Sinjar Academy, Murad Ismael, who claimed that “youth in post-ISIS Iraq are rejecting extremism”. 

Problems currently facing Iraqi youth

A consensus was reached among the participating panelists that the present nature of the Iraqi youth is characterized by their collective desire for reform and coalition-building.  The emerging trend of national movements are transcending ethnic, religious, and cultural lines. Hamzeh Hadad explained this phenomenon as being “a product of Iraqi unity against ISIS as well as the younger generation’s exposure to sectarian violence in the aftermath of Saddam Hussein’s rule”. He also explained the unification of Iraqi youth with the failure of the Iraqi leadership class, which resulted in a widespread protest movement. Another problem currently affecting Iraq is the persistence of internal displacement accompanied both the 2003 invasion and the ISIS insurgency. The second wave of displacement that took after 2024 in Iraq has particularly impacted minority communities. Basitkey, Ismael, and Fizal all pointed to the plight of the Yazidi population which had been persecuted by ISIS and remains scattered with negligible access to basic civilian infrastructures and education. 

When discussing the current threat of ISIS resurgence, Shival Fazil claimed, “it is this growing disillusionment with politics and resentment toward the ruling elite that runs the risk of being exploited and weaponized by the Islamic State or other extremist groups.” 

This statement demonstrates the importance of addressing the concerns of the Iraqi youth and committing to political, economic, and social reform for both humanitarian and security reasons. Youth are also facing the repercussions of climate change, which will continue to be a serious threat to the country, both on livelihoods and security fronts. Hamzeh Hadad pointed to the inadequate preparedness of the country to combat climate change, arguing that “both Iraq and the international community must team up to create the appropriate infrastructures to cope with modern problems such as climate change.” 

Importance of education

One of the most pressing problems currently facing Iraqi youth is limited access and poor quality education. Each of the panelists spoke to this importance extensively. Nibras Basitkey claimed that “this phenomenon was worsened by the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic and has disproportionately impacted minorities”. Additionally, Iraqi youth experience a significant setback in their education due to limited access to technology during the pandemic. Murad Ismael highlighted the importance of technology in improving education, claiming that “technological training in Iraq is extremely outdated and individuals who pursue higher education in technology in Iraq finish their degree with a high-school level understanding”. He offered that smartphones could be harnessed to improve education, but “there must be a campaign that compels individuals to maximize the educational value of their phones”. Basitkey further argued that “Iraq requires an updated curriculum that would focus on technology and skills that would optimize youth’s chances of obtaining jobs in the local market”. Additionally, “women’s access to education must be significantly improved”. 

The value of economic growth 

Iraq’s economy is highly dependent on oil and most jobs lie in the public sector-this is problematic for numerous reasons. Murad Ismael argued that “a prosperous private sector is essential to a functioning democracy in Iraq”, as the public cannot voice their political opinions freely if they are dependent on a particular political party for employment. Furthermore, oil prices are extremely unstable. Shivan Fazil highlighted the consequences of an oil-dependent economy and advocated for “the establishment of a competitive and reliable private sector”. Economic development is also a social issue. Basitkey argued for “the necessary inclusion of women in the Iraqi economy by challenging social norms and initiating campaigns that encourage women to participate in politics”. This will improve economic growth and mobilize a highly underutilized sector of the population. 

Each of these issues requires a tremendous commitment not only from Iraq but also from the international community. To ensure the success of Iraq’s bright youth population, these issues must be addressed, specifically, those of economic and educational concerns, concluded the panelists.

Britt Gronemeyer is a Young Global Professional with the Middle East Programs at the Atlantic Council. 

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I was once denied an education in Iraq. This is why the Taliban’s prohibition on female education matters. https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/menasource/i-was-once-denied-an-education-in-iraq-this-is-why-the-talibans-prohibition-on-female-education-matters/ Thu, 16 Mar 2023 13:27:54 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=624238 As an Iraqi refugee who understands the importance of education, I recognize that achieving gender parity in education is critical for Afghanistan’s long-term economic growth and prosperity.

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If one could think about how difficult it is when society’s customs and laws conflict with an individual’s fundamental rights, especially the right to an education, then one can begin to understand the plight of Afghan women today.

I certainly do. Growing up in Srechka, a small rural village in northern Iraq, I experienced firsthand the limitations placed on me because of my gender. I longed for an education, but cultural norms and traditions dictated that girls should stay home and take care of the household while boys were expected to work and provide for the family. Education was seen as a threat against those norms, which were upheld by villagers for decades despite what was written in the Iraqi constitution.

Despite these limitations, I never gave up on my quest for knowledge because I understood the significance of education in fulfilling my potential. Unfortunately, in 2014, I was compelled to leave Srechka due to the invasion of my town by the Islamic State of Iraq and al-Sham (ISIS). These events added to my challenges in accessing education. However, my determination to overcome these obstacles only grew stronger as I realized the transformative power of education in shaping individuals as agents of change and empowering them to contribute to the development of their communities.

Years of turmoil and insufficient investment in Iraq have deteriorated the once-excellent education system and limited Iraqi children’s opportunities for quality education. At present, roughly 3.2 million Iraqi children of school age are not receiving an education. Furthermore, under-investment in the educational sector has impaired students’ access to quality learning and the ability to acquire skills necessary to meet the demands of the market. Of the children not enrolled in primary school, 56 percent are female (this number is 65 percent in the case of lower secondary school).

The COVID-19 pandemic has exacerbated this issue, leading to high dropout rates for both genders, although females are disproportionally impacted. Factors that impede Iraqi women from obtaining an education are socially-constructed gender norms, perceived protection concerns, trauma, internal displacement, early and forced marriages, and economic and financial hardships. In rural areas, the data on female dropouts is scarce, and they are among the nation’s most at-risk groups for child marriages.

Unfortunately, the situation in Afghanistan today is not much different from what I experienced in Iraq. The Taliban’s prohibition on female education is a severe blow to the progress made in recent years toward gender equality in the country. Afghan women and girls have been fighting for their right to education, and it is a devastating setback to see their hard-won progress threatened by the Taliban’s oppressive regime. 

The Taliban’s actions violate the basic human rights of Afghan women and girls and also have long-term implications for Afghanistan’s economic and social development. Education is essential for individuals to fulfill their potential and contribute to the development of their communities. The denial of education to women and girls hinders their ability to participate in the workforce and limits their potential for upward social mobility.

Taliban prohibits girls’ education, undoing years of progress in Afghanistan

Since the Taliban’s rise to power in 2021, one of their first acts was implementing a strict interpretation of Islamic law. This included the prohibition of girls from attending school and university, as the group believed that education was not necessary nor appropriate for women.

Prior to 2021, in the years after the US invasion of Afghanistan in 2001, the United States and its allies focused on rebuilding and modernizing the country’s infrastructure, including its education system.

As part of its efforts to rebuild Afghanistan since 2002, the US provided approximately $88 billion in security aid, $36 billion in civilian aid (which includes $787 million designated for the advancement of Afghan women and girls), and almost $3.9 billion in humanitarian aid from the United States, according to data shared by the White House.

These different funds supported the construction of new schools, training of teachers, and development of educational materials. The US also worked with Afghan authorities and international organizations to promote access to education, particularly for girls and women who had been largely excluded from the education system under the Taliban. Since 2002, the US has granted Afghanistan $133 billion in economic and security help, including allocating funds for infrastructure, economic and social progress, and security forces.

These efforts have helped to increase enrollment in schools, particularly among girls and women, and to improve the quality of education in Afghanistan. According to the World Bank, the percentage of female enrollment in primary school rose from zero to 85 percent in 2019. However, the situation was still far from ideal, as many families continued to be resistant to the idea of educating their daughters, and there were still areas of the country where the Taliban had a strong presence and where girls’ education was not allowed. 

However, it is widely recognized that the assurances made have not been upheld and that the severity of the matter is undeniable.

When the Taliban first seized control, they declared that classrooms would be segregated by gender. Then, they refused to reopen secondary schools for females. In December 2022, with one single decision, the Taliban banned female education by prohibiting females from attending universities, thus, widening the scope of their restriction on female education.

The consequences on economic development

These recent bans have erased years of gender equality progress made in Afghanistan. This has had a devastating effect on the education and rights of Afghan women, who have faced severe restrictions on their freedom and rights for decades. This also hinders the economic development of the country. Education is a key driver of economic growth, and providing education to girls can significantly impact a country’s economy.

As of 2023, there remains a significant dearth of statistics production in Afghanistan, making it difficult to assess the state of the economy fully. However, despite this challenge, experts predict that the country’s economic output could decline by as much as 20 to 30 percent over the course of the year from August 2021.

Furthermore, nearly 97 percent of Afghanistan is facing the risk of poverty, with more than half of the country depending on humanitarian aid to survive. The average Afghan household already spends 91 percent of its income on food, leaving little for other basic needs. This dire situation has resulted in many families resorting to rationing and other strategies to cope with the economic strain—such as selling their kidneys—to put food on the table. Children are particularly vulnerable in this situation, as they are at an increased risk of starvation, malnutrition, hunger, and preventable diseases.

Furthermore, a recent United Nations International Children’s Emergency Fund (UNICEF) analysis argues that the denial of secondary education for girls in Afghanistan has had a significant economic impact, resulting in a loss of at least $500 million within the last year alone. This statistic is a stark reminder of the importance of ensuring girls’ access to education. Not only does education empower girls to make decisions and lead more fulfilling lives, but it also has economic benefits for their communities.

Educating girls has been shown to have a multiplier effect on economic growth and development. When girls are educated, they are more likely to become successful members of society, contributing to the economy and increasing the overall standard of living. Education should be seen as a right and an investment in the future of entire communities.

The economic benefits of educating girls are undeniable in reducing poverty and providing more ways for them to contribute to the economy. Education is a powerful tool for breaking the cycle of poverty, and it can help girls and women access better-paying jobs and become more financially independent. This can increase the standard of living for girls and their families and significantly contribute to the country’s overall economic development.

Denying women access to education and employment in Afghanistan will cost the country up to $1 billion, or a maximum of 5 percent of its GDP—an amount that is too much for the nation to bear due to its present economic circumstances.

Studies have shown that educating women can reduce poverty levels in a country. Educated women are more likely to be employed and have higher incomes, which will help lift them and their families out of poverty. Furthermore, educated women are more likely to have healthier pregnancies, improved health outcomes for their children, and increased access to basic services like health care and sanitation. This will lead to a healthier population and improved quality of life. 

Advancing female education under the Taliban

Despite the new government in Afghanistan abandoning its promises of reform, the international community must remain steadfast in its commitment to safeguarding the rights of Afghan women and girls. It is also essential that they continue to pressure the Afghan government to uphold its commitments to reform and protect the rights of its female citizens. Furthermore, the international community should provide support and resources to organizations and initiatives working to empower Afghan women and girls. Only through collective action can the rights of Afghan women be fully secured.

Given the Taliban’s police state and severe threat of repression against advocacy for women’s rights in the country, especially regarding reversing the female education ban, a few key strategies can be implemented to ensure female education. These strategies can minimize repression risks without formally recognizing the legitimacy of the Taliban.

  • Collaborate with reputable and recognized local and national organizations to develop a coordinated and strategic approach to promoting female education in Afghanistan. This should involve creating partnerships between the government, NGOs, and other international organizations that are recognized by the international community. This strategy should involve advocacy and awareness-raising to educate the public on the importance of female education and the negative impact of the Taliban’s ban. It should also involve providing financial incentives to families to encourage them to send their daughters to school.
  • Provide security measures to protect girls and women from violence and harassment as they travel to and from school. This could involve training security forces to respond to incidents of harassment and ensuring that girls and women feel safe. It could also involve providing transport options to help girls and women travel safely to and from schools.
  • Prioritize community-based education programs that are accessible and safe for girls and women. This could involve providing alternative education programs in safe settings, such as at home or in community centers. It could also involve providing resources to local organizations to help them provide quality education to girls and women.

As an Iraqi refugee who understands the importance of education, I recognize that achieving gender parity in education is critical for Afghanistan’s long-term economic growth and prosperity. Education is a fundamental right and a key driver of economic development, and denying girls access to education is detrimental to the country’s future. It is only through collective action that the international community can ensure the rights of Afghan women and girls are upheld and that they can live in a society where education is a privilege, not a punishment.

Nibras Basitkey is a program assistant at the Atlantic Council’s empowerME Initiative at the Atlantic Council’s Rafik Hariri Center for the Middle East. 

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The 5×5—Strengthening the cyber workforce https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/content-series/the-5x5/the-5x5-strengthening-the-cyber-workforce/ Thu, 23 Feb 2023 05:01:00 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=613977 Experts provide insights into ways for the United States and its allies to bolster their cyber workforces.

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This article is part of The 5×5, a monthly series by the Cyber Statecraft Initiative, in which five featured experts answer five questions on a common theme, trend, or current event in the world of cyber. Interested in the 5×5 and want to see a particular topic, event, or question covered? Contact Simon Handler with the Cyber Statecraft Initiative at SHandler@atlanticcouncil.org.

On July 19, 2022, the White House convened leaders from industry, government, and academia at its a National Cyber Workforce and Education Summit. In his remarks at the Summit, recently departed National Cyber Director Chris Inglis committed to developing a National Cyber Workforce and Education Strategy with input from relevant stakeholders to align government resources and efforts toward addressing the many challenges in this area. Among these challenges is finding sufficient talent to fill the United States’ ever-growing number of openings for cyber-related roles across all sectors of the economy. According to research from CyberSeek, US employers posted 714,548 of these job openings in the year leading up to April 2022. While many of the vacancies are oriented toward individuals who are savvy in the more technical aspects of cybersecurity, more organizations are searching for multidisciplinary talent, ranging from international affairs to project management and everything in between. 

While we await the White House’s National Cyber Workforce and Education Strategy, we brought together a group of experts to provide insights into bolstering the cyber workforces of the United States and its allies.

#1 What is one assumption about the cyber workforce that is holding the cyber community back?

Nelson Abbott, senior director, advanced program operations, NPower

“‘We cannot find good talent.’ This sentiment is, in my opinion, a result of companies not broadening their talent acquisition strategies. You will not meet the increasing demand for cyber talent by using the same talent pipelines that are not increasing their output to market.” 

Richard Harris, principal cybersecurity policy engineer, MITRE Corporation

“One problematic assumption is that the market, academia, or government alone can solve the problem of cyber workforce shortages. Developing cyber workforces at the right time, in the right quantities, and with the right skills requires purposeful and persistent public, private, and academic partnerships.” 

Ayan Islam, director, cyber workforce, Office of the National Cyber Director

“There is an assumption that there is a single pathway into the cyber workforce when there are many pathways to recruit cyber workforce talent. To open the job pipeline to those for whom a career in cyber or a related field would be out of reach, new pathways need to be created. We need to fully leverage the potential for community colleges to contribute to the workforce, grow work-based learning programs such as apprenticeships, and further explore non-traditional training opportunities. While some exist today, we need many more pathways to allow for more entrants and career changers into the cyber workforce and to demystify those pathways.” 

Eric Novotny, Hurst professor of international relations, emeritus, School of International Service, American University

“One assumption that I have noticed in employment advertising is the posting of entry-level positions in which the Certified Information Systems Security Professional (CISSP) certification is listed as necessary or desirable. This certification, as is well-known in the community, is a cybersecurity management certification that requires five years of experience in the domain. It may be that human resources representatives do not understand the levels or purpose of cybersecurity certifications. Some organizations may lose qualified job candidates if desired certifications are not aligned with job requirements.” 

Merili Soosalu, partner leader and regional coordinator for Latin America and the Caribbean, EU Cyber Resilience for Development Project (Cyber4Dev), Information System Authority of Estonia (RIA)

“Cybersecurity as a topic is on its way to the mainstream. In the more and more digitalized world, cybersecurity is an integral aspect that cannot be overlooked. This should also be reflected in the outlooks of cyber careers that do not only mean highly experienced technical skills but rather a variety of professions and skillsets from the areas of project management and communications to the highly skilled blue- and red-team competencies.”

#2 What government or industry-led programs have had an outsized positive impact on workforce development efforts?

Abbott: “I am of the opinion that there have not been ‘outsized’ positive impacts. There are a lot of great companies and organizations doing good work (NPower, Per Scholas, etc.), but they do not have the capacity to meet the exponential growth in demand for talent. The recent cybersecurity sprint was good to develop interest in that alternative hiring model, but it is still too early to see what the measurable results are.” 

Harris: “Some of the most successful workforce development programs have been in local communities. These programs were the result of local businesses, governments, and academic institutions putting their heads together to meet cybersecurity and other technical skill needs. While these efforts help keep people in their communities, they also support workforce mobility where these same skills are in demand outside of the local community.” 

Islam: “With over seven hundred thousand (approximately 756,000 as of December 2022, per CyberSeek.org) vacancies in cybersecurity positions across the United States, these numbers constitute a national security risk and must be tackled aggressively. Therefore, it is important for government, industry, education, and training providers to all contribute to workforce development efforts, and work in tandem to address our growing needs. For example, the Office of National Cyber Director hosted a National Cyber Workforce and Education Summit at the White House last summer with government and private sector partners to discuss building the United States’ cyber workforce, increasing skill-based pathways to cyber careers, and equipping Americans to thrive in our increasingly digital society. The event resulted in many new commitments. A cybersecurity apprenticeship sprint was also announced at the Summit, which led to an increase in private-sector participation in the Department of Labor’s apprenticeship program, with 194 new registered participants and over seven thousand apprentices getting jobs.” 

Novotny: “Sponsored events to attract new talent into the field, such as Cyber 9/12, AvengerCon, and various Capture the Flag (CTF) exercises are invaluable for stimulating interest in cybersecurity and exposing students and young professionals to executives and experts in the field.” 

Soosalu: “In Estonia in recent years, many positive initiatives have been developed for different age groups. For instance, for adults looking to change their careers to information technology (IT), the Kood/Jõhvi, an international coding school, was created and top IT specialists should enter to the job market in the coming months. A private initiative called Unicorn Squad was created in 2018 to popularize technology education among girls. These initiatives, to name some, will hopefully show positive effects in the coming years. The Estonian State Systems Authority, responsible for national cybersecurity, prioritizes the knowledge development of cyber incidents of critical sectors by regularly organizing joint exercises between the national Computer Emergency Response Team (CERT) and the IT teams of different critical service providers.”

#3 Are there any issues or challenges in workforce development have been overstated or immaterial?

Abbott: “‘Anyone can do cyber.’ While it is true that there is a much broader spectrum of roles in cyber than most people realize (non-technical; governance, risk management, and compliance; policy; etc.), these still require a strong working knowledge of information technology and networking concepts.” 

Harris: “Many people need to move beyond wringing their hands about cyber workforce shortages or hoping that someone else will solve the problem. Organizations can start at the grassroots level and proactively develop partnerships and plans that result in a tangible workforce development achievement at whatever level is feasible, and then build on that success.” 

Islam: “Actually, what is understated and greatly material to the issue and challenge in cyber workforce development is the lack of appropriate resourcing and C-suite appreciation with security program investments. There is still a disconnect in recognizing that cybersecurity is a foundational business risk and not a one-time, niche issue. Without proper investments on the people side of security programs, we will continue to see the same issues or challenges in tackling cybersecurity threats.” 

Novotny: “There are some misconceptions that cybersecurity is an exclusively IT-driven, technical field. That is certainly true for some roles and responsibilities, but cybersecurity solutions also embrace people and processes, as well as technology.  Professionals with highly developed technical skills will need to include management and people skills in their career development.” 

Soosalu: “Today, all studies show that the IT sector, cybersecurity in particular, lacks a qualified workforce. Therefore, all challenges are real and need to be tackled.”

More from the Cyber Statecraft Initiative:

#4 How can different types of organizations better assess their cyber talent needs?

Abbott: “By 1) moving from credential-based job descriptions to competency-based job descriptions; 2) better communicating between hiring managers and talent-acquisition teams; 3) changing job descriptions to remove bias and non-negotiable requirements to encourage more candidates to apply; and 4) considering internal upskilling programs and backfilling entry-level roles with new talent.” 

Harris: “The National Institute of Standards and Technology’s (NIST) National Initiative for Cybersecurity Education (NICE) Framework is an awesome baseline reference for understanding workforce positions and skills. Organizations, however, must do the work to understand their current and future cyber talent needs, then leverage the NICE Framework, or a similar guide, to connect those business needs with the right positions and skill paths, and build a workforce development plan.” 

Islam: “A growing number of organizations are taking advantage of skill-based and aptitude assessments to allow for diverse and multidisciplinary candidates to join the cyber workforce. However, skill-based training and hiring practices are still necessary. Any solution must be inclusive of historically untapped talent, including underserved areas and neurodivergent populations. A cybersecurity career should be within reach for any American who wishes to pursue it, and skills-based training and hiring practices enable inclusive outcomes, give workers a fair shot, and keep the economy strong.” 

Novotny: “The size of the existing IT and cybersecurity internal infrastructure plays a huge role here. Medium and small enterprises will have a more difficult time justifying a large cybersecurity staff in most cases. For these organizations, where many cybersecurity functions are outsourced, the skills shift to management and procurement, rather than technical operations, such as staffing a security operations center. In the government sector, having different standards and compliance rules than in the private sector also drives different necessary skill sets. On the other hand, I would argue that any organization that has network operations and valuable information assets to protect has similar security requirements in principle.” 

Soosalu: “For assessing needs, some forms of standards are needed. In the European Union, the new European Cybersecurity Skills Framework (ECSF) was created to become a useful tool to help identify the profiles and skills that are most needed and valued. This will help create a European framework for recognizing skills and training programs.”

#5 How have cyber workforce needs shifted in the past five years, and where do you see them going from here?

Abbott: “They have only increased, and almost doubled in 2022. More companies are taking cybersecurity seriously, and are now realizing the importance of having those individuals on their teams. I fear that the demand for cyber talent will only continue unless employers start to create new solutions instead of relying on old habits when it comes to talent acquisition.” 

Harris: “Rapid technological change like the current artificial intelligence revolution, and increasingly complex risk dynamics exemplified by greater cyber-physical convergence, require cyber workforces and individuals to embrace continuous learning throughout their careers. More attention needs to be paid to developing interesting and flexible cyber career paths and investing in more career progression training and education.” 

Islam: “We need to broaden our thinking about the importance of cyber across occupations and professions in our interconnected society. There are many occupations and professions that have not traditionally required in-depth cybersecurity knowledge or training, but whose work relies on the use of cyber technologies. Greater attention should be paid to ensuring that cybersecurity training and education are part of the professional preparation of these workers.” 

Novotny: “Several broad trends are noticeable in workforce requirements that have changed over time. First, as more sectors of the economy are identified as critical infrastructure, professionals that have industry sector experience are in higher demand.  Second, the cyber threat intelligence business—in both government and in the private sector—has opened job opportunities for young professionals with language and international relations education. Third, there is an apparent fusion of traditional cybersecurity needs with a growing concern about misinformation, social media, and privacy. A few years ago, these latter issues were largely separate from the cybersecurity domain. That is not the case today.” 

Soosalu: “Estonia was the target of one of the first ever national cyberattacks in 2007, and therefore cybersecurity as an issue is not new to our general public. However, being one of the most digitalized countries in the world, Estonia relies heavily on its digital services and needs to both create awareness and invest in being as cyber resilient as possible. The lack of a skilled workforce is clearly a vector of risk. Compared to the period of past five years, the legislation has evolved. Today, many more sectors are obliged to follow information and cybersecurity standards, hire information security officers, and invest budget into dealing with cybersecurity. The topic of cybersecurity is here to stay, and we will need to do our outmost to create interested and competent workforce for these profiles. Hopefully, the initiatives named above (Question #2) will help to contribute to this, and we see soon more women and more IT and cyber enthusiasts in the job market.” 

Simon Handler is a fellow at the Atlantic Council’s Cyber Statecraft Initiative within the Digital Forensic Research Lab (DFRLab). He is also the editor-in-chief of The 5×5, a series on trends and themes in cyber policy. Follow him on Twitter @SimonPHandler.

The Atlantic Council’s Cyber Statecraft Initiative, under the Digital Forensic Research Lab (DFRLab), works at the nexus of geopolitics and cybersecurity to craft strategies to help shape the conduct of statecraft and to better inform and secure users of technology.

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Ukraine’s growing veteran community will shape the country’s future https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/ukrainealert/ukraines-growing-veteran-community-will-shape-the-countrys-future/ Wed, 04 Jan 2023 16:41:16 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=599082 Ukraine's rapidly expanding veteran community can make a major contribution to the country's post-war future but will require a range of support measures in order to reintegrate into civilian life successfully.

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“I never thought I’d wear this uniform, but this is my land!” This is the tagline for “Call-sign Ukraine,” an arts project that aims to highlight the role currently being played in the defense of the country by ordinary Ukrainians with no prior military background.

Ukrainian digital artist Nikita Titov partnered with the Ukrainian Veterans Foundation, which provides financial support to Ukrainian veterans, to design and promote a collection of 18 striking posters featuring soldiers from all walks of life (see article illustration). These posters serve as a powerful tribute to the determination and sacrifice of Ukrainians who have been ripped from their everyday lives by Russia’s brutal invasion.

Posters from the “Call-sign Ukraine” project have been featured worldwide. They have appeared everywhere from the Embassy of Ukraine in Japan to the Kyiv metro, where they have been displayed alongside a Ukraine Veterans Foundation campaign entitled: “No matter who you are in civilian life, we are there to support you.” These initiatives reflect growing awareness that the fate of Ukraine’s rapidly growing veteran community will help define the country’s future for decades to come.

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At the start of 2022, there were around 400,000 veterans in Ukraine who had served in the ongoing hybrid war with Russia that had raged in the east of the country since early 2014. Following the onset of Russia’s full-scale invasion in February 2022, this number has now mushroomed. Hundreds of thousands of additional Ukrainians will join the ranks of the country’s veteran community in the near future.

These veterans have the potential to transform Ukraine. In terms of sheer numbers and also as a consequence of the skills and experience their have acquired, they will shape Ukraine’s economy, politics, cultural life, and society as a whole. However, much work must yet be done to ensure Ukraine can provide the support they will require. “There are already problems and the situation is likely to get worse,” notes poster artist Titov. “These people are traumatized by the war, not only physically but also mentally.”

While the vast majority of future veterans remain on the front lines, the challenges that their return to civilian life will create must be addressed now. After months of brutal combat and exposure to the results of Russian war crimes, Ukraine’s soldiers will need support in the form of medical and psychological care to treat the direct effects of the conflict.

In addition to immediate care, Ukrainian veterans will also need long-term economic support to ensure they are able to provide for themselves and their families while reintegrating into civilian life. This support should include training opportunities to prepare veterans for new careers along with access to small business financing.

The dramatic growth of Ukraine’s veteran community will add new impetus to the ongoing reform of the country’s veteran policies. Until relatively recently, Ukraine’s system of veteran services was dominated by a Soviet approach that provided subsidies and cash payments instead of direct services. Gaps in the system were often filled by civil society. In 2018, Ukraine established a Ministry of Veteran Affairs with the goal of throwing off the Soviet legacy.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has backed these efforts, stating in August 2022 that the country must seek to create one of the world’s leading veteran support models. The objective should be to allow veterans to contribute “not only to the defense of our state on the front lines but also to the post-war development of Ukraine,” he commented.

Much work now lies ahead in order to translate Zelenskyy’s vision into reality. Hundreds of thousands of veterans across the country will require access to a range of medical and psychological services. They must also be provided with the kind of economic opportunities they so richly deserve.

The Ukrainian government is already working to make access to services easier. This includes creating an online service portal and easing access to psychological help by creating a new register of providers. In August 2022, the Ministry of Veteran Affairs signed an agreement with local authorities in Ukrainian cities to improve the provision of services. The Ministry has also established the Ukraine Veterans Foundation to serve as a platform to develop opportunities for veterans returning to civilian life.

Ukraine itself must undergo a physical transformation in order to become a more welcoming place for the veteran community. At the most basic level, this means improving accessibility to buildings and public spaces for all those who have experienced life-changing injuries during their service. Every aspect of Ukrainian daily life must be accessible to people living with limited mobility or other physical restrictions.

At present, the best way for the international community to back Ukraine’s veterans is by helping them win the war. They can do so by sending the weapons needed to defeat Vladimir Putin’s invasion and providing the financial support to keep the war-ravaged Ukrainian economy afloat.

Victory will create a whole new reality as hundreds of thousands of teachers, managers, civil servants, entrepreneurs, and IT specialists return to civilian life and seek to build futures for themselves in post-war Ukraine. This future is clearly full of potential. The task is to make sure Ukraine can capitalize on the opportunities that lie ahead. Ukraine’s veteran community should become a major asset for the country. To what extent will depend on the environment the authorities are able to create and the support provided by Ukraine’s international partners.

Despite the horrors of the war, there is still plenty of optimism about Ukraine’s prospects. Titov’s posters, with their bright and colorful style, reflect this faith in a future shaped by a generation who have taken up arms to defend their homeland. “Ukraine will win,” says the artist. “The new Ukraine will be a very strong country that the whole world will be proud of.”

Aleksander Cwalina and Benton Coblentz are program assistants at the Atlantic Council’s Eurasia Center.

Further reading

The views expressed in UkraineAlert are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Atlantic Council, its staff, or its supporters.

The Eurasia Center’s mission is to enhance transatlantic cooperation in promoting stability, democratic values and prosperity in Eurasia, from Eastern Europe and Turkey in the West to the Caucasus, Russia and Central Asia in the East.

Follow us on social media
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Melinda Haring: Ukraine’s unquenchable thirst for freedom inspires me https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/ukrainealert/melinda-haring-ukraines-unquenchable-thirst-for-freedom-inspires-me/ Wed, 07 Dec 2022 20:58:24 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=593318 Melinda Haring signs off on eight years at the Atlantic Council with love letter to Ukraine recounting how the East European country captured her heart with its intoxicating lust for life and unquenchable thirst for freedom.

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“Does she ever write about anything other than Ukraine?” my sister-in-law secretly asked my husband. “It’s so obscure.”

Nope, and for good reason.

As I prepare to leave the Atlantic Council and join the Superhumans Center, a Ukrainian charity that will build the first prosthetics hospital in Ukraine, I owe hundreds of people money, dinner, and mostly eternal gratitude. Thousands more have trusted me with their secrets and stories. I hope I didn’t screw them up too much.

To those who have made the last eight years awesome, thank you.

Yevhen Hlibovytsky, my tutor, driver, fellow nosy social scientist, and beloved friend, your spirit infuses my work and love of country. I can’t wait to show you the eccentric parts of America. There are a lot of them! Duzhe, duzhe dyakuyu.

When I became the editor of UkraineAlert in 2015 I was woefully under-qualified. Dr. Alina Polyakova convinced John Herbst to hire me over a more pedigreed man. Peter Dickinson, Christian Caryl, Uri Friedman, Amanda Abrams, and Larry Luxner, you reshaped my underdeveloped stories and encouraged me countless times.

My co-conspirator, editor, and debating partner Jacob Heilbrunn makes every piece 1000 times better, but please do not tell him. And while we are on that subject, please don’t tell John Herbst that I didn’t write any of the titles that gave the communications team heartburn. That was my brilliant husband. Thank you, Daniel!

Ambassador John Herbst, you are the Atlantic Council to me. You made the fight fun, the debate delicious, and every conversation convivial, and you made me a better person. I will be in your debt until they bury me in Kyiv.

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Before I sally forth, I relish the chance to explain why Ukraine has captivated me for more than fifteen years.

It was not love at first sight. In 2006, I went to Ukraine as part of a disastrously organized election observation mission. I found Kyiv forbidding but was quickly put on a train to Crimea to observe in Simferopol, an ugly but otherwise unremarkable post-Soviet city. The leaders of our election team soon vanished and we were left with two older gentlemen from the Canadian diaspora, who graciously volunteered to hastily assemble maps and organize our mission.

I took the work seriously and I almost got into a fistfight as a result. When I saw violations, I duly noted them. At one polling station, a large man was voting outside of the ballot box. Voters have a right to privacy, and in a place like Crimea that overwhelmingly votes for one party, privacy is key.

As a diligent election observer, I took a picture of the man. He came at me demanding to know what I was doing. A crowd quickly gathered as the situation escalated. I insisted I had the right to take photographs and note violations. The head of the precinct, with the unnatural burgundy hair you only see in the former Soviet Union, called Kyiv for guidance. “Unfortunately, this young woman has the right to take pictures,” she announced with a scowl. The crowd heaved a disappointed sigh and dispersed. As we exited the polling station, I was shaken and scared the big man might be waiting for me. What a country.

I never intended to come back. At the time, I had landed a dream job at Freedom House. I was giving Saudi Arabia hell for its gross and innumerable human rights violations, but my boss was impossible and the task felt hopeless. I feared it would take Saudi Arabia decades to change.

Fast forward. My boyfriend at the time landed a Fulbright scholarship to Kyiv and was having the time of his life. I was miserable and decided to join him. I soon found a job in Ukraine teaching English. The initial Skype interview went swimmingly and the Ukrainian trainer was both charismatic and lovely. At first, I only intended to stay for six months and then enter boring middle-aged American life. Instead, I found my calling and have never looked back.

Sergiy Gusovsky, one of Kyiv’s most beloved restaurateurs and among the finest people you could wish to meet, often remarks that once a Westerner falls for Ukraine, they are hooked for life. That’s exactly what happened to me.

In January 2007, I made the big move to Ukraine. It was beyond cold. Even with my ankle-length wool coat and eighteen Alaskan winters under my belt, I could barely take it.

The American English Center rented space in ordinary schools. I taught mostly college students daily from 4pm to 10pm. The beginner students couldn’t understand a word I said, but the advanced students got me and were soon demanding harder and harder words. Hour after hour, we talked about Ukraine’s social structures, the economy, the country’s endlessly frustrating politics, its painful history, and society’s ridiculous expectations of women. There was no subject that was off limits.

Within six months, I had decided I never wanted to leave. Kyiv is the world’s most underrated city. Not only is it extraordinarily beautiful, especially during the spring months, but the spontaneous and generous nature of everyday life also appealed to me. The Kyivite focus on the here and now is the inverse of Max Weber’s Protestant ethic which I had imbibed far too deeply by age 18. Being in the Ukrainian capital helped me rediscover by natural equilibrium.

Plus, it was dirt cheap. My $400 per month apartment overlooking the golden domes of Pechersk Lavra Monastery was a sensational place to live. Meanwhile, Kyiv’s location at the center of Europe enabled me to visit 10 countries in six months. Leaving wasn’t an option.

Although I did eventually move back to the US, I never really left. Ukraine has remained with me. For the past eight years, I have been privileged to lead and build the biggest, loudest, and most effective program on Ukraine in North America at the Atlantic Council together with Ambassador John Herbst.

I often find myself answering the same peculiar question: “Why are you, a girl with a German surname and no discernible connection to Eastern Europe, so taken with Ukraine?”

Normally I give a canned answer. I grew up in Kenai, a small village in Alaska with a Russian Orthodox Church. When I was in the sixth grade, the Berlin Wall fell and Russians poured into Alaska. Regional flights were set up between the Russian Far East and Alaska, and the local business community got very excited about linking the two frontier lands. Closer to home, Miss Tatiana appeared in my school and I began studying Russian. I became mesmerized by the language and by the sight of golden samovars.

Recently I’ve realized that the true answer to this question is actually deeper. Much deeper.

Ukraine’s unquenchable thirst for freedom and justice inspires me endlessly. Even when the picture there looks hopeless, which it often does, my courageous warrior friend Vitaliy Shabunin reminds me to take the long view. “There are thousands of people like me. We are going to change Ukraine. It’s only a matter of time,” he says. May it be so, Vitaliy, and may it be so soon!

Thank you for your love, your trust, and your support over the last eight years! Все буде Україна!

Melinda Haring is the deputy director of the Atlantic Council’s Eurasia Center. She tweets @melindaharing.

Further reading

The views expressed in UkraineAlert are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Atlantic Council, its staff, or its supporters.

The Eurasia Center’s mission is to enhance transatlantic cooperation in promoting stability, democratic values and prosperity in Eurasia, from Eastern Europe and Turkey in the West to the Caucasus, Russia and Central Asia in the East.

Follow us on social media
and support our work

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Six things you (yes, you!) can do now to help Ukraine https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/ukrainealert/six-things-you-yes-you-can-do-now-to-help-ukraine/ Tue, 11 Oct 2022 19:52:33 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=574700 With the winter season fast approaching and Vladimir Putin launching a campaign against Ukrainian civilian infrastructure, it is more important than ever to maintain support for Ukraine. Melinda Haring has some ideas.

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Unsure about how to best help Ukraine and Ukrainians at this point in the war? Charities abound, and numerous needs can be found with a quick Google search. Family, friends, and neighbors constantly ask me how to help and how to sort the wheat from the chaff.

I have six real and practical suggestions for anyone looking to support Ukraine. First, vote. With less than four weeks remaining until the US mid-term elections, get up to speed on candidates and where they stand on support for Ukraine.

Second, look for new ways to draw in your community. Music and dance are great ways to bring more people in. For example, I live in the Washington, DC area, so I’ve invited my entire neighborhood to attend the October 18 Benefit Concert for Ukraine, organized by the Chopivsky Family Foundation, at the Kennedy Center. Grammy-award winning violinist Joshua Bell takes to the stage alongside the New Era Orchestra of Kyiv to play Beethoven and two lesser-known Ukrainian composers.  

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Third, help Ukraine rebuild now. Private charity can change lives while the US government and others dither with complex reconstruction plans. Russia President Vladimir Putin’s latest missile strikes on civilian infrastructure including schools, parks, playgrounds, and apartment buildings are a constant reminder that nowhere is safe in Ukraine.

Only four weeks ago, Kyiv felt shockingly normal and open for business. To help Ukrainians retain some normalcy during what will inevitably be a difficult winter, consider giving to the Kyiv School of Economics’ campaign to reopen schools. All schools in Ukraine must have a bomb shelter in order to re-open, and many schools cannot afford the expense, so children are forced to take online lessons yet again.

Kyiv School of Economics has set a $1 million target to remedy this situation, and bomb shelters in villages cost as little as $15,000. All donations are tax deductible for US citizens and Kyiv School of Economics will pair would-be donors with schools so that children in the US and in Ukraine can form pen pal relationships.

Fourth, make no mistake about it, the coming winter will be very hard and very cold. Putin’s recent missile strikes hit more than 10 Ukrainian cities, intentionally targeting heating and power facilities, leaving thousands without electricity and internet. “This is going to be a difficult winter for us,” said President Volodymyr Zelenskyy at the Yalta European Strategy conference on September 10.

Ordinary Ukrainians need sleeping bags, thermal underwear, warm socks, generators, and heaters. Americans can send these goods to Help Center Ukraine, an outstanding distribution site run by Ukrainian businessman Andrey Stavnitser and a close friend. I personally have visited his distribution warehouse in Lublin, Poland, and Andrey’s team will ensure that all donations reach needy Ukrainians across the country.  Help Center Ukraine has distribution sites in New Jersey and Lublin, Poland, and will be opening another warehouse in the United Kingdom soon.    

Fifth, Ukrainian families already living in the United States have real physical needs. One family from Kyiv needs a used car. Others need help figuring out how to transfer their degree credentials. Volunteer in your community and if you have space, invite a family into your home. If taking a family in for a spell is too much, invite them to share an upcoming holiday with you.  

Sixth, as the holidays approach, find ways to bring Ukraine into your preexisting traditions. My family and I carol every year, and this year will be no exception. The new twist is that we will sing the Ukrainian song “Shchedryk,” a magical composition that was later adapted into the English Christmas carol, “Carol of the Bells.”  

Russia’s war of choice in Ukraine shows few signs of ending soon, so it is incumbent upon all freedom-loving people to find creative ways to keep support for Ukraine robust as long as it takes. 

Melinda Haring is the deputy director of the Atlantic Council’s Eurasia Center. She tweets @melindaharing. Editor’s note: The Chopivsky Family Foundation is a donor of the Atlantic Council.

Further reading

The views expressed in UkraineAlert are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Atlantic Council, its staff, or its supporters.

The Eurasia Center’s mission is to enhance transatlantic cooperation in promoting stability, democratic values and prosperity in Eurasia, from Eastern Europe and Turkey in the West to the Caucasus, Russia and Central Asia in the East.

Follow us on social media
and support our work

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PACC2030: Quick wins for a US-Caribbean partnership on climate and energy resilience https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/in-depth-research-reports/issue-brief/quick-wins-for-pacc2030/ Tue, 20 Sep 2022 20:30:00 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=567053 PACC2030’s success is crucial for CARICOM countries and the United States, and it needs to deliver in the short term to generate confidence that the United States is committed to a sustainable partnership.

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Countries in the Caribbean Community (CARICOM) are highly vulnerable to the effects of climate change and external shocks, such as Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. The newly announced US-Caribbean Partnership to Address the Climate Crisis 2030 (PACC2030) has the potential to bolster the region’s response to climate change by stimulating locally driven economic growth. PACC2030 represents a renewed US commitment to Caribbean Community (CARICOM) members and is expected to be the central driver of US-Caribbean engagement over the next few years. If successfully implemented, PACC2030 can shape and strengthen US-Caribbean relations for the long term, facilitate US-Caribbean public-private partnerships, and give impetus to regional efforts to advance climate and energy agendas.

PACC 2030’s success is crucial for CARICOM countries and the United States. Apart from the socioeconomic and security threats posed by climate change, natural disasters, and energy insecurity, there are geopolitical considerations. Simply, if the United States cannot support the security and prosperity of its so-called Third Border, CARICOM members in need of short-term solutions to energy challenges and climate financing are likely to look to countries like China, Russia, and Venezuela for assistance. The agreement needs to deliver in the short term to generate confidence that the United States is committed to a sustainable partnership.

This report outlines three quick wins the United States and CARICOM should pursue: finding quick access to financing for CARICOM countries to invest in climate and energy resilience, involving and increasing the role of the US private sector in PACC2030’s implementation, and ensuring that the expertise and technologies brought to the region by the framework are taught, and not just given.

The United States has all the tools and expertise—and now, the will—to support climate and energy resilience in CARICOM countries. But timely implementation is needed over the next few months to show the region that US support and promises are not empty gestures, and instead come with action. This report offers clear next steps towards implementing this ambitious partnership and strengthening US-Caribbean relations in years to come.

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Weaponizing education: Russia targets schoolchildren in occupied Ukraine https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/ukrainealert/weaponizing-education-russia-targets-schoolchildren-in-occupied-ukraine/ Tue, 20 Sep 2022 13:23:06 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=568340 The Kremlin is attempting to impose the russification of Ukrainian schoolchildren in occupied areas as part of Moscow's campaign to extinguish Ukrainian statehood and eradicate all traces of Ukrainian national identity.

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Ukraine began a new academic year on September 1 with the country still engaged in a fight for survival against Russia’s ongoing invasion. For millions of Ukrainian schoolchildren, this meant a return to the classroom with the prospect of lessons being regularly interrupted by air raid sirens. Schools without adequate air raid shelters were unable to open at all.

For those living in Russian-occupied regions of Ukraine, the situation is far worse. Schools under Russian control are being forced to adopt a Kremlin-curated curriculum designed to demonize Ukraine while convincing kids to welcome the takeover of their country and embrace a Russian national identity. Teachers and parents who dare to object face potentially dire consequences.

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Ever since Russia’s full-scale invasion began on February 24, Ukrainian children have been among the primary victims of what is Europe’s largest armed conflict since World War II. Hundreds have been killed, while millions have been displaced by the fighting and forced to flee to unfamiliar surroundings elsewhere in Ukraine or outside the country. Thousands of Ukrainian children are also thought to have been subjected to forced deportation to the Russian Federation.

The Kremlin is now targeting young Ukrainians as part of its campaign to eradicate Ukrainian national identity in areas under Russian control. In an address to mark the start of the new school term on September 1, Russian President Vladimir Putin underlined the importance of indoctrinating Ukrainian schoolchildren.

Putin dedicated part of his speech to Ukraine, lamenting that Ukrainian children aren’t taught that Russia and Ukraine were once both part of the Soviet Union or that Ukraine has no history as an independent state. He also declared that the Donbas region of eastern Ukraine was historically Russian territory that had been wrongly included within Ukraine’s borders by the Bolsheviks. Putin blamed the education system in Ukraine for distorting historical facts and contributing to the creation of anti-Russian sentiment in Ukraine that posed a threat to Russia.

This emphasis on the reeducation of young Ukrainians should come as no surprise. Throughout Putin’s 22-year reign, the Russian school system has grown increasingly politicized as the Kremlin has sought to bring aspects of the national curriculum into line with officially endorsed narratives. Textbooks and teaching materials have been developed to reflect the state’s approved view of Russian history in particular, with children subjected to highly sanitized versions of the Soviet past.

In occupied regions of Ukraine, Russia has embarked on a comprehensive reeducation program that includes specific efforts to challenge the entire notion of a separate and distinct Ukrainian nation. This began during the initial period of occupation with the removal of Ukrainian textbooks and all symbols of Ukrainian statehood from schools. In some cases, Ukrainian history books were demonstratively burned.

The occupation authorities have attempted to pressure Ukrainian teachers into adopting the Russian curriculum. Despite the obvious risks involved, many have refused to cooperate. Russia has sought to overcome objections via both threats and incentives. Those who agree to adopt the new Kremlin-approved teaching guidelines are offered cash payments, while anyone who objects faces dismissal along with possible imprisonment or worse.

Confronted with a shortage of Ukrainian teachers willing to cooperate with Moscow’s russification agenda, the occupation authorities are seeking to import staff from Russia itself. Hundreds of Russian teachers are believed to have agreed to relocate to Ukraine and teach in the occupied regions. Unsurprisingly, the subjects most in demand are Russian history, literature, and language. This influx of Russian teachers has been accompanied by the distribution of new textbooks aligned with Kremlin thinking.

Volunteering to indoctrinate children in occupied Ukraine may not be entirely risk-free for educators who choose to do so. A number of Russian teachers were reportedly detained during Ukraine’s recent successful counteroffensive in the Kharkiv region after having been abandoned by the fleeing Russian military. While details have yet to be confirmed, they may now face criminal charges.

The risks are far higher for Ukrainian parents who refuse to enroll their children in schools offering the Russian curriculum. The occupation authorities have warned parents who protest that they face fines and possible imprisonment. In some cases, Kremlin appointees have threatened to remove parental rights and separate children from their families. With forced deportations and the illegal adoption of Ukrainian children already well-known features of the occupation, these cannot be treated as idle threats.

Russia’s campaign to completely russify the Ukrainian education system is part of a broader drive to extinguish Ukrainian statehood and eradicate Ukrainian national identity in areas under Russia’s control. The apparently voluntary participation of Russian schoolteachers in these efforts raises troubling questions about the role of non-military personnel in possible war crimes. With hundreds of thousands of Ukrainian children currently vulnerable to Kremlin indoctrination, their fate is a powerful argument for the urgent liberation of Russian-occupied Ukraine.

Dr. Oleksandr Pankieiev is a research coordinator and editor-in-chief of the Forum for Ukrainian Studies at the University of Alberta’s Canadian Institute of Ukrainian Studies.

Further reading

The views expressed in UkraineAlert are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Atlantic Council, its staff, or its supporters.

The Eurasia Center’s mission is to enhance transatlantic cooperation in promoting stability, democratic values and prosperity in Eurasia, from Eastern Europe and Turkey in the West to the Caucasus, Russia and Central Asia in the East.

Follow us on social media
and support our work

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Ukraine is winning but needs weapons to end Russia’s genocidal occupation https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/ukrainealert/ukraine-is-winning-but-needs-weapons-to-end-russias-genocidal-occupation/ Tue, 13 Sep 2022 12:19:06 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=565724 Ukraine's recent Kharkiv counteroffensive was a major breakthrough but the country's Western partners must now deliver more weapons in order to achieve a decisive victory and end Russia's genocidal occupation.

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Ukraine’s stunning counteroffensive success in the Kharkiv region has provided conclusive proof that the Ukrainian Armed Forces are more than capable of defeating Russia on the battlefield. Now is the time to end the war by providing Ukraine with everything necessary to consolidate these gains and secure a decisive victory.

Victory requires a coordinated, multifaceted, and long-term approach with economic, diplomatic, humanitarian, and logistical support all needed in order to bolster the Ukrainian transition to NATO-standard weaponry. Above all, this means a full commitment by Ukraine’s partners to increase arms supplies to the country.

The scenes accompanying recent Ukrainian advances have helped bring into focus the genocidal consequences if Russia is not decisively defeated. As Ukrainian troops liberated towns and villages across the Kharkiv region last week, their progress was marked by a steady stream of videos capturing the emotionally charged moments of liberation. This footage is a powerful reminder of the plight facing millions of Ukrainians currently living under Russian occupation.

In one video from Balakliya, elderly women emerged from their apartment building to greet Ukrainian soldiers, their ecstasy evident. “We have prayed for you to come save us for half a year!” one cried while embracing the soldiers. “What good boys!” another repeated. Belying Russian propaganda that Russian-speakers in Ukraine are persecuted, the women embraced the Ukrainian soldiers with affectionate words in the Russian language.

Another video from Balakliya underscored exactly what is at stake in the counteroffensive. In this video, Ukrainian soldiers triumphantly removed a Russian propaganda billboard featuring the slogan “We are with Russia! One people!” This billboard was a blunt example of the genocidal language employed by the Kremlin in its campaign to destroy the Ukrainian national group.

Russia’s “one people” propaganda denies Ukrainians the right to view themselves as a distinctive national group, a category protected under the United Nations Convention on the Prevention and Punishment of Genocide. It is one more piece of evidence demonstrating Moscow’s intent to eradicate Ukrainian national identity through violent, coerced Russification and the killing of those they view as “irredeemably Ukrainian.”

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Ukrainians throughout the country are well aware of Russia’s genocidal intentions. Indeed, Kremlin leaders and propagandists alike make no secret of their desire to wipe Ukraine off the map of Europe completely. Putin himself has dismissed Ukraine as an illegitimate and intolerable “anti-Russia.” Russian television pundits and politicians alike have demonized Ukrainians, saying, “We and Ukraine cannot continue to exist on the same planet. It is impossible to coexist with infernal evil.”

In areas of Ukraine that have fallen under Russian control since the launch of the full-scale invasion in February 2022, the occupation authorities have declared that Russia has come “forever.” All traces of Ukrainian identity have been targeted and suppressed including Ukrainian language road signs, tattoos, and education. Teams of schoolteachers have even been brought in from Russia to indoctrinate Ukrainians.

As the whole world saw following the early April liberation of Kyiv region towns such as Bucha and Irpin, Russian troops have engaged in the systematic mass murder of Ukrainian civilians. Hundreds of thousands of Ukrainians including large numbers of children have also been subjected to forced deportation to the Russian Federation.

The horrors of Russian occupation have shaped Ukrainian attitudes toward the war. Unsurprisingly, polls consistently show that most Ukrainians reject any talk of surrendering their land (and fellow citizens) in any agreement and understand that they will never be safe until Russia is defeated.

Many Ukrainians are also guided by their historical experience of previous genocidal campaigns waged by the Kremlin. Throughout the past eight years of Ukraine’s armed conflict with Russia, Ukrainians have repeatedly referenced the 1932-33 Holodomor famine to underscore that “Russia past and present is threatened by an independent, prosperous, and democratic Ukraine.”

While Ukrainians view their current fight against Russian imperialism as part of a centuries-long struggle, one critical distinction separates today’s brutal war from earlier atrocities. Whereas the international community largely ignored the 1930s Soviet genocide, Ukraine now enjoys overwhelming backing from the democratic world. This could well prove decisive.

History indicates that genocidal campaigns typically end either in the total victory of the perpetrators or the victims, with external support often playing a decisive role. Efforts to find “middle ground” or promote negotiated settlements in such situations do not last or protect victims.

Increased international military aid is now crucial. This aid should include more advanced weapons systems that will allow the Ukrainian military to build on recent battlefield successes and secure ultimate victory. It is equally important to enhance Ukraine’s air defense capabilities in order to protect the country’s civilian population from Russian retribution as Putin’s army is forced to retreat.

The achievements of Ukraine’s counteroffensive should be sufficient to silence the skeptics who continue to question the value of arming the country. Likewise, the accompanying scenes of liberation should be enough to convince advocates of appeasement that condemning Ukrainians to Russian occupation is morally repugnant. Now is the moment for the international community to consolidate its support for Ukraine and deal a decisive military blow to Russia’s genocidal invasion.

Kristina Hook is Assistant Professor of Conflict Management at Kennesaw State University’s School of Conflict Management, Peacebuilding, and Development and a former US Fulbright scholar to Ukraine.

Further reading

The views expressed in UkraineAlert are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Atlantic Council, its staff, or its supporters.

The Eurasia Center’s mission is to enhance transatlantic cooperation in promoting stability, democratic values and prosperity in Eurasia, from Eastern Europe and Turkey in the West to the Caucasus, Russia and Central Asia in the East.

Follow us on social media
and support our work

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Russian War Report: Ukraine intensifies offensive attacks in Kharkiv Oblast https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-atlanticist/russian-war-report-ukraine-intensifies-offensive-attacks-in-kharkiv-oblast/ Fri, 09 Sep 2022 15:01:48 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=564555 Over the last week, Ukraine has launched several counter offensives in occupied southern and eastern Ukraine, recapturing Balakliia.

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As Russia continues its assault on Ukraine, the Atlantic Council’s Digital Forensic Research Lab (DFRLab) is keeping a close eye on Russia’s movements across the military, cyber, and information domains. With more than seven years of experience monitoring the situation in Ukraine—as well as Russia’s use of propaganda and disinformation to undermine the United States, NATO, and the European Union—the DFRLab’s global team presents the latest installment of the Russian War Report. 

Security

Ukraine intensifies offensive attacks in Kharkiv Oblast, recapturing Balakliia

Tracking narratives

Kremlin-controlled media blame NATO for private jet crash

New Russian commercial threatens Europe with energy supply shutdown

Documenting Dissent

Pushback against compulsory ‘patriotism’ lessons in Russian schools

Ukraine intensifies offensive attacks in Kharkiv Oblast, recapturing Balakliia

The situation on the front line in Ukraine is rapidly changing as the attacks intensify and the fighting becomes increasingly fierce. On September 6, the Ukrainian army launched several counteroffensives against Russian positions in the occupied areas of southern and eastern Ukraine. Russian forces are preparing to defend their positions in Izyum, while the Ukrainian army is regaining control of settlements in the Kharkiv region. Newly released footage documented several prisoners of war who had been reportedly captured during Ukraine’s counterattacks. Meanwhile, there are signs that entire Russian units were wiped out during the fight for control of Balakliia in the Kharkiv region. On September 7, the Ukrainian army announced that it had recaptured Balakliia. The DFRLab expects that Russian reinforcements will not arrive as quickly as Moscow had initially planned, given the circumstances on the ground and the fact that Ukraine has destroyed many logistical hubs in recent weeks. In addition, explosions were reported in Berdyansk and Mariupol, with Ukrainian forces most likely using artillery and drones to attack critical Russian infrastructure. 

Ukrainian forces are also using drones to launch offensive attacks in their attempt to recapture Kherson; a video released on September 3 showed Bayraktar TB2 drones striking Russian equipment along the entire front. Also on September 3, images appeared online indicating that a bridge at the Kakhovka hydroelectric power station in Kherson Oblast had partially collapsed due to intense missile strikes from Ukrainian forces, further hindering Russian troops in their logistical efforts. In the meantime, Russian forces are building more pontoon bridges to help improve transport links across Kherson Oblast. 

https://twitter.com/WarMonitor3/status/1566151801275125760?s=20&t=jTvSdu0DkeM6J2xiGJxOyQ

Elsewhere, the city of Kupiansk in Kharkiv Oblast has become one of the epicenters of clashes between Russian and Ukrainian units, experiencing heavy shelling. It seems likely that Ukraine is attempting to add pressure from south of the Izyum axis, which has become a critical bastion for the Russian army since the invasion began. Kupiansk is crucial to both Russia and Ukraine as it is a major railway junction for the northeast frontline. The situation in Kharkiv Oblast remains fraught, but Russian forces are losing important equipment, such as the Strela-10 short-range SAM system that appears to have been captured by Ukraine.

Meanwhile, the Wagner Group confirmed that its fighters took part in the capture of the village of Kodema in Donetsk Oblast. Battles for the settlement have been ongoing since mid-summer. Taking control of Kodema would open the possibility of a Russian offensive launched from Zaitseve, in the south, to reach the city of Bakhmut, making it possible to storm the city from several directions. 

As the DFRLab has previously reported, the Wagner Group generally does not promote its involvement in the Ukraine war. However, our research suggests that Wagner Group members are most likely directly under the command of the Russian military hierarchy. In Ukraine, the unit’s direct ties to Spetsnaz special operations forces and Russian military intelligence are visible. For example, with the support of Wagner and Spetsnaz units, the Russian army managed to stop an attempted attack on the strategic village of Pisky, also in Donetsk Oblast. 

On September 8, Russian sources claimed military developments in the direction of Avdiivka, mentioning an “assault operation” in the Pisky area. The operation was carried out by the far-right Sparta and Somalia Battalions, the 11th Regiment, reservists, and units of the separatist Donetsk People’s Militia. This indicates that these irregular units, with links to Spetsnaz and composed of veterans and battle-hardened fighters who have been in the Donbas since 2014, are likely to play an extended role in the fighting in Donetsk as Russia experiences morale issues with its regular fighting forces. The Russian command will also likely continue to face problems such as the rising distrust among Luhansk separatist fighters who have not been paid regularly. 

On September 3, the head of the UN nuclear watchdog said that after sustained shelling in the area, the Russian-controlled Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant in Ukraine was disconnected from its last external power line, but was still able to run electricity through a reserve line. International Atomic Energy Agency Director General Rafael Grossi said in a statement that the agency’s experts, who remained in Zaporizhzhia after arriving for an inspection last Thursday, were told by senior Ukrainian staff that the fourth and final operational line was down. IAEA experts also learned that the reserve line linking the facility to a nearby thermal power plant was delivering the electricity generated by the plant to the external grid, according to a statement. It added that the same reserve line could provide backup power to the plant if needed. Russian-backed authorities earlier said the plant had been knocked offline. 

Russian forces continue to use the plant as a shield against possible Ukrainian attacks against Russian positions in Zaporizhzhia and Enerhodar. The Insider obtained video of multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS) shelling the area near the Zaporizhzhia plant on September 3. Preliminary geolocation indicates the shelling is coming from Russia-controlled territory near the power station. A few days later, Russia attempted to deny the IAEA report about Zaporizhzhia. Russian President Vladimir Putin claimed that there is no military equipment on the grounds of the plant, other than Rosgvardia elements. Rosgvardiya is the national guard of Russia and fulfills different roles in the context of Ukraine, serving as  both occupation forces and military reinforcements. 

Ruslan Trad, Resident Fellow for Security Research, Sofia, Bulgaria 

Kremlin-controlled media blame NATO for private jet crash

Pro-Kremlin media outlets accused NATO of taking down a Cessna 551 private jet near Latvia. The private jet was expected to fly from Spain to Germany on September 4 but lost contact with air traffic controllers shortly after takeoff. After the plane went dark, fighter jets from Germany, Denmark, and Sweden intercepted the jet to make visual contact with the plane, but were unsuccessful in locating the crew. The plane later crashed in the Baltic Sea near Latvia. The jet was owned by private jet chartering company Quick Air

Pro-Kremlin media were quick to suggest that NATO was behind the crash. Pravda.ru cited three possible reasons for the crash in a headline that read, “Cessna 551 crash: depressurization, NATO missile or crew poisoning.” Similarly, Tsargrad, the media outlet associated with Alexander Dugin, published an article with the headline, “Did NATO forces open fire? Plane crashed off the coast of Latvia.” 

Examples of pro-Kremlin media outlets suggesting NATO shot down the private jet. The pink lines highlight the parts of the headline that blame NATO. (Source: Pravda.ru/archive, left; Tsargrad/archive, right)

Other Kremlin-controlled media outlets, like Gazeta.ru, RBK, Rambler, and NTV, did not directly blame NATO for the plane crash but implied involvement by focusing on the fact that fighter jets belonging to NATO member states intercepted the plane. For example, Gazeta.ru wrote, “NATO fighters were lifted into the air. Following this, the aircraft began to lose speed and altitude. It was found off the coast of Latvia.” 

Outlets such as RBK, Rambler, and NTV referenced a Reuters report that cited a Lithuanian Air Force spokesperson who confirmed “that fighter aircraft from the NATO Baltic Air Police mission in Amari airfield in Estonia had taken off to follow the plane.” RBK also cited Reuters when reporting, “NATO fighters based in Estonia were raised to intercept it.” Similarly, Rambler reported that “a private plane Cessna 551 crashed northwest of the city of Ventspils in Latvia; NATO fighters were raised to intercept the aircraft.”

Nika Aleksejeva, Lead Researcher, Riga, Latvia

New Russian commercial threatens Europe with energy supply shutdown

In a newly released commercial, Russia appeared to threaten to cut Europe off from access to all Russian energy supplies this winter. The ad, which has gone viral on social media, includes a song with the lyrics, “Winter will be big, only twilight and snow.” 

In the commercial, a man wearing the uniform of Gazprom, the Russian national gas company, seemingly shuts off a gas supply, and a pressure gauge is seen falling to zero. The footage also includes scenes showing the Nord Stream 2 pipeline. The next scenes show EU flags and European capitals covered in snow. The video also includes footage of windmills and solar panels, which may be an attempt to communicate that Europe will not be able to heat their cities in the winter using green energy. 

Gazprom denied being involved in the creation of the commercial but commented that “the video is great.” 

The commercial has surfaced on YouTube, VK, pro-Russian outlets, and pro-Kremlin Telegram channels.

Eto Buziashvili, Research Associate, Washington DC

Pushback against compulsory ‘patriotism’ lessons in Russian schools

On September 5, Russia launched compulsory patriotism lessons referred to as Razgovory o Vazhnom (“Conversations about the Important”) in schools across the country. The Telegram channel Mozhem Obyasnity (“We Can Explain”) reported that some parents kept their children at home to boycott the lesson. On September 3, Telegram channel Utro Fevralya (“February Morning”) reported that a mother in Yekaterinburg wrote a letter to her son’s teacher stating that she is “categorically against” the new program. “I’ve seen the lesson plans,” she continued. “I think there is no place for propaganda in school.” The teacher responded that the school administration had ruled that the son did not need to attend the class. Similarly, on September 6, Utro Fevralya reported that a father in rural Novokievskii Uval who demanded that his child be excused from the lesson was told by the school administration, “If the child does not like it, he may not listen, but he is obliged to attend.” 

On August 30, the Russian Teachers’ Union and women’s rights organization Myagkaya Sila published an open letter condemning the new lesson and calling on parents to boycott the program by demanding their children not be taught propaganda. The letter cited a federal education law permitting students to choose their extracurricular courses; while the class is mandatory, it is technically extracurricular programming. 

On September 5, the Mozhem Obyasnity Telegram channel reported that all course materials had been removed from their official website. On September 7, the materials reappeared, but mentions of Russia’s “special military operation” had been removed. 

The “patriotic” extracurricular lessons are scheduled for Monday mornings for students in grades one to eleven. The official website for the program includes lesson plans through November 28, 2022.

Nika Aleksejeva, Lead Researcher, Riga, Latvia

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Russia’s self-defeating invasion: Why Vladimir Putin has lost Ukraine forever https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/ukrainealert/russias-self-defeating-invasion-why-vladimir-putin-has-lost-ukraine-forever/ Fri, 02 Sep 2022 19:06:31 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=562310 The Russian invasion of Ukraine aimed to extinguish Ukrainian statehood and return the country to the Kremlin orbit. Instead, the war unleashed by Putin has sparked an unprecedented wave of de-Russification.

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Russia’s genocidal invasion of Ukraine was meant to extinguish Ukrainian statehood and eradicate Ukrainian identity. Instead, it is turbocharging the de-Russification of the country. In the six months since the invasion began, Ukrainian support for de-Russification has become a truly nationwide phenomenon, reaching record highs far in excess of the significantly more modest public backing for de-Communization policies following the country’s 2014 Euromaidan Revolution. This wartime trend is rapidly reversing centuries of Russification and directly undermining Vladimir Putin’s dreams of a new Russian Empire.

Putin’s criminal war is having a truly historic impact on Ukrainian society and bringing Ukrainians together in a quite literal sense. The invasion has forced millions of Ukrainians to flee to the west of the country, where they have either sought refuge or traveled further into the EU. This has led to unprecedented intermingling between Ukrainians from different regions of the country, which is fueling feelings of solidarity and national integration. Recent opinion polls consistently indicate converging opinions on national identity, language, relations with Russia, and future geopolitical objectives among Ukrainians from all regions of the country. One of the national issues Ukrainians are now most united on is the need for de-Russification.

A further factor driving national integration is the mobilization of hundreds of thousands of Ukrainians to serve in the country’s military, with many deploying to frontline regions in the east and the south. Likewise, Ukraine’s large volunteer force is based throughout the country, bringing a wide variety of people from different professional and regional backgrounds into contact with each other for the first time.

The invasion is also speeding up Ukraine’s linguistic de-Russification, with the Russian language now increasingly associated with military aggression. The number of Ukrainians who support Ukrainian as the country’s official state language has risen to 86%. Just 2% of Ukrainians believe Moscow’s claims of a “genocide” against the country’s Russian speakers, but the deliberate weaponization of the Russian language by Vladimir Putin has led many Ukrainians to view the language less favorably.

At the same time, Russian remains widely used in everyday life throughout Ukraine. Language change is a slow process with Russian-speakers typically becoming bilingual before fully adopting Ukrainian. Recent data indicates that 85% use both Ukrainian and Russian at home while just 13% of the Ukrainian population uses only Russian.

Ethnic re-identification appears to be proceeding at a faster pace with 92% of Ukrainian citizens now declaring themselves ethnic Ukrainian in one recent survey. This figure would make Ukraine the third most homogeneous country in Europe after Portugal and Poland. Meanwhile, only 5% of today’s Ukrainian population identified as ethnic Russians in the same survey, representing a striking decline from 22% in the 1989 Soviet census and 17% in the 2001 Ukrainian census.

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Ukraine’s relationship with the past is undergoing radical change in response to Russia’s invasion, leading to a widening of the memory divide separating the two neighboring countries. Only 11% of Ukrainians now express nostalgia for the USSR compared to approximately two-thirds of Russians. Likewise, 84% of Ukrainians hold a negative view of Stalin while most Russians have a positive attitude toward the Soviet dictator.

Meanwhile, Ukrainian attitudes toward the country’s twentieth century liberation movement have experienced a major shift. During the early decades of Ukrainian independence, public opinion was often deeply divided on the issue of Ukrainian nationalist groups. This began to change following the 2014 Euromaidan Revolution, when 41% expressed positive views of the OUN (Organization of Ukrainian Nationalists) and UPA (Ukrainian Insurgent Army). Since the February 2022 invasion, this figure has rocketed to 81%.

Ukrainians are now less inclined to differentiate between the Kremlin and ordinary Russians. Following the invasion of Crimea and eastern Ukraine in 2014, a majority of Ukrainians blamed Russia’s leadership. However, they now overwhelmingly hold both the Kremlin and the Russian people responsible for the current invasion. As a consequence, the number of Ukrainians who express positive views of Russians has plummeted from 47% in 2018 to just 3% today.

This collapse in positive attitudes toward ordinary Russians is not difficult to explain. Everything from polling data to anecdotal evidence demonstrates overwhelming Russian public support for the invasion of Ukraine. Millions of Ukrainians with relatives in Russia have personal experience of their family members either applauding the war or accusing them of lying about the horrors of the invasion.

It is also striking that the vast majority of civilian victims during the first six months of the invasion have been the same Russian-speaking Ukrainians in the south and east of the country who Putin claims to be protecting. Tens of thousands were murdered in Mariupol alone, while dozens of other towns and villages have been similarly reduced to ruins in regions of Ukraine that the Kremlin cynically trumpets as “historical Russian lands.”

Given the scale of the carnage, it is hardly surprising that 89% of Ukrainians believe the Kremlin is committing genocide in Ukraine. Almost nine in ten Ukrainians think Russia is seeking the destruction of the Ukrainian state and Ukrainian national identity, while half regard Russia as a fascist regime.

This sense that Ukraine is facing an existential challenge is fueling de-Russification and is also driving Ukrainians to reject any talk of a compromise peace. There is a strong sense throughout the country that without a decisive victory, Ukraine will never be secure. Around half of Ukrainians believe there can never be reconciliation with Russia and another third think it may only become possible in two to three decades. In other words, 78% of Ukrainians rule out any normalization of relations with Russia for at least a generation.

De-Russification at the official level has seen openly pro-Kremlin political parties banned and pro-Kremlin media shuttered. The Russian Orthodox Church (ROC) in Ukraine is on life support with only 4% of Ukrainians now professing membership. This is compared to 54% who identify as members of the Orthodox Church of Ukraine. With the Ukrainian government recently imposing sanctions on ROC head Patriarch Kirill and seven leading members of the ROC clergy for their role in the invasion, the ROC has an uncertain future in Ukraine.

Ukraine’s school curriculum is undergoing wartime de-Russification, with Ukrainian schoolchildren no longer studying Russian language and literature. The cultural de-Russification process also includes the removal of monuments to Russian literary figures such as Pushkin and Dostoyevsky, along with changes to thousands of street and place names across the country.

Monuments to Russian-Ukrainian friendship along with Russian and Soviet history are being rebranded or pulled down. In Kyiv, a prominent monument to Russian-Ukrainian friendship has been renamed while the city’s iconic motherland monument will have its Soviet crest replaced by a Ukrainian tryzub (trident). In Odesa, debate is raging about whether to remove the monument to Russian Empress Catherine the Great.

Irrespective of how long the war will last, it already seems clear that the end product will be a de-Russified and Europeanized Ukraine. This is exactly what Vladimir Putin hoped to prevent. The Russian dictator’s genocidal invasion is both a crime and a blunder on a scale unparalleled in modern European history.

Taras Kuzio is a Professor of Political Science at the National University of Kyiv Mohyla Academy.

Further reading

The views expressed in UkraineAlert are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Atlantic Council, its staff, or its supporters.

The Eurasia Center’s mission is to enhance transatlantic cooperation in promoting stability, democratic values and prosperity in Eurasia, from Eastern Europe and Turkey in the West to the Caucasus, Russia and Central Asia in the East.

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Russia must be held accountable for committing genocide in Ukraine https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/ukrainealert/russia-must-be-held-accountable-for-committing-genocide-in-ukraine/ Wed, 31 Aug 2022 16:42:53 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=561372 Efforts to hold Russia accountable for genocide in Ukraine will involve war crimes trials but must also focus on the broader challenge of addressing Russia's historical sense of impunity, writes Danielle Johnson

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Many observers believe the current war in Ukraine could have been avoided if Russia had earlier confronted its troubling past. There is no way to know for sure if this is true, but it remains a fact that nobody has ever been held accountable for the Soviet regime’s countless atrocities. It is equally true that Ukrainians were among the chief victims. Millions of Ukrainians perished in the genocidal man-made famine known as the Holodomor, which was engineered by the Kremlin in the 1930s.

Putin came to power in this culture of impunity and has used it to his advantage. Over the past two decades, he has rehabilitated the Soviet past and revived the glorification of Russia’s imperial identity, making it possible to challenge Ukraine’s very right to exist. For this reason, it is imperative that Putin and other key members of his regime now face a long overdue reckoning. But is such an outcome even possible?

The most obvious route to a reckoning is via international justice. Given the massive scale of the crimes being committed by Russian forces in Ukraine, it is unclear what would be the best forum for prosecutions. Investigators from the International Criminal Court (ICC) are already investigating war crimes in Ukraine, while the UN Human Rights Council has established an Independent Commission of Inquiry. Meanwhile, the Ukrainians themselves have begun putting individual Russian soldiers on trial. These efforts will probably result in war crimes prosecutions but it may be many years before key verdicts are delivered. It is also extremely unlikely that Putin himself will ever end up in the dock.

With these uncertainties in mind, we need to ask what true accountability would look like. Holding criminals accountable is meant to deter them and others from future crimes, foster reconciliation between perpetrators and victims, and promote sustainable peace. As Putin’s crimes are rooted in an historic failure to impose accountability, any legal punishments for the invasion of Ukraine would only go so far in accomplishing these goals. Prosecuting war criminals must go hand in hand with efforts to challenge the historical narrative that drove the invasion in the first place. This means confronting Russia’s imperial identity and addressing the toxic notion that Ukrainians have no right to exist as an independent nation.

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If Russia is to be held accountable, the international community must do everything possible to ensure a Ukrainian military victory and the liberation of all occupied Ukrainian land. Following Russia’s defeat on the battlefield, Ukraine will need to receive credible security guarantees offering protection equivalent to NATO membership. Likewise, Western leaders should commit to making Russia pay reparations. Above all, the war must end on Ukraine’s terms. Any attempts to push Ukraine into accepting a compromise peace would be an affront to the country’s immense sacrifices and would also fly in the face of the need for accountability. It is vital that Russia publicly recognize its guilt and acknowledge the sanctity of Ukrainian sovereignty.

One way to achieve greater accountability is by empowering Ukrainians. The international community must work to support Ukrainian society in its efforts to hold Russia accountable. This support should include everything from technical assistance to helping local civil society systematically gather evidence and document atrocities. Ukraine has a functioning legal system but it does not have nearly enough capacity to cope with the volume of war crimes committed by Russian forces over the past six months. International assistance can make a big difference.

Ukraine’s international partners should also assist in the long quest to identify all the victims of Russia’s genocide. For the average Ukrainian, anger at Putin may be something of an abstraction. Indeed, while he is the individual most directly responsible for the invasion, he is neither the soldier who pulled the trigger nor the one who launched the bombs that destroyed civilian homes, hospitals, and schools. Like genocidaires throughout history, Putin’s intent is to destroy Ukrainian culture, language, and national identity, but he does not act alone. Recognizing each and every victim is an important step towards meaningful accountability for the crimes committed against the Ukrainian nation.

We need to consider how to target Putin’s false historical narratives at their very roots. One way to do this is to recognize, as Yale historian Timothy Snyder has said, that we need more history and less memory. While it is an open question to what extent Russians themselves bear collective responsibility for Putin’s invasion, polls indicate that a clear majority of Russians do support the war. While exact figures remain elusive, many Russians have evidently bought into Putin’s views of history. With Russia becoming an increasingly closed and authoritarian country, where does that leave those of us who want to see accountability from the inside out?

Here, we need to think beyond the immediate term. “Canceling” Russian culture is not necessarily the answer, but amplifying Ukrainians and their culture absolutely is. Getting their stories to Russians is critical, whether through technologies like VPNs or by supporting the Russian investigative journalists who have fled the country but are continuing their courageous work while based outside Russia.

Here in the West, we can work to advance public awareness, both of today’s Russian genocide and of historic Soviet crimes. This means making sure we document them in history books, teach them in schools, memorialize the victims in public places, and even recognize our own complicity in ignoring past events like the Soviet-era Holodomor famine in Ukraine.

Putin and his regime must face legal punishment for the genocidal invasion of Ukraine. But in order to achieve meaningful accountability, we must also address the unrepentant imperialism that makes it possible for Russians to dehumanize Ukrainians and destroy entire Ukrainian cities. This will require a long-term approach to historical justice that goes beyond the courtroom and seeks to strengthen every aspect of Ukrainian statehood while fundamentally challenging the way Russians view their own past.

Danielle Johnson holds a PhD in Politics from Oxford University and specializes in Russian and Ukrainian affairs.

Further reading

The views expressed in UkraineAlert are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Atlantic Council, its staff, or its supporters.

The Eurasia Center’s mission is to enhance transatlantic cooperation in promoting stability, democratic values and prosperity in Eurasia, from Eastern Europe and Turkey in the West to the Caucasus, Russia and Central Asia in the East.

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Decolonizing Crimean history https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/ukrainealert/decolonizing-crimean-history/ Tue, 30 Aug 2022 17:16:39 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=561001 A new online educational initiative is aiming to decolonize Crimean history and challenge the problematic international tendency to view the lands of the former Soviet Union through a Russian prism.

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Russia’s war against Ukraine did not begin with the invasion of February 24. Instead, the conflict started almost exactly eight years earlier in February 2014 with the seizure of Ukraine’s Crimean peninsula. The Russian occupation of Crimea was a watershed moment in modern European history. It was the first time since WWII that one European country had invaded and attempted to annex the territory of another.

Russian President Vladimir Putin’s bid to redraw Europe’s borders by force was accompanied by one of the most sophisticated information offensives ever launched. As the Ukrainian Armed Forces fight to end the occupation of Crimea, it is also vitally important to debunk the disinformation promoted by the Kremlin to justify the 2014 takeover of the Ukrainian peninsula.

A recently launched English-language online course aims to educate international audiences about Crimean history. Developed by the Ukrainian Institute and EdEra online education studio with the support of the International Renaissance Foundation, the “Crimea: History and People” initiative explores the history and culture of the Crimean Tatars while telling the story of Crimea from the perspective of the peninsula’s indigenous people. This approach aims to decolonize the history of Crimea and counter the many imperial Russian narratives that continue to dominate international perceptions.

This initiative is arguably long overdue. Ever since the Russian invasion in early 2014, Moscow’s false claim that Crimea is “historically Russian land” has remained largely unchallenged in the international arena. In reality, Russia did not appear until relatively late in Crimea’s more than two thousand years of recorded history, with the Russian Empire annexing the peninsula in the final years of eighteenth century. Prior to this, Crimea had been home to the Crimean Khanate for over three hundred years, a far longer span than the subsequent period spent under Russian rule. This is largely overlooked in Russian histories and is rarely referenced in international coverage of Crimea. Instead, the peninsula is misleadingly portrayed as part of Russia’s ancient heritage. This helps legitimize Moscow’s wholly illegitimate claims to Crimea.

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Since Ukraine became independent in 1991, the process of decolonizing the country’s past has been slowly gathering pace. A more nuanced study of the entire post-Soviet region that goes beyond traditional Russia-centric approaches is essential for anyone seeking to make sense of contemporary Ukraine or looking to understand the origins of the invasion launched by the Kremlin in February 2022. This is perhaps nowhere truer than on the issue of Crimea.

For decades following the Soviet collapse, many international observers spoke favorably of the “civilized” divorce between Russia and Ukraine. They often identified Crimea in particular as a success story, noting the absence of violent conflict and praising the compromises that made it possible to manage the return of the Crimean Tatars from Soviet exile along with the division of the Black Sea Fleet.

The true picture of Crimea in the 1990s is not quite so rosy. While open conflict was indeed avoided, the volatile political debates that raged over the future of the peninsula highlighted the continued strength of imperial sentiment in the supposedly democratic and pro-Western Russia of the Boris Yeltsin era. Russian politicians agitated against Ukraine over the issue of Crimea throughout the 1990s and were often accused of fueling separatist movements on the peninsula. As Paul D’Anieri noted in his 2019 book Ukraine and Russia: From Civilized Divorce to Uncivil War, “Even many Russian liberals who accepted Ukraine’s independence believed that Crimea, Sevastopol, and the Black Sea Fleet were Russian.”

Simmering imperial anger in Russia over the loss of Crimea was a warning sign of potential conflict that went unheeded and ultimately led to today’s war. It is now painfully apparent that Russian society as a whole has never fully accepted the loss of Ukraine and still clings to obsolete notions of the country’s place within Russian imperial identity. Failure to move beyond the imperial past in the 1990s has turned modern Russia into a backward-looking country that is driven by a revisionist desire to reassert its authority over former colonies rather than building pragmatic neighborly relations.

The Western world must share some of the blame for this tragic reality. During the 1990s, many Western politicians and academics continued to view the post-Soviet world through a Russian prism while embracing Kremlin-friendly historical narratives shaped by centuries of Czarist imperialism. This helped to justify Russia’s continued regional dominance while reducing the newly independent peoples of the former USSR to the status of footnotes in their own national stories. It is now time to challenge such outdated thinking and decolonize perceptions of the entire post-Soviet region.

For far too long, academic courses at Western universities focusing on Eastern European studies have placed disproportionate emphasis on understanding Russia. In the years to come, this needs to change. Instead, Western academics must dedicate far more time to understanding Ukraine. Learning about the complex history of Crimea from a non-Russian perspective is an important step in the right direction.

Dr. Oleksandra Gaidai is Head of Academic Programmes at the Ukrainian Institute.

Further reading

The views expressed in UkraineAlert are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Atlantic Council, its staff, or its supporters.

The Eurasia Center’s mission is to enhance transatlantic cooperation in promoting stability, democratic values and prosperity in Eurasia, from Eastern Europe and Turkey in the West to the Caucasus, Russia and Central Asia in the East.

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Putin’s Ukraine genocide is rooted in Russian impunity for Soviet crimes https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/ukrainealert/putins-ukraine-genocide-is-rooted-in-russian-impunity-for-soviet-crimes/ Wed, 17 Aug 2022 00:19:14 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=556786 Failure to hold anyone accountable for the crimes of the Soviet era has fostered a climate of impunity in modern Russia that has paved the way for the genocidal invasion of Ukraine, writes Alexander Khara.

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In summer 1941, as the outside world first began to learn of the mass murders accompanying the Nazi invasion of the Soviet Union, British Prime Minister Winston Churchill memorably declared, “We are in the presence of a crime without a name.”

This is no longer the case. In 1948, the United Nations adopted the Genocide Convention based in large part on the visionary efforts of Raphael Lemkin, a lawyer who studied in Lviv and went on to coin the term “genocide.” Lemkin was driven by the idea that crimes committed on the national scale must not go unpunished. He warned that impunity would be seen as an invitation for further atrocities. Unless crimes against humanity were punished, they would be repeated.  

When seeking to define genocide, Lemkin highlighted the crimes committed by the Soviet regime in Ukraine. He saw the Kremlin’s systematic efforts to destroy the Ukrainian nation as a “classic example of Soviet genocide.” The central event of the Soviet Union’s genocidal campaign in Ukraine was the murder of over four million Ukrainians through artificial famine in the early 1930s.

The Soviet authorities experienced almost no negative consequences as a result of this unparalleled slaughter. Indeed, just months after the peak of the famine, the United States granted the USSR official recognition. The outside world simply refused to listen to the handful of courageous voices such as British journalist Gareth Jones who attempted to shed light on the apocalyptic reality of the famine.

Instead of being celebrated for his revelations, Jones was shamefully attacked by his fellow international correspondents. The loudest voice was that of Walter Duranty, the Moscow bureau chief of the New York Times. It says much about how little has been learned that this disgraced genocide accomplice still holds a Pulitzer Prize despite calls for him to be posthumously stripped of the award.

Since regaining independence in 1991, Ukrainians have thrown off the shackles of Soviet censorship and chronicled the full extent of the Holodomor (“Death by Hunger”), as the famine is known in Ukraine. During the post-Soviet era, growing awareness of the Holodomor has been instrumental in bringing about a broader re-evaluation of the country’s totalitarian past.

The same cannot be said for modern Russia. Far from acknowledging the famine as an act of genocide, Moscow continues to downplay or deny Soviet crimes against humanity. Meanwhile, Russian President Vladimir Putin has sought to rehabilitate the entire Soviet era and has built modern Russian national identity around a cult-like veneration of the USSR’s role in the defeat of Nazi Germany. Attempts to condemn the mass murders of the Soviet regime are now routinely dismissed as unpatriotic and anti-Russian, while Stalin himself is once again openly celebrated as a great leader.

Given the complete failure to hold Russia accountable for the crimes of the past, it is hardly surprising that these crimes are now being repeated. As Lemkin feared, impunity has set the stage for a new era of atrocities.

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The ideological foundations for today’s genocide were first laid in the wake of Ukraine’s 2004 Orange Revolution. This Ukrainian pro-democracy uprising was a watershed moment for the entire post-Soviet region. It was viewed with horror by many in Moscow, who saw it as the next stage in a Russian imperial retreat that began with the fall of the Berlin Wall in 1989.

Putin’s response was to enter into increasingly open confrontation with the West while seeking to reassert Russian authority throughout the post-Soviet region. In the years following the Orange Revolution, the Kremlin developed the concept of the “Russkiy Mir” (“Russian World”), meaning a community of people beyond the borders of modern Russia bound by common ties of language, culture and religion who owe their allegiance to Moscow.  

As the concept of the Russian World evolved, state officials and regime proxies in Moscow began to directly question the legitimacy of the Soviet collapse and challenge the verdict of 1991. It became increasingly common to hear prominent figures publicly deny the sovereignty and national identity of former Soviet republics or reject the entire notion of an independent Ukraine.

This unashamedly imperial agenda was actively promoted for over a decade throughout the Russian information space via everything from blockbuster movies and TV documentaries to opinion pieces and public holidays. Kremlin troll factories seeded social media with revisionist historical narratives justifying Russian expansionism, while an endless parade of Kremlin-curated political talk shows primed the Russian public for the coming genocide.

A major landmark in these efforts came in summer 2021 with the publication of Putin’s personal essay “On the Historical Unity of Russians and Ukrainians.” This historically illiterate 5000-word treatise was widely interpreted as a declaration of war against Ukrainian statehood. The Russian dictator used the article to reiterate his frequently voiced conviction that Russians and Ukrainians are “one people” while also claiming that much of modern-day Ukraine occupies historically Russian lands. He concluded with a thinly veiled threat, declaring, “I am confident that true sovereignty of Ukraine is possible only in partnership with Russia.”

Despite these very public preparations for genocide, few observers were prepared for the atrocities that would come in the wake of Russia’s February 2022 invasion. In the weeks leading up to the invasion, reports emerged of detailed Russian plans for mass detentions, concentration camps, and priority kill lists. These warnings were widely dismissed as inconceivable but were to prove all too accurate. 

The scale of Russia’s crimes over the past six months remains difficult to comprehend. Entire cities have been reduced to rubble. Thousands have been executed. Millions have been forcibly deported to Russia. The core infrastructure of the Ukrainian state has been methodically targeted for destruction, along with the country’s cultural heritage. In areas under Russian occupation, all national symbols and traces of Ukrainian identity are being eradicated. The entire world is witnessing a textbook example of genocide unfolding in real time on smartphone screens and social media threads. 

A sense of shock over the magnitude of Russian atrocities is understandable. However, it is also important to note that recognizable elements of the current genocide have already been underway for an extended period in regions of Ukraine occupied by Russia since 2014. Over the past eight years, Crimea and eastern Ukraine’s Donbas region have become human rights black holes marked by the suppression of Ukrainian identity, language, and history along with the physical displacement of Ukrainians and arrival of Russian citizens. Once again, impunity has invited escalation. 

The world is slowly waking up to Russian genocide in Ukraine. Parliaments in countries including Canada, the Czech Republic, Estonia, Ireland, Latvia, Lithuania, and Poland have all recognized the Russian invasion as an act of genocide. Others are expected to follow suit. At the same time, there is still considerable international reluctance to confront Putin’s Russia. Advocates of appeasement point to Moscow’s nuclear arsenal and highlight the need to maintain a dialogue with the Kremlin in order to address a range of global issues. Russia is simply too big and too important to isolate, they argue.

This emphasis on compromise over confrontation risks further eroding international security. If Moscow is able to evade justice for committing genocide in Ukraine, other authoritarian regimes will surely see this as a green light. China in particular is closely monitoring the democratic world’s response to Russia’s invasion and will draw the necessary conclusions for its own foreign policy.

It is now painfully clear that failure to hold the USSR accountable in 1991 was a major error. A Nuremburg-style trial exposing the crimes of the Soviet era could have helped facilitate the post-Soviet transition to democracy and prevented Russia’s return to authoritarianism under Putin.  

This makes it all the more imperative that Vladimir Putin and his accomplices now face justice. Even if they remain in power and beyond the reach of international law, there is nothing to stop the civilized world from holding a trial in absentia. Such an undertaking would send a clear message to the Russian people and to authoritarian regimes around the world that the age of impunity for crimes against humanity is over. 

Genocide is no longer a crime without a name. On the contrary, the global community officially recognizes genocide as the gravest of all crimes. Nevertheless, this has not prevented today’s Russia from plotting and conducting a genocidal invasion in plain sight. Moscow’s boldness owes much to the sense of impunity engendered by a complete lack of accountability for the crimes of the Soviet regime. The world cannot afford to make the same mistake again.

Alexander Khara is a fellow at the Centre for Defence Strategies.

Further reading

The views expressed in UkraineAlert are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Atlantic Council, its staff, or its supporters.

The Eurasia Center’s mission is to enhance transatlantic cooperation in promoting stability, democratic values and prosperity in Eurasia, from Eastern Europe and Turkey in the West to the Caucasus, Russia and Central Asia in the East.

Follow us on social media
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Generation UA: Young Ukrainians are driving the resistance to Russia’s war https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/ukrainealert/generation-ua-young-ukrainians-are-driving-the-resistance-to-russias-war/ Thu, 11 Aug 2022 16:49:27 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=555682 Generation UA: From politics and the military to civil society and journalism, the post-independence generation of young Ukrainians is driving the country's remarkable fight back against Russia's invasion.

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When Russia launched its full-scale invasion of Ukraine on February 24, analysts around the globe predicted the country would fall in a matter of days. Almost six months later, the people of Ukraine remain united in their resistance to Putin’s war, with Ukrainian youth very much at the forefront.

The remarkable resilience of the Ukrainian nation has shocked and impressed many observers around the world. But those of us who live and work in Ukraine are not nearly so surprised. As the conflict approaches the six-month mark, it is important to understand that a war designed to crush Ukrainian independence has in fact resulted in a stronger, unifying Ukrainian identity centered on the principles of freedom and democracy. This is best exemplified by the mood among young Ukrainians.

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Russia’s war is not the first time Ukraine’s emerging post-Soviet generation has risen to the challenge of resisting a return to authoritarianism. In 2004, when widespread voter fraud in the country’s presidential election seemed poised to undo independent Ukraine’s hard-fought freedoms and fledgling democratic values, young Ukrainians were among the leading organizers of the Orange Revolution.

Ten years later, Ukrainian youth once again rose to the occasion, but this time as leaders of the Euromaidan Revolution following the Ukrainian government’s Kremlin-backed decision to reject an Association Agreement with the European Union. As the Russian Federation now seeks to rob Ukraine of its sovereignty, we are once again witnessing Ukrainian youth at the center of the fight for the future of their country.

This younger generation of Ukrainians born following the collapse of the USSR is leading positive change on multiple fronts including the military and civil society. Many thousands are currently serving in the Ukrainian Armed Forces. As the war rages around them, young Ukrainians are also volunteering in large numbers to distribute humanitarian aid through digital platforms like SpivDiia that match people’s needs with resources from businesses and private individuals. 

Young Ukrainians in government are designing cutting-edge solutions to meet emergency wartime needs. Young journalists are risking their lives to provide accurate information and document Russian war crimes. Many of these journalists have recently been recognized for their professional accomplishments, including Ukrainska Pravda Chief Editor Sevgil Hayretdın Qızı Musaieva, who was named this year by Time Magazine as one of the world’s top 100 most influential people.

Another example is Mykhailo Fedorov. The 31-year-old Minister of Digital Transformation and Ukraine’s youngest cabinet member has rallied the Ukrainian IT community and lobbied international tech companies to support Ukraine in the digital hybrid war against Russia. He is also behind the wartime adaptation of a government app that is providing social benefits to millions of internally displaced people who lost their jobs as a result of the war. Deputy Minister of Health Mariia Karchevych is another high-profile government official under 35 who is coordinating the flow of humanitarian aid throughout the country.

In addition to supporting the country’s wartime needs, young Ukrainians are also on the frontlines of the fight against Russian propaganda. From the very first days of the invasion, numerous professional and grassroots initiatives have emerged to expose the Kremlin’s disinformation campaigns.

In the months and years to come, youth will remain on the Ukrainian frontlines, both literally and figuratively. They will need to play an integral part in Ukraine’s post-war reconstruction, helping to shape important initiatives such as youth-friendly mental health services and educational efforts to address wartime interruptions in learning.

As the world marks International Youth Day on August 12, it is important that we recognize the contributions of young Ukrainians in government and civil society as well as in the military. And as national and international stakeholders look to rebuild Ukraine, it is also crucial that we continue supporting, listening to, and engaging this younger generation to make sure they remain at the heart of the post-war recovery process.

Ukraine’s resilient response to Russian aggression highlights the country’s commitment to democratic values and active citizen participation. It reflects a remarkable readiness to take personal responsibility for the future of the country. Amid the horrific destruction of the Russian invasion, young Ukrainians are playing a crucial role in consolidating an even stronger sense of national identity. This victory is as strategically important as any military success for the future of Ukraine’s statehood.

Mehri Druckman is IREX’s Country Director for Ukraine and Chief of Party for the USAID funded Ukraine National Identity Through Youth (UNITY) program. SpivDiia is an IREX grantee.

Further reading

The views expressed in UkraineAlert are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Atlantic Council, its staff, or its supporters.

The Eurasia Center’s mission is to enhance transatlantic cooperation in promoting stability, democratic values and prosperity in Eurasia, from Eastern Europe and Turkey in the West to the Caucasus, Russia and Central Asia in the East.

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Putin has forced Ukrainians to view Russian culture as a weapon of war https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/ukrainealert/putin-has-forced-ukrainians-to-view-russian-culture-as-a-weapon-of-war/ Mon, 08 Aug 2022 16:15:27 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=554548 Efforts to reduce Russia's cultural footprint in Ukraine have sparked criticism but in reality it is Putin who has weaponized Russian culture and forced Ukrainians to view the likes of Pushkin and Dostoevsky as tools of empire.

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The Russian invasion of Ukraine has amplified the ongoing debate over Russia’s cultural presence in Ukrainian society and accelerated efforts to remove vestiges of the imperial past. Some Russian intellectuals have voiced concern over the targeting of Russian culture in Ukraine, with author Mikhail Shishkin going as far as to ask in a recent piece for The Atlantic whether a Ukrainian author would “speak up for Pushkin.”

This raises challenging questions regarding the separation of culture from politics and the role played by culture in Russian imperialism. With Russian troops occupying vast swathes of Ukraine and Russian President Vladimir Putin proudly declaring the return of “historic Russian lands,” is now the right time for Russian intellectuals to rally in defense of Pushkin?

Figures like Shishkin certainly have the right to speak out over perceived attacks on Russian culture in wartime Ukraine. Yet others also have the right to challenge the intent behind such statements. As Russia’s genocidal campaign enters its sixth month with no apparent end in sight, what message do famous Russian intellectuals wish to convey when they use their name recognition to focus on the preservation of Russian culture in Ukraine? Are they really tone-deaf to the centuries of imperial politics underpinning the formerly dominant position of Russian culture in Ukraine? Do they not see how Putin has weaponized Russian culture in his quest to rebuild the Russian Empire?

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Russia is committing genocide against the Ukrainian people and making no secret of the fact. On the contrary, the overwhelming physical evidence of war crimes in Ukraine itself is supported by an endless array of proofs from Russian officials and propagandists in Moscow that demonstrate clear and unambiguous genocidal intent.

Since the invasion began on February 24, testimonies of survivors who fled Russian occupation have made clear that Putin’s ultimate objective is to wipe Ukraine off the map. Russian troops are trying to achieve this criminal goal through a combination of mass murder, terror tactics, deportation and depopulation. Mass graves have been uncovered wherever Russian troops have been forced to retreat. The Ukrainian authorities have been overwhelmed with accounts of torture and sexual violence. Thousands of Ukrainian children have been forcibly relocated to Russia. Air raid sirens sound in nearly every region of Ukraine on a weekly or sometimes daily basis. Civilian buildings are frequently the target of missile strikes. Millions of Ukrainians have fled their homes. No part of the country is safe.

Meanwhile, Kremlin TV pundits routinely question the legitimacy of Ukrainian statehood and call for the forced “re-education” of Ukrainians to rob them of their Ukrainian identity. Officials declare that Ukraine “no longer exists,” while editorials in Russian state media confirm the invasion’s stated military goal of “de-Nazification” actually means “de-Ukrainianization.” Former Russian President Dmitry Medvedev, who the West once naively hailed as a liberal change-maker, now regularly posts deranged anti-Ukrainian messages on his Telegram channel alongside maps of Ukraine divided up among Russia and other neighboring countries.

Throughout occupied Ukraine, the campaign to erase Ukrainian identity frequently employs Russian cultural icons. For example, billboards featuring giant portraits of Pushkin have been erected in the occupied city of Kherson in southern Ukraine as part of efforts to promote Russia’s imperial claims. In such circumstances, it is only natural that Ukrainians would begin to view Russian culture as an extension of Russian military aggression and cling more fiercely to their national identity instead.

Several noted Ukrainian authors who wrote mostly in Russian until the invasion have underlined how the conflict has made it impossible to separate culture from politics.

One such example is Volodymyr Rafeyenko, who wrote Mondegreen, his first novel in Ukrainian, after fleeing his native Donetsk in 2014. As he explained in a recent piece for Literary Hub, he was fully prepared to be a bilingual author but everything changed following the start of the full-scale invasion in February. “Genocide, the murders of children and adults, rapes, torture, the destruction of churches and museums, kindergartens and schools. Beastly, ungodly cruelty. All of this will be closely connected with the Russian language. And nothing can be done about it. The Russian language in its entirety has become obscene, speech outside the bounds of decent human discourse. And these days, if I have to use it in some private communication, I always feel something like disgust mixed with shame, guilt and physical pain.” After February 24, Rafeyenko found himself displaced yet again due to Russian aggression when he and his wife were trapped in the occupied suburbs of Kyiv. Thanks to the help of friends, they were able to evacuate to the west of the country.

The daily brutality of Russia’s invasion has compelled many Ukrainian artists to call on the world to suspend any and all cooperation with the Russian cultural sphere for as long as the war continues. Critics like Mikhail Shishkin have argued that it is Putin and not Pushkin who is directly responsible for the crimes taking place in Ukraine. Many Russian liberals appear to find it incomprehensible that poetry and other forms of high art could be spoken of in the same vein as mass torture, kidnapping, rape, and murder. Such posturing is either conveniently shortsighted or intellectually dishonest. 

For centuries, Russian literature has played an important role in the shaping of negative imperialistic stereotypes about Ukraine. The country has routinely been depicted as a backward and inferior region of Russia that is incapable of self-rule and undeserving of statehood. One particularly notorious example is the infamous poem by celebrated Soviet dissident Joseph Brodsky entitled “On the Independence of Ukraine,” which was written during the breakup of the Soviet Union. In this vicious and vulgar poem, he uses a Russian ethnic slur to refer to Ukrainians and contemptuously declares that on their deathbeds, Ukrainians will forsake nineteenth-century Ukrainian national poet Taras Shevchenko in favor of Pushkin.

Brodsky’s poem sheds light on a painful truth that many in the West are still struggling to grasp. While Russian literary figures have traditionally been lionized by Western audiences as symbols of a freer Russia, their readiness to take a stand against the autocracy of the Russian state does not necessarily make them natural allies of the Ukrainian national project. Indeed, Ukrainians have long noted that Russian liberalism ends at the Ukrainian border.

None of this means that the tonedeaf words of Russian writers such as Mikhail Shishkin are tantamount to war crimes committed by the Russian army. However, understanding the nuances of Russian-Ukrainian relations should compel us to reexamine how the public sphere engages the topic of Ukraine. This is especially true in the context of ongoing Russian aggression and against an historic backdrop of Russian imperialism. Ideally, the current war should spark a fundamental shift in international perceptions of Ukraine and expose the folly of attempting to view the country through a Russian prism.

Russian artists, like Ukrainian artists, have been victims of the Russian state in its many ugly forms. Yet political oppression should not be confused with genocide. While Russian authors like Mikhail Shishkin sit in exile and mourn the loss of Pushkin statues in Ukraine, their Ukrainian contemporaries such as Oleh Sentsov, Artem Chapeye, Artem Chekh, Oleksandr Mykhed, Illarion Pavliuk, Stanislav Aseyev, Pavlo Stekh, Yaryna Chornohuz and many more have taken up arms to save their country from destruction. In the final analysis, it is their nation-building experience and not the fate of Pushkin that is the true story of this war. This is a story the world desperately needs to hear. 

Kate Tsurkan is a Ukraine-based American writer and Chief Editor of Apofenie Magazine.

Further reading

The views expressed in UkraineAlert are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Atlantic Council, its staff, or its supporters.

The Eurasia Center’s mission is to enhance transatlantic cooperation in promoting stability, democratic values and prosperity in Eurasia, from Eastern Europe and Turkey in the West to the Caucasus, Russia and Central Asia in the East.

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Ukraine’s tech excellence is playing a vital role in the war against Russia https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/ukrainealert/ukraines-tech-excellence-is-playing-a-vital-role-in-the-war-against-russia/ Wed, 27 Jul 2022 16:24:39 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=551024 Ukraine's tech sector excellence is playing a key role in the war against Russia by providing rapid solutions to frontline challenges in ways that the more traditional top-down Russian military simply cannot match. 

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Russia’s invasion of Ukraine is now in its sixth month with no end in sight to what is already Europe’s largest conflict since WWII. In the months following the outbreak of hostilities on February 24, the courage of the Ukrainian nation has earned admiration around the world. Many international observers are encountering Ukraine for the first time and are learning that in addition to their remarkable resilience, Ukrainians are also extremely innovative with high levels of digital literacy.

This tech sector strength is driving the Ukrainian response to Russia’s imperial aggression. It is enabling the country to defy and in many instances defeat one of the world’s leading military superpowers. A start-up culture that owes much to Ukraine’s vibrant IT industry is providing rapid solutions to frontline challenges in ways that the more traditional top-down Russian military simply cannot match. 

The tech component of Ukraine’s battlefield success is perhaps not as surprising as it might at first appear. According to the 2022 Global Skills Report by Coursera, the country ranks among the global top ten in terms of technological skills.

This high position reflects the impressive progress made in recent years to support the growth of the country’s IT sector and to foster greater digital literacy throughout Ukrainian society. Since 2019, the Ukrainian authorities have prioritized digital skills and have sought to promote learning through the Diia.Digital Education online platform, which serves as an “educational Netflix” featuring courses conducted by experts and celebrities.

This approach appears to be working. The platform currently boasts a completion rate of 80% among those who sign up for courses. Nor has Russia’s invasion prevented Ukrainians from enhancing their IT skills. Around 60,000 Ukrainians have registered for courses since the start of the war, with the most popular topics being training for new tech sector professions, media literacy, and cyber hygiene.

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Ukraine’s emphasis on digital innovation was shaping the country long before Putin launched his full-scale invasion on February 24. In 2021, Ukraine became the first country in the world to give digital passports the same legal status as physical passports for domestic use. Ukraine was the fourth European country to introduce digital driving licenses and also developed the world’s fastest online business registration service. 

Efforts to promote greater digitization continue despite today’s wartime conditions. This is recognized as important for the war effort and is also seen as an essential ingredient for Ukraine’s post-war recovery. I am convinced that tech-focused educational initiatives must remain a strategic priority for the country. By 2025, 85% of all occupations will require digital skills.

The Ukrainian authorities are currently supporting a project to train 5,000 internally displaced women for new careers in the creative and tech industries. There is clearly huge demand for such tech-related retraining opportunities, with the application process for the first phase of this initiative attracting around 36,000 candidates.

A pilot project to reform computer studies within the Ukrainian school system is also proceeding against the backdrop of the ongoing Russian invasion. The first stage will begin in September and will feature 50 secondary schools, before being scaled up to the entire country next year. Thanks to this project, an estimated four million Ukrainian schoolchildren will gain access to a state-of-the-art digital education.

Ukraine’s broader transformation into a genuinely digital state is continuing despite the disruption of the war. This progress is perhaps most visible in terms of the Diia.City project. Two weeks before the Russian invasion, Ukraine launched this special economic initiative offering some of the most attractive taxation terms in the world for tech companies. Ukrainian and international IT companies have continued to sign up to the Diia.City project since the outbreak of hostilities, with a total of 260 companies now registered. Clearly, they believe in Ukrainian victory and are confident about the country’s future development as a digital powerhouse.

Digital services have been launched to support those in the combat zone, allowing them to apply online for financial assistance. Likewise, the Diia mobile app allows anyone to financially support the Ukrainian military via a few clicks. Ukrainians can use the country’s digital platforms to report news of Russian military deployments in their localities and can submit digital reports detailing property damage.

The team at the Ministry of Digital Transformation is currently working with thousands of volunteers to wage a digital war against Russia on the information and cyber fronts. The ministry has initiated the creation of Ukraine’s very own IT army, which brings together specialists from Ukraine and other countries around the world. Today, this army consists of more than 250,000 IT volunteers participating in what is widely recognized as the world’s first cyber war.

Ukraine’s innovative use of technology is allowing the country to punch above its weight and defend itself against a much larger enemy. This experience will be studied for years to come as an example of how digital literacy and tech excellence can cancel out the traditional advantages of conventional military strength and transform the modern battlefield. The future of the world will be shaped by technology and today’s Ukraine is leading the way. 

Valeriya Ionan is Ukraine’s Deputy Minister for Eurointegration at the Ministry of Digital Transformation

Further reading

The views expressed in UkraineAlert are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Atlantic Council, its staff, or its supporters.

The Eurasia Center’s mission is to enhance transatlantic cooperation in promoting stability, democratic values and prosperity in Eurasia, from Eastern Europe and Turkey in the West to the Caucasus, Russia and Central Asia in the East.

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Investing in Ukraine’s brains is vital for the country’s post-war prosperity https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/ukrainealert/investing-in-ukraines-brains-is-vital-for-the-countrys-post-war-prosperity/ Sun, 03 Jul 2022 12:30:22 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=543734 International support for the development of Ukraine's education and tech sectors could hold the key to a strong and sovereign Ukrainian state once the current war with Putin's Russia is over, writes Gerson S. Sher.

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In America’s recent USD 40 billion military and humanitarian assistance package for Ukraine, there was not a word about support for scientific research, higher education or industrial high-tech innovation in Ukraine. And yet these areas are absolutely vital if Ukraine is to be a sustainable, sovereign, and independent country.

For the past thirty years, Ukraine has experienced a massive brain drain of young, talented and dynamic scientific researchers, students, and innovators to the more attractive and lucrative laboratories and industries of Europe, Asia, and North America. This loss has been severely exacerbated by the current Russian invasion of the country. While there have been large-scale efforts to accommodate Ukrainian refugees in temporary positions abroad, it can be assumed that many will never return to their homeland.

It suffices to look to the wartime role of the Ukrainian IT sector to understand why advanced scientific research, education, and high-tech entrepreneurship are so essential to the country’s military and economic security. Since the outbreak of hostilities just over four months ago, young Ukrainian cyber warriors have stunningly upended expectations that Russian military and criminal hackers (which may be one and the same) would destroy Ukraine through cvber warfare.  

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Ukrainian science goes much deeper than cyber-defense. In materials science, physics, mathematical modeling, engineering and a range of other areas, Ukraine’s advanced scientific research has made a significant impact not only in terms of international scientific publications but also in the world of technology and commerce.

Importantly, the strength of Ukrainian science and technology is not limited to the civilian sphere and has historically been closely tied to defense production. The famed Paton Electric Welding Institute in Kyiv has not only conducted leading-edge research on metallurgy and welding; it was also a primary producer of Soviet tanks as well as special metals for submarines and aircraft. Ukraine must also venture in new directions in the life sciences, in part to research countermeasures to biological warfare as well as to prevent the spread of disease among farm animals.

Major restructuring is necessary in order to get the most out of Ukraine’s tech potential. Much like other countries throughout the former Soviet bloc, Ukraine has inherited Russia’s heavily top-down, bureaucratic and inefficient research system. The concept of the modern research university, combining advanced research and education at all levels and contributing to technological innovation through linkages with industry, is still largely absent in Ukraine. Due to the thirty-year post-Soviet brain drain, a very high priority must now be placed on the education of the next generations of Ukrainian scientists and engineers.

Other post-Soviet countries have realigned their research and higher education systems in diverse ways and to varying degrees. Reforms have gained some traction in Ukraine since the country’s 2014 Revolution of Dignity, but in most areas progress remains painfully slow.

In this light, the radical devastation of war presents both deep challenges and major opportunities. In the words of the seventeenth century English historian Thomas Fuller, as put to music by the Mamas and the Papas, “the darkest hour of the night comes just before the dawn.”

As of now, the humanitarian and reconstruction assistance agenda of the United States government is silent on directed support for Ukraine’s science and technology sector. There are multiple opportunities for USAID and others to make a difference. There are also multiple opportunities not only to fail through inaction or lack of vision, but also for US assistance to fall behind support from other sources such as the European Union.

It is time for the US government to wake up and realize that for Ukraine to enter the modern world of knowledge economies, action is required now. Even before major physical reconstruction is underway, or simultaneously with it, there is an urgent need to address the immediate financial crisis in Ukrainian science, directing short-term support especially to those young scientists remaining in Ukraine. It is also essential to strengthen and realign the Ukrainian research, higher education, and technological innovation systems to succeed in the world of economic competitiveness and global cooperation.

There is now an ideal opportunity to look at these key issues in a fresh light and take bold steps. Without such thought and planning, throwing money at the problem will not have a lasting impact. As a senior Ukrainian member of the RESET-Ukraine working group informally remarked, “We need to change the system. If you go back to the old system, nothing will change.”

Only willingness to engage in significant system change, the kind that will lift Ukrainian research, education, and innovation to standards and practices resembling those in Europe and elsewhere, will inspire the confidence needed in order for external funders to provide the higher magnitudes of financing necessary in order make a long-term and sustainable difference.

Direct assistance grants, support for Ukrainian STEM programs especially in higher education, and jump-start grants to small high-tech Ukrainian businesses along the lines of the US Small Business Innovation Research (SBIR) program can go a long way, dollar for dollar, toward ensuring the long-term economic health and vitality of a sovereign and independent Ukraine. But these efforts must go hand in hand with a blueprint for systemic change, one that works for all Ukrainian stakeholders.

That is why the US National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine have created an informal working group called Rebuilding Engineering, Science, Education, and Technology (RESET-Ukraine) to work together with our Ukrainian colleagues to consider the best practices of other countries in realigning their national research systems for the twenty-first century. Our work is already underway. But such efforts cannot fully reach their potential unaccompanied by a clear commitment, first and foremost, from the United States and other governments to put material assistance in this field high on the agenda.

Gerson S. Sher is a retired civil servant and foundation executive whose forty-year career involved leadership of scientific cooperation with the countries of the former Soviet Union. He is the author of “From Pugwash to Putin: A Critical History of US-Soviet Scientific Cooperation” (Bloomington, Indiana University Press, 2019), and is co-chair of the US National Academies of Science, Engineering, and Medicine’s informal working group, RESET-Ukraine.

Further reading

The views expressed in UkraineAlert are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Atlantic Council, its staff, or its supporters.

The Eurasia Center’s mission is to enhance transatlantic cooperation in promoting stability, democratic values and prosperity in Eurasia, from Eastern Europe and Turkey in the West to the Caucasus, Russia and Central Asia in the East.

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Ukraine’s female soldiers reflect country’s strong feminist tradition https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/ukrainealert/ukraines-female-soldiers-reflect-countrys-strong-feminist-tradition/ Fri, 10 Jun 2022 19:41:44 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=535745 The prominent role being played by Ukrainian women in the current war effort reflects longstanding traditions of feminism and notions of gender equality that have deep roots in Ukrainian society.

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As international audiences have become increasingly familiar with the Ukrainian armed forces during the past three-and-a-half months of war with Russia, one of the aspects to attract most attention has been the large number of servicewomen within Ukraine’s ranks.

Tens of thousands of Ukrainian women are currently serving in the Ukrainian military, representing a significant portion of the country’s expanded wartime armed forces. Ukraine’s large contingent of female soldiers are highly respected and fully integrated, performing combat duties and serving as commanders.

Millions more Ukrainian women have volunteered to provide support for the army and the civilian population as the country has pulled together in opposition to the Russian invasion. Footage of ladies cooking, sewing and delivering aid to soldiers on the frontlines has become commonplace, while videos have gone viral of individual grannies berating hapless Russian soldiers.

While women remain relatively underrepresented in Ukrainian politics compared to some neighboring European countries, female Ukrainian MPs and government officials have been highly active since the outbreak of hostilities on February 24, travelling to Western capitals and engaging with the international media to put their country’s message across.

With Ukrainian males aged 18 to 60 unable to leave the country due to the introduction of martial law, Ukrainian women have also taken the lead in coordinating aid and support for the massive wave of refugees fleeing the war.

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The prominent role being played by Ukrainian women in the current war effort reflects longstanding traditions of feminism and notions of gender equality that have deep roots in Ukrainian society.

In traditional Ukrainian communities, women often faced restrictions in terms of their right to study, divorce, or protect themselves against domestic violence. However, this began to change in the nineteenth century when the first vestiges of a Ukrainian feminist movement emerged alongside the country’s broader national awakening.

At the time, Ukrainians found themselves living in two foreign empires: the Russian Empire and the Habsburg Empire. For many of the women leading the push for greater social equality, women’s rights were indivisible from national rights. They sought to be free as women and as Ukrainians. 

The early decades of Ukraine’s feminist awakening are difficult to trace due to restrictions imposed by the czarist authorities banning the use of the Ukrainian language in print and prohibiting the staging of plays or lectures in Ukrainian. Indeed, the first comprehensive history of the women’s movement in Ukraine did not appear until 1988 with the publication of Martha Bohachevsky-Chomiak’s “Feminists Despite Themselves” in the United States.

Women’s rights activism in the second half of the nineteenth century often focused on the practical matter of addressing poverty among young Ukrainian women who found themselves either orphans or widows. Schools offering vocational training were established with backing from the Ukrainian Greek Catholic Church.

Pioneering Ukrainian feminist Natalia Kobrynska was the daughter of a priest from western Ukraine. She was to play a key role in one of the landmark events in the emergence of the women’s rights movement in Ukraine. In 1887, Kobrynska served as co-publisher of “The First Wreath” together with Kyiv writer Olena Pchilka. This women’s almanac brought together a range of articles on feminist issues along with works of literature by prominent female Ukrainian writers such as Lesia Ukrainka.

With an all-female cast of contributors and a pair of female publishers, this was a groundbreaking event not only for Ukraine but for the wider European feminist movement. It was doubly noteworthy as the leading lights behind “The First Wreath” united the two Ukrainian communities living under Habsburg and Czarist rule. This collection of writings remains an important milestone in Ukrainian literature and stands as testament to the progress made by the Ukrainian women’s rights movement during the nineteenth century.

At around the same time as the publication as “The First Wreath,” Ukraine also witnessed the establishment of the country’s first women’s unions. Decades later in 1917, Milena Rudnytska created the Union of Ukrainian Women. Following the collapse of Ukraine’s short-lived statehood bid in 1921, the first ever Ukrainian Women’s Congress took place in Ivano-Frankivsk in 1934, which at the time was part of Poland.

While these organizations were primarily interested in women’s rights, they also played a significant part in the wider struggle for an independent Ukrainian state, helping to preserve traditional Ukrainian culture and language while fighting for equality.

This struggle is perhaps most powerfully depicted in the Oksana Kis book “Survival as Victory: Ukrainian Women in the Gulag” published by the Harvard Ukrainian Research Institute. This emotionally draining account explores how Ukrainian women supported each other against the horrors of the Soviet camp system and highlights their struggle to defend themselves as women and as Ukrainians.

Today’s generation of Ukrainian women now find themselves confronted with new horrors as Vladimir Putin’s invading military destroys entire towns and cities while committing atrocities against the civilian population. Since the invasion began in February, women have suffered terribly from Russian war crimes including widespread instances of sexual violence. Amid the carnage, the courage and defiance demonstrated by countless Ukrainian women has inspired the world. Their strength is part of a rich feminist tradition that continues to play a vital role in Ukraine’s nation-building journey.

Iryna Slavinska is Executive Producer at Radio Culture.

Further reading

The views expressed in UkraineAlert are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Atlantic Council, its staff, or its supporters.

The Eurasia Center’s mission is to enhance transatlantic cooperation in promoting stability, democratic values and prosperity in Eurasia, from Eastern Europe and Turkey in the West to the Caucasus, Russia and Central Asia in the East.

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Burrows in New Security Beat: Youth disillusionment as a danger to democracy https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/insight-impact/in-the-news/burrows-in-new-security-beat-youth-disillusionment-as-a-danger-to-democracy/ Tue, 07 Jun 2022 17:59:00 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=535654 On June 7, an article co-authored by Mathew Burrows was published by the Wilson Center’s New Security Beat, which discussed the dangers of a growing cohort of youth who feel disillusioned by political failures. “Failing to examine youth engagement trends may be a serious blind spot— and thus a threat to democracy. It is a question […]

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original source

On June 7, an article co-authored by Mathew Burrows was published by the Wilson Center’s New Security Beat, which discussed the dangers of a growing cohort of youth who feel disillusioned by political failures.

“Failing to examine youth engagement trends may be a serious blind spot— and thus a threat to democracy. It is a question that merits closer examination. When youth disengage, they are often saying they don’t have a high level of confidence or trust in existing economic, political, or social entities,” said Burrows and his co-author, Steven Gale of the US Agency for International Development’s Bureau for Policy, Planning and Learning.

“They may also want to “opt out” because they perceive that their generation is not being heard or treated fairly. Whatever their reasons, youth disengagement will ultimately have negative impacts beyond democratic engagement with potential shockwaves on social stability, the well-being and mental health of individuals (youth and their families), and individual and country-level economic productivity and quality of life.”

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Only total defeat in Ukraine can cure Russia of its imperialism https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/ukrainealert/only-total-defeat-in-ukraine-can-cure-russia-of-its-imperialism/ Tue, 07 Jun 2022 14:54:52 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=533880 Despite collapsing in 1917 and 1991, today's Russia remains an unapologetically imperialistic power. Unless Putin's invasion of Ukraine ends in unambiguous defeat, we will soon witness a new round on imperial aggression.

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With Russia’s invasion of Ukraine now in its fourth month and encountering serious military setbacks, there is a growing debate over what a potential Ukrainian victory might look like.

Some government officials in Kyiv have announced Ukraine’s aspiration to liberate all territories occupied by Russia, including Crimea. The Ukrainian army’s proven ability to defeat Russian forces on the battlefield and the accelerating delivery of heavy weapons from the West make this goal of complete liberation at least theoretically possible.

However, some Western leaders fear the consequences of a comprehensive Ukrainian victory and favor the idea of a compromise peace. Most notably, French President Emmanuel Macron has repeatedly warned against “humiliating” Vladimir Putin. Advocates of appeasement ignore the fact that any settlement which leaves Russia in possession of Ukrainian lands occupied since 2014 would weaken the international security order and effectively reward Russia for aggression, thereby setting the stage for further wars.

Talk of a Ukrainian victory is certainly optimistic but by no means implausible. Moscow has already suffered catastrophic losses during the first 100 days of the war, with British military intelligence in mid-May estimating that Russia had lost around one-third of its invasion force amid “consistently high levels of attrition.”

Ukraine’s battlefield success has so far been achieved largely with outdated Soviet arms and light defensive Western weapons. With more sophisticated heavy weapons now beginning to reach Ukraine in significant quantities, further Ukrainian victories seem possible.

There are a number of good reasons to pursue the complete liberation of Ukraine. On purely humanitarian grounds, the millions of Ukrainians living in occupied areas of the country deserve to be freed from Russian rule. Forcing Russian troops to retreat entirely from Ukraine would also be the best way to prevent another round of aggression in the years ahead.

Crucially, Ukraine’s liberation would be a victory for international law that would mark an end to relative impunity Putin has enjoyed since he first attacked Ukraine in 2014. This last point is fundamental if a lasting peace is to be established. But in order for international law to prevail, Russia must first be cured of its imperialistic instincts.

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Discussion of a post-imperial Russia inevitably brings to mind the European experience with other fallen empires. The broadly accepted lesson of the post-WWI Treaty of Versailles is that a defeated foe should not be humiliated as this will cause revanchism, as occurred with the rise of the Nazis in post-war Germany. This appears to be a strong motivating factor behind President Macron’s calls for a compromise settlement in Ukraine, but such thinking is dangerously misguided.

As not a single Allied shell had fallen on German territory in WWI, this left room for the infamous “stab in the back” theory of a conspiracy behind the German defeat. Accordingly, Adolf Hitler and Joseph Goebbels were able to persuade their public to make a second try and correct an alleged historical injustice by launching another war. 

There are obvious parallels here with the revisionist view regarding the collapse of the USSR. During his two decades in power, Putin has been remarkably successful in rehabilitating the Soviet past while blaming the collapse of the empire on Pentagon intrigue and the cloying egoism of Mikhail Gorbachev. As a result, many Russians are now convinced that the USSR was also a victim of a grave historical injustice and enthusiastically embrace efforts to reclaim territories lost in 1991.

Post-Soviet Russia never underwent a period of de-imperialization that might have enabled the country to move beyond the imperial mindset that Soviet Russia had itself inherited from the Czarist era.

This contrasts with the post-WWII experience of Germany and Japan. Both countries experienced catastrophic defeat followed by periods of foreign occupation. It was this trauma that caused them to deeply reexamine their cultural values and turn away from centuries of militarism. The occupation powers in both Germany and Japan also oversaw a “re-education” of the two societies. This role as external change agents was necessary because neither society was likely to engage in re-education on their own.

There is no prospect that a Western coalition will occupy today’s Russia, of course. At the same time, a nation accustomed to a long imperial history and soaked in the revisionism of the Putin era is unlikely to find within itself the cultural and intellectual resources to rethink its most cherished national mythologies. It would take something as profoundly shocking as defeat in Ukraine to force Russians into a national reckoning on such a scale.

The collapse of the Soviet Union was a deeply traumatic event for all Russians, but it is now apparent that this trauma was not sufficient to cause a rejection of Russia’s imperial identity. Instead, Putin has skillfully revived imperial sentiments to generate popular support for his expansionist foreign policy.

The West has also played a significant role in this process, with Western leaders and commentators all-too-often embracing Russia’s post-Soviet victimization narrative while disregarding or downplaying the victimization of Russia’s neighbors. This has helped contribute to the mood of unrepentant imperialism in modern Russia that set the stage for the invasion of Ukraine.

In order to bring the prevailing cycle of Russian imperial aggression to an end, Putin’s invasion of Ukraine must result in unambiguous defeat. A Ukrainian victory would send shock waves through Russian society and force Russians to engage in a long overdue exploration of the country’s imperial identity. If defeat is painful enough, it could spark fundamental changes within Russia and lead to the kind of breakthrough that the false dawn of 1991 failed to achieve. Anything less will merely serve as a temporary pause before the next Russian invasion.  

Dennis Soltys is a retired Canadian professor currently living in Kazakhstan.

Further reading

The views expressed in UkraineAlert are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Atlantic Council, its staff, or its supporters.

The Eurasia Center’s mission is to enhance transatlantic cooperation in promoting stability, democratic values and prosperity in Eurasia, from Eastern Europe and Turkey in the West to the Caucasus, Russia and Central Asia in the East.

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Recognize the power of music https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/in-depth-research-reports/books/allies-recognize-the-power-of-music/ Tue, 31 May 2022 22:40:26 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=529166 Colombian musicians have become global leaders. They are the single-most recognized ambassadors of the country’s culture, folklore, and traditions. They are vocal agents of change, thanks to an ever-growing number of artistic collaborations and an increasingly solid business infrastructure.

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WHEN I WAS GROWING UP IN THE PRE-INTERNET 1980s in Cali, Colombia, my father subscribed to Time magazine, and every week, the shiny, ostensible purveyor of everything that was of import in the world arrived in the mail.

I’d scour Time in search of any news—good, bad, whatever—about Colombia. Save for an occasional natural disaster reviewed in a paragraph or two, there never was any. Until Pablo Escobar became the world’s anti- hero in the late 1980s, and except for Gabriel García Márquez’s Nobel prize for literature in 1982, Colombia was mostly absent from global and certainly from US consciousness. I read the dry entry on Colombia in Collier’s Encyclopedia and attempted to make sense of its insufficient information. Was this how people in other parts of the world viewed us? A far-away, underdeveloped tropical nation whose primary assets were a plethora of birds (thank God for that “Colombia is the country with the most variety of birds” stat) and coffee?

When I auditioned for the Manhattan School of Music, a female profes- sor, considered one of the leading pianists of her generation, said: “You’re from Colombia? I have a good friend from Argentina. Perhaps you know her?”

Alas, I did not. But I understood then that even though the distance from Miami to Cartagena is a mere 1,100 miles—while Buenos Aires is 4,410 miles—for many in the Northern Hemisphere, anything South of Mexico was one big blob of sameness—unremarkable save for the extremes of tragedy and crime.

Colombia-and Colombians-were largely invisible

It wasn’t that we had nothing to offer. Colombia had a decent soccer team, even if it never seemed to get past the first rounds of the World Cup. It had Juan Valdés and Gabriel García Márquez. And, to our eternal consternation, in the mid-1980s, it had Pablo Escobar, whose infamy eclipsed all those other blips of achievement.

But, of course, there is a world of difference between notoriety and respect, recognition and scorn.

And then, the music came.

It started almost surreptitiously with Carlos Vives and his new take on vallenato, an almost subversive artistic creation at home (after all, wasn’t vallenato the music of the proletarian masses?) that suddenly found exotic acceptance in the United States.

Then came Shakira with her crossover aspirations, her bilingual hits—a first-ever for a Colombian artist—and her use of Colombian rhythms and patriotic expression. When Shakira sang “En Barranquilla se baila así” in 2005 as she shimmied to the beat of “Hips Don’t Lie,” millions of people, for the first time, looked up her native city on a map.

It took roughly a decade, but now, two generations of musical artists have followed in Shakira’s steps and, almost impossibly, stepped into an international spotlight that was unimaginable in my teen years.

Music has long been the great equalizer. Historically, it has crossed barriers of race, class, politics, nationality, and language, with music in English— the world’s vast lingua franca—consumed by people from around the world. Thanks in no small measure to a growing contingent of Colombian super- stars that includes Shakira, Juanes, Maluma, Camilo, and J Balvin, music in Spanish has also sliced the language barrier and is listened to broadly by non-Spanish speakers worldwide.

How did this happen? Our circumstance as a country in near-perpetual conflict favored the development of music as an alternative, outlet, and solution. Yet, music was long insular in Colombia. We listened to local acts and imports from the United States, Spain, Argentina, and Mexico, as did most Latin Americans. Colombia was a depository of music from other places, but our own rhythms and beats were regarded as too, well, Colombian ever to be appreciated outside the confines of our borders.

Seen dispassionately, the evolution of Shakira is almost miraculous. As a young girl growing up in Colombia in the 1980s and 1990s, there was no one she could artistically emulate or aspire to and no industry to viably sup- port her brand of youth-oriented, slightly rebellious rock. Shakira not only managed to set foot outside Colombia into other Spanish-language countries but improbably pierced the veil of mainstream acceptance, becoming a global superstar who sang in English, recognized on equal footing with artists like Madonna and Ricky Martin in their heyday. It had never happened before to one of us. Once Shakira was able to break that barrier, possibilities unfolded for new generations.

After all, the musical movement borne out of Medellín is a post-narco phenomenon, fueled by young artists who sought to depict their social malaise through music and strove to get ahead through musical art that came from their very own streets and culture, rather than through violence or conformism.

When J Balvin showed “molas,”1 palenqueras,”2 and “chivas”3 in his video of “Mi Gente” (my people), he served as a de facto ambassador for Colombian culture and folklore, placing it on a platform that allowed for its mass consumption. When Maluma tattooed the word Medellín on his famous chest and sang using the colloquial language of his city’s streets, he turned preconceived notions of Latin crooners on their heads, offering the image of the singer as a patriotic symbol instead. When Camilo sings “No es vida de rico, pero se pasa bien rico,” (“It’s not a rich man’s life, but we have a great time”) he speaks not just for millions of young Colombians, but for the millions of young Spanish speakers who tackle their struggles with humor.

Yet, until just a few years ago, the fact that musicians were leading the fray in terms of raising Colombia’s visibility abroad was widely discounted. Until relatively recently, music was seen as mostly a trivial pursuit, certainly not a “real” career, and unworthy of serious consideration by influential decision makers and politicians.

Except, musicians overall have become the decision makers, and Colombian musicians, in particular, have become global leaders. This is obvious, not just in terms of fame—easily measurable nowadays by the number of social media followers and music streams and downloads, but also in terms of tangible social and economic impact and influence. Colombian musicians today are the single most recognized ambassadors of the country’s culture, folklore, and traditions and are also vocal agents of change. Witness Shakira’s Fundación Pies Descalzos (Barefeet), Juanes’s Fundación Mi Sangre (My Blood), and Maluma’s ElArtedeLosSueños(the Art of Dreams) foundation. Not only do they transform lives inside Colombia, but they raise the country’s equity everywhere.

And now we have Encanto, an animated Disney film remarkable for its sheer visual beauty (which reflects the beauty of the Colombian countryside near the coffee-growing region where the mythical casita stands), uplifting family themes, and joyful music, much of it performed by—Oh My Good- ness—actual Colombians! At the time of this writing in March 2022, the film’s soundtrack had spent eight non-consecutive weeks at No. 1 on the fabled Billboard 200 chart, which measures consumption of all albums in every genre. No soundtrack has ever done that in the chart’s history.

That’s not the only record it’s set. Encantois the first soundtrack to go to No. 1 since 2019 and the sixth animated soundtrack to ever top the chart. 

Beyond that, Encanto is a film set in Colombia, with a predominantly Colombian cast that sings and speaks in Spanish and English. Animated or not, this degree of exposure and success for our country is unprecedented on the screen.

As Colombian actor John Leguizamo, who voices Bruno in Encanto, once told me: “It’s more common to see aliens than Latinos on mainstream film and television.” And Colombians? Aside from Leguizamo and Sofía Vergara, there are no other actors you can name off the top of your head.

For years, movies about Colombia were filmed elsewhere. Such block- busters as Collateral Damage and Clear and Present Danger, for example, were both shot in Mexico because Colombia was deemed too dangerous, and Colombian characters were played by Mexicans or Spaniards speaking with the wrong accent.

Encanto, on the other hand, really minded its Ps and Qs, from accents to outfits to minute details like the hand-painted tableware, the embroidered dresses, the food, the various colors of our skin, and the animals— from the ubiquitous toucan to the yellow butterflies that are synonymous with García Márquez.

Many years ago, I asked Carlos Vives–who performs two songs in the soundtrack—if he thought his music was too regional and Colombian root- based to attain international success.

“Being local is what allows me to be international,” he replied, way ahead of his time. It’s not surprising, with this mentality, that Maluma and Sebas tian Yatra, another new-generation Colombian singer, are also featured in Encanto.

The year 2021 was a watershed year for Latinos in film, with In the Heights, West Side Story,and Encanto featuring Latin lead actors, none of them hugely famous. After all, it’s been a year of breaking parameters, zeroing in on inclusivity and diversity, and looking beyond the well-mined bubbles. But in film, the only major success thus far has been Encanto, a musical and arguably the narrowest in scope. What made it work?

I want to think Colombia and its music made it work. Yes, the country is indeed that dangerous, with thousands displaced from their homes every year because of violence, as the film superficially shows. But it’s also that beautiful, that exuberant, that passionate, that family-oriented, that hospitable, that delicious, that musical, and yes, that magical.

Now, that musicality is systematically finding its way to the rest of the world. Music isn’t something you can taste or smell, like our coffee, or see and touch, like our birds. But thanks to an ever-growing number of artistic collaborations and an increasingly solid business infrastructure, it’s become perhaps the most effective and widely-lauded vehicle to transmit eminently Colombian emotions to the world, without constraints of borders or language.

At the 2022 Academy Awards, Encanto, an animated musical based in Colombia and proudly featuring Colombian voices and sounds, won Best Animated Feature. At the 2022 Grammy Awards, there were eight nominees from Colombia in the four Latin categories, more than any other country.

It’s not just about what happens with our music on an international stage. Inside our borders, for perhaps the first time ever, there’s a multi-tiered, highly-profitable music industry that allows inspiration to have a ripple effect that reverberates throughout the local economy: from the recording studio to the 50,000 tickets Karol G sold to her show at Estadio Atanasio Girardot in Medellín.

At a recent international award show, Maluma performed with four fellow artists from Medellín, all wearing t-shirts that said: “Medallo en el Mapa,+ Música–  Violencia,” (Medallo4 in the Map + Music – violence).

The message was proud, but also defiant.

Thanks to music, we are finally being seen and heard. And we are making change happen.

Portions of this essay originally appeared in the article by Leila Cobo published by Billboard on January, 2022 “With ‘Encanto,’ Colombia Is Finally Seen and Not Just Heard,” accessible here: https://www.billboard.com/music/latin/encanto-colombia-positive-image-1235017931/

The Adrienne Arsht Latin America Center broadens understanding of regional transformations and delivers constructive, results-oriented solutions to inform how the public and private sectors can advance hemispheric prosperity.

1    Molas are colorful pieces of stitched artwork created by the Indigenous Gunadules community (also known as Kuna) in Colombia. Kuna women design and sew Molas, which they wear as part of their traditional clothing.
2    Palenqueras are afro-Colombian women who wear vibrant, colorful dresses and balance bowls of tropical fruits in their heads, particularly in the streets of Cartagena. They are direct descendants of the world’s first free African slaves, established in San Basilio de Palenque in the southeast of Cartagena. Today, Palenqueras stand as one of Colombia’s most iconic national symbols.
3    Chivas are colorful, rustic buses typically used in rural Colombia as a form of public transport. 
4    Colloquial name given in Colombia to the city of Medellín.

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Share the Colombian American dream https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/in-depth-research-reports/books/allies-share-the-colombian-american-dream/ Tue, 31 May 2022 22:40:02 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=529174 Colombian Americans are integral to the arts and culture in the United States. From an immigrant working-class family in Queens to a renowned artist in theater, film, and television, I share my story and aspiration for other Colombians to seize their dreams and follow in my path.

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GROWING UP IN THE NEIGHBORHOOD of Jackson Heights, Queens, in New York City taught me an early lesson on being myself. From a tender age, I felt the pressure of “being different,” and experiencing the world through an unusual lens as I witnessed my mother work several exhausting jobs to keep our family afloat in a country that was foreign to us. Soon, I realized that “being different” made me a target to those who did not sympathize with the way I looked or how I spoke. Living in a predominantly Caucasian neighborhood forced me to learn about survival, who I was, and, ultimately, who I was meant to become.

I was born in Bogotá, Colombia, and although I moved to the United States at a young age, I never ceased exalting my identity as a Colombian and a Latino. I don the badge and the title of being an immigrant to the United States with the utmost honor and respect. Throughout my career in the arts––from performing in local New York City venues to opening a show on Broadway and eventually breaking glass ceilings in Hollywood––I have accomplished what might have seemed unimaginable through unspeakable hours of hard work and tribulation, a marvelous quality that all Latino immigrants share.

Making a decent living in the United States as a minority is no simple feat, yet there is no one better than an immigrant with a dream and a purpose to upend that expectation. As a young boy running around the streets of New York, using my humor as a means to stay safe in the urban jungle, I learned to channel the gargantuan resilience of a Colombian American, repurposing life’s difficulties into fuel to keep my dream alive.

Most of the people who once bullied me quickly found me hilarious–– or perhaps I worked at crafting that comedic image better than I could have imagined, and it was precisely that comedy that took me down trails not blazed before. I was aware of being a skimpy little brown kid with a funny speech pattern who could imitate every accent imaginable.

I was a nerd in love with the arts, reading, comic books, plays, movies, and great performers; I used this adoration to empower myself in a place that was not seeing me or my potential. I refer to this source of motivation as “Ghetto Nerd Power.”

It was by the library’s bookshelves and, later, inside the theater where I met my true self and decided to step into my future, no matter the hardships, setbacks, or prejudice. I was ready to do it all: study drama, learn diverse acting techniques, practice tongue twisters, follow elocution lessons, and audition for every single role possible. It was never easy, and sometimes it still feels that way, but failure was and is never an option. I stand by the statement “Latinos must do twice the work to get half the opportunities,” because I have experienced this scenario on several occasions. Nevertheless, Latino tenacity, spiritual fiber, and passion from my Colombian DNA propelled me to search within myself and forge my destiny.

I first won over audiences in 1991 as the star and writer of MamboMouth. I have portrayed seven different Latino characters in sold-out theaters off-Broadway. I have played various characters from different backgrounds, including a lowlife criminal in Carlito’sWay(1993), Luigi in SuperMarioBros(1993), and nineteenth-century French artist Toulouse-Lautrec in Moulin Rouge (2001). And even though I have been blessed with international success, I still source much of my material from my unlikely path to stardom–– from a working-class family in Queens to a renowned artist in theatre, film, and television.

This beautiful nation has offered me life-changing possibilities. I am humbled by the astonishing achievements I have amassed in the United States. My indigenous Chibcha,Muisca(TheMuisca[alsocalledChibcha]are an indigenous people and culture of the Altiplano Cundiboyacense, Colombia), and Afro-Latino identity is deeply-rooted and informs who I am as an artist and human being. I cherish the best of what these identities have granted me––from bilingualism to delicious food to incomparable music to amazing people. I never tire of representing Colombia in this country and in front of the world.

As a Colombian American, I am continuously astounded by the immense talent that treks from Colombia into the United States. I cherish it, and it overwhelms me with unwavering pride. This is why continuous US-Colombia relations signify a beacon of hope, especially when I consider the bond between two nations fighting for the betterment of their people. At the same time, that story and fight do not end here. I may very well be an example to millions of Latino immigrants who are still unsure whether to follow their dream or walk away from it because they have no other choice.

I want to be more than an example. After decades of working in the entertainment industry and sharpening my artistry, I ache to be more than just an image for people to look up to.

Multiplying a Colombian American dream

My experience in this country as a thriving creative and spokesman for positive societal change means that other Colombian Americans can also create a prosperous future where they can empower their careers, livelihoods, and families. This speaks to the need for more programs that foster and enrich the potential of young, brilliant minds who may not have the means to attend top-tier universities or institutions. Pro- grams through which children and young adults can approach educators, resources, and funding are catalysts to spur equity among our youth.

The arts are the most competitive field in the marketplace. Our young Colombian minds should be able to tap into their fullest potential within Colombia and abroad in the United States by participating in cultural and educational residencies to learn how to be great storytellers and collaborators and, ultimately, create their own work with the potential to be seen and commissioned.

Oftentimes, potential is squandered before it can blossom due to a lack of access to opportunities; this is the gap that cultural programs should close. The demand for foundations and artists’ funds at the local level is rising. It is up to established creatives and their teams to champion more tangible opportunities aimed at those who aspire to grow within a career in the arts. Ultimately, it is our responsibility to leverage programs and mentorship.

I wish to gift my message and life experiences to future generations of Colombian Americans, and Latin immigrants everywhere, as a means to inspire. I want to show them that what I have done is not only possible but also attainable; no matter the language they speak, the accent they have, or the color of their skin, they can conceive a beautiful future where they can be seen and celebrated.

This, right here, is what I consider the American dream. And it is now time for it to become a reality for any of mis paisanos (my fellow Colombians) who one day dare decide to claim the extraordinary life for which they have never stopped struggling. I wish for them to open their arms, beam their gorgeous brown smile, and embrace their own Colombian American dream.

The Adrienne Arsht Latin America Center broadens understanding of regional transformations and delivers constructive, results-oriented solutions to inform how the public and private sectors can advance hemispheric prosperity.

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Now is the right time to launch a Digital Marshall Plan for Ukraine  https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/ukrainealert/now-is-the-right-time-to-launch-a-digital-marshall-plan-for-ukraine/ Mon, 30 May 2022 12:02:27 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=530449 As the world explores the challenges of rebuilding Ukraine, one smart option may be to initiate a Digital Marshall Plan that will play to Ukraine's existing tech strengths while securing the country's modernization.

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The Russo-Ukrainian War is now in its fourth month. While there is currently no end in sight to the carnage, discussions are already underway over what kind of Ukraine should emerge during the post-war period.

The war unleashed by Vladimir Putin on February 24 is widely acknowledged as the largest and most destructive European conflict since WWII. Tens of thousands of Ukrainians have been killed during the first three months of the invasion, while the damage done by Putin’s forces has been estimated at hundreds of billions of dollars. Whole cities have already been destroyed, while Russia’s heavy reliance on airstrikes and artillery bombardments means the tragic toll will continue to rise.  

Clearly, rebuilding Ukraine will be a Herculean task requiring unprecedented financing and the full participation of the international community. It is also vital that plans for the new Ukraine should reflect the country’s immediate needs and competitive advantages. This is why it makes sense to begin work without delay on a Digital Marshall Plan that will harness Ukraine’s tech excellence and enable Ukrainians to continue the important progress made in recent years.

The war is being prosecuted across multiple strata, including the informational and digital spaces. While soldiers defend Ukraine on the battlefield, the country’s Ministry of Digital Transformation and the Ukrainian IT community are developing a sustainable digital rear. 

From the first days of the war, the Ministry has been working with other state bodies to actively increase Ukraine’s digital resilience. These efforts have included creating a layered system of cyber defense for state IT infrastructure and adapting public e-services.

Digital diplomacy has become a critically important field of activity for the Ministry. Minister of Digital Transformation Mykhailo Fedorov has appealed to hundreds of technology companies asking them to join the technological blockade of Russia while calling on them to stop paying taxes to the Russian budget and develop a presence in Ukraine.

An enormous amount of work has also been done to improve the digital defense capability of the Ukrainian state. In cooperation with the Ukrainian blockchain community, the Ministry of Digital Transformation launched a large-scale fundraising campaign gathering crypto donations for ammunition purchases. The Ministry of Digital Transformation and Ukrainian IT companies have launched a number of specific projects to protect civilians such as the Air Alarm App, while also supporting refugees and those living in Russian-occupied regions of the country.

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Anyone familiar with the pre-war structure of the Ukrainian economy will not be surprised by the prominent role of the Ministry of Digital Transformation and the country’s IT industry as a whole in the current conflict. President Zelenskyy came to power in spring 2019 promising a digital transformation. As soon as he took office, he began implementing the “Country in a Smartphone” program.

During the pre-war years of Zelenskyy’s presidency, hundreds of public services were digitalized. The Diya smartphone application was central to these efforts and became the main personal ID for millions of Ukrainians. By digitizing government services, the authorities were able to simplify bureaucratic processes and dramatically reduce the scope for corruption within state agencies.

It is important to note that the digital transformation of Ukraine has never relied on the purchase of imported solutions. Instead, it has been based almost exclusively on the tailored work of Ukrainian IT engineers. This is only natural given the remarkable rise of the Ukrainian IT sector over the past few decades.  

The Ukrainian IT industry has been the main driver of rising export revenues for a number of years. In 2021, Ukrainian IT exports grew 36% year-on-year to total USD 6.8 billion, representing 10% of the country’s total exports. Meanwhile, the number of Ukrainians employed in the IT industry increased from 200,000 to 250,000. This growth was set to accelerate further in 2022 until the war intervened.

According to current World Bank forecasts, Ukraine’s GDP in 2022 will fall by more than 45%. Depending on the course of the war, this figure could rise significantly. Ukraine’s Western partners are well aware of the need to keep the Ukrainian economy afloat while also preparing for the massive rebuilding project that will eventually follow. British Prime Minister Boris Johnson has publicly backed a new Marshall Plan for Ukraine. Other world leaders have also voiced their support for this initiative.

The immediate priority will be to repair the catastrophic damage done to Ukrainian homes, hospitals, schools, roads, bridges, airports, industries, and other vital elements of national infrastructure. At the same time, the most effective long-term use of resources may be to focus on strengthening Ukraine’s digital economy and the country’s IT industry. Investing in this sector will have an immediate economic impact and will create the largest number of jobs. After all, global studies consistently indicate that every new work place in the IT industry creates five more jobs in non-related service industries.

What should a Digital Marshall Plan for Ukraine look like? First of all, it should feature large-scale strategic investment in the digital transformation of Ukraine including all public services, healthcare, and education. This will lead to the radical modernization of the Ukrainian public sector while creating huge demand for the services of Ukrainian IT companies, many of which have lost their Western customer bases due to the war.

Meanwhile, investment into the rapid retraining of Ukrainians from other professional backgrounds will help to drastically reduce unemployment. Even before the war, the Ukrainian IT industry consistently suffered from a shortage of personnel. With industrial facilities across the country destroyed and whole sectors of the economy on pause as a result of the Russian invasion, unemployment is a major issue in today’s Ukraine. Comprehensive training programs can enable tens of thousands of Ukrainians to become qualified IT specialists and find new work during the initial post-war period or possibly even sooner. 

The Ukrainian IT industry must not only be preserved but also brought to the next level. To make this happen, Ukraine and the country’s partners should work together to create attractive financial conditions that will encourage more of the world’s leading tech companies to open Ukrainian hubs and R&D centers.

It is also necessary to establish a large-scale “fund of funds” for IT entrepreneurs that will invest in venture funds operating in Ukraine. Startups were fast becoming the most important growth point of the Ukrainian tech sector before the war and have huge potential for the future. Once the conflict is over, Ukrainian innovators will bring the many tech solutions created during the war to global markets. International interest is likely to be intense.

Work on a Digital Marshall Plan needs to begin now. The rebuilding of Ukraine will necessarily take many years and looks set to be one of the most challenging international undertakings of the twenty-first century. Investing in the Ukrainian IT industry now will provide an immediate and significant economic boost. It will also enable the country to develop an optimized digital infrastructure that will lay the foundations for future prosperity and help secure Ukraine’s place among the community of European democracies.

Anatoly Motkin is president of the StrategEast Center for a New Economy, a non-profit organization with offices in the United States, Ukraine, Georgia, and Kyrgyzstan.

Further reading


The views expressed in UkraineAlert are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Atlantic Council, its staff, or its supporters.

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South Ukraine holds the key to Putin’s dreams of a new Russian Empire https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/ukrainealert/south-ukraine-holds-the-key-to-putins-dreams-of-a-new-russian-empire/ Fri, 27 May 2022 15:32:26 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=530287 The biggest European battles since WWII are currently raging in eastern Ukraine's Donbas region but the ultimate outcome of the Russo-Ukrainian War is likely to be decided hundreds of miles to the south.

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The biggest European battles since WWII are currently raging in eastern Ukraine. However, while international attention is firmly focused on the monumental Battle of the Donbas, the ultimate outcome of the Russo-Ukrainian War is likely to be decided hundreds of miles to the south.

When the war first began on February 24, few envisioned such a long or large-scale campaign. On the contrary, the Kremlin anticipated a rapid and comprehensive victory that would bring Ukraine’s Euro-Atlantic integration to a shuddering halt and drag the country back into Russia’s orbit.

Instead, Russia decisively lost the Battle for Kyiv and was forced to retreat entirely from northern Ukraine. Putin responded to defeat in the north by regrouping and concentrating his forces in eastern Ukraine, where Russia continues to advance slowly but steadily while paying a high price in both casualties and military equipment.

Beaten in the north and struggling in the east, Russia’s most significant progress of the campaign so far has come in the south. Large swathes of southern Ukraine were captured during the first days of the invasion and remain in Russian hands. This has enabled Moscow to establish a land bridge connecting the occupied Crimean peninsula with the Russian proxy entities created by the Kremlin in eastern Ukraine eight years ago. Ukrainian troops have succeeded in preventing further Russian offensives towards the key southern port city of Odesa, but Kyiv currently lacks the military forces and heavy military equipment to liberate the regions that have fallen under Russian control.

With Russia seeking to consolidate its hold over occupied areas and Ukrainian forces preparing for a coming counter-offensive, the struggle for southern Ukraine is far from over. The outcome of this confrontation will likely determine whether Vladimir Putin is able to achieve his goal of extinguishing Ukrainian statehood and incorporating large parts of the country into a new Russian Empire.  

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It is vital for Ukraine’s international partners to appreciate that the de-occupation of Ukraine’s southern seaboard is a race against time, with the Kremlin currently taking active steps to incorporate these territories into the Russian Federation. Ukrainian state symbols are being removed from public spaces, the Russian curriculum is being introduced in local schools, and the Ukrainian hryvnia currency is being replaced by the Russian rouble. Ukrainian media, internet services and mobile phone operators have been cut off.

The few local collaborators that have been found are being installed as Russian puppets. Meanwhile, local elected officials, journalists, community leaders and military veterans are being targeted in round-ups and abducted amid growing reports of torture and executions. Tens of thousands from the civilian population have been subjected to forced deportation. In recent days, Putin has unveiled plans to offer Russian passports to residents of southern Ukraine’s Kherson and Zaporizhzhya regions. Meanwhile, senior Kremlin officials have declared that Russia has come “forever.”

The Battle for Southern Ukraine will likely hinge on control of Kherson region, which lies directly north of Crimea. It is no exaggeration to state that Ukraine’s future as a viable independent state may depend on regaining control over this region. For Moscow, the stakes are similarly high. The occupation of Kherson allows Russia to supply fresh water to occupied Crimea and is essential for Putin’s land bridge connecting the peninsula to the Russian border through Berdyansk and Mariupol in south eastern Ukraine.

Kherson region is also a springboard for further anticipated Russian advances along the Black Sea coast toward Odesa. This would enable the Kremlin to cut Ukraine off from the sea and thwart plans to break the current Russian naval blockade of Ukraine’s Black Sea ports. Russian dominance over Ukraine’s south eastern coastline stretching from Crimea to the Russian border has already allowed Moscow to transform the Azov Sea into a Russian lake. Blocking Ukraine’s access to the Black Sea entirely would deal a lethal blow to the export-heavy Ukrainian economy and leave the country with little choice but to accept peace on Moscow’s terms.   

In addition to its strategic importance, southern Ukraine also has great symbolic value for Russia. Since the seizure of Crimea and the outbreak of hostilities with Ukraine in spring 2014, Kremlin officials and Russian nationalists have resurrected the half-forgotten Tsarist term “Novorossiya” (“New Russia”) to describe the regions of eastern and southern Ukraine which they seek to annex. Putin has repeatedly accused the early Bolshevik leaders of erroneously granting Soviet Ukraine these southern regions while claiming that the entire area is in fact “ancient Russian land.”

The upcoming battles in southern Ukraine are likely to be the biggest and bloodiest of the war. Ukraine will face Russian troops occupying well-prepared defensive positions who also benefit from the logistical advantages of air support and resupply from nearby Russian-occupied Crimea.

In order to succeed, the Ukrainian military will need to achieve some kind of breathing space in eastern Ukraine that will allow it to concentrate in the south. Another crucial factor will be the timely delivery of heavy weapons from Ukraine’s international partners including long range artillery, attack drones and multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS). Western intelligence will also be vital as Ukraine seeks to repeat the successes it achieved during the first month of the war. Behind the front lines, Ukrainian partisans and Special Forces units will have a significant role to play disrupting Russia’s military movements, destroying vital infrastructure and removing collaborators.

Time is of the essence. While it would be foolish to rush into an offensive as critical to the wider war effort as the liberation of southern Ukraine, it would also be dangerous to wait too long. Russia is clearly in a hurry to annex the region. Many observers expect Moscow to push for annexation in the coming months, possible together with parallel efforts in eastern Ukraine’s Donbas region. This will likely be accompanied by further human rights abuses as the Kremlin looks to secure its position and silence any local opposition.

Unless Russia is forced to retreat from southern Ukraine, all efforts to broker a negotiated peace will prove futile and merely lead to a pause before the next round of hostilities. The region is simply too important and cannot be left under Kremlin control. It holds the key to Putin’s dreams of a new Russian Empire and is at the same time essential for Ukraine’s continued existence as an independent state.

If Ukrainian forces succeed in ending the Russian occupation of the south, they will save their own country while dealing a potentially fatal blow to Moscow’s expansionist agenda. This would be long overdue. More than three decades after the collapse of the USSR, Putin’s Russia remains an unapologetically imperialistic power. The time has come to cast these imperial ambitions on the ash heap of history.  

Taras Kuzio is a research fellow at the Henry Jackson Society and Professor of Political Science at the National University of Kyiv Mohyla Academy. He is the author of the recently published book “Russian Nationalism and the Russian-Ukrainian War.”

Further reading

The views expressed in UkraineAlert are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Atlantic Council, its staff, or its supporters.

The Eurasia Center’s mission is to enhance transatlantic cooperation in promoting stability, democratic values and prosperity in Eurasia, from Eastern Europe and Turkey in the West to the Caucasus, Russia and Central Asia in the East.

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and support our work

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The Gulf is lagging behind on gender equality. Here’s how it can catch up.  https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/menasource/the-gulf-is-lagging-behind-on-gender-equality-heres-how-it-can-catch-up/ Thu, 19 May 2022 16:44:55 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=526131 The dialogue for gender parity in the workforce is still ongoing, but GCC nations have the advantage of prioritizing female employment in tandem with economic diversification.

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When the United Nations (UN) Millennium Development Goals concluded in 2015, and countries around the globe had to reassess their progress in achieving these objectives that were set out in 2000, the truth was difficult to reckon with. Since the ratification of the UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) in 2016, countries around the world have rushed to accomplish what was outlined as the 2030 deadline approaches amidst unprecedented obstacles and disruptions, like climate crises and the onset of COVID-19. 

SDG 5, which is to “achieve gender equality and empower all women and girls,” includes several targets that aim to eliminate discrimination in the workplace, recognize unpaid female labor, and give women equal rights to economic resources. Today, the Gulf continues to lag behind its counterparts in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) in regard to progress on SDG 5. Gender equality in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries continues to face a slow growth pattern despite making commendable progress in the arenas of industry (SDG 9), sustainability (SDG 11), energy (SDG 7), and economic growth (SDG 8). 

The Gulf is home to the wealthiest economies in the region, with a moderate growth rate that remained stable even during the pandemic. GCC cities like Riyadh, Doha, Muscat, Dubai, and others have been commended for their rapid economic growth and their ability to push sustainability and innovation forward, hitting all the targets of other SDGs while evading SDG 5—gender equality. With Gulf economies seeking to diversify and prepare for a post-oil future, closing gender gaps in the labor force and ensuring economic rights for women is imperative.  

Current situation 

While more women are entering the workforce, disparities remain. According to the World Economic Forum’s 2021 Global Gender Gap index, out of the 156 countries measured, Saudi Arabia was ranked at 147, Oman at 145, Kuwait at 143, Qatar at 142, Bahrain at 137, and the UAE at seventy-two. Gulf nations have also scored low in the 2021 Economic Participation and Opportunity index, with Bahrain scoring at 134, Qatar at 136, Kuwait at 137, Oman at 143, and, despite reforms toward gender parity made by Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in 2016, Saudi Arabia sits at 149—only seven points removed from the last-ranked country: Afghanistan. The GCC’s low gender equality rates have had implications on regional achievement rates, with the MENA region accumulating the largest gender gap globally (60.9 percent).   

At the current pace of gender gap closure in the region, experts predict that it would take MENA 142.2 years to close the gender gap. The lack of female participation in the labor force and their staggering lack of economic participation in the Gulf aren’t reflective of other gender equality indicators like access to education, where GCC governments succeed. Women in the Gulf are one of the most highly educated demographics in the Arab world, mainly due to increased access to education, which was prompted by oil discovery and rapid development in the GCC. Education attainment rates in the GCC have made it evident that unfettered access to education doesn’t ensure similar results in workforce participation for women. 

Women attend and graduate universities at higher rates in the Gulf yet still face disproportional unemployment. In Saudi Arabia, women constitute 51.8 percent of university students. However, Saudi women only comprise 33 percent of the labor force. Although this number is double what it was prior to the ratification of the UN SDGs in 2016, social attitudes towards working women still present obstacles to women’s participation in the labor force.  

Qatar faces a similar trajectory, with 54 percent of its university-age women being enrolled in higher education compared to 28 percent of its men. Additionally, Qatari women hold some of the highest literacy rates in the region, standing at 98.3 percent. Nevertheless, they have the lowest rates of private sector workforce participation. Similarly, in the UAE, 41 percent of university-age women are enrolled in higher education in contrast to 22 percent of men—though only 42 percent of women are employed or actively seeking work compared to 92 percent of men who are employed or actively seeking work. 

Notably, the sectors with the largest gender gaps in the GCC are the STEM (Science, Technology, Engineering, and Mathematics) fields. Women’s employment opportunities in the Gulf are incredibly gendered and they are more likely to work in public sector jobs, as they are considered to be socially-respectable work environments for women. By 2030, there will be tremendous potential for technological skills across the global economy, resulting in a significant increase in GDP if women pursue these jobs. 

The Gulf’s highly gendered employment patterns and inequities between women and men in STEM will leave women behind and, as a result, the Gulf will fall behind. As digitalization becomes more pervasive across all sectors, economies in the Gulf require more women in the labor force to catch up to global trends. In Saudi Arabia, labor laws specify that women are prohibited from working in dangerous industries, which, in practice, means that they are turned away from more physically demanding jobs. Qatar and Bahrain share these labor laws, prohibiting women from working in hazardous environments, as well as working past a certain time.  
 

Automation and digitalization have already begun to decrease the number of jobs that require physical labor and provide an opportunity for Gulf countries to leverage female employment to compete on a global scale. Oil revenues still contribute a sizable portion of GDP in the Gulf and, as the world begins to slowly shift away from reliance on hydrocarbon resources, economic diversification gives the Gulf a window to benefit from expanding female employment across all sectors. Gulf states will surely incur the costs if they fail to seize this opportunity. 

Source: Global Gender Gap Index Report 2021

Despite symbolic reforms by Gulf governments, many GCC countries have remained at the bottom of the Global Gender Gap Index for years and are projected to continue doing so. Though Saudi Arabia and the UAE are leading the region in historic changes, emphasizing substantive changes to minimize gender inequities and increase women’s economic possibilities are important. 

Moving Forward 

It is evident that the current progression of GCC states in advancing gender equality in economic participation and the labor force is insufficient and that the current pace of action may not achieve UN SDG 5 by 2030—though all hope isn’t lost. Many Gulf nations have already instituted several socioeconomic blueprints with deadlines that coincide with the 2030 UN SDGs, such as Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030, Bahrain’s Economic Vision 2030, and Qatar’s National Vision 2030

These national agendas have all included clauses that cover objectives to achieve gender equality and improve the conditions of women across the labor sector. Still, Gulf nations can do more by enacting several policies to reverse previous impediments and ensure the region is on track for the 2030 deadline. The following policies can help the GCC fulfill SDG 5 by 2030 and thereby enhance regional economies by increasing female labor force participation:  

  • GCC governments should lift obstacles in the workforce for women by addressing gendered discrimination in the workplace, occupational and sectoral segregation, amplifying women’s value in the labor market, and supporting women to maintain and advance their careers within non-traditional sectors like STEM and growing innovation spaces, such as digitalization and the clean energy industry.  
  • Female entrepreneurship has the potential to boost household earnings and national economies. GCC countries must enhance entrepreneurship development opportunities for women through increased financing, training opportunities, and gender-smart procurement. Gulf governments should also implement tax reductions, facilitate loans, bank guarantees, micro-credit systems, award grant practices, and equitable registration procedures to enhance female-run enterprises across the region.   
  • Gulf states should implement care policies and provisions that promote a sustainable work-life balance for women in the labor force. GCC policymakers must pass laws that strengthen support for women in the labor force who balance traditional caretaker and professional roles, such as the UAE’s Federal Decree Law No. 33, which protects women from labor market discrimination and provides maternal and childcare benefits and resources to working women. 
  • Finally, policymakers in the Gulf should adopt legislation that requires employers to uphold gender quotas in the workplace, specifically within the STEM and business sectors. Implementing gender quotas in tandem with the social policies mentioned above could fast track progress in gender equality achievement by creating a “shock” effect on embedded male-dominated organizational systems. GCC policymakers should look to existing gender quota legislation in countries like Norway and the UAE and initiatives such as Athena SWAN, which works “to enhance gender equity in science, technology, engineering, mathematics, and medicine (STEMM).” 

Conclusion 

The dialogue for gender parity in the workforce is still ongoing, but GCC nations have the advantage of prioritizing female employment in tandem with economic diversification. Gulf women are the most educated demographic while being the least employed and largely excluded from the labor force. As the UN SDGs’ 2030 deadline approaches, harnessing female inclusion in nontraditional sectors like STEM and business is critical as the GCC transitions to a post-oil economic landscape. 

Salwa Balla, is a Young Global Professional with the Rafik Hariri and Middle East Programs. 

Iman Mohamed, is a Young Global Professional with the Rafik Hariri and Middle East Programs. 

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Putin’s Imperial War: Russia unveils plans to annex southern Ukraine https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/ukrainealert/putins-war-of-imperial-aggression-russia-prepares-to-annex-southern-ukraine/ Thu, 12 May 2022 12:21:40 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=522870 Kremlin officials have underlined the expansionist imperial agenda driving Putin's Ukraine war by announcing plans to officially annex Ukraine's Kherson Oblast and incorporate it into the Russian Federation.

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Kremlin-appointed officials in Russian-occupied southern Ukraine have confirmed plans to annex the region and incorporate it into the Russian Federation. This week’s announcement underlines the expansionist imperial agenda that is driving Vladimir Putin’s Ukraine war while highlighting his intention to extinguish Ukrainian independence and redraw the map of Europe by force.

In a May 11 televised address, a representative of the Russian occupation administration in southern Ukraine’s Kherson region confirmed that an appeal would be sent directly to Russian President Vladimir Putin requesting annexation by Moscow. “The city of Kherson is Russia,” stated occupation administration deputy head Kirill Stremousov. “There will be no Kherson People’s Republic and no referendums. It will be a single decree based on an appeal from the leadership of the Kherson region to the president of the Russian Federation to make Kherson a fully-fledged region of Russia.”

Details of the Kremlin’s plans to directly annex Kherson follow weeks of rumors over alleged Russian preparations for a Crimea-style referendum in the region. In the wake of the 2014 Russian military takeover of Ukraine’s Crimean peninsula, Moscow held an internationally unrecognized referendum in an attempt to legitimize the land grab. Many observers anticipated similar tactics would be used to set the stage for the annexation of Kherson.

It now appears the referendum ploy will not be repeated in southern Ukraine. The Russian military administration apparently has little confidence in its ability to stage-manage a plausible vote in Kherson region. This pessimism is understandable. Despite more than two months of occupation, opposition to the Russian presence remains vocal while the Ukrainian military continues to express confidence in the eventual liberation of the region. With heavy weapons now flowing into Ukraine from the West, Moscow appears to be in a hurry to declare Kherson part of Russia and consolidate its grip.

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Any attempt to officially annex Kherson Oblast would be entirely in line with the policies of imperial expansion that have been evident ever since Russian forces first occupied the region in the opening days of the war. Kremlin officials have engaged in the systematic suppression of Ukrainian state symbols and have attempted to block Ukrainian media, mobile operators, and online access. Schools have been forced to switch from the Ukrainian to the Russian national curriculum, while the Ukrainian hryvnia currency is being phased out and replaced by the Russian ruble.

Steps have also been taken to silence dissent and remove any potential threats to Russian authority. Working with local collaborators, Russian forces have conducted round-ups of potential regime opponents including elected officials, journalists, activists and military veterans. Those targeted for abduction face an uncertain future with the fate of many still unknown. Thousands more have been subjected to forced deportation and transported to isolated regions of the Russian Federation.

Official Russian rhetoric has sought to emphasize Moscow’s imperial ambitions in the region. During an early May visit to occupied Kherson, Russian Senator Andrei Turchak, who also serves as secretary general of Putin’s own United Russia political party, declared that the current Russian presence in southern Ukraine would be permanent. “Russia is here forever,” he stated. “There should be no doubt about this. There will be no return to the past.”

Russian plans to annex southern Ukraine make a mockery of Vladimir Putin’s frequent claims to be conducting a defensive “military operation” against Western encroachments into the Kremlin’s traditional sphere of influence. The Russian dictator has sought to justify the war by pointing to alleged threats posed by decades of NATO enlargement while arguing that Moscow merely seeks security guarantees. In reality, the Russian invasion of Ukraine is the most openly imperialistic endeavor since the days of Adolf Hitler. Putin is waging a war that combines the worst excesses of the totalitarian twentieth century with the brutality of nineteenth century colonial conquests.  

Putin’s plans for the destruction of Ukraine should come as no surprise. The Russian ruler has never made any secret of his contempt for Ukrainian statehood and has written entire essays on the subject. Putin’s July 2021 treatise on the alleged “historical unity” of Russia and Ukraine remains the definitive reference material for anyone looking to fathom the depths of his Ukraine obsession, but it is far from the only evidence of his refusal to accept the reality of an independent Ukraine. Putin has long insisted Ukrainians are really Russians (“one people”) and routinely complains that modern Ukraine was established on historically Russian lands. More recently, he has taken to dismissing the entire country as an “anti-Russia” which can no longer be tolerated.  

Putin’s denial of Ukraine’s right to exist provides the ideological basis for today’s war of imperial aggression. Invading Russian soldiers and domestic Russian TV audiences alike are encouraged to view Ukraine as an illegitimate entity that has been artificially separated from Russia. Any Ukrainians who reject this interpretation and insist on a separate national identity of their own are regarded as traitors to the Russian motherland who deserve the harshest of punishment. For millions of ordinary Russians, the entire concept of Ukrainian independence has come to embody Russia’s post-1991 loss in status and the historical injustice of the Soviet collapse.

This radically revisionist worldview helps to explain the genocidal ferocity of the Russian invasion. Decades of pent up resentment and bitterness over the perceived post-Soviet humiliation of Russia is now flooding out in an orgy of hatred and violence targeting “treacherous” Ukraine. While Russian soldiers engage in the rape, torture and mass murder of Ukrainian civilians, Kremlin propagandists openly call for the annihilation of the Ukrainian nation. Meanwhile, independent opinion polls indicate overwhelming Russian public support for the war.

Ukrainians are under no illusions regarding Russia’s exterminatory intentions and understand that if they are not victorious, their country will cease to exist. However, many voices in the international arena have yet to fully grasp the sheer scale of Russia’s imperial ambitions and seem to believe some kind of negotiated settlement remains possible. This is dangerous wishful thinking. There can be no compromise with the Kremlin as long as Putin seeks to wipe Ukraine off the map.

Ukraine’s remarkable battlefield success during the first two months of the war has obscured the bigger picture of Russia’s imperial agenda and risks creating a false sense of security. Indeed, many now appear to take an eventual Ukrainian victory for granted, while French President Emmanuel Macron has already begun warning against the dangers of “humiliating” Russia. Such thinking will leave the problem of unreconstructed Russian imperialism unaddressed and will all but guarantee further wars of aggression.

Instead, it is vital to continue expanding international support for Ukraine until Russia is decisively defeated and forced to confront its crimes. Russia’s present military predicament may well make it more difficult to implement Putin’s plans for the annexation of southern Ukraine. However, Moscow will view any setbacks as temporary and Russia will continue to pose an international security threat until the imperial thinking that made the current war possible is consigned to the ash heap of history.

Peter Dickinson is Editor of the Atlantic Council’s UkraineAlert Service.

Further reading

The views expressed in UkraineAlert are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Atlantic Council, its staff, or its supporters.

The Eurasia Center’s mission is to enhance transatlantic cooperation in promoting stability, democratic values and prosperity in Eurasia, from Eastern Europe and Turkey in the West to the Caucasus, Russia and Central Asia in the East.

Follow us on social media
and support our work

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Vladimir Putin’s WWII victory cult is a recipe for international aggression https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/ukrainealert/vladimir-putins-wwii-victory-cult-is-a-recipe-for-international-aggression/ Sun, 08 May 2022 12:38:35 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=521274 Vladimir Putin has transformed Russia's traditional Victory Day commemorations marking the defeat of Nazi Germany into a nationalistic celebration of militarism that helps justify Moscow's war of aggression in Ukraine.

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Military parades will take place across Russia on May 9 as the country honors the defeat of Nazi Germany with traditional Victory Day celebrations.

This holiday dates back to the end of WWII but it has undergone a dramatic upgrade during the reign of Vladimir Putin. Since coming to power at the turn of the millennium, Putin has transformed veneration of the Soviet victory over Nazi Germany into something approaching a religious cult and has placed it at the heart of modern Russian national identity.

Under Putin, Victory Day has become the holiest day on the Russian calendar and a ubiquitous feature of patriotic propaganda. Meanwhile, anyone who dares question the Kremlin’s highly sanitized version of the “Great Patriotic War,” as WWII is still known in Russia, is treated with a severity once reserved for medieval heretics.

Putin’s victory cult serves a number of useful functions for the Kremlin. It has proved remarkably effective in reviving Russian patriotism following the humiliation of the Soviet collapse and the missed opportunities of the 1990s. It has also provided the perfect antidote to grim revelations of Stalinist terror while helping to whitewash the extensive crimes against humanity committed by the USSR during and after WWII.

The contemporary political implications of this victory cult go far beyond the need to reconcile modern Russians with their country’s troubling twentieth century history. By rehabilitating the Soviet past, Putin has succeeded in legitimizing the authoritarian present.

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Throughout Putin’s reign, Russia has enthusiastically deployed the language and symbolism of WWII as rhetorical weapons against the country’s perceived enemies, who are routinely denounced as “fascists” and “Nazis.” The list of domestic and international targets is necessarily long and includes more or less anyone who disagrees with the Kremlin. However, pride of place is reserved for Ukraine, which has long been portrayed by Russian officials and propagandists as the heir to Nazi Germany.

In recent years, this mythmaking has become a matter of life and death for millions of Ukrainians. Ever since the 2014 seizure of Crimea, the propaganda narrative of “Nazi Ukraine” has been used extensively to justify further Russian aggression against the country. Unsurprisingly, Putin claimed in his February 24 declaration of war that the primary goal of the current invasion was the “de-Nazification” of Ukraine.

For adherents of Putin’s victory cult, Ukraine’s Nazi status has become an article of faith that requires no evidence or further explanation. This belief in the “Nazi Ukraine” narrative has remained unchanged despite inconvenient facts such as the complete absence of far-right parties in the Ukrainian government or the 2019 election of Jewish Russian-speaker Volodymyr Zelenskyy as Ukrainian president.

Over the past ten weeks of full-scale warfare, the terms “Ukraine” and “Nazi” have become virtual synonyms within the Kremlin media bubble. Indeed, a high-profile article published by Russian state news agency RIA Novosti in April stated explicitly that “de-Nazification” actually meant “de-Ukrainization” and anticipated the destruction of the Ukrainian nation.

Russsia’s so-called “special military operation” in Ukraine is so inundated with false historical narratives rooted in Putin’s victory cult that much of the war-related commentary now coming out of the Kremlin is completely detached from reality and impossible to decipher without reference to the Kremlin’s twisted WWII mythology. This was most recently demonstrated by Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov’s anti-Semitic outburst on Italian TV, which saw him claim that Zelenskyy’s Jewish identity meant nothing as “Hitler also had Jewish blood.”

Putin and his colleagues desperately need a history lesson in the realities of WWII and the Soviet role in the conflict. While the Western allies were armies of liberation during WWII who brought democracy and long-term stability to much of Europe, the Red Army led an occupation that left tens of millions trapped behind the Iron Curtain. Modern Russia still refuses to recognize this uncomfortable truth, preferring instead to accuse the nations of Central Europe of ingratitude.

Every nation needs to question its past. Unfortunately, the Russian Federation under Vladimir Putin is actively engaged in denial. This includes attempts to justify many of the most shameful episodes of the Soviet era. The Kremlin is particularly sensitive to discussion of the August 1939 Nazi-Soviet Pact which divided Eastern Europe and directly sparked WWII. Putin has gone to remarkable lengths to defend the Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact and has criminalized any attempts to suggest Soviet responsibility for the outbreak of war.  

Modern Russia’s victory cult also seeks to nationalize the allied defeat of Hitler. It makes almost no mention of the US Lend-Lease Act that provided the USSR with close to USD 160 billion (in current dollar terms) in weapons and other vital supplies. Likewise, Putin’s transformation of Victory Day into a celebration of Russian nationalism means that the countless soldiers from other Soviet republics are largely airbrushed out of the Kremlin’s WWII narrative. Needless to say, rose-tinted Russian coverage of the war largely ignores the staggeringly callous use of Soviet troops as cannon fodder or the hundreds of thousands of Red Army soldiers executed by their own comrades.

Meanwhile, the Kremlin reacts with fury and indignation whenever attention is drawn to the widespread accounts of mass rape and other atrocities as the Red Army advanced into Central Europe. Russia’s failure to officially acknowledge these crimes is not merely an historical injustice. On the contrary, Moscow’s glorification of the perpetrators has helped create a sense of impunity that paved the way for the strikingly similar atrocities witnessed in recent months throughout the occupied regions of Ukraine.

Stalin’s vindication after WWII is one of the factors that makes Putin so reckless now. If Stalin could stand tall among the winners despite his heinous crimes and complete disregard for human life, why shouldn’t Putin accomplish something similar? The West’s readiness in 1945 to allow the partition of post-war Europe was a betrayal of Western values that sanctioned the triumph of one authoritarian system over another. Putin expects today’s Western leaders to display similar moral flexibility on the subject of Ukraine.

For the past two decades, Putin has distorted and weaponized the Soviet WWII experience in order to revitalize Russian nationalism and justify an expansionist foreign policy. The sheer scale of Soviet losses in the fight against Hitler has made many outside observers reluctant to criticize this trend, but it is now clear that Putin’s victory cult is a recipe for international aggression. It has created a menacing climate of militarism within Russia that has already spilled over into Ukraine with catastrophic consequences. Unless this cult is confronted and condemned, other countries will suffer a similar fate.

Andrej Lushnycky is president of the Ukrainian Society of Switzerland.

Further reading

The views expressed in UkraineAlert are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Atlantic Council, its staff, or its supporters.

The Eurasia Center’s mission is to enhance transatlantic cooperation in promoting stability, democratic values and prosperity in Eurasia, from Eastern Europe and Turkey in the West to the Caucasus, Russia and Central Asia in the East.

Follow us on social media
and support our work

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Allies: Video by Ana Maria Porras https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/content-series/allies-us-colombia-book/allies-by-ana-maria-porras/ Tue, 03 May 2022 15:09:15 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=519588 Visual Essay by Dr. Ana Maria Porras in Allies: 28 Bold Ideas to Reimagine the US-Colombia Relationship.

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Dr. Ana Maria Porras, Biomedical Engineer and the University of Florida, discusses STEM* cooperation between Colombia and the United States.

On June 1st, the Adrienne Arsht Latin America Center published its first book Allies: 28 Bold Ideas to Reimagine the US-Colombia Relationship. To view book contents and watch more visual essays, click here.

*STEM = Science, Technology, Engineering, and Mathematics

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Allies: Video by Carlos Vives https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/commentary/video/allies-by-carlos-vives/ Tue, 03 May 2022 14:59:57 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=519594 Visual Essay by Carlos Vives in Allies: 28 Bold Ideas to Reimagine the US-Colombia Relationship.

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Carlos Vives, singer-songwriter, actor, businessman, and member of the Adrienne Arsht Latin America Center’s Advisory Council, discusses cooperation in the arts between Colombia and the United States.

On June 1st, the Adrienne Arsht Latin America Center published its first book Allies: 28 Bold Ideas to Reimagine the US-Colombia Relationship. To view book contents and watch more visual essays, click here.

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Putin’s Generation Z: Kremlin pro-war propaganda targets young Russians https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/ukrainealert/putins-generation-z-kremlin-pro-war-propaganda-targets-young-russians/ Mon, 18 Apr 2022 21:03:07 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=514112 The wave of fanaticism unleashed by the invasion of Ukraine is creating a new generation of radicalized young Russians who embrace the toxic brand of militarism and extreme nationalism promoted by the Kremlin.

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Vladimir Putin’s Ukraine War is not going according to plan, with Ukrainian forces rebuffing attempts to capture Kyiv and forcing a general Russian retreat from the north of the country. Nevertheless, there remains no end in sight to hostilities, with every indication that Moscow is preparing for a long campaign. As the Russian military begins a new offensive in eastern Ukraine, the Kremlin is accelerating efforts to indoctrinate young Russians and consolidate the pro-war consensus on the domestic front for a further generation.

Videos and pictures are currently appearing across the country of young Russians showing their support for the invasion of Ukraine. Many of the children and teens featured in this pro-war content display the “Z” symbol that has become emblematic of the war following its adoption as a marker by Russia’s invasion force.

This emphasis on youth is no accident. It reflects concerns within the Kremlin that internet-savvy younger Russians are more resistant to state propaganda and have the knowledge to access censored information online. The emerging generation is also more likely to hold favorable views of Europe and the United States than older Russians who continue to get most of their information from Putin’s propaganda networks.

This caution is easy to understand, especially given the prominence of students and teens during a wave of protests that took place during the first weeks of the invasion. However, these protests have since died down amid indications that government intimidation tactics are proving effective. The Kremlin has encouraged Russians to rally round the flag by portraying the war as an existential struggle between Russia and the West. Meanwhile, anti-war messaging has been denounced as unpatriotic and anti-Russian.

The Kremlin’s polarizing “them and us” framing of the war has been amplified by Putin himself, who has called for a “self-cleansing of society” from “scum and traitors.” This is fuelling aggression against anyone on the wrong side of his dichotomy. In one recent incident, a young investigative journalist’s door in Moscow was targeted with graffiti declaring her a traitor. A young activist who went viral for reading the Russian constitution to riot police during protests in 2019 also recently found graffiti on her door reading “Don’t sell out your homeland, bitch.” In both cases, the menacing messages were accompanied by a “Z.”

Faced with the growing risk of political violence and grim economic prospects, tens of thousands of mostly young Russians are now fleeing the country to places like Turkey, Central Asia, and the South Caucasus. Since the war began on February 24, some estimates put the overall figure for this exodus at around 200,000 people. This includes many of the more progressive elements of Russian society such as independent journalists and tech sector professionals.

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With opposition to the war among young Russians largely sidelined or silenced, the Kremlin is escalating its long campaign to give Russian kids a “patriotic education” designed to secure their loyalty and shape their future ideological outlook.

Almost ten years ago, Putin called on Russian historians to develop a new history curriculum free from “internal contradictions and ambiguities.” The resulting revisionist version of history included efforts to rehabilitate the personal reputation of Josef Stalin and promote positive aspects of the Soviet era while emphasizing the USSR’s role in the victory over Nazi Germany.

Efforts continue to bring classroom teaching into line with Kremlin thinking. Recent additions to the curriculum have included materials justifying aggression against Ukraine. In Murmansk, schools have been requested to include new materials describing Ukraine’s “genocide against Russians” and the country’s supposed “anti-Russian path.” Teaching materials argue that Ukraine is a Nazi-friendly country controlled by the West.

At the end of March 2022, Russian kindergartens and schools began sharing posts showing their students working in support of the country’s “special military operation” in Ukraine. Children were made to write letters to the front with drawings of military symbols such as ribbons, carnations, the Russian flag, and the now omnipresent “Z.” At one school in Kaliningrad, children learned a new patriotic song redrawing Russia’s borders and featuring the lyrics: “from Donetsk to the Kremlin, from Lugansk to the Kremlin, from Alaska to the Kremlin, this is my motherland.”

Politicized classrooms can have a profound long-term impact on children. Due to their typically narrow social circle, reliance on elders and authority figures, and limited awareness of history and current affairs, children are particularly vulnerable to the kind of indoctrination currently taking place in schools across Russia.

Similar processes are also underway outside of the Russian education system. For example, the Murmansk Youth Committee has been making headlines recently by mobilizing young people for rallies and propaganda videos. These mobilizations have included the involvement of the Murmansk-based North Fleet, which is a source of considerable local prestige and pride.

Many recent pro-war events featuring the participation of young Russians have also relied heavily on Russia’s Youth Army, an organization established in 2015 by Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu to train future military personnel. In recent weeks, Ukrainian intelligence sources have accused Russia of preparing to conscript underage children from the movement to help replenish mounting losses in the ongoing war.

Critics fear public displays of pro-war militarism may help to radicalize a new generation of Russians and lead to the kind of zealotry witnessed during the darkest days of the Soviet era, which saw campaigns encouraging children to denounce their own parents. There are already signs that such trends are reappearing in Russian society. When one Russian schoolteacher recently mentioned to students that she believed the invasion of Ukraine was a “mistake,” a student secretly recorded the exchange and turned her in to the authorities. The teacher received a RUB 30,000 fine and lost her job.

The next big date to watch is May 9 as the Kremlin gears up for its annual WWII Victory Day celebrations. Given Russia’s efforts to frame the invasion of Ukraine as a continuation of the heroic struggle against fascism, this national holiday is likely to be the largest pro-war event since the outbreak of hostilities in late February. The authorities will look to engage as many young Russians as possible and will be aiming to use the strong emotional pull of victory over Hitler to help legitimize the current war effort in Ukraine.  

While it is difficult to gauge exactly how effective Kremlin efforts have been in fostering pro-war sentiment among young Russians, the available data suggests considerable success. A March 31 survey by Russia’s leading independent pollster, the Levada Center, found that 71% of 18- to 24-year-olds backed the war, just 10% below the national average for all age groups. Meanwhile, a more recent Levada Center survey found that 54% in the 18-24 segment harbored negative attitudes toward Ukraine compared to an average among all respondents of 57%.

There is a real danger that the wave of fanaticism unleashed by the invasion of Ukraine will create a new generation of radicalized young Russians who enthusiastically embrace the toxic brand of militarism and extreme nationalism promoted by the Kremlin. This could prolong the current confrontation between Russia and the West for many decades to come, leading to the continuation of Putinism long after Putin himself has exited the world stage.

Doug Klain is an assistant director at the Atlantic Council’s Eurasia Center in Washington, DC. Find him on Twitter @DougKlain.

Further reading

The views expressed in UkraineAlert are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Atlantic Council, its staff, or its supporters.

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How Putin’s Russia embraced fascism while preaching anti-fascism https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/ukrainealert/how-putins-russia-embraced-fascism-while-preaching-anti-fascism/ Sun, 17 Apr 2022 16:55:20 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=513572 Vladimir Putin poses as an "anti-fascist" leader engaged in the noble task of “de-Nazifying” Ukraine, but in reality it is Putin's increasingly fascist Russia that is in urgent need of “de-Nazification,” writes Taras Kuzio.

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When Vladimir Putin first came to power at the turn of the millennium, one of the main challenges he faced was the need to repair battered Russian national pride following a decade of post-Soviet turbulence marked by economic collapse and endless revelations of Soviet-era crimes against humanity.

Putin’s solution was disarmingly simple but brilliantly effective. He set out to revive Russian patriotism by building a modern national identity around the Soviet Union’s role in the defeat of Nazi Germany. While WWII had always played a prominent role in shaping the national psyche, under Putin it would ascend to new heights as the defining moment in Russian history.

Far from being ashamed of their Soviet past, Russians were now told that they could be proud of belonging to a “victor nation.” Instead of dwelling on the millions of innocent victims murdered during the Stalin era, they should honor the righteous heroics of the Soviet war effort. 

This veneration of the Soviet WWII experience proved hugely popular with the Russian public. Over the past two decades, it has evolved into a quasi-religious cult complete with its own lexicon, rituals, monuments, and holy days. In 2020, it even received its very own cathedral.

As with any religion, heresy is not tolerated. Deviations from the officially approved narratives of the victor nation are subject to criminal prosecution and blasphemy is dealt with ruthlessly. In Putin’s Russia, there is no greater crime than to question the sanctity of the Soviet victory over Nazi Germany.

The kleptocratic Putin regime has used this victory cult to establish the illusion of an ideological commitment to fighting fascism. In line with this anti-fascist posturing, opponents of the current Russian authorities are routinely branded as fascists and Nazis. These vague but emotive labels have been attached to a dizzying array of adversaries ranging from domestic dissidents to recalcitrant neighbors.  

Nowhere is modern Russia’s fixation with “phantom fascists” more immediately apparent than in Kremlin policy toward Ukraine. For years, Moscow has equated Ukrainian national identity with fascism while depicting Russian aggression in Ukraine as a continuation of the struggle against Nazi Germany.

The Kremlin’s absurd claims ignore the inconvenient reality that today’s Ukraine is a vibrant democracy with a popularly elected Jewish president and a far-right fringe that consistently fails to secure more than 2% in national elections. Instead, Russian audiences are encouraged to regard the present invasion of Ukraine as an anti-fascist crusade to rid the world of Hitler’s heirs.

Moscow’s efforts to portray the war in Ukraine as a battle against Nazism have been widely mocked and comprehensively rejected by the international community. These anti-fascist pretensions are rendered even more ridiculous by the country’s own steady descent under Putin into full-blown fascism. Indeed, the current war in Ukraine has led many to conclude that modern Russia is following in the footsteps of the fascist dictatorships it claims to oppose.

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Defining whether a regime qualifies as fascist is no easy matter. Indeed, as far back as 1944, George Orwell was complaining that the word “fascism” had become “almost entirely meaningless” and was simply used as a synonym for “bully.” Nevertheless, most definitions of fascism would indicate a dictatorial system of government marked by nationalism, militarism, xenophobia, revisionism and expansionism. Putin’s Russia unquestionably ticks all of these boxes.   

Russia completed its transition from authoritarianism to dictatorship following constitutional changes adopted in 2020 via a sham referendum that allowed Putin to remain in power until 2036. This confirmed his status as president for life and extinguished any lingering hopes regarding the possibility of Russia’s future democratic evolution. Since 2020, political opposition, independent media, and all forms of public protest have been subjected to new levels of suppression in Russia and ruthlessly crushed.

This process has accelerated in recent months as the Kremlin has sought to silence domestic opposition to the war in Ukraine. Draconian censorship laws have introduced criminal responsibility for any deviations from the official government narrative of a “special military operation” to “de-Nazify” Ukraine. Meanwhile, Putin’s speeches to justify the invasion have increasingly echoed the rhetoric of twentieth century fascist regimes. This has included calls for the purification of the nation and vicious denunciations of national traitors

Throughout his reign, Putin has consistently mobilized toxic nationalism as a key building block of his dictatorship. This process began in the early days of Putin’s presidency when he brought back the Soviet national anthem. It has continued to gain momentum ever since.

Following Ukraine’s 2004 Orange Revolution, the Kremlin embraced conservative nationalism as a safeguard against any similar pro-democracy uprisings inside Russia. This led to the formation of groups such as “Nashi,” a virulently nationalistic pro-Kremlin youth group that was widely compared to the Hitler Youth. In addition to the aforementioned victory cult surrounding WWII, Putin has also elevated the role of the Russian Orthodox Church in national life and promoted the idea of Russia as a “distinct civilization.”  

The rampant nationalism of the Putin era has been accompanied by growing militarism fostered by everything from films and TV serials to public holidays and the national curriculum for Russian schoolchildren. The militaristic mood in the country has reflected the realities of Putin’s foreign policy, with Russia at war for much of his reign. Prior to the current full-scale invasion of Ukraine, the country had waged a series of wars in Chechnya, Georgia, eastern Ukraine and Syria.

This militarism is now being further fanned in Russia by the use of the letter “Z” which has emerged as a symbol of Putin’s war in Ukraine after being used to identify vehicles within the invasion force. Russians are being encouraged to display Z’s wherever possible to show their support for the war, with many commentators comparing the increasingly ubiquitous letter to the Nazi Swastika.  

Efforts to generate popular support for the war effort appear to be working. A recent survey conducted by Russia’s only independent pollster, the Levada Center, found that 81% of Russians back the invasion. These findings are confirmed by a steady flow of videos and posts on social media in support of the war. At the same time, Russian anti-war protests have failed to gather any momentum and have instead remained underwhelming.

As Putin’s Russia has moved closer to traditional definitions of fascism, the regime has increasingly embraced xenophobic narratives designed to dehumanize Ukrainians as the country’s most significant national enemy. Indeed, an essay published by Putin himself in July 2021 denying Ukraine’s right to exist and claiming Russians and Ukrainians are “one people” merely put into writing the racist beliefs he has long held and espoused. In addition to depicting Ukrainians as Nazis and extremists, Russian propaganda has long rejected the legitimacy of Ukraine as an independent state and dismissed the entire concept of a separate Ukrainian national identity as a foreign plot meant to divide and weaken Russia.

This anti-Ukrainian rhetoric has escalated alarmingly in recent months. On the eve of the current war, Putin condemned Ukraine as an intolerable “anti-Russia” run by “neo-Nazis and drug addicts” and accused Kyiv of occupying historically Russian lands. With Moscow now facing unexpected military setbacks and suffering painful battlefield losses, openly genocidal threats directed at Ukraine have become an everyday feature of Russia’s Kremlin-controlled mainstream media.

Putin’s revanchist foreign policy goals closely fit the fascism template and directly echo the revisionist agenda pursued by Adolf Hitler almost a century earlier. Like the Nazi leader before him, Putin has openly expressed his desire to challenge what he sees as the unjust verdict of a lost war. While Hitler sought to undo the Treaty of Versailles, Putin’s objective has been to reverse the outcome of the Cold War. Both dictators have framed their expansionist policies as sacred missions to rescue ethnic kinsfolk from artificial separation and foreign oppression. 

Putin refers to the breakup of the USSR as “the disintegration of historical Russia” and seeks to reunite what he regards as Russia’s rightful inheritance. First and foremost, this means reconquering Ukraine. The Russian ruler has sought to justify his aggressive foreign policy by claiming that large parts of today’s Ukraine were erroneously attached to the country by Vladimir Lenin during the early years of the Soviet Union. In other words, the current invasion is merely the latest and most extreme expression of Putin’s long-stated expansionist aims.

The disastrous results of Russia’s descent into fascism are now clear for all to see. In addition to transforming Russia into a dictatorship, Putin has unleashed a war of annihilation in neighboring Ukraine that both US President Joe Biden and his predecessor Donald Trump have condemned as genocide.

Russian war crimes in Ukraine have stunned global audiences but the atrocities we are now witnessing should really come as no surprise. On the contrary, they are the logical consequence of a dictatorial regime that has enthusiastically embraced nationalism, militarism, expansionism, and anti-Ukrainian xenophobia for many years in plain sight.

The international community must now urgently respond to the grave threat posed by Russian fascism before it is too late. This means dramatically escalating sanctions while providing Ukraine with the weapons it needs to defend itself. Vladimir Putin pretends to be “de-Nazifying” democratic Ukraine, but it is clearly Russia itself that requires “de-Nazification.”

Taras Kuzio is a Research Fellow at the Henry Jackson Society and author of the recently published “Russian Nationalism and the Russian-Ukrainian War.”

Further reading

The views expressed in UkraineAlert are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Atlantic Council, its staff, or its supporters.

The Eurasia Center’s mission is to enhance transatlantic cooperation in promoting stability, democratic values and prosperity in Eurasia, from Eastern Europe and Turkey in the West to the Caucasus, Russia and Central Asia in the East.

Follow us on social media
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Amb. Rahmani in Washington Post: The world must demand the Taliban stop restricting girls’ education https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/insight-impact/in-the-news/amb-rahmani-in-washington-post-the-world-must-demand-the-taliban-stop-restricting-girls-education/ Mon, 11 Apr 2022 17:33:09 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=511584 The post Amb. Rahmani in Washington Post: The world must demand the Taliban stop restricting girls’ education appeared first on Atlantic Council.

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Let Afghan girls learn https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/southasiasource/let-afghan-girls-learn/ Tue, 29 Mar 2022 15:41:02 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=506037 The Taliban must be held accountable for the damage they have caused and continue to inflict upon the people–and most critically the women and girls–of Afghanistan.

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On March 23, 2022, the Taliban abruptly announced that schooling for girls beyond grade 6 would remain closed until further notice, citing technical issues as the reason for the closure. That morning, girls in Afghanistan were brimming with passion and enthusiasm as they prepared to return to the classroom after waiting for seven months for secondary schools to reopen. This decision by the Taliban resulted in girls being turned away from school, many in tears.

This scenario is exactly what I feared would happen when the Taliban took over in August 2021. I feared that restrictive policies on women and girls, violations of human rights, and a totalitarian system would undermine and silence the education and progressive achievement of youth and adults in Afghanistan. That said, this decision by the Taliban has not shocked me–it has been clear from day one that the Taliban have not changed ideologically but are simply playing politics to to gain and sustain power. Now, however, they are using girls’ education and women’s freedom as political tools to negotiate their demand for recognition and foreign financial assistance to sustain their regime. This is one of the worst decisions that the Taliban enforced on society since taking over and is primed to have both social and political consequences in Afghanistan.

Though the Taliban said in a statement that the reason for school closures was due to technical issues related to school uniforms, it could simply be a political move. It may also have larger political consequences for the Taliban regime–they have broken the trust of the people of Afghanistan and the international community. The closure of girls’ education and restrictions on women’s activities are based on the Taliban’s ideological and political stances. Though the Taliban have used women’s and girls’ freedom and education as political tools to negotiate their demands for recognition and economic assistance, the decision to postpone girls’ access to education will have larger consequences for Afghanistan that the group may have not calculated. First, this decision could impact the flow of funding that was meant to address the ongoing economic and humanitarian crisis; it may also shift the momentum of international funding created in hopes of addressing Afghanistan’s severe humanitarian crisis. Second, the lack of transparency in the Taliban’s decision making system will further perpetuate the environment of mistrust in Afghanistan, especially since there have been voices across the country expressing their frustration with this news and many of whom are planning to leave the country, if they have not already.

What restrictions on girls’ education means for girls in Afghanistan

The announcement that schools would not open was the most devastating news Afghan girls could have heard when they were ironing their school uniforms and arranging their backpacks and books. For the past seven months, these girls have been dreaming of being back in the classroom with their teachers and classmates, retrieving some of their freedom and their place in society. An immediate negative impact of the decision to ban girls from attending secondary school is the interruption in their one year school schedule. 

Secondary schools for girls have been closed since the Taliban assumed power in August 2021 and girls have already missed a large portion of the current school year. For teenage girls in Afghanistan, attending school is a way to leave the boundaries of their homes and be part of a learning society. The act of attending school is a source of empowerment that gives them an identity, a presence, and self-esteem. Preventing girls from entering the gates of school due to their gender undermines their identity and wrongfully assures them that they have no place in the society of learning. Nothing could be more disastrous to girls’ self-esteem than to learn that their gender–something they cannot change–is the sole prohibitive characteristic denying them their education. 

This is an extreme act of cruelty that rulers can impose on a population who is still in their very early stages of growth and development. This experience can bring on emotional trauma and can have negative long-term impacts on how girls see themselves, which shapes their self-perception and behavior as well as their aspirations for the future. A young woman’s entire perception about her agency and life is affected by the decision of a ruling class which is totalitarian and misogynist by nature. Punishing a population because of its gender and undermining their capabilities by confining them to certain boundaries is a crime against humanity. 

What restrictions on girls’ education means for Afghanistan

These restrictions on girls’ education and women’s freedom of movement will further strengthen a patriarchal system, institutionalize structural violence in society, and normalize discrimination and violence against women. It will further embed misogynistic behaviors, including promoting girls’ child marriage, in a society that needs greater resistance to such behaviors. These decisions promote and allow structural discrimination to stay intact in a society that is already prone and ripe for structural violence. It also creates fear and frustration amongst the larger population about the future of girls’ education and broader restrictions that will further limit their growth and development. In fact, exploring options outside their own country to secure their daughter’s education is likely to be another factor for people to choose migration over staying in a restrictive homeland.

Considering all of these factors, the world should not abandon the women and girls in Afghanistan. It is imperative, more than ever, to amplify the voices of women and girls and enable the conditions for them to participate in education and work. In addition to opening schools, the focus should be on ensuring access to quality curriculum and textbooks, the hiring of qualified teachers, and the protection of girls once they resume school. A monitoring system should be in place to oversee the education system, including schools and universities, and ensure that girls are treated properly and protected. The Taliban continues to hold millions of girls hostage while using women and girls’ rights to negotiate their own political and financial demands.

The Taliban must not be given any more leverage. Instead, they should be held accountable for the damage they have caused and continue to inflict upon the people–and most critically the women and girls–of Afghanistan.

Dr Nilofar Sakhi is a non-resident senior fellow at the Atlantic Council’s South Asia Center.

The South Asia Center serves as the Atlantic Council’s focal point for work on the region as well as relations between these countries, neighboring regions, Europe, and the United States.

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Israel Initiative’s Abraham Accords Caucus event covered in Israel Hayom https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/insight-impact/in-the-news/israel-initiatives-abraham-accords-caucus-event-covered-in-israel-hayom/ Sun, 13 Mar 2022 17:52:00 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=500884 The post Israel Initiative’s Abraham Accords Caucus event covered in Israel Hayom appeared first on Atlantic Council.

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Israel Initiative’s Abraham Accords Caucus event covered by the Jewish News Syndicate https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/insight-impact/in-the-news/israel-initiatives-abraham-accords-caucus-event-covered-by-the-jewish-news-syndicate/ Fri, 11 Mar 2022 18:33:00 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=500851 The post Israel Initiative’s Abraham Accords Caucus event covered by the Jewish News Syndicate appeared first on Atlantic Council.

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Middle East Program’s event with the Abraham Accords Caucus was mentioned in Politico National Security Daily https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/insight-impact/in-the-news/middle-east-programs-event-with-the-abraham-accords-caucus-was-mentioned-in-politico-national-security-daily/ Mon, 07 Mar 2022 16:21:00 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=497947 The post Middle East Program’s event with the Abraham Accords Caucus was mentioned in Politico National Security Daily appeared first on Atlantic Council.

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Sanctioning Putin’s Ukraine War: Time to cut academic ties with Russia? https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/ukrainealert/sanctioning-putins-ukraine-war-time-to-cut-academic-ties-with-russia/ Fri, 04 Mar 2022 21:01:53 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=495513 As the West imposes crushing sanctions on Russia over Vladimir Putin's full-scale invasion of Ukraine, governments must also address the complex issue of academic cooperation with Russian universities.

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In all the talk of sanctions against Russia, there’s one important area that is only beginning to get some high-level attention: scientific and academic cooperation. If the West’s efforts to isolate Russia are to succeed, this sector needs clearer guidance from government.

Consider the stakes. Russia has the fourth-largest scientific and technical workforce in the world. It has an especially strong publication record in materials science, artificial intelligence, and robotics.

Crucially, Russian science depends on Western cooperation. According to UNESCO, 24% of Russian scientific papers from 2017 to 2019 were co-authored with international partners, especially Americans and Germans.

Yet so far, while the NATO allies have been fairly unified in how to handle Russian banking, trade, technology and oligarchs, they have only nibbled at the edges of the scientific world. It is, of course, a big and complicated sector that spends more than USD 2 trillion a year globally.

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Universities aren’t banks that can be ordered to block a transaction. Their whole purpose is exchanging and developing knowledge across disciplines and borders. And they have for centuries provided handy back-channels for communications, distinct from formal and often dysfunctional government-to-government relations.

Operating in the same ethos, most government grant administrators try, within the limits of their national legislation, to support such exchanges and cooperation. For instance, the European Commission’s 37-year-old Framework Programs spent 10% of its budget on funding for researchers outside the EU in a deliberate policy to strengthen Europe by working with smart people across the globe. This includes Russians, who received EUR 14 million from 2014 to 2020.

In such a globalized and collaborative culture, the idea of cutting anybody off is shocking and only a war as shocking as that in Ukraine would suffice. But efforts to cut Russian academia off have barely begun.

The first response came, surprisingly, from Germany. Within 48 hours of the invasion, Germany’s research ministry ordered a suspension of institutional collaborations on research with Russia. The Danish government then followed suit. The European Commission was next, suspending R&D payments to Russian partners. The Dutch and Slovenian governments also suspended institutional ties. Finally, some of the European academic associations began speaking up. However, their counterparts in the US, UK and Canada have so far maintained an awkward silence.

The result has been a crazy-quilt of varying responses. In the US, MIT announced it is terminating its 11-year partnership with Moscow’s tech hub, Skolkovo. But in Belgium, the Ghent University rector declared he won’t drop a single activity from its big Russia Platform partnership. And around the world, official advice to universities has been slow and generally vague, leaving faculties to debate the issue internally by themselves.

In this vacuum, a consensus is slowly emerging in Western academia to punish the Russian institutions but not individual researchers or students. For instance, Boris Lushniak, Obama-era acting Surgeon General and now a dean at the University of Maryland, advises colleagues that they should avoid new collaborative projects with Russia, but not break existing obligations. In other words, respect Russian students and scholars already on Western campuses, but don’t invite new ones. Do keep up online ties and data-sharing with Russian colleagues, but don’t travel to scientific conferences in Russia or invite Russian scientists to those in the West. The intent is to send a clear message to Russian colleagues that something’s very wrong without cutting off all lines of communications with them.

I suggest this kind of nuanced approach is a good start but would benefit from further elaboration. For instance, the type of research matters. There could be no practical harm and much good from continuing exchanges on humanities, social sciences, agriculture or most health fields including COVID-19. But collaboration on AI, robotics, quantum and space research pose far greater risks of helping Russian science in ways we wouldn’t want. And it’s easier to continue collaboration in early-stage research, which can take a decade or more to produce practical results, than in later-stage R&D. It’s a short hop from a quantum-computing demonstrator to a new crypto-code breaker.

Of course, you could argue to stop it all: no more joint projects, no more student exchanges, no more CERNs or International Space Stations. But that’s a terrible precedent for the global science endeavor: Today Russia, tomorrow China, the world’s second-biggest R&D country? The scientific world would balkanize, reversing 500 years of cooperative progress.

Let us also not forget the Russian scientists themselves. Hundreds of them have been brave enough to publicly sign an anti-war petition. It is worth remembering that during the Cold War, there would have been no Sakharov or Scharansky if the West had simply shut them out of the global scientific dialogue.

The situation is clearly complicated. Governments can’t issue blanket orders to Stanford or Imperial College the way they can to Intel or Deutsche Bank. Still, they need to send a message.

Funding agencies everywhere need to say, unequivocally, that they won’t pay the bills, at least for now, for research done with Russians. They need to suggest practical ways for individual universities and researchers to handle their Russian colleagues. This can involve reaffirming that it’s appropriate to maintain personal contacts and student exchanges, but not the right time for sensitive new projects. The current slowness to do so, virtually everywhere except in a few European capitals, is embarrassing and harmful.

Richard L. Hudson is editor-in-chief of European media company Science|Business, and former managing editor of the Wall Street Journal Europe.

Further reading

The views expressed in UkraineAlert are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Atlantic Council, its staff, or its supporters.

The Eurasia Center’s mission is to enhance transatlantic cooperation in promoting stability, democratic values and prosperity in Eurasia, from Eastern Europe and Turkey in the West to the Caucasus, Russia and Central Asia in the East.

Follow us on social media
and support our work

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The United States must help Afghan women and girls—even if it requires partnership with China https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-atlanticist/the-united-states-must-help-afghan-women-and-girls-even-if-it-requires-partnership-with-china/ Wed, 02 Mar 2022 16:07:58 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=493852 It’s time for the Biden administration to look beyond its competition with China and realize that sometimes cooperation makes sense, even with one’s adversaries.

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During the two decades of US involvement in Afghanistan, women and girls there enjoyed unprecedented opportunities. But the door to those opportunities closed violently with the Taliban takeover and US withdrawal last August. Now, Taliban fighters patrol the streets where girls once walked to school, and women are again denied jobs and even beaten if they dare venture outside alone. Despite pledges of “over the horizon” assistance and continuing aid after the withdrawal, the United States severely cut its human-rights funding. In the months since its withdrawal, the United States has abandoned Afghanistan’s women and girls for a second time.

The Women, Peace, and Security (WPS) Act of 2017 requires Washington to promote the role of women and girls in peace, security, and conflict prevention. No global crisis raises these issues more poignantly than the one in Afghanistan. Despite US President Joe Biden repeatedly reiterating support for gender equality and the WPS agenda, his administration lacks a plan to implement it and its actions undermine the progress of twenty years of US investment in Afghan women and girls.

US withdrawal and absence from Afghanistan requires new and painful adjustments, including even strategically cooperating with the power most likely to fill the vacuum left by the US withdrawal: China. Engaging with Beijing may help to avert a further escalating humanitarian crisis and even unnecessary loss of life caused by Taliban rule.

At first glance, these two are unlikely bedfellows. China is notoriously allergic to international human rights promotion, and its foreign policy includes a non-interference pillar that limits it from becoming involved in the internal affairs of other countries. It also maintains diplomatic ties with the Taliban, provides it significant aid, and could even recognize its government. For precisely these reasons and more, China may be the best partner for the United States as it attempts to stabilize an increasingly desperate situation:

First, China has leverage with the Taliban. The five-billion-dollar annual budget of Afghanistan is in shambles without donor funds, and the US Agency for International Development’s recent moves to allow only certain types of humanitarian assistance have exacerbated the problem. Without US aid, Afghan authorities have no income to pay salaries for public workers. Teachers, doctors, and diplomats all received salaries from money that was aid-based. Neither China nor the Taliban are paying these salaries now, throwing the domestic economy into shambles. But China’s willingness to provide some economic support with “no strings attached” ensures it is on the list of foreign powers to whom the Taliban are most likely to listen. And the group is already lending an ear: Its acting minister of foreign affairs met with Chinese State Councilor and Foreign Minister Wang Yi in Doha in October.

Second, China and the United States share interests in Afghanistan. China’s likely goal is a soft landing for Afghanistan under the Taliban—one in which civilians are protected and the Afghan government is moderate, inclusive, and committed to fighting terrorism. These are the same core interests of the United States, which has been willing to pursue more aggressive tactics to achieve these goals than China—most notably by slapping sanctions on the large number of Haqqani Network members in the Taliban government. Yet rather than using sticks such as sanctions, China is more willing to use carrots like aid and recognition; that is precisely the reason why they could make an effective security partner for the United States in relation to Afghanistan.

Third, having China as a partner in Afghanistan is much better than the alternative: yielding the field entirely to China and effectively abandoning the nineteen million Afghan women and girls. These women are police officers and soldiers; are educated in or training for careers in law, medicine, and politics; and form a generation of peacemakers. The United States invested in democracy and progress in Afghanistan, but in yielding the field to China, it leaves the country vulnerable to the influence of an authoritarian power that wouldn’t maintain same investment in women. Rather, China’s key interests are in Afghanistan’s stability, which does not require improving circumstances for women and girls. Afghan women peacemakers have been arguing for years about how important it is for women to maintain their seat in dialogue with Taliban fighters and even predicted that the Taliban would violently return to power if women were left out of Afghanistan’s political and social fabric.

Skeptics may be concerned that China will use Afghanistan to expand its economic influence, particularly through its Belt and Road Initiative. They may also point out that China’s counterterrorism interests differ from those of the international community: To date, China appears willing to work with the Taliban government, especially after the Taliban promised to not allow Uyghur movements to operate on Afghan soil. These risks do exist: China is likely to economically exploit Afghanistan, and it continues to take a brutal approach to Xinjiang separatists, failing to distinguish between those using peaceful versus violent means.

Yet the United States has a moral obligation not to abandon Afghans completely and to ensure the safety of women and girls, even if the price may include working with adversaries in Beijing. Here’s how the two countries might cooperate to give Afghan women a better future:

New humanitarian corridors: The United States should create these corridors with China as a partner to funnel relief supplies to Afghanistan and assist women who, having missed evacuation flights from Kabul, still need to flee. In December 2021, the UN Security Council authorized broad sanctions exceptions for humanitarian aid, as risk of a health, food, and political crisis continue to grow. But women and girls are often the last to get humanitarian aid. Shared humanitarian efforts by China and the United States can help to ensure more equitable distribution of humanitarian assistance and even stave off the worst risks of starvation and increased refugee flows.

Continued high-level engagement with Afghan women leaders: The United States and China should host dialogues with Afghan women at the highest levels—with added emphasis on the United States’ role because it is the global power most keenly invested in spreading democratic values that uplift women and girls. Beyond the fact that the WPS Act of 2017 requires it, continuing that dialogue would keep the voices of Afghan women at the center of US policy on Afghanistan—which is key for US aid and support to be effective. Only by knowing what Afghan women truly want and need can the United States successfully engage China on the implementation of these goals. China also has incentives to improve its global reputation as a supporter of women as recent #MeToo scandals created renewed pressure on its hosting of the Winter Olympics.

Economic development: The United States and China can collaborate on improving the Afghan economy, with a logical first step being the education and empowerment of  Afghan women. Encouraging women’s participation in the workforce is smart economics, according to UN Women, for the benefits they bring to the economy. Excluding fifty percent of the population from a nation’s economic engine has a dampening effect on a country’s economic strength. Supporting women’s participation in the labor force at all levels—from seamstresses to journalists and entrepreneurs—strengthens the economy. China’s own path to economic modernization, which included harnessing the power of women in the labor force, can serve as a model to the Taliban of how much economic progress can be made in a short time when women are included. In the United States and China, examples of what women can contribute to the economy can show the Taliban, which already complains about “brain drain,” that through full economic participation, rather than limiting them or even violently threatening and harming them, women can reverse Afghanistan’s unique form of “brain drain” and open up economic and educational opportunities for all citizens.

Regional integration: US efforts to bring women to political and decision-making tables would be more successful if the United States had regional influence. China has already announced its desire to play a leading role encouraging Afghanistan’s greater integration with its neighbors. Washington is naïve to think that its “over the horizon” diplomacy—engaging with Afghanistan’s Western former donors—is sufficient or a substitute for similar regional effort and integration. It would be smarter for Washington to find a seat at the table next to China among Afghan neighbors to advocate for the inclusion and empowerment of women and girls rather than to stay outside the process. The “Six plus Two” group could be a more influential model for US efforts given current political realities. Whether Washington’s ascendant China hawks like it or not, the most likely foreigners to influence the Taliban are Afghanistan’s neighbors, most notably China.

Counterterrorism cooperation: The US withdrawal and closure of its embassy vastly limits the country’s ability to track terrorist and other nefarious activity, such as the proliferation of drugs or cybercrime, emanating from Afghanistan. China will have these resources and, where US and Chinese interests overlap, it makes sense to work together to combat ISIS-K and other international terrorist movements. The international community has already recognized the importance of the WPS agenda in effectively countering terrorism.

These recommendations would not only elevate the voices of Afghan women and girls but also create better security outcomes for all Afghan people (which, ultimately, is the point of the WPS agenda). It’s time for the Biden administration to look beyond its competition with China and realize that sometimes cooperation makes sense, even with one’s adversaries. The people of Afghanistan, especially its women and girls, deserve no less.


Sahana Dharmapuri is the director of Our Secure Future: Women Make the Difference based in Washington, DC. She is a globally recognized expert on gender and security issues. Her work has appeared at the Atlantic Council, the Harvard Kennedy School of Government, the McCain Institute, Foreign Policy, and other venues.

Eric Richardson is the author of Getting More Back in Diplomacy and is a retired US diplomat who served in Beijing and at the UN Human Rights Council. He is founder of the Geneva-based nongovernmental organization INHR and teaches international law at the University of Michigan and University of California, Berkeley law schools.

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The UAE education system is pushing for peace and religious tolerance. The rest of the region should follow suit. https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/menasource/the-uae-education-system-is-pushing-for-peace-and-religious-tolerance-the-rest-of-the-region-should-follow-suit/ Wed, 02 Mar 2022 14:39:34 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=493555 Education is the key to fostering the development of peaceful and tolerant societies. However, it can also be a tool for political and religious radicalization, exploited by bad actors.

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Education is the key to fostering the development of peaceful and tolerant societies. However, it can also be a tool for political and religious radicalization, exploited by bad actors. Education not only reveals what a society believes at present, but also what it aspires to in the future—in other words, they are powerful political predictors. That is why when a country goes to great lengths to teach respect for the “other,” religious tolerance, and peacemaking as a way to resolve conflicts, it should be taken note of.  

In this case, that country is the United Arab Emirates (UAE). But what is it exactly that makes the Emirati curriculum so exceptional and how do textbooks affect the prospects of peace in the Middle East?

Universal standardized education is a relatively new phenomenon in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) and, unlike in the West, curricula in many Arab or Muslim majority countries are written, published, and disseminated directly by the state. Textbooks are already uniquely authoritative, but that is even more the case in the MENA region. Students typically receive one book per subject per semester, which contain both the officially-approved knowledge and exercises students use to study. Recognizing this power, some authorities have weaponized education to foster negative feelings and beliefs about enemies of the state. This can be directed at ethnic minorities, entire religious groups, and countries far beyond their borders.

Historically, a primary target for demonization in the region has, unsurprisingly, been Jews and Israel. Through extreme religious interpretations, historical distortions, and, in some cases, outright conspiracy theories, some MENA countries use curricula to perpetuate broad-based fear and hatred. This deprives their youth of an alternative vision of peace and mutual prosperity.

In 2011, leadership in the UAE became acutely aware of this pattern and cracked down on the radicalism that the Muslim Brotherhood had fomented in the country for many years. Through a process of innovation and transformation beginning in 2016, they took steps to ensure that national education would serve the new Emirati interest.

Well before the signing of the Abraham Accords in 2020—which normalized ties between Israel and the UAE, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—the UAE prepared the groundwork for real peace between peoples by leveraging the power of school textbooks. Students are prepared for a future in which national, ethnic, and religious pride coexists and complements values of openness, diversity, and global citizenship. A new comprehensive study by the Institute for Monitoring Peace and Cultural Tolerance in School Education (IMPACT-se) shows that the Emirati curriculum truly stands at the forefront of teaching these values and others throughout MENA region.

IMPACT-se has been examining school curricula since 1998, using United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization (UNESCO)-derived standards as a universal benchmark. After reviewing 220 Emirati school books for grades 1-12 during the 2021-2022 school year, IMPACT-se has yet to see another curriculum that has transformed itself not only to comply with these standards, but to actually prepare its population for a new era of peace and tolerance.

What are students in the UAE learning that is so impressive? At source, the way children are learning is important. Students are taught to value curiosity, dialogue, and critical thinking rather than rote memorization. These values aren’t relegated to application within Emirati society alone. Textbooks convey to students the importance of interacting with people different from themselves, conveying that all people are entitled to respect and dignity, including non-Muslims, non-Arabs, and non-citizens of the UAE. Not only do they teach this as a principle, but they also show how it leads to tangible benefits for both individuals and society at large.

The curriculum also focuses on feelings and experiences that give life meaning: it speaks about a healthy lifestyle, having a positive attitude, and experiencing and sharing happiness with others—including those outside their community—as crucial to living a rich and fulfilled life. Lessons in textbooks praise love, affection, and familial ties with non-Muslims; speak positively about interfaith relations, especially in relation to Christianity; and teach tolerance and acceptance of Judaism. In a welcome change of pace, IMPACT-se’s report didn’t find any examples of anti-Semitism or incitement toward Jews in the Emirati curriculum.

What is truly groundbreaking, however, is how the UAE utilizes its expansive Islamic education materials to promote these values, lending the full weight of religious authority. Surahs and Hadiths in the Quran emphasize peace and tolerance toward non-Muslims alongside other guidance for living a righteous and pious life in accordance with the faith. It explicitly rejects extremism and violence as being features of Islam—to the contrary, the sheer amount of Islamic material teaching tolerance and respect of Christians and Jews is inspirational. These values are not only espoused in writing, but in images and illustrations throughout textbooks across multiple grades and subjects.

Within weeks after their signing, the Abraham Accords were incorporated into three separate Islamic education textbooks for grades six, eight, and twelve. Students are asked to write essays and presentations about the positive impacts of the treaty and anti-Israel material has been moderated if not removed altogether. Indeed, there are no longer passages that presented anti-Semitic tropes and conspiracies. While commitment to the Palestinian cause is taught, noteworthy is the removal of a passage that presented the issue as “the basis of conflicts in the Middle East.”

The textbooks take a realist approach when interacting with regional political and security issues. Iran is portrayed as a hostile actor and service of the homeland—including martyrdom in its defense—is praised. At the same time, practical lessons on conflict resolution and peacemaking can be seen as well and, while no curriculum is perfect, the main issues that need to be addressed are in relation to limiting gender roles, and, ironically enough, the appearance of Israel on certain maps as an outline without the country label.

It’s no coincidence that, within their first year of formal relations, Israel and the UAE have conducted an estimated $600 million worth of business transactions and hundreds of thousands of tourists have traveled between the two countries in the middle of a global pandemic. Compare this to other states that have made peace with Israel but their populations have yet to approach this level of economic and cultural exchange. Even if it were argued that the textbooks aren’t a causal mechanism, the support for peace and religious tolerance in the Emirati curriculum reflects a dramatic change in what values the UAE seeks to impart to the next generation. More importantly, what can be learned from the Emirati curriculum is that this kind of normalization doesn’t happen in a vacuum—it must be supported and fostered in the classroom.

Marcus Sheff is the CEO for the Tel Aviv and London-based Institute for Monitoring Peace and Cultural Tolerance in School Education (IMPACT-se). Follow on Twitter: @IMPACT_SE.

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Moscow’s Memory Wars: Putin seeks to whitewash Russia’s Stalinist past https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/ukrainealert/memory-wars-putin-seeks-to-whitewash-russias-stalinist-past/ Sat, 15 Jan 2022 23:44:13 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=476534 Russia's recent move to shut down the Memorial International human rights organization is part of an ongoing Kremlin campaign to rehabilitate the Soviet era and whitewash the crimes of Russia's Stalinist past.

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On December 28, 2021, Russia’s Supreme Court ruled to liquidate Memorial International on charges of “repeated violations of the foreign agents law.” The decision marks a new milestone in the Putin regime’s efforts to silence debate over Soviet-era crimes and rehabilitate the country’s totalitarian past.

One of Russia’s oldest and most eminent human rights organizations addressing Stalinist-era repression, Memorial had earlier been included on the growing list of civil society organizations, media outlets and other institutions designated as “foreign agents” by the Russian authorities. This politically motivated legal framework is being used by the Kremlin to stifle pluralistic debate and free expression. The shuttering of Memorial’s vital work is a direct attack on history and memory in Russia.

Memorial’s forced closure carries special weight because of the organization’s singular role as a living archive for the stories, memories, and experiences of the millions who suffered under Stalin’s purges and other periods of Soviet repression. Controlling what constitutes “historical truth” and discouraging independent research is a chillingly effective tactic in consolidating authoritarian power, while also stigmatizing and discrediting human rights and civil society organizations.

Over the last two decades, Putin has mobilized the country’s politics of memory to serve his own political interests. The Russian government has forcibly bent the arc of the country’s historical narrative to diminish the individual voices of those who suffered under the Great Terror while glorifying the Soviet Union’s role in the allied victory over Nazi Germany. This narrative was even enshrined in the Russian Constitution in 2020.

It is no coincidence that during recent court proceedings, state prosecutor Alexei Zhafyarov attacked Memorial for its role in exposing Soviet crimes while emphasizing the importance of honoring Russia’s WWII legacy. “Why should we, descendants of the victors, be ashamed and repent, rather than take pride in our glorious past? Memorial is probably paid by someone for that,” the prosecutor argued.

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The International Coalition of Sites of Conscience, of which Memorial International is a founding member, works to ensure that the most challenging periods in history are remembered and used to spark dialogue about contemporary human rights issues. The Coalition’s members in Russia, including Memorial International, Perm-36, and Last Address, have reported increased government repression targeting memory initiatives and other efforts to cultivate space for open debate.

“For the last ten years, there has been a step-by-step process on the part of the government to create a universal narrative as to how the country should remember the past, stifling the voices of independent historians whose research does not conform to this narrative,” says Natalia Petrova, press attache at Memorial International. “Organizations like Memorial have received signals from the government about which stories and events are acceptable to examine and which are not.”

According to Petrova, one of the main themes that was originally sensitive for the state was the Second World War. In recent years, the list has expanded to include the Holodomor (1932-33) and the Katyn Massacre (1940).

“The government uses legislation, pressure, and propaganda in order to consolidate its narratives,” Petrova continues. “Organizations doing memory work that do not conform to the state narrative are shut down. Individual historians resort to self-censorship out of fear of harassment and intimidation. Society is divided and polarized due to the simplistic narratives pushed through traditional and online media.”

Russia’s war on memory reaches well beyond its borders. Memorial’s closure is a symptom of a broader effort on the part of Putin to rehabilitate grand narratives about the USSR. These efforts have dovetailed with the war against Ukraine. For years, the Kremlin has continued to strongly telegraph the notion that Ukraine is not a fully sovereign country with its own culture, heritage, history, and language, but rather an extension of Russia.

“Russians and Ukrainians are one people, a single whole,” Putin stated in an essay published in July 2021. Following the annexation of Crimea in 2014, he downplayed the forced deportation of the Ukrainian peninsula’s 190,000-plus Crimean Tatar population under Stalin’s orders in 1944, commenting, “millions of people of various ethnicities suffered during those repressions, and primarily Russians.”

Meanwhile, the official policy for the Memorialization of Victims of Political Repression adopted by the Russian authorities in 2015 depersonalizes Soviet-era crimes. As scholar Maria Domanska puts it, this means “siding with the perpetrators rather than the victims.”

International support for organizations like Memorial as well as the many museums, archives, memory initiatives, and documentation centers in Russia, Ukraine, Belarus and elsewhere in the region is needed now more than ever as the Russian government increases pressure on historical debate.

Cross-regional networks like the International Coalition of Sites of Conscience, as well as initiatives like the Repressed Art archive, are crucial to ensure that those working on memory in repressive contexts such as Russia are not vulnerable. They also provide important tools to help prevent state-led destruction of archival material.

Offering opportunities to the next generation of historians from Russia through scholarships, conferences, and fellowships will, as Petrova puts it, “ensure that those who are telling the stories that are forcibly excluded from the state’s grand narrative will be able to continue their important work.”

It is vital that the international community, which has demonstrated outsized support for Memorial’s cause through statements, assistance, and advocacy efforts, continues to draw attention to Memorial’s situation so that it stays in the news cycle.

The European Court of Human Rights has already taken up Memorial’s case by applying an interim measure to prevent the organization’s forced liquidation. It is equally important for other institutions such as the Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe (OSCE), UNESCO, embassies and governments to support Memorial and other embattled organizations in Russia working to preserve the memory of the most challenging chapters of history.

Gina S. Lentine is Director of Development at the International Coalition of Sites of Conscience.

Further reading

The views expressed in UkraineAlert are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Atlantic Council, its staff, or its supporters.

The Eurasia Center’s mission is to enhance transatlantic cooperation in promoting stability, democratic values and prosperity in Eurasia, from Eastern Europe and Turkey in the West to the Caucasus, Russia and Central Asia in the East.

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Asat quoted in ProPublica on Purdue University’s President condemning tactics used to censor Chinese students in the US https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/insight-impact/in-the-news/asat-quoted-in-propublica-on-purdue-universitys-president-condeming-tactics-used-to-censor-chinese-students-in-the-us/ Mon, 20 Dec 2021 16:22:00 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=471430 The post Asat quoted in ProPublica on Purdue University’s President condemning tactics used to censor Chinese students in the US appeared first on Atlantic Council.

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Asat quoted in Asia Times on China’s crackdown on student dissidents in US college campuses https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/insight-impact/in-the-news/asat-quoted-in-asia-times-on-chinas-crackdown-on-student-dissidents-in-us-college-campuses/ Sat, 04 Dec 2021 21:07:00 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=466879 The post Asat quoted in Asia Times on China’s crackdown on student dissidents in US college campuses appeared first on Atlantic Council.

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Transforming Ukraine into an international manufacturing hub https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/ukrainealert/transforming-ukraine-into-an-international-manufacturing-hub/ Tue, 30 Nov 2021 22:58:01 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=462315 Ukraine is taking steps to build on the country's huge potential as a major international manufacturing hub and is now seeking to attract international investment that can drive further economic growth.

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In recent years, Ukraine has gained considerable international attention as an increasingly important player in the global IT and fintech industries. This recognition is hardly surprising given the impressive domestic growth of the Ukrainian tech sector.

In 2020, Ukraine’s annual IT exports topped USD 5 billion for the first time. The country’s IT sector currently employs over 200,000 people, with rapid expansion creating a new class of upwardly mobile and comparatively well paid young tech professionals in most major Ukrainian cities. The industry has consistently posted double digit annual growth throughout the past two decades and is on track to contribute 10% of Ukrainian GDP within the coming few years.

This IT success story is due to a combination of factors including Ukrainian talent, a strong education system, creative vision, and a regulatory framework designed to enhance growth. The time has come to repeat this success in the manufacturing sector.

During the first half of 2021, manufacturing accounted for 11.7% of Ukrainian GDP, the highest share for the past three years. Ukrainian manufacturers already work with a wide range of leading international brands including the likes of Porsche, IKEA, Heinz, Nestle, Bentley, and Unilever.

Ukraine has many of the attributes necessary to become a major international manufacturing hub. Advantages include a favorable geographical location close to European and Middle Eastern markets, entrepreneurial and highly educated human capital, and competitive costs. 

However, until recently, Ukraine lacked a number of key components needed to build on its obvious manufacturing potential. Crucially, there was no clear vision for the development of the manufacturing sector or appropriate regulatory basis for growth.

This is now changing. A presidential initiative providing state support for investment in the manufacturing sector offers great potential. Meanwhile, a range of additional measures such as incentives for companies setting up production facilities and efforts to advance judicial reform represent positive and long overdue signals for Ukrainian and international investors.

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Much more is still required before Ukraine can catch up with its European Union neighbors and join the club of developed economies.

In order to boost the evolution the Ukrainian manufacturing sector, the country must make meaningful rule of law progress. It is important that Ukraine streamline the functioning of the tax and customs authorities along with a host of other government agencies. The authorities must also ensure the effective functioning of the country’s transport and logistics system, while guaranteeing a level playing field between state and private enterprises. Nevertheless, Ukraine is clearly now moving in the right direction.

Commonly known as the “Investment Nanny” law, a presidential initiative passed in February 2021 provides a number of significant incentives for potential investment into the Ukrainian manufacturing sector. For example, state support worth up to 30% of investments is available for projects involving more than EUR 20 million over a five-year period.

The Ukrainian government’s investment promotion office, UkraineInvest, is the designated support office for investors within the framework on this law. We are currently assessing 27 preliminary enquiries from Ukrainian investors as well as companies from Mexico, Turkey, Lithuania, Poland, Ireland and other countries with a total value of around USD 2 billion.

More than 70% of these projects focus on the manufacturing sector. By the end of 2021, we plan to submit formal applications for investments totaling between USD 300 million and USD 500 million to Ukraine’s Economy Ministry for review.

Recent amendments to Ukrainian legislation governing industrial parks present another step forward for the manufacturing sector. These amendments provide for a variety of incentives including financing support and ten-year corporate tax and equipment customs duty relief.

In line with recent legislative changes, the Ukrainian authorities will allocate at least USD 370 million over the coming five years to finance or reimburse the construction of engineering grids and infrastructure for industrial parks.

In order to shed more light on the expanding manufacturing opportunities that are opening up in today’s Ukraine, UkraineInvest has recently launched the MAKE in UA program to be implemented in partnership with Ukrainian regions and international partners.

This new initiative offers insights into Ukraine’s position in relation to key themes and trends in the manufacturing sector such as nearshoring and supply chain disruption, rising costs of global logistics, and changing geopolitical alignments. According to the Savills Nearshoring Index, Ukraine currently ranks second among forty featured countries in terms of its competitiveness as a destination country.

The MAKE in UA program seeks to help develop Ukrainian manufacturing by supporting targeted investments. The program identifies cooperation opportunities in Ukraine for partner countries that could help them fulfil untapped export potential.

According to market analysis, the US alone has the potential to export additional goods to the region within a 2000-mile range of Ukraine worth USD 190 billion per year. Ukraine could serve as an effective base for sectors including agricultural processing, metalworking, furniture manufacturing, pharmaceuticals, and automotive production lines.

Based on preliminary assessments, US companies could cover up to 10% of untapped export potential by locating plants in Ukraine. This would be a win-win for both countries and just one example of Ukraine’s potential as a manufacturing hub.

Sergiy Tsivkach is CEO of UkraineInvest, the Ukrainian government’s investment promotion office.

Further reading

The views expressed in UkraineAlert are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Atlantic Council, its staff, or its supporters.

The Eurasia Center’s mission is to enhance transatlantic cooperation in promoting stability, democratic values and prosperity in Eurasia, from Eastern Europe and Turkey in the West to the Caucasus, Russia and Central Asia in the East.

Follow us on social media
and support our work

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Younus on Pakistonomy Podcast: The Pakistani Elite’s Seven Deadly Neglects https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/insight-impact/in-the-news/younus-on-pakistonomy-podcast-the-pakistani-elites-seven-deadly-neglects/ Sat, 20 Nov 2021 00:45:00 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=460603 The post Younus on Pakistonomy Podcast: The Pakistani Elite’s Seven Deadly Neglects appeared first on Atlantic Council.

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Time to rediscover eastern Ukraine’s surprisingly cosmopolitan past https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/ukrainealert/time-to-rediscover-eastern-ukraines-surprisingly-cosmopolitan-past/ Thu, 11 Nov 2021 20:50:25 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=456513 Moscow has long cultivated the myth of eastern Ukraine as an indivisible part of Russia’s ancestral heartlands but in reality the region has a surprisingly cosmopolitan past that makes a mockery of Kremlin propaganda claims.

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During the 2021 summer season, a small and seemingly inconsequential town in eastern Ukraine attracted a sudden flurry of international headlines. Unusually for the war-torn region, the stories in question were not about Russia’s latest military escalation or the sufferings of civilians caught up in the conflict. Instead, reports focused on the town’s decision to change its name to New York. While many were initially surprised by this seemingly eccentric move, it was actually entirely in keeping with the region’s cosmopolitan past.

Located in Donetsk Oblast a mere stone’s throw away from the front lines, Ukraine’s very own New York was originally founded in the late nineteenth century by German settlers. According to local legend, the town’s name was chosen because the wife of one of the founders had American roots. It remained New York until 1951, when mounting Cold War rivalry with the United States convinced the Soviet authorities to rename the town Novhorodske.

Following the onset of Russian aggression in 2014, calls to revive the town’s original name began to grow as locals sought to counter Kremlin propaganda falsely depicting the entire region as historically Russian. “If we change the name, we can show the whole world that our city has no basis in Russia. Our history is not Russian history; it is our history, European history,” local youth leader Kristina Shevchenko told Euronews in April 2021.

Now officially renamed New York, the Donetsk region town of around 12,000 is making the most of its attention-grabbing identity. In the past few months, it has hosted a literary festival and an alternative New York Marathon to raise awareness of ongoing Russian aggression, while also inspiring a recently released book by Franco-Swiss journalistic duo Sebastien Gobert and Niels Ackermann. Rumors that the town will soon seek to brand itself as “The Little Apple” remain unconfirmed.

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This engaging tale of an east Ukrainian town founded by Germans and named after New York is a timely reminder of the region’s largely forgotten international inheritance. From the dawn of the industrial age until the first decades of the twentieth century, eastern Ukraine served as Europe’s very own Wild East and attracted a wide range of industrialists, entrepreneurs and adventurers from across the continent who established flourishing communities and founded entire cities.

Sadly, this fascinating history was subsequently washed away by the totalitarian tides of the twentieth century. In its place, Moscow has cultivated the myth of eastern Ukraine as an indivisible element of Russia’s ancestral heartlands.

Russian President Vladimir Putin is a key proponent of this historically illiterate nonsense, and has frequently used such claims to question the legitimacy of modern Ukraine’s internationally recognized borders. Likewise, false notions of eastern Ukraine’s Russian roots have played a key part in Moscow’s attempts since 2014 to justify its ongoing military intervention in the region.

The true tale of eastern Ukraine’s formative years presents a very different picture. Tellingly, both of the regional capitals currently under Russian occupation were actually established by Brits. Welsh businessman John Hughes founded Donetsk in 1869, while Englishman Charles Gascoigne is credited with establishing Luhansk almost a hundred years earlier in the late eighteenth century. One wonders what these two enterprising British pioneers would have made of the Kremlin’s subsequent efforts to distort their remarkable legacies.

Meanwhile, the aforementioned Germans of New York were far from the only international community to prosper in eastern Ukraine during the second half of the nineteenth century. As the interests of European industrialists continued to grow, so did the region’s expat population.

The Belgian presence in particular was so large that a special 65-hour rail service from Brussels to Dnipro was introduced in 1896. On the eve of the First World War, there were a total of eight separate Belgian consulates located throughout Czarist Ukraine, with most concentrated in the booming cities of the industrial east.

This international involvement was unwelcome and embarrassing for the Bolsheviks, who sought to eradicate all traces of eastern Ukraine’s cosmopolitan heritage while claiming the laurels of industrialization for themselves. New York’s name change in the early 1950s was one of many such steps to remove all evidence of the region’s diverse beginnings.

Since the collapse of the USSR, there have been a number of isolated initiatives to rediscover and publicize this suppressed history. However, Kremlin disinformation continues to shape perceptions of eastern Ukraine, both in the international information space and inside Ukraine itself. This needs to change. The Ukrainian authorities should treat the issue as a matter of national security and an important front in the hybrid war against Russia.

Raising awareness about eastern Ukraine’s considerable historic ties to the rest of Europe will not magically persuade Putin to retreat from the region, of course. However, promoting this intriguing heritage can help change the conversation around eastern Ukraine while exposing the emptiness of Moscow’s imperial pretensions.

Contrary to Kremlin claims of the region’s quintessentially Russian identity, eastern Ukraine has a strikingly multicultural past and was once viewed by people across Europe as a land of abundant international opportunity. Now would be a very good time to revive this image.

Peter Dickinson is Editor of the Atlantic Council’s UkraineAlert Service.

Further reading

The views expressed in UkraineAlert are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Atlantic Council, its staff, or its supporters.

The Eurasia Center’s mission is to enhance transatlantic cooperation in promoting stability, democratic values and prosperity in Eurasia, from Eastern Europe and Turkey in the West to the Caucasus, Russia and Central Asia in the East.

Follow us on social media
and support our work

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FAST THINKING: Was the war worth it? Afghanistan’s former ambassador to the US, Roya Rahmani, weighs in https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/content-series/fastthinking/fast-thinking-was-the-war-worth-it-afghanistans-former-ambassador-to-the-us-roya-rahmani-weighs-in/ Thu, 19 Aug 2021 18:09:58 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=425252 Long-time diplomat and steadfast women’s rights champion Roya Rahmani, Afghanistan's former ambassador to the United States, joins South Asia Center Director Irfan Nooruddin for a special episode of Fast Thinking to share her thoughts on whether the war in Afghanistan was worth it, the crucial role of women in the country's future, and how to evaluate the Taliban’s promises.

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Long-time diplomat and steadfast women’s rights champion Roya Rahmani, Afghanistan’s former ambassador to the United States, joins South Asia Center Director Irfan Nooruddin for a special episode of Fast Thinking to share her thoughts on whether the war in Afghanistan was worth it, the crucial role of women in the country’s future, and how to evaluate the Taliban’s promises.

Meet the experts

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Chhibber on Economic Times: What India needs to do to fulfill its tryst with destiny https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/insight-impact/chhibber-on-economic-times-what-india-needs-to-do-to-fulfill-its-tryst-with-destiny/ Mon, 16 Aug 2021 19:14:51 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=423703 The post Chhibber on Economic Times: What India needs to do to fulfill its tryst with destiny appeared first on Atlantic Council.

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Here’s what we’re reading this summer https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-atlanticist/heres-what-were-reading-this-summer/ Thu, 05 Aug 2021 20:01:47 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=421061 Even in the depths of summer, our deeply thoughtful (and widely read) staff at the Atlantic Council keep their mental gears churning. Here are some summer reading suggestions from us for the beach, mountains, or backyard.

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Even in the depths of summer, our deeply thoughtful (and widely read) staff at the Atlantic Council keep their mental gears churning. 

So in place of the policy analyses we typically feature in New Atlanticist, below are some summer reading suggestions from us for the beach, mountains, or backyard. Given these uncertain times, some are thoughts about the future—scenarios, predictions, utopias, and dystopias. Others involve inspirations, big ideas about the world, and the nature of our world today and how we got here.  

The links are to the site Bookshop.org, which offers you the possibility of supporting local bookstores in the United States or United Kingdom, even by shopping online. Many will also be available in bookstores internationally.

BIG IDEAS: Fuel for the mind

Antifragile by Nassim Nicholas Taleb. I am fascinated by any discussion about how our world endures when faced with disorder and challenges, particularly systems that actually gain from disorder. (Arun Iyer) 

Anthro-Vision by Gillian Tett. This is such a cool book. Written by an anthropologist who started her career doing fieldwork in Central Asia—and who later became a journalist with the Financial Times—it will help you see the world in very new ways. (Jennifer Brick Murtazashvili) 

Extremism by J.M. Berger. A really great, easy read on what drives people to adopt (and act on) beliefs, whether religious, political, or otherwise, that the mainstream would view as extremist. (Jennifer Counter) 

Factfulness by Hans Rosling. This book is full of interesting facts that contradict our view of the world and allow us to see things more clearly. (Amjad Ahmad) 

The Delusions of Crowds: Why People Go Mad in Groups by William J. Bernstein. Read this book to understand the craziness of our present predicament. A psychological assessment of end-times delusions from misinterpreted Biblical prophecies to financial contagions and their similarities. (Robert Manning) 

Think Again by Adam Grant. A book for everyone! “Discover the critical art of rethinking: how questioning your opinions can position you for excellence at work and wisdom in life.” (Defne Arslan) 

First Principles: What America’s Founders Learned from the Greeks and Romans and How That Shaped Our Country by Thomas Ricks. The January 6 Capitol riot was eerily similar to the conspiracy that foreshadowed the fall of Rome. This book compelled us to understand the Greek and Roman principles that influenced the founders of the United States, as well as how renewing them can help us find our way through dark times. (The Cyber Statecraft Initiative team).  

The World America Made by Robert Kagan. This slim volume can be read in a single day at the beach—and it reportedly had a major effect on then US President Barack Obama’s thinking when it was first published in 2012. Kagan’s historical analysis and insights are as timely as ever. On balance, US global engagement has been a force for good in international affairs over the past seventy-five years. Washington must continue to lead on the world stage or else other hostile actors, such as Russia and China, will fill the power vacuum—with potentially disastrous consequences. (Matthew Kroenig) 

Braiding Sweetgrass by Robin Wall Kimmerer. I recommend this one in audiobook form. Narrated by the author, whose voice is super soothing, it brings a different perspective to our relationship with nature and other human beings. (Adriana Lacerda) 

THE FUTURE IS HERE: What happens next?

Project Hail Mary by Andy Weir. I loved this book because it envisions a future that changes our conception of what it means to be a human on Earth; because of its innate optimism about the power of science; and because it was just an awesome, breezy, and extremely interesting and enthralling read. (Barry Pavel)  

As I wait for seats on Blue Origin, SpaceX, and Virgin Galactic rocket ships to be available for the masses, I read this (and everything else by Weir) because his science is mostly solid and his characters make me laugh. (Stefanie H. Ali) 

Leave the World Behind by Rumaan Alam. A family goes on a Hamptons vacation. One day, the rented house’s owners knock on the door and say there’s been a disaster in Manhattan and that they have to hunker down together. This book promises to be a window into how people survive in lockdowns and cling to ideas of normalcy—sound familiar? (Katherine Walla) 

Novacene: The Coming Age of Hyperintelligence by James Lovelock with Bryan Appleyard. Sweeping and far-seeing, I loved this book by the brilliant James Lovelock because it posits the end of the current Anthropocene era in which humans are the dominant actors on earth and suggests that the next era will be dominated by artificial intelligence… which will save the planet. (Barry Pavel) 

Pet by Akwaeke Emezi. I truly believe Emezi is one of the most revolutionary writers of this decade: Through Pet, they imagine a world in which trans kids are given the care and respect they deserve, structural change has been made, and justice leads to true reconciliation. It reminds readers that if we don’t take time to remember, teach new generations, and make the consistent choice to be better, we won’t be able to keep moving forward. (Alyssa Harvie) 

Severance by Ling Ma. A young woman navigates a nearly apocalyptic world post-pandemic. Hilarious but also terrifying. It was an A+ read last summer, when COVID-19 seemed like a short-term thing. (Katherine Walla) 

The End of October by Lawrence Wright. I loved this book because it foretells what a global pandemic might do to the modern world if one befell us… before COVID-19 came on the scene. (Barry Pavel) 

The Ministry for the Future by Kim Stanley Robinson. It’s both science-fiction—a scary projection of what the devastating effects of climate change could be—and a guide to policy—explaining ways mankind might be able to collaborate in order to avoid the worst-case scenario. (Sandy Vershbow) 

The Three-Body Problem by Cixin Liu, translated by Ken Liu. It’s a Chinese sci-fi masterpiece on how the world gets ready for an encounter of the third kind. (Ben Haddad) 

This is How They Tell Me the World Ends by Nicole Perlroth. Nicole, one of the New York Times’s leads on cyber, writes about cyber leaks and attacks, and her book could not be better timed as our world is beset by malicious hacks and ransomware strikes seemingly every week. (Brian O’Toole) 

Trick Mirror: Reflections on Self-Delusion by Jia Tolentino. Tolentino tackles the illusions and self-delusions we have constructed to continue existing in a social and political state that is as fundamentally backwards as it is mandatory. Her writing speaks to the fundamental conflicts present in our modernity and gives voice to the restlessness it can inspire. (Jared Holt, also recommended by Andrea Snyder) 

In Harm’s Way by John Cleveland and Peter Plastrik. “There are seven capacities that communities need to develop so they can undertake effective preparation for climate change,” the authors write. This book lays out those seven. (Andrea Snyder) 

INSPIRATION: Lives, words, and stories to give you uplift

All We Can Save: Truth, Courage, and Solutions for the Climate Crisis, edited by Katharine K. Wilkinson and Ayana Elizabeth Johnson.  The collection of poems, art, and essays sets out to highlight a wide range of women’s voices in the environmental and climate movement. It is a contemporary representation, and it’s beyond the way we wonks think about climate. (Kathy Baughman McLeod) 

The Truths We Hold by Kamala Harris. I’ve chosen to read it because I love autobiographies and have long held a sneaking suspicion that she and I have many things in common and am reading to confirm my hunch! I find her personal and professional life interesting and want to learn how she ascended to her former role as US senator from California. (Clintandra Thompson) 

Anxious People by Fredrik Backman. This one was on my to-read list for a long time. It is a terrific book, very timely for the years we are living in. The author talks about anxiety and personal struggle with a raw truth to it, and yet it is still comical! Highly recommended. (Fernanda Meirelles) 

Here, Right Matters: An American Story by Alexander S. Vindman. As the child of a father who fled the Soviet Union in pursuit of a better life for his family, Vindman was raised with the values I believe make America special and resonate with so many of us, and I’m excited to read his tale of moral courage and determination in a unique moment in history. (Shelby Magid) 

His Truth Is Marching On: John Lewis and the Power of Hope by Jon Meacham. The gripping story of how a poor Alabama sharecropper’s son helped change America. (Stephen Grand) 

The Mayor of Castro Street by Randy Shilts. This is the most complete and informative book detailing the LGBTQI civil-rights movement during the second half of the twentieth century, with a specific focus on the life, career, and murder of Harvey Milk, one of the first openly gay people elected to political office in the United States. (Zachary Strauss) 

Mistakes Were Made (But Not by Me) by Carol Tavris and Elliot Aronson. Just enlightening—after reading it, I became much more understanding, patient, and tolerant with people who have different points of view than my own. I consider this essential for those of us working on diversity, equity, inclusion, and social justice. I think every person in the world should read this book. (That’s how much I liked it!) (Adriana Lacerda) 

Our Women on the Ground: Essays by Arab Women Reporting from the Arab World. The editor, Zahra Hankir, also teamed up with MENASource to publish a photo essay capturing the explosion in Beirut. (Samantha Treiman) 

The Four Agreements: A Practical Guide to Personal Freedom by Janet Mills and Don Miguel Ruiz. This continues to be a great code-of-conduct guide and is as relevant today as it was when first released. With all of life’s changes that we’ve been experiencing, this book has helped keep me grounded and focused on being impeccable with my own words, not take things personally, not make assumptions, and to always do my best. (Kadiatou Cesaire) 

We Should All Be Feminists by Chimamanda Ngozi Adichie. I like her take on different issues, this time on being feminist. (Tigest “Tea” Frew) 

Calvin and Hobbes by Bill Watterson. Comic strip classic. Has there ever been a more inspiring couple? (Stephanie Wander) 

Bird by Bird: Some Instructions on Writing and Life by Anne Lamott. I picked up this book to learn how to write short stories. (Tigest “Tea” Frew) 

The Wild Muir by Lee Stetson. Twenty-two of famed conservationist John Muir’s greatest adventures. For the mountains of California. (Stephanie Wander

CLASSICS: Great works that have stood the test of time

One Hundred Years of Solitude by Gabriel García Márquez. One of those weird family stories, this book starts slow—and then you can’t put it down. It might be my favorite fiction book ever. (Adriana Lacerda)

A Prayer for Owen Meany by John Irving. All-around great fiction read. (Stephanie Wander)

David Copperfield, performed by Richard Armitage. He is really exceptional. (Richard LeBaron)

The God of Small Things by Arundhati Roy. I first read this book five years ago—after randomly picking it up at a book hotel exchange—and it has remained one of my favorites ever since. It contains masterful storytelling that reads like poetry. (Jessica Dabrowski)

Invisible Man by Ralph Ellison. One of the very best twentieth-century American novels. I think it’s Ellison’s greatest work. (John Herbst)

Slaughterhouse-Five by Kurt Vonnegut. A rare anti-war classic that manages to be both funny and serious, Vonnegut’s pseudo-science-fiction masterpiece tells a gripping story with equal helpings of knee-slapping comedy and deep moral statements. (The Cyber Statecraft Initiative team)

MYSTERY, MURDER, AND HORROR: How does it end?

Bunny by Mona Awad. This book is funny—and horrifying. A graduate student encounters a clique of girls at her program who eerily call each other Bunny. They invite her to join the group, which turns out to be much more than a social gathering… (Katherine Walla)

The Haunting of Hill House by Shirley Jackson. What can we say? Real life got too scary last summer—so this classic horror novel was an unexpected reprieve! (The Cyber Statecraft Initiative team)

The Maidens by Alex Michaelides. His debut book was unbelievably good. I’m a huge fan of murder mysteries—not the stories where one can guess the murderer in the book’s first half. I’m excited to read the second book. (Fernanda Meirelles)

Perfidia by James Ellroy. When a violent murder on the eve of the attack on Pearl Harbor rouses the suspicion of the Los Angeles Police Department, detectives work their own angles to profit off the coming war, get back at their enemies, and influence the coming internment of Japanese-Americans and the hunt for “fifth column” traitors in LA. (Doug Klain)

The Historian by Elizabeth Kostova. This engrossing novel follows several generations of historians as they chase down the legend—and the truth—behind Vlad Dracula, from the monasteries of Hungary to the archives of Istanbul and the libraries of Oxford. We have never read another book that communicated so clearly how it feels to sink completely into another place and another time, as well as how stories, both fictional and real, can reach out and hold fast. (The Cyber Statecraft Initiative team)

High Treason: A Novel by Sean McFate. “McFate just might be the next Tom Clancy, only I think he’s even better,” said James Patterson (Sean McFate)

THE PAST AS PROLOGUE: What went before

Parting the Waters by Taylor Branch. This history of Martin Luther King, Jr. is so accessibly written that it can be read from a beach chair. (Stephanie Wander)

The Deviant’s War by Eric Cervini. This book details the often-ignored history of US government discrimination against LGBTQI people in federal employment, known more commonly as the “Lavender Scare”—an over-fifty-year, multimillion-dollar campaign to root out queer people from federal jobs and d silence those who resisted. (Zachary Strauss)

Nuclear Folly by Serhii Plokhi. This book adds scary granularity to the Cuban Missile Crisis with new documents from Ukrainian and Russian archives. It’s incredible how much we’ve already forgotten when it comes to lessons from the Cold War. (Robert Manning)

A Train of Powder by Rebecca West. An all-time favorite, this is something I turned to again last summer amid the racial justice protests—and is even more apt now given the ongoing rise of authoritarianism and anti-Semitism Her commentary on Nuremberg is stunning, as are her insights about the other trials she covers. (Chris Skaluba)

de Gaulle by Julian Jackson. A fantastic biography of the leader of the French Resistance. Very readable and a good introduction to modern French politics. (Ben Haddad)

Frederick Douglass: Prophet of Freedom by David W. Blight. This biography provides a glimpse at the other side of America’s moral arch. (Daniel Fried)

The Third Reich Trilogy by Richard J. Evans. This one is a bit odd to recommend, given the topic, but it’s a very readable account of what happened after Adolf Hitler became chancellor of Germany. (Iain Robertson)

Plunder by Menachem Kaiser. A wild non-fiction memoir by an American Jewish grandson of Polish Holocaust survivors as he looked to reclaim the house his family owned before the war. This book weaves hilarious tales of Kafkaesque bureaucracy, poignant reflections on intergenerational trauma, and includes an unexpected treasure hunt to boot. I read this book when visiting my wife’s family in Hungary—where my grandparents narrowly survived the Holocaust—and it was particularly moving for me to compare notes with the author vis-à-vis his family’s parallel experience of collecting the shards of memory across space and time. (Jonah Fisher)

Say Nothing by Patrick Radden Keefe. It’s non-fiction written with the flair and pace of a novel. Keefe explores the Troubles and their tangled aftermath, the consequences of war, and how capturing history can still shape the present day. It’s a remarkable story that, as someone of Irish descent, I’m embarrassed I didn’t know more about. (Daniel Malloy)

The Hundred Years’ War on Palestine: A History of Settler Colonialism and Resistance by Rashid Khalidi. The recent events in occupied East Jerusalem neighborhoods reinforced the need for me to understand the historical context of the attempts to displace Palestinians from their homes. I found this sobering primer from a Palestinian-American academic a necessary addition to my summer reading list. (Tuqa Nusairat)

The Origin of Russian Communism by Nikolay Berdayaev. A superb, brief intellectual history of Russia. Still relevant, and relatively easy to read given the dense topic. (John Herbst)

The Personal Memoirs of Ulysses S. Grant by Ulysses S. Grant, edited by John F. Marszalek. What a great book—Grant could easily have been an author. An honest, direct, and no-holds-barred account about his life from the Mexican War to the end of the Civil War, with some pretty pithy observations about the players and his mistakes and triumphs. (Ronald A. Marks III)

The Splendid and the Vile: A Saga of Churchill, Family, and Defiance During the Blitz by Erik Larson. Couldn’t put it down. (Josh Lipsky)

The Warmth of Other Suns by Isabel Wilkerson. It follows people who were enslaved and their descendants as they took part in the Great Migration, an exodus of people from the American South to areas like California, Chicago, and the Northeast. A serious and emotional read, it is also an important one and provides context to discrimination and violence in the United States. (Katherine Walla)

THE PAST AS FICTION: How things might have been

The Normal Heart by Larry Kramer. Now a major motion picture, A Normal Heart is a stunning piece of work that details the HIV/AIDS crisis as it unfolded in New York City during the first half of the 1980s. It also shines a light on the resilience of the LGBTQI community as it fought for its right to government aid and acknowledgement, medical treatment, their futures, and their lives. (Zachary Strauss)

The Nickel Boys by Colson Whitehead. Based on events at a twentieth-century reformatory, this 2020 Pulitzer winner gives voice to generations of young men discarded by society and brutally abused in a corrupt justice system. The story is of another era but resonates still today. Whitehead’s reputation as one of the finest writers of our time is well-deserved. (Alex Kisling)

The Vanishing Half by Brit Bennett. I always have some fiction to read before bed, and the Vanishing Half got rave reviews for its writing and storytelling. I’m enjoying its take on what identity and family mean. (Rose Jackson)

The Yiddish Policemen’s Union by Michael Chabon. This quirky novel builds a counter-narrative to the creation of the State of Israel—one in which the Jewish state was not established in what was then the British Mandate for Palestine, but carved from one of the other options at the time: Alaska. It’s interesting to wonder what certain segments of the Jewish community may have done to assert themselves under those unlikely circumstances. (Zachary Strauss)

Hamnet by Maggie O’Farrell. Worth it for the three-minute chicken house scene! (Richard LeBaron)

Lincoln in the Bardo by George Saunders. A tour de force, especially in the audiobook, which is read by over one hundred narrators. In a class by itself and easier to follow (for me, at least) than the written version. (Richard LeBaron)

Malibu Rising by Taylor Jenkins Reid. The entire concept of this book attracts me: historical fiction, the crazy 80s, Malibu celebrities, and family drama. What else could you want from summer reading? (Fernanda Meirelles)

The Art of Losing by Alice Zeniter, translated by Frank Wynne. A beautiful and recent novel about France’s reckoning with the legacy of the Algerian war through the three-generation story of a Harki family. (Ben Haddad)

The Netanyahus by Joshua Cohen. If you miss Philip Roth, you’ll enjoy this funny and meaningful novel set in 1959 that describes what happens to a Jewish history professor when Benzion Netanyahu comes to his college in upstate New York to give a job talk, dragging his young family along for the visit. Amazingly, the novel was inspired by a real-life event when a young Harold Bloom hosted Bibi’s father at Cornell. (William Wechsler)

Birds Without Wings by Louis de Bernieres. Published in 2004, the novel portrays the events in a small Turkish village named Eskibahçe (a fictional setting based on Kayaköy) near the end of the Ottoman Empire, the rise of Kemal Atatürk, and the outbreak of World War I. (Zeynep Wironen)

WHERE WE ARE NOW: Our world, good or ugly

The Perfect Weapon by David Sanger. This is a gripping sci-fi (though not so much) horror that had me quaking in my flip flops. (Jasper Gilardi)

Flights by Olga Tocarzcuk. translated by Jennifer Croft. After a year and a half being stuck at home, this brilliant read—by a Polish Nobel Prize-winner for literature—reminds us of why travel makes us human. (Ben Haddad)

An Ugly Truth by Sheera Frenkel and Cecilia Kang. As we work to understand the impact of Big Tech on our world and society, this book is both about and part of the story. It’s written by two journalists who have spent a decade covering Facebook, and examines the big picture of why the often-maligned platform operates as it does. A must-read for anyone following tech policy and governance issues. (Rose Jackson)

Bad Blood by John Carreyrou. Elizabeth Holmes was celebrated as the star founder of revolutionary biotech startup Theranos and became a billionaire—but it was all a scam. (Amjad Ahmad)

“Pieces of Britney” podcast by the BBC. One of the things that keeps me sane as I work on the Middle East is pop culture. I must confess that I idolized Britney Spears as a teenager in Tehran. With those two things in mind, this podcast is key to better understanding Britney’s backstory, how circumstances got to this point, and what the #FreeBritney movement is all about. (Holly Dagres)

Billion Dollar Whale by Tom Wright and Bradley Hope. A true-life thriller of the fraud case around 1MDB, Malaysia’s sovereign wealth fund, involving a young Wharton graduate, political figures, and Hollywood stars. (Amjad Ahmad)

How the World Is Passed by Clint Smith. Aside from being a friend of mine, Clint is a brilliant writer and poet—so the read is smooth and fascinating, even while dwelling on a heavy topic. Clint spent years touring and researching landmarks and monuments, looking at how slavery has shaped our nation’s past and present as well as what that means for our collective narrative. It’s a timely contribution to my own effort to understand my place in our society amid an ongoing reckoning. (Rose Jackson)

Pivot by Vox. A good listen for a decent, occasionally amusing look into issues in (mostly) the tech industry. (Iain Robertson)

The Hate U Give by Angie Thomas. Now a major motion picture, The Hate U Give dives deep into the experience of a young African American high school student after she watches a police officer murder her best friend during a traffic stop. This enlightening and insightful novel portrays these issues from the perspective of a young adult living between two worlds: her home life in Garden Heights, which is a segregated low-income Black community, and her high school, which is located in an affluent and exclusively white area. (Zachary Strauss)

Chinese Espionage Operations and Tactics by Nicholas Eftimiades. A very detailed analysis of how China conducts espionage operations, including methodologies, recruitment practices, and operational tradecraft. (Nicholas Eftimiades)

The Third Revolution: Xi Jinping and The New Chinese State by Elizabeth Economy. An eminent China scholar looks at the transformative changes underway in China today. (Hans Hanley)

Between Two Fires: Truth, Ambition, and Compromise in Putin’s Russia by Joshua Yaffa. This new book provides complex, deep portraits of various figures that have lived through key moments in modern Russia, as well as how each has made their compromise with a harsh new reality in order to accomplish what they can. (Doug Klain)

The New Rules of War: How America Can Win—Against Russia, China, and Other Threats by Sean McFate. An Economist “Book of the Year” in 2019 and hailed as the “Freakonomics of war.” (Sean McFate)

Further reading

The post Here’s what we’re reading this summer appeared first on Atlantic Council.

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The post-COVID world this week: We’re not in the clear yet, so here’s what to read while you wait https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/coronavirus-alert/the-post-covid-world-this-week-were-not-in-the-clear-yet-so-heres-what-to-read-while-you-wait/ Sat, 31 Jul 2021 15:52:08 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=419884 What can we expect from a post-COVID world after a pandemic that has reshaped international affairs? A world in which there are plenty of bookworms.

The post The post-COVID world this week: We’re not in the clear yet, so here’s what to read while you wait appeared first on Atlantic Council.

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The future is here: A guide to the post-COVID world 07/31/2021

In place of the usual analysis, here are some summer reading suggestions for the beach, mountains, or backyard. In keeping with the theme of this newsletter, some are thoughts about the future—scenarios, predictions, utopias, and dystopias. We think of the future in many ways: Some are big ideas about the world, some are about the nature of our world today and how we got here, and some are inspirations.

The suggestions are based on recommendations submitted by our highly literate and deeply thoughtful staff at the Atlantic Council. The links are to the site Bookstore.org, which offers you the possibility to support local bookstores in the United States or the United Kingdom by shopping online. Many will be also available in bookstores internationally.

In case this list still leaves you seeking ideas, I will be posting more book recommendations on the Atlantic Council website next week. The newsletter will resume as normal on Saturday, September 11.

BIG IDEAS: Fuel for the mind.

Antifragile by Nassim Nicholas Taleb. I am fascinated by any discussion about how our world endures when faced with disorder and challenges, particularly systems that actually gain from disorder. (Arun Iyer)

Anthro-Vision by Gillian Tett. This is such a cool book. Written by an anthropologist who started her career doing fieldwork in Central Asia—and who later became a journalist with the Financial Times—it will help you see the world in very new ways. (Jennifer Brick Murtazashvili)

Extremism by J.M. Berger. A really great, easy read on what drives people to adopt (and act on) beliefs, whether religious, political, or otherwise, that the mainstream would view as extremist. (Jennifer Counter)

Factfulness by Hans Rosling. This book is full of interesting facts that contradict our view of the world and allow us to see things more clearly. (Amjad Ahmad)

The Delusions of Crowds: Why People Go Mad in Groups by William J. Bernstein. Read this book to understand the craziness of our present predicament. A psychological assessment of end-times delusions from misinterpreted Biblical prophecies to financial contagions and their similarities. (Robert Manning)

Think Again by Adam Grant. A book for everyone! “Discover the critical art of rethinking: how questioning your opinions can position you for excellence at work and wisdom in life.” (Defne Arslan)

First Principles: What America’s Founders Learned from the Greeks and Romans and How That Shaped Our Country by Thomas Ricks. The January 6 Capitol riot was eerily similar to the conspiracy that foreshadowed the fall of Rome. It compelled us to understand the Greek and Roman principles that influenced the founders of the United States, as well as how renewing them can help us find our way through dark times. (The Cyber Statecraft Initiative team)

The World America Made by Robert Kagan. This slim volume can be read in a single day at the beach—and it reportedly had a major effect on then US President Barack Obama’s thinking when it was first published in 2012. Kagan’s historical analysis and insights are as timely as ever. On balance, US global engagement has been a force for good in international affairs over the past seventy-five years. Washington must continue to lead on the world stage or else other hostile actors, such as Russia and China, will fill the power vacuum—with potentially disastrous consequences. (Matthew Kroenig)

Braiding Sweetgrass by Robin Wall Kimmerer. I recommend this one in audiobook form. Narrated by the author, whose voice is super soothing, it brings a different perspective to our relationship with nature and other human beings. (Adriana Lacerda)

THE FUTURE IS HERE: What happens next? Imagination and forecasts.

Project Hail Mary by Andy Weir. I loved this book because it envisions a future that changes our conception of what it means to be a human on Earth; because of its innate optimism about the power of science; and because it was just an awesome, breezy, and extremely interesting and enthralling read. (Barry Pavel) As I wait for seats on Blue Origin, SpaceX, and Virgin Galactic rocket ships to be available for the masses, I read this (and everything else by Weir) because his science is mostly solid and his characters make me laugh. (Stefanie H. Ali)

Leave the World Behind by Rumaan Alam. A family goes on a Hamptons vacation. One day, the rented house’s owners knock on the door and say there’s been a disaster in Manhattan and that they have to hunker down together. This promises to be a window into how people survive in lockdowns and cling to ideas of normalcy—sound familiar? (Katherine Walla)

Novacene: The Coming Age of Hyperintelligence by James Lovelock with Bryan Appleyard. Sweeping and far-seeing, I loved this book by the brilliant James Lovelock because it posits the end of the current Anthropocene era in which humans are the dominant actors on earth and suggests that the next era will be dominated by artificial intelligence… which will save the planet. (Barry Pavel)

Pet by Akwaeke Emezi. I truly believe Emezi is one of the most revolutionary writers of this decade: through Pet, they imagine a world in which trans kids are given the care and respect they deserve, structural change has been made, and justice leads to true reconciliation. It reminds readers that if we don’t take time to remember, teach new generations, and make the consistent choice to be better, we won’t be able to keep moving forward. (Alyssa Harvie)

Severance by Ling Ma. A young woman navigates a nearly apocalyptic world post-pandemic. Hilarious but also terrifying. It was an A+ read last summer, when COVID-19 seemed like a short-term thing. (Katherine Walla)

The End of October by Lawrence Wright. I loved this book because it foretells what a global pandemic might do to the modern world if one befell us… before COVID-19 came on the scene. (Barry Pavel)

The Ministry for the Future by Kim Stanley Robinson. It’s both science-fiction—a scary projection of what the devastating effects of climate change could be—and a guide to policy—explaining ways mankind might be able to collaborate in order to avoid the worst-case scenario. (Sandy Vershbow)

The Three-Body Problem by Cixin Liu, translated by Ken Liu. It’s a Chinese sci-fi masterpiece on how the world gets ready for an encounter of the third kind. (Ben Haddad)

This is How They Tell Me the World Ends by Nicole Perlroth. Nicole, one of the New York Times’s leads on cyber, writes about cyber leaks and attacks, and her book could not be better timed as our world is beset by malicious hacks and ransomware strokes seemingly every week. (Brian O’Toole)

Trick Mirror: Reflections on Self-Delusion by Jia Tolentino. Tolentino tackles the illusions and self-delusions we have constructed to continue existing in a social and political state that is as fundamentally backward as it is mandatory. Her writing speaks to the fundamental conflicts present in our modernity and gives voice to the restlessness it can inspire. (Jared Holt, also recommended by Andrea Snyder)

In Harm’s Way by John Cleveland and Peter Plastrik. “There are seven capacities that communities need to develop so they can undertake effective preparation for climate change,” the authors write. This book lays out those seven. (Andrea Snyder)

INSPIRATION: Lives, words, and stories to uplift

All We Can Save: Truth, Courage, and Solutions for the Climate Crisis, edited by Katharine K. Wilkinson and Ayana Elizabeth Johnson. The collection of poems, art, and essays sets out to highlight a wide range of women’s voices in the environmental and climate movement. It is a contemporary representation, and it’s beyond the way we wonks think about climate. (Kathy Baughman McLeod)

The Truths We Hold by Kamala Harris. I’ve chosen to read it because I love autobiographies and have long held a sneaking suspicion that she and I have many things in common and am reading to confirm my hunch! I find her personal and professional life interesting and want to learn how she ascended to her former role as US senator from California. (Clintandra Thompson)

Anxious People by Fredrik Backman. This one was on my to-read list for a long time. It is a terrific book, very timely for the years we are living in. The author talks about anxiety and personal struggle with a raw truth to it, and yet it is still comical! Highly recommended. (Fernanda Meirelles)

Here, Right Matters: An American Story by Alexander S. Vindman. As the child of a father who fled the Soviet Union in pursuit of a better life for his family, Vindman was raised with the values I believe make America special and resonate with so many of us, and I’m excited to read his tale of moral courage and determination in a unique moment in history. (Shelby Magid)

His Truth Is Marching On: John Lewis and the Power of Hope by Jon Meacham. The gripping story of how a poor Alabama sharecropper’s son helped change America. (Stephen Grand)

The Mayor of Castro Street by Randy Shilts. This is the most complete and informative book detailing the LGBTQI civil-rights movement during the second half of the twentieth century, with a specific focus on the life, career, and murder of Harvey Milk, one of the first openly gay people elected to political office in the United States. (Zachary Strauss)

Mistakes Were Made (But Not by Me) by Carol Tavris and Elliot Aronson. Just enlightening—after reading it, I became much more understanding, patient, and tolerant with people who have different points of view than my own. I consider this essential for those of us working on diversity, equity, inclusion, and social justice. I think every person in the world should read this book. (That’s how much I liked it!) (Adriana Lacerda)

Our Women on the Ground: Essays by Arab Women Reporting from the Arab World. The editor, Zahra Hankir, also teamed up with MENASource to publish a photo essay capturing the explosion in Beirut. (Samantha Treiman)

The Four Agreements: A Practical Guide to Personal Freedom by Janet Mills and Don Miguel Ruiz. This continues to be a great code of conduct guide and is as relevant today as it was when first released. With all of life’s changes that we’ve been experiencing, this book has helped keep me grounded and focused on being impeccable with my own words, not take things personally, not make assumptions, and to always do my best. (Kadiatou Cesaire)

We Should All Be Feminists by Chimamanda Ngozi Adichie. I like her take on different issues, this time on being feminist. (Tigest “Tea” Frew)

Calvin and Hobbes by Bill Watterson. Comic strip classic. Has there ever been a more inspiring couple? (Stephanie Wander)

Bird by Bird: Some Instructions on Writing and Life by Anne Lamott. I picked up this book to learn how to write short stories. (Tigest “Tea” Frew)

The Wild Muir by Lee Stetson. Twenty-two of famed conservationist John Muir’s greatest adventures. For the mountains of California. (Stephanie Wander)

Andrew Marshall is the Vice President of Communications for the Atlantic Council. He leads the Council’s media, digital, and editorial efforts, and coordinates the way the Council talks with its key communities.

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An “illiterate generation”—one of Iraq’s untold pandemic stories https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/menasource/an-illiterate-generation-one-of-iraqs-untold-pandemic-stories/ Mon, 26 Jul 2021 13:09:52 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=418128 The devastating impacts of COVID-19, coupled with years of spillover effects of violent conflict and extremism, have already proved to be detrimental to students whose education and future career ambitions already receive limited attention.

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The impacts of the coronavirus pandemic in Iraq are devastating. With a population of over thirty-nine million, Iraq has totaled at least 1.5 million infections and over eighteen thousand deaths since the start of the pandemic. Like much of the Middle East, the vaccination effort in Iraq is progressing at an alarmingly slow rate—only 0.99 percent of Iraq’s population is fully vaccinated. Globally, the conversation surrounding COVID-19 is, understandably, focused on the death toll, number of infections, and vaccination rates. Yet, similarly grave statistics can be found in the countless untold stories in countries like war-ravaged Iraq, where the devastating social impacts of COVID-19 receive little global attention, particularly youth education.

Throughout the pandemic, the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG) and Iraq’s federal government mandated school closures nationwide, affecting eleven million Iraqi children, ranging from pre-primary students to post-secondary students. The devastating impacts of COVID-19, coupled with years of spillover effects of violent conflict and extremism, have already proved to be detrimental to students whose education and future career ambitions already receive limited attention. Now, compounded with the effects of the pandemic, Iraq faces a perilous prospect: the potential for an entire illiterate generation

COVID-19 and education in Iraq

The pandemic has negatively impacted education in Iraq in two main ways: (1) Iraqi youths’ lack of access to education and (2) inconsistent school re-openings. A lack of access to education in Iraq is unfortunately not a new obstacle. This phenomenon has plagued the country for decades as a third-order consequence of multiple violent conflicts starting in 2003. Adding COVID-19 into the equation only exacerbates an already dire situation in the Iraqi education system.

In 2018, ACAPS, an independent humanitarian information provider, reported that only 20 percent of children in Iraq had access to computers at home, which made the transition to online learning during the pandemic virtually impossible for the majority of students. In a series of interviews with Iraqi parents, mothers and fathers conveyed that their children had received no education since school closures in February 2020. During the same series of interviews, a teacher from the Kurdistan region of Iraq cited the lack of internet access among students as a driving factor for why students could not attend school virtually. In terms of internet connectivity, Iraq ranks well below international averages of internet quality. Among the small number of Iraqi children who were fortunate enough to access both a computer and internet, connectivity is constantly interrupted by prolonged power outages. As a result, students could not attend virtual classes, complete required assignments, and study properly.

When looking at inconsistent school re-openings during the pandemic, both the KRG and the government of Iraq have constantly closed and re-opened schools due to fluctuations in COVID-19 case counts. Within these fluctuated closings and re-openings, overcrowded schools without proper personal protective equipment (PPE) have led to high rates of infections among children in Iraq. The country is also ranked amongst the highest in the world in terms of total duration of school closures during the pandemic, lasting sixty-two weeks. During this time, even children who could access schooling received low-quality education, with some instructors only able to teach 50 percent of their curriculum. Dr. Abbas Kadhim, a senior fellow at the Atlantic Council, described it as “a year to be forgotten for the kids” and total “chaos.”

Why does this matter?

In the Middle East and countries plagued by violence, education is vital to economic growth, social stability, better health, overall development, and numerous other areas crucial to national and regional stability. The coronavirus pandemic has deepened Iraq’s already troublesome financial crisis through a sharp decline in the country’s GDP, the volatility of oil prices, and a 9 percent contraction of the country’s non-oil economic sector. The risk of an illiterate generation in Iraq existed prior to COVID-19, but Iraq’s already dire education system is now on a crash course destined to clash with a failing economy. The possibility of illiterate Iraqi youth entering the job market during this economic crisis—without access to proper education to positively contribute to the economy—will inevitably lead to unemployment and poverty that will undoubtedly cause political and social instability. As Paul Collier, a British economist and academic, argued: “If young people are left with no alternative but unemployment and poverty, they are increasingly likely to join a rebellion as an alternate way of generating an income.”

What’s next?

US politicians, studies, and many people in America’s foreign policy establishment have argued that the US failed to properly rebuild Iraq after the 2003 invasion to oust dictator Saddam Hussein. Despite minor victories in transforming Iraq into a more democratic government, the years of conflict and social and political instability that followed continue to devastate the country. From a national security perspective, the US and other nations must recognize the significance of the current education situation’s impact on stability in Iraq. History shows the second and third order security issues that come from policies that fail to fully address human security in Iraq, like the power vacuum that created the Islamic State of Iraq and al-Sham. The US and its allies should act to restructure Iraq’s education system before it is too late.

Although the global vaccination effort put forth by President Joe Biden and G-7 leaders is a solid first step, additional global efforts must be put in place that do not focus solely on vaccine distribution. An example of this can be demonstrated through the July 23 announcement that the US is committing nearly $155 million in additional humanitarian assistance for Iraq. The US can maximize the impact of this funding by listening to what Iraqis and organizations on the ground are requesting—such as Save the Children’s urgent call for donations of PPE and sanitization tools for Iraqi schools. The US and allied nations have the ability to help combat infection rates in Iraqi schools by donating much-needed PPE and sending health experts into the region who can properly guide these communities on practices to re-open schools safely and keep them open.

From an internal perspective, the KRG and Iraq’s federal government must prioritize education by increasing spending in the sector. According to Barry Johnston, associate director of advocacy at the Malala Fund, both Iraqi governments have recently lowered their budgetary allocations for education, with Iraq as a whole spending less on education than any other nation in the Middle East. Next, there must be consistency among school openings between the KRG and Baghdad. The constant disruption of school openings and closures due to COVID spikes is both destructive to students’ education and unfair as restaurants and other businesses are permitted to remain open. Although closures due to COVID-19 are understandable, they should be implemented only under the most extreme circumstances. The governments of Iraq must collaborate with the international community for assistance, detailing how much PPE they require—along with other resources necessary to safely and effectively open schools—and ensure that they remain open.

Even the US experienced many significant struggles within its education sector during the coronavirus pandemic. This perspective should help US policymakers realize the gravity of Iraq’s situation. While there is no clear solution to fixing a deeply broken and crumbled education system, the international community cannot afford to turn a blind eye to Iraq again. Education is a clear area for improvement if there is to truly be a rebuild, particularly as the Biden administration shifts its focus toward diplomacy and away from traditional military operations. The US has failed the previous and current generation of Iraqis by not properly rebuilding the country. However, they can now truly support the future generations of Iraq by committing to a human security approach and supporting critical social sectors, like education.

Hezha Barzani is a Young Global Professional with the Atlantic Council’s Middle East Programs.

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Goldin quoted in Politico on World Youth Skills Day https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/insight-impact/in-the-news/goldin-quoted-in-politico-on-world-youth-skills-day/ Wed, 14 Jul 2021 19:34:00 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=415456 Read the whole article here.

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Read the whole article here.

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Escape from empire: Ukraine’s post-Soviet national awakening https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/ukrainealert/escape-from-empire-ukraines-post-soviet-national-awakening/ Wed, 07 Jul 2021 17:35:14 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=412415 The evolution of Ukrainian national identity since 1991 has had repercussions far beyond Ukraine’s borders that have transformed the geopolitical climate and plunged the world into a new Cold War.

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The strengthening of Ukrainian national identity over the past three decades of independence is an important and under-explored historical phenomenon that has had repercussions far beyond Ukraine’s borders. It has transformed the political climate across much of the former Soviet world and helped fuel today’s Cold War-style climate of confrontation between Russia and the West.

From the very beginning, Ukraine’s post-Soviet nation-building journey has been defined by competition between rival narratives that have sought to place the country within the so-called Russian World or among the European community of nations. Ukrainian supporters of a Russia-friendly Eastern Slavic identity have always been able to count on powerful backing from Russia itself. Conversely, the Western world has never quite managed to make up its mind about Ukraine and has generally adopted a cautious approach.

Nevertheless, over the past thirty years, old imperial myths of eternal brotherhood with Russia have gradually fallen out of fashion among Ukrainian audiences and been replaced by an increasingly self-confident sense of European identity. The geopolitical implications of this trend have been profound and continue to reverberate throughout the region.

One of the key factors behind post-Soviet Ukraine’s turn towards the Western world has been Russia’s consistent failure since 1991 to work constructively with any Ukrainian leaders. Indeed, Russian bullying, arrogance, and chauvinism have arguably done as much as any domestic policies instigated in Kyiv to promote an independent Ukrainian national identity and nudge the country further away from the Russian sphere.

This pattern has been particularly pronounced since the outbreak of Russian military aggression in 2014. Over the past seven years, the self-defeating nature of Vladimir Putin’s Ukraine war has been widely noted. However, Russia’s problems with Ukraine predate today’s hostilities. Current Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s exasperation with Putin is nothing new and closely mirrors his predecessor Leonid Kuchma’s similar frustration with Boris Yeltsin back in the 1990’s.

During the early post-Soviet years, it was already clear that Russia had no intention of relinquishing its claims to domination over what many in Moscow regarded as a nominally independent Ukraine. Yeltsin had initially fought against the idea of full independence. Once the USSR officially ceased to exist, the first Russian efforts to prize Crimea away from the new Ukrainian state were soon underway.

A decade later, Ukraine’s pro-Kremlin Party of the Regions became the political vehicle for efforts to turn Ukraine into a second Belarus. From the early 2000’s until its demise in 2014, the Party of the Regions worked closely with the Kremlin to move Ukraine along the same path taken by Belarus dictator Alyaksandr Lukashenka since 1994. These efforts benefited from overwhelming economic, political, and informational backing, but were rebuffed on two separate occasions by massive popular uprisings.

Russia continues to back political parties in Ukraine, but the influence of these political forces is now significantly diminished. Support for openly pro-Russian parties has understandably dwindled across the country since 2014, while large portions of the Kremlin’s traditional Ukrainian electorate have been disenfranchised by Russia’s occupation of Crimea and eastern Ukraine’s Donbas region.

As a result of these changes, it is now virtually impossible for pro-Russian forces to win a Ukrainian presidential election or secure a parliamentary majority in the country. Whereas Kremlin-backed candidates and political parties could expect to receive between 40% and 50% of the national vote a decade ago, the figure is now around 20%. With a disproportionate share of this support coming from pension-age voters, it hard to see how Russia could hope to mount a plausible political comeback in Ukraine.

Despite the apparently decisive nature of Ukraine’s geopolitical divorce from Russia, the confrontation between the two countries continues and is currently at its bloodiest stage. Since the Russian seizure of Crimea in 2014, over 14,000 Ukrainians have been killed and around two million have been displaced by a seven-year conflict in the east of the country that continues to simmer on with no end in sight.

Few in Ukraine expect this situation to change any time soon. Constitutional amendments adopted in Russia last year mean that Putin is likely to remain in power until 2036. As long as he is in the Kremlin, there is little prospect of peace.

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Russia’s consistently counter-productive policies towards independent Ukraine betray the Kremlin’s failure to understand the true national character of its close neighbor, which was never as similar to Belarus and Russia as Moscow propagandists liked to claim.

During the Soviet era, Ukraine was the only one of the three republics to have a robust democratic movement demanding national and human rights. Unsurprisingly, Ukrainian political prisoners made up the largest national contingent in the Soviet gulags. This strong sense of national identity was underlined during the Perestroika era, when Ukrainians pushed hard for independence while Belarus was largely passive and many in Russia favored maintaining a loose confederation that would leave their imperial identity intact.

During the first half of Ukraine’s three decades of independence, the country was led by an uneasy coalition of former communists and national democrats. The reigns of presidents Leonid Kravchuk and Leonid Kuchma (1991-2004) saw gradual progress towards a more independent Ukrainian identity in the state sector via official newspapers, schools, and higher education. However, Russian influence remained dominant in the media and popular culture, which often led to a blurring of the boundaries between the two countries.

Following the dawn of independence, the study of Ukrainian history gradually changed. After decades of Soviet denials, commemoration of the man-made 1930’s Holodomor famine began to play an increasingly important role in national memory. Translated diaspora histories of Ukraine by Orest Subtelny and Paul R. Magocsi became influential. New school textbooks and historians revived the study of Ukrainian history as a subject independent of Russian and Eastern Slavic history. New monuments to Ukrainian heroes forbidden by the Soviet regime began appearing in Ukraine, while many Soviet monuments came down.

The 2004 Orange Revolution was the first of two great watershed moments in Ukraine’s post-Soviet national awakening that served to strengthen the country’s European identity while deepening the divide with Russia. Mass protests by millions of Ukrainians in November 2004 forced the authorities to rerun a rigged presidential vote, enabling opposition candidate Viktor Yushchenko to win convincingly via majorities in western and central Ukraine. Yushchenko’s victory demonstrated how a specifically Ukrainian identity was spreading across the country from its traditional western heartlands into the rest of Ukraine.

Yushchenko’s presidency ultimately failed to transform Ukraine politically, but it was highly successful in consolidating an independent Ukrainian identity. The Ukrainian Institute of National Memory was established in 2006. That same year, a law recognizing the Holodomor as an act of genocide against Ukraine was supported by all parliamentary forces except the Party of Regions and the Communists. More controversially, Yushchenko also backed the rehabilitation and official commemoration of Ukrainian nationalist groups from the Soviet era.

Russian dreams of returning Ukraine to the Kremlin orbit were temporarily boosted by the 2010 election victory of pro-Moscow presidential candidate Viktor Yanukovych, who had played the role of villain during the 2004 Orange Revolution. Yanukovych’s political comeback sparked renewed optimism in the Kremlin that Ukraine could still be reclaimed. He broadly embraced many of Russia’s key positions in the memory wars shaping Ukrainian national identity, while opposing NATO membership for the country and rejecting efforts to revise established Soviet-era historical narratives.

However, Yanukovych’s 2010 election win did not mark a decisive turn back towards Russia. In reality, it was primarily the result of fatigue and frustration over the failures of the orange revolutionaries to live up to their bold promises. Ukraine’s last pro-Russian leader never enjoyed majority support and remained deeply unpopular throughout much of the country. When Yanukovych eventually tried to renege on his campaign trail commitment to sign an Association Agreement with the European Union, millions of Ukrainians once more took to the streets.

The 2013-14 Euromaidan Revolution, and the Russian military aggression which followed in its wake, represent the second great turning point in modern Ukrainian history. As a result of the ongoing conflict with Russia, Ukrainian national identity has become significantly stronger throughout the southern and eastern regions of the country where pro-Russian and Soviet identities had previously flourished.

A prominent example of this trend is Dnipro, which ranks among the largest and most strategically important cities in eastern Ukraine. This heavily russified city of around one million once served as the highly secretive center of the Soviet rocket and missile industry. Prior to 2014, the city had routinely voted for pro-Kremlin candidates. Since the start of the war, however, Dnipro has undergone a remarkable transformation, becoming a patriotic frontline bastion of Ukrainian resistance to Russian aggression.

In many ways, the Euromaidan Revolution and ensuing armed conflict with Russia have accelerated the creation of a civic Ukrainian nation. A high percentage of Ukrainian military recruits and battlefield casualties have come from majority Russian-speaking areas of the country, especially Dnipro and the surrounding Dnipropetrovsk region. With Russian-speaking and Ukrainian-speaking Ukrainians fighting shoulder to shoulder against Kremlin forces, notions of a linguistic divide have receded into the background. Tellingly, high majorities of Ukrainians back the country’s 2019 Language Law, despite ongoing efforts by pro-Russian political forces to exploit the language issue.

Ukraine’s adoption of decommunization laws in 2015 served as another important step away from the shared identity of the Soviet era. This move officially legitimized and accelerated the ongoing removal of Soviet symbols from Ukrainian public spaces. The first attempts to rid Ukraine of prominent Soviet monuments and symbols had taken place during the early 1990’s, but these efforts varied greatly from region to region and were generally inconclusive. A new wave began in December 2013 with the downing of Kyiv’s main Lenin monument during the Euromaidan Revolution.

Following the passing of Ukraine’s decommunization laws, towns, cities, streets, and squares across the country were renamed, while thousands more Soviet statues and monuments were dismantled. Many saw this as completing the unfinished business of 1991 and ending the ambiguous relationship with the country’s Soviet past. Of the 6,000 Lenin monuments Ukraine inherited from the USSR, the only ones still standing today are in Russian-occupied Crimea and Donbas.

Ukraine’s decommunization laws also had the effect of decisively distancing the country from Soviet era and contemporary Russian historical narratives. By banning both Nazi and Communist symbols, these laws implicitly equated the two totalitarian ideologies.

As independent Ukraine has sought to shed the last vestiges of the imperial past, Soviet holidays have been revised or removed entirely from the national calendar. Since 2015, traditional Communist era celebrations of the Red Army victory over Nazi Germany have been replaced by a more solemn, European-style commemoration honoring the victims of World War II. At a time when Putin continues to push the cult of Victory Day to ever more absurd heights, Ukraine has moved in the opposite direction.

The Kremlin’s fading hopes of keeping Ukraine within the Russian World received a further blow in early 2019 when the Patriarch of Constantinople, Bartholomew I, granted Ukraine Orthodox independence. The creation of a new Orthodox Church of Ukraine beyond the control of the Russian Orthodox Church left Putin’s dreams of informal empire in tatters. While the Moscow Patriarchate still has a considerable presence in Ukraine, nearly two-thirds of Orthodox Ukrainians now identify as supporters of the Orthodox Church of Ukraine.

Ukraine’s nation-building journey is far from over, of course. Regional differences continue to pose a challenge for the country. However, these divides are no longer profound, as seen in the nationwide support that propelled Volodymyr Zelenskyy to his landslide presidential election victory in 2019.

As Ukraine marks three decades of independence, the country has clearly moved beyond obsolete Soviet definitions of identity rooted in common Eastern Slavic ancestry and Russian-Ukrainian ”fraternal brotherhood.” Instead, a specifically Ukrainian national identity has emerged that reflects the new social, cultural, and geopolitical realities of the region. The struggle against Russian occupation and military aggression is likely to continue for many more years, but it can be argued that Ukraine’s battle for an independent identity has already been won.

Taras Kuzio is a non-resident fellow at the Foreign Policy Institute at Johns Hopkins-SAIS and a professor at the National University of Kyiv Mohyla Academy. He is also author of “Putin’s War Against Ukraine” and co-author of “The Sources of Russia’s Great Power Politics: Ukraine and the Challenge to the European Order”.

Further reading

The views expressed in UkraineAlert are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Atlantic Council, its staff, or its supporters.

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AC Selects: Strengths and perceptions of the US https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/content-series/ac-selects/ac-selects-strengths-and-perceptions-of-the-us/ Fri, 18 Jun 2021 20:08:00 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=472184 Week of June 18, 2021 This week, learn about the global perceptions of the US, the effects of diaspora communities, and the benefits of tech in education. Related events

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Week of June 18, 2021

This week, learn about the global perceptions of the US, the effects of diaspora communities, and the benefits of tech in education.

Related events

The Africa Center works to promote dynamic geopolitical partnerships with African states and to redirect US and European policy priorities toward strengthening security and bolstering economic growth and prosperity on the continent.

The Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security works to develop sustainable, nonpartisan strategies to address the most important security challenges facing the United States and the world.

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The post-COVID world this week: The G7’s pandemic plans, a ‘variant of concern,’ and alarm bells in Africa https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/coronavirus-alert/the-post-covid-world-this-week-the-g7s-pandemic-plans-a-variant-of-concern-and-alarm-bells-in-africa/ Fri, 18 Jun 2021 16:54:20 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=406400 What can we expect from a post-COVID world after a pandemic that has reshaped international affairs? A world in which Africa faces lasting pandemic and vaccination problems.

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The future is here: A guide to the post-COVID world 06/18/2021

Welcome to your guide to where the world is headed during the pandemic era and beyond, from Andrew Marshall. Each week, we’ll bring you the latest and most significant expert insights and international news about how coronavirus is reshaping international affairs. To stay updated each week, sign up to the newsletter here.

Let’s take a spin around the globe, in seven minutes or less.

In top stories this week:

  • The G7’s plans to overcome COVID-19 together.
  • Why a “variant of concern” is throwing a wrench in UK plans.
  • But first…

The big story

This week’s key theme: Africa is hitting its third COVID-19 wave—and alarm bells should be ringing.

The headlines after last weekend’s meeting of the Group of Seven (G7) featured the big names of global politics: Biden, Macron, Johnson, and more. 

But the man who should have got the headlines was South African President Cyril Ramaphosa. He traveled to England to argue the case for his country and for Africa, and that case really deserves a hearing. 

“We need to address the substantial financing gap for tests, treatments, critical supplies like oxygen, and the health systems that enable testing, treatment, and vaccination,” Ramaphosa said. “If the world is to emerge from this grave crisis, it is essential that we work together to mobilize and direct resources to those countries in the greatest need—and that we do so now.” 

I am focused on COVID-19 in Africa this week. Zakiya, a friend and former colleague from South Africa, died of COVID-19 this week. Many of us have lost friends or family in the pandemic. This one hit home. Zakiya was in her thirties and was vibrant, clever, challenging, and funny. I last saw her in 2017 when she visited the United States as a Mandela Washington Fellow; she brought my daughter a T-shirt with a picture of anti-apartheid leader Steve Biko. I had hoped we might meet again in South Africa, but now that is not to be.  

A surge of coronavirus infections is hitting Africa. It hasn’t hit the headlines in the same way as the crisis in India, but it is just as real a problem. The underlying issues—lack of international cooperation over vaccines and weak health systems —are clear.  

Just over a week ago, World Health Organization (WHO) Regional Director for Africa Matshidiso Moeti warned “the threat of a third wave in Africa is real and rising.” By this Tuesday, Ramaphosa had announced new lockdown measures and a curfew. “A third wave of infections is upon us,” he said.  

The spread is also happening in Uganda, Namibia, Zambia, and the Democratic Republic of the Congo. “Uganda is of particular concern, recording a 131% week-on-week rise in cases, with isolation centres and intensive care units under strain,” reported the BBC. The Guardian, meanwhile, noted that “Uganda has all but run out of Covid-19 vaccines and oxygen as the country grapples with another wave of the pandemic.” In 2019, there were reported to be fifty-five functional ICU beds (although perhaps nearly one hundred depending on methodology) in Uganda; Washington, DC, alone has 345.

About 90 percent of African countries were already set to miss a September target to vaccinate 10 percent of their populations. “In Kenya, one of Africa’s biggest economies, with more than 50 million people, only 1,386 have received two doses of a vaccine,” said the New York Times. That’s about the average population of one block of Manhattan. As of last week, five African countries still had not administered any vaccine shots at all. The rollout has been hampered by vaccine hesitancy, as in the West, but that’s only part of the challenge.  

The flow of vaccines to the continent has almost dried up. “The international scheme to ensure equal access to Covid-19 vaccines is 140 million doses short because of India’s continuing Covid crisis,” the BBC reported last month. It explained that the Serum Institute of India, the largest supplier to the COVAX Facility, had made none of its planned shipments after India suspended exports of vaccines in March as  India was itself facing a crisis.  

In South Africa, which hosts the African continent’s largest COVID-19 caseload, just 0.8 percent of the population is fully vaccinated, the Associated Press (AP) reported, citing a tracker by Johns Hopkins University. “And hundreds of thousands of the country’s health workers, many of whom come face-to-face with the virus every day,” AP adds, “are still waiting for their shots.” The country has discarded two million Johnson & Johnson vaccine doses which were found by the US Food and Drug Administration to be possibly contaminated at a Baltimore plant. The country also had problems with the AstraZeneca vaccine earlier this year.  

The short- and long-term consequences of this for Africa are desperate. “Unvaccinated and without the help of large government stimulus measures, the continent’s middle class, a key engine of economic, educational and political development, is contracting rapidly,” says the Wall Street Journal, citing the Pew Research Center.  

G7 leaders have promised to donate one billion doses of vaccines for the rest of the world. “This is a big help, but we need more, and we need them faster. Right now, the virus is moving faster than the global distribution of vaccines,” said WHO chief Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus. 

The pandemic has been a test of medical ingenuity, political ability, and international solidarity. South Africa and its neighbors will need all three in the coming weeks.  

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The world in brief

Insights from across the planet, in ten bullets or fewer

  • The United Kingdom has postponed its full reopening. After anguished deliberations, Prime Minister Boris Johnson shifted the date from June 21 to July 19. “The PM said it was a ‘very difficult choice’ but it was ‘sensible’ to wait a little longer,” the BBC reports. A version of COVID-19 which first appeared in India is now spreading rapidly. “The Delta variant is rising across the UK, where it now makes up more than 90% of new coronavirus [infections],” reports the Guardian.
  • The US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention has labeled the Delta variant of COVID-19 a “variant of concern.” This designation “is given to strains of the virus that scientists believe are more transmissible or can cause more severe disease,” explains CNN. It accounts for about 6 percent of all coronavirus infections in the United States.  “The bad news: Delta, a scary new variant of the coronavirus, is spreading both stateside and abroad,” says the Atlantic. “The good news: In the matchup between vaccines and variants, the vaccines remain ahead for now.”  
  • California has removed its restrictions. “Just in time for summer, California wants to send the message that life in the Golden State is getting much closer to normal,” AP reports. “The economy is fully reopening for the first time in 15 months and people can largely return to pre-pandemic lifestyles. Fans can cheer mask-less at Dodgers and Giants games. Disneyland is throwing its doors open to all tourists after allowing just California residents. People can pack indoor bars and nightclubs from the Sunset Strip in Los Angeles to the Castro in San Francisco.” What could be more American?  
  • Your holiday gifts may well be pandemic books. We have had data trackers for the virus and vaccinations, and the next one needed is probably for volumes: the number of pandemic books is rising to a concerning level. Dan Diamond and Alexandra Ellerbeck review some in the Washington Post and also look at the wave of blame and counter-blame in those which track the Trump administration’s response. The books include “an entire cottage industry about Anthony S. Fauci, ranging from a children’s picture book to ‘Faucian Bargain,’ a conspiratorial tome taking aim at the government’s top infectious-disease expert.” I’ll wait for the movie.  

The inside scoop

Insights from the Atlantic Council

Andrew Marshall is the Vice President of Communications for the Atlantic Council. He leads the Council’s media, digital, and editorial efforts, and coordinates the way the Council talks with its key communities.

The post The post-COVID world this week: The G7’s pandemic plans, a ‘variant of concern,’ and alarm bells in Africa appeared first on Atlantic Council.

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Event recap | Reimagining education in a rapidly changing era https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/geotech-cues/event-recap-reimagining-education/ Wed, 16 Jun 2021 17:21:42 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=405600 A GeoTech Hour discussion exploring how to link education to the jobs of today and tomorrow, to ensure what people learning gives them the necessary skills, abilities, and knowledge to succeed amid global change.

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Find the full GeoTech Hour series here.

Event description

Education is essential for ensuring individuals are prepared for both the jobs of today as well as the jobs of tomorrow. In the “GeoTech Decade,” where data and tech will have significant impacts on global geopolitics, competition, and collaborations, education is even more essential given exponential changes in digital systems, physical supply chains, health technologies, and commercial space solutions. It is essential to avoid being caught-up in the veneer of new technologies and losing focus on how people learn best.

On Wednesday, June 16, from 12:00 -1:00 p.m. EDT, as part of the weekly GeoTech Hour, the GeoTech Center hosted a discussion about teaching tech, data, and engineering in our exponential era ahead. Panelists discussed how to link education to the jobs of today and tomorrow to ensure people learn the necessary skills, abilities, and knowledge to succeed amid global change.

Featuring

Bevon Moore
Founder, CEO, and Lead Designer
CollabWorkx

AnnMarie P. Thomas, PhD
Professor, School of Engineering and Schulze School of Entrepreneurship
University of St. Thomas

Bo Stjerne Thomsen
Chair, Learning Through Play
LEGO Foundation

Stephanie Wander
Deputy Director and Senior Fellow, GeoTech Center
Atlantic Council

Hosted by

David Bray, PhD
Director, GeoTech Center
Atlantic Council

Previous episode

Event Recap

Jun 9, 2021

Event recap | The human dimensions of autonomous systems employing AI

By the GeoTech Center

A GeoTech Hour discussion exploring what should be off-limits when it comes to autonomous systems paired with artificial intelligence, particularly when they have the ability to impact human lives.

Digital Policy Technology & Innovation

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The post-COVID world this week: NATO’s defense against pandemics, US vaccine diplomacy, and a new era in finance https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/coronavirus-alert/the-post-covid-world-this-week-natos-defense-against-pandemics-us-vaccine-diplomacy-and-a-new-era-in-finance/ Fri, 11 Jun 2021 16:09:01 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=402076 What can we expect from a post-COVID world after a pandemic that has reshaped international affairs? A world in which there's a grassroots disturbance in high finance.

The post The post-COVID world this week: NATO’s defense against pandemics, US vaccine diplomacy, and a new era in finance appeared first on Atlantic Council.

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The future is here: A guide to the post-COVID world 06/11/2021

Welcome to your guide to where the world is headed during the pandemic era and beyond, from Andrew Marshall. Each week, we’ll bring you the latest and most significant expert insights and international news about how coronavirus is reshaping international affairs. To stay updated each week, sign up to the newsletter here.

Let’s take a spin around the globe, in seven minutes or less.

In top stories this week:

  • NATO’s role now includes preventing pandemics. How should it go about that? 
  • As the Group of Seven (G7) summit kicks off, revisit the numbers behind the pandemic-ravaged economy. 
  • The latest incentive to get people vaccinated.
  • But first, a special dispatch from the GeoEconomics Center on how people armed with stimulus checks and extra time at home are taking over finance.

The big story

This week’s key theme: Is the new age of finance decentralized?

The GameStop saga of January 2021 sent shockwaves across Wall Street. Tens of thousands of investors—encouraged by a Reddit thread, sitting at home thanks to the pandemic, and empowered by online trading apps—sent the stock price of the struggling video game retailer “to the moon.” At one point, GameStop had gained roughly 18,700 percent in value. Some said the democratization of finance had arrived. 

But democracy can be messy. Robinhood and TD Ameritrade abruptly restricted most transactions, causing the price to crash to just one-fourth of its intraday high. US Senator Ted Cruz (R-TX) and US Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY-14) found themselves on the same side of the issue. Regulators in DC were unsure of what to do next. 

GameStop was just the beginning. Last week, AMC became the latest beneficiary of the masses.A huge spike has now put the stock up an eye-popping 2,000 percent for the year. These so-called “meme stocks” all benefit from decentralized finance or DeFi.

DeFi is a new way to complete transactions on apps. These apps run on blockchain and essentially could make banks, brokerages, exchanges, and other intermediaries irrelevant. DeFi proposes removing all the fees, processing times, delays, and risks associated with banking today. It brings finance to the masses and makes finance fast.

So what happens when DeFi finally clashes with traditional finance? We may be about to find out. The US Securities and Exchange Commission (under the leadership of its new chairman, Gary Gensler) is tasked with coming up with regulations to limit any illegal activity happening through DeFi. But Gensler has been clear he has no desire to stifle innovation.

Instead of trying to turn back the clock, some businesses are finding ways to lean in. AMC started tweeting out encouragement for its new investors, even offering free popcorn whenever people feel comfortable returning to the theater.

Other companies think this is all a passing fad. After all, the US Federal Reserve has injected trillions into the markets, COVID-19 relief checks have hit people’s pockets, and all that money has to go somewhere. Once things settle out, finance will be more  “rational,” or so the thinking goes.

The reality is that we’ve entered a new era of finance and we may never look back. The attraction is easy to understand. DeFi is much more popular with younger generations, especially Millennials and Gen Z, who may have an ax to grind with traditional finance. A recent report by the Fed shows that Millennials hold only 4.8 percent of total US wealth. When Boomers were the same age Millennials are today, they held almost five times that share. Millennials came of age during the 2008 financial crisis, entering an economy in crisis with limited job prospects and a lot of student debt. Now, Gen Z is coming of age in the midst of the first pandemic in a century. Anger and resentment have exploded in fervent support of new systems that circumvent traditional institutions entirely—cryptocurrencies, non-fungible tokens (NFTs), and more. 

All great revolutions in finance have been met with skepticism. Think of the invention of paper money in China a thousand years ago, or the advent of printed checks in England in the eighteenth century. But history teaches us the revolutionaries and the old guard often come together to craft a smarter financial system. Innovation is the lifeblood of any well-functioning market, and DeFi may just be the next great financial innovation.

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The world in brief

Insights from across the planet, in ten bullets or fewer

  • The United States is preparing to buy 500 million doses of the Pfizer vaccine to donate to the world. The move comes ahead of this weekend’s Group of Seven summit and after increased pressure on rich countries to do more to distribute vaccines around the world. “Of the 1.77 billion doses of Covid vaccines administered globally, 28% have been in the world’s richest nations, while just 0.3% of vaccines have been given in low-income countries,” CNN cited Oxfam International as saying last week. “Sharing vaccines now is essential for ending the acute phase of the pandemic,” World Health Organization Director General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus told reporters Monday.  
  • Resistance to vaccination mandates is rising in Texas. Employees of Houston Methodist hospital walked out after being told they had to be vaccinated. Ashton Handley, an employee who resigned over the issue, told Fox News, “I’m not on either side, I’m not anti-vaxxer, I’ve received my vaccine, but I believe it should be someone’s choice.” Texas has passed a law saying that businesses that require customers to be vaccinated will be denied state contracts. “Texas is open 100%, and we want to make sure you have the freedom to go where you want without limits,” Governor Greg Abbott said
  • The latest incentive to persuade people to get vaccinated: marijuana. “’Joints for Jabs’ is officially a thing in Washington state,” reports USA Today. “The state’s Liquor and Cannabis Board said this week that it would allow state-licensed cannabis retailers to ‘provide one joint to adult consumers who receive COVID-19 vaccination at an in-store vaccination clinic.’” 
  • Leaving work when the pandemic struck was hard. Going back may be harder. “This is really complicated,” Teresa Gerton told NPR. She is president of the National Academy of Public Administration, a nonpartisan group that advises government leaders. She added that “It is not as easy as flipping a switch and just saying everybody back.” Some people are resisting a return. “Apple employees are pushing back against a new policy that would require them to return to the office three days a week starting in early September,” The Verge reports, adding, “Staff members say they want a flexible approach where those who want to work remote can do so.” The Economist in its Daily Chart pointed out that “Employees say they work more productively at home, but that might be wishful thinking.” 
  • There’s good news for fans of British pubs: “The percentage of pub and bar owners who had ‘high confidence’ in their establishment surviving the next three months passed 20% for the first time since November 2020,” the UK government’s statistical body reported. The bad news: that’s still low. The report from the Office for National Statistics is entitled “Economies of ale: pubs in the time of COVID-19,” proof that statistics offices have a sense of humor too.  

The inside scoop

Insights from the Atlantic Council

Andrew Marshall is the Vice President of Communications for the Atlantic Council. He leads the Council’s media, digital, and editorial efforts, and coordinates the way the Council talks with its key communities.

The post The post-COVID world this week: NATO’s defense against pandemics, US vaccine diplomacy, and a new era in finance appeared first on Atlantic Council.

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The post-COVID world this week: The Wuhan lab-leak theory and the new way we’re paying for our pandemic purchases https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/coronavirus-alert/the-post-covid-world-this-week-the-wuhan-lab-leak-theory-and-the-new-way-were-paying-for-our-pandemic-purchases/ Fri, 04 Jun 2021 16:57:26 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=399834 What can we expect from a post-COVID world after a pandemic that has reshaped international affairs? A world in which we may still be paying off our pandemic era purchases.

The post The post-COVID world this week: The Wuhan lab-leak theory and the new way we’re paying for our pandemic purchases appeared first on Atlantic Council.

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The future is here: A guide to the post-COVID world 06/04/2021

Welcome to your guide to where the world is headed during the pandemic era and beyond, from Andrew Marshall. Each week, we’ll bring you the latest and most significant expert insights and international news about how coronavirus is reshaping international affairs. To stay updated each week, sign up to the newsletter here.

Let’s take a spin around the globe, in seven minutes or less.

In top stories this week:

  • If the Wuhan lab-leak theory proves true, what is Biden’s next move? 
  • The United Kingdom’s new mission: Create a system to catch new pandemics. 
  • Why COVID-19 watchers are pivoting toward Latin America.
  • But first…

The big story

This week’s key theme: There’s a new way to pay for our post-pandemic purchases

Buy now, pay later (BNPL) is one of the oldest temptations in the world: getting things with money we don’t have—or at least money we don’t have now. It’s also one of the fastest-growing new fintech categories, posing challenges to regulators while delighting online retailers.

BNPL services like Klarna, Affirm, Afterpay, Sezzle, and others are sprouting everywhere. You may have noticed them as options on sites like Bed Bath & Beyond or Lululemon when you paid for purchases. Or perhaps when you bought a Peloton during the pandemic (you did, didn’t you?), you saw an offer to pay installments over twelve, twenty-four, or even thirty-nine months with Affirm. 

BNPL has flourished during the pandemic as many of us took to the web to shop, even while worrying about cash flow. It’s one of the great examples of how the pandemic unexpectedly added momentum to an existing digital trend and brought the future a little closer.  

It’s a small but very rapidly growing part of retail, and it’s very 2021. “Though BNPL services accounted for just 2% of US e-commerce payments last year according to FIS Global, they’re rapidly gaining in popularity,” reports Marketwatch. “The value of purchases made using BNPL offerings rose 132% in the first quarter [of 2021].”

There are many different flavors of BNPL, as this excellent article and infographic by Jason Mikula at Fintech Business Weekly shows. But retailers love BNPL in whatever form. It improves the rate at which site visitors click purchase and increases the size of transactions, according to research quoted by AdAge. It also reaches a demographic that the finance sector would love to access: “According to eMarketer, 13% of 18- to 34-year-olds have used buy now, pay later, compared with the 9% survey average,” says AdAge. “While there is growth in users of all ages, Gen Z has fueled much of its initial growth and success.”

So everyone loves them, right? Not so fast, writes Alan McIntyre of Accenture at Forbes. “Is BNPL a clever way for younger borrowers to take on sensible credit, or did lenders just give billions of dollars of loans to a bunch of subprime borrowers in the checkout aisle?” 

Meanwhile, Chuck Bell, a program director with the advocacy division of Consumer Reports, warns that “consumers don’t always understand how these loan programs work, or what help they can expect if something goes wrong.”

Banks are also sniffy—in part because BNPL may be competition, but also because they are concerned about financial risk. Last year, Capital One said it would no longer allow payments to BNPL services from its credit cards. “These kinds of transactions can be risky for customers and the banks that serve them,” a Capital One spokeswoman told Reuters. 

Regulators don’t yet know how to handle them. “The BNPL providers are still [in] a regulatory grey area that needs to be addressed as early as possible,” says The Paypers, a news source for the global fintech, payments, and e-commerce industry. In the United Kingdom, which is further ahead with such services, the Financial Conduct Authority, an independent regulatory body, says “there is a strong and pressing case for regulation of BNPL business.” 

Yet many existing financial players, including Paypal, are entering the BNPL market. And as Terry Nguyen of Vox points out, “It doesn’t end with retail… Emerging fintech apps are looking to apply this lending model to other sectors, from health care to travel to rent.”  

It’s a classic example of a disruptive new service. But when the bill finally comes due, will we be able to pay it? 

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The world in brief

Insights from across the planet, in ten bullets or fewer

  • It’s time to freshen up your ancient Greek if you want to follow COVID-19 variants. The World Health Organization announced plans to name the variants after letters of the Greek alphabet rather than countries in a bid to remove stigma and increase clarity. “The decision to go for this naming system came after months of deliberations with experts considering a range of other possibilities such as Greek Gods,” bacteriologist Mark Pallen told the Guardian. What had been sometimes described as the Indian variant or B.1.617.2 is now the Delta variant, for example. 
  • The worst COVID-19 outbreaks are now in Latin America. Uruguay, Argentina, Colombia, Paraguay, and Chile are all now in the top ten countries in terms of cases per 100,000 residents over the past week, while South American countries top the deaths-per-capita list, the New York Times reports. Meanwhile, Peru said that its true death toll is almost three times as high as its reported official death toll, the New York Times says, making it “one of the hardest-hit nations relative to its population.” The severity of the problem in Argentina has forced organizers of the Copa America soccer tournament to move the soccer tournament to Brazil. 
  • An economic recovery “unlike anything you’ve seen”: The Wall Street Journal has a fascinating round-up of the ways that the US economy is—and is not—returning to normal. It’s “powered by consumers with trillions in extra savings, businesses eager to hire and enormous policy support,” it says, but “the speed of the rebound is also triggering turmoil. The shortages of goods, raw materials and labor that typically emerge toward the end of an expansion are cropping up much sooner.”
  • What will the new pandemic radar look like? Wired examines the ideas that the UK government is considering to create a system that would identify global health problems in advance. It will probably be a network of networks—bringing together existing groups that monitor things like disease outbreaks, reports of new diseases, and the spread of sicknesses like tuberculosis and HIV/AIDS. One of the effort’s supporters, the philanthropic Wellcome Trust, recommends a super-hub that links the data of existing national and international groups while “providing a shared resource for sequencing, data analysis, and computing infrastructure, along with the workforce to operate them.” 
  • What will it take to get you vaccinated? US President Joe Biden this week touted free beer, food, and sports tickets to get to his target to vaccinate 70 percent of the adult population by the Fourth of July (now, 52 percent are vaccinated). People who have been vaccinated “are safely [shedding] their masks and greeting one another with a smile. Grandparents are hugging their grandkids again. Small business owners are reopening storefronts and restaurants because of the vaccination strategy,” the president said, adding that this can be “a summer of freedom. A summer of joy. A summer of get-togethers and celebrations. An all-American summer that this country deserves after a long, long, dark winter that we’ve all endured.” 

The inside scoop

Insights from the Atlantic Council

Andrew Marshall is the Vice President of Communications for the Atlantic Council. He leads the Council’s media, digital, and editorial efforts, and coordinates the way the Council talks with its key communities.

The post The post-COVID world this week: The Wuhan lab-leak theory and the new way we’re paying for our pandemic purchases appeared first on Atlantic Council.

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Ending Ukraine’s memory wars https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/ukrainealert/ending-ukraines-memory-wars/ Tue, 01 Jun 2021 16:22:51 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=397698 Since 1991, Russia has sought to fuel memory wars as a way of preventing Ukraine from consolidating its statehood. However, recent research indicates that history can unite Ukrainians as well as dividing them.

The post Ending Ukraine’s memory wars appeared first on Atlantic Council.

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The cult leader and the psychotherapist have much in common. Both delve into people’s most vulnerable and unarticulated emotions, their secret resentments and their anger. But whereas the cult leader then exploits those emotions to control and manipulate, the psychotherapist does the opposite, helping people articulate their hidden problems and stand on their own two feet by making sense of themselves.

There is a similar contrast between the roles of propagandist and democratic media. Skilled propagandists play on society’s vulnerabilities, giving people who feel left behind someone to hate and someone to adore.

If it wants to compete with the propagandists, democratic media must also explore the same vulnerabilities and unspoken traumas. However, the job of democratic media is to bring these issues into the open so that gnawing, ignored grievances and pain can be discussed publicly. Ultimately, the objective is to create a healthy information environment that will allow for a degree of closure and enable society to move on.

In an era of increasingly weaponized information, we are in a race with the propagandists to see who can understand people more deeply, and who can engage more effectively.

This concept has been at the heart of recent work on memory wars and history in Ukraine conducted by the London School of Economics and Political Science’s Arena program together with Ukraine’s Public Interest Journalism Lab.

Over the past few years, we have been bringing together sociologists, documentary makers, historians, and digital analysts to understand Ukrainians’ feelings about their past. The latest output was a series of 10 films entitled “Our 30 Years” for Ukraine’s public broadcaster.

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Kremlin propaganda tries to split Ukrainian society by fueling memory wars while piling on nostalgia for the USSR. The aim is to divide the country based on the cliché of a “pro-Russian” or “pro-Soviet” East versus a “pro-Ukrainian” or “pro-European” West.

But how true is this cliché?

How well does the Kremlin really understand Ukrainians?

Our surveys and segmentation analysis demonstrated that rather than a nation split neatly into the propagandistic clichés of “East” and “West”, people in different parts of the country actually had much in common, especially in terms of what sort of future they envisaged for Ukraine. Regardless of location, most favored the idea of a democratic, Europe-leaning future.

Despite strong divisions around key issues such as World War II and historical figures like Stepan Bandera, attitudes towards the USSR could be highly nuanced and were often contradictory. People repeatedly demonstrated an ability to oppose specific aspects of the Soviet past including censorship, poverty, and a lack of human rights, while at the same time still being vaguely “nostalgic” about the period in general.

Divisions seemed to melt away entirely when we discussed more recent periods of history that people could recall from their own lives. Participants in focus groups were at first hesitant, and then increasingly emotional and candid, as they recalled their own personal stories. This included childhoods spent in the late USSR; their sense of disillusionment with Communist propaganda; the suppressed memories of seeing relatives return wounded from Afghanistan; and the confusing mix of hope, shame, and resilience associated with in the 1990s, when many lost their old identities and had to reinvent themselves.

This more recent history proved to be a whole reservoir of unexplored and unarticulated emotions. It is no coincidence these are the same topics explored in Belarusian author Svetlana Alexievich’s Nobel Prize-winning books.

It is these underlying issues that the Kremlin’s propagandists prey on. To put it simply: nostalgia is not actually about the distant, mythologized past; it is also about discomfort in people’s lived experience.

Our new series, produced by the PIJL for Ukraine’s public broadcaster, built on this research. Our films purposefully avoided an “authoritative” and always somewhat authoritarian voice-over format. Instead, we let people speak for themselves.

Those featured ranged from an Afghan veteran who battled PTSD and sought solace in music, and Ukrainian miners who fought for their rights in the late 1980s, to best friends who stuck together through thick and thin, packing their bags to the brim with goods to sell across the border, finding a way to survive during the prolonged economic crisis of the 1990s.

Everyone has their own stories to tell about this turbulent period. There is a great need to articulate the traumas of these years, as well as to celebrate the resilience and achievements of Ukrainians.

Many of the stories featured in our series were previously untold. Viewers have reported back to us that they had no idea about the experiences of Crimean Tatars in the 1990s, or of ecological protests that took place during those years.

Thanks to the distorted and slow development of independent media in post-Soviet Ukraine, it remains a country that does not really know itself. As a result, most Ukrainians still struggle to recognize how closely they are united by the common goal of a future based on rights and freedoms, despite the fact that this is undoubtedly what the vast majority of the country seeks.

We spoke to hundreds of Ukrainians in the series, and what we saw was a great eagerness among people not to simplify events, but to instead explore a variety of experiences. It is this variety that can unite people, allowing the space for ever more people to add their personal stories to the mosaic of Ukraine’s recent history.

Peter Pomerantsev is a journalist, author, and director of the Arena program, formerly based at the London School of Economics, and now at the Johns Hopkins University’s Agora Institute.

Nataliya Gumenyuk is an author and documentary filmmaker, co-founder of the Public Interest Journalism Lab, and Editor-in-Chief of the ‘Our 30 Years’ multimedia project.

Maria Montague is a researcher with the Arena program and Deputy Director of the Ukrainian Institute London.

The ‘Our 30 Years’ films are available with English subtitles on YouTube.

Further reading

The views expressed in UkraineAlert are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Atlantic Council, its staff, or its supporters.

The Eurasia Center’s mission is to enhance transatlantic cooperation in promoting stability, democratic values and prosperity in Eurasia, from Eastern Europe and Turkey in the West to the Caucasus, Russia and Central Asia in the East.

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The post-COVID world this week: The next vaccine millionaire and how vaccination campaigns are choosing their words wisely https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/coronavirus-alert/the-post-covid-world-this-week-the-next-vaccine-millionaire-and-how-vaccination-campaigns-are-choosing-their-words-wisely/ Fri, 28 May 2021 15:30:58 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=397320 What can we expect from a post-COVID world after a pandemic that has reshaped international affairs? A world in which vaccination campaigns are going to be getting creative about their words in order to persuade more people to get their doses.

The post The post-COVID world this week: The next vaccine millionaire and how vaccination campaigns are choosing their words wisely appeared first on Atlantic Council.

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The future is here: A guide to the post-COVID world 05/28/2021

Welcome to your guide to where the world is headed during the pandemic era and beyond, from Andrew Marshall. Each week, we’ll bring you the latest and most significant expert insights and international news about how coronavirus is reshaping international affairs. To stay updated each week, sign up to the newsletter here.

Let’s take a spin around the globe, in seven minutes or less.

In top stories this week:

  • New hopes, and new fears, in India.
  • Who wants to be a vaccine millionaire?
  • A quest for answers about the virus’s origins.
  • But first…

The big story

This week’s key theme: Vaccination campaigns will need to choose their words wisely.

What works best to persuade people to get a COVID-19 vaccine? Appealing to their community spirit or to their self-interest? Both approaches are underway in the United States right now.

There has been an explosion of research on such questions in the past year-and-a-half, as behavioral and social scientists have sought to understand and shape how people react to the pandemic. The journal Nature has a great synopsis.

One of the key focus areas: What makes people adopt preventive measures like masking? A sense of national or social solidarity helps, according to Jay Van Bavel, associate professor of psychology at New York University. “Van Bavel and his colleagues showed that countries in which people were most in favor of precautionary measures tended to be those that fostered a sense of public unity and cohesion,” says Nature. A sense that “we’re all in this together.”

This has long been a mainstay of public communication at times of war or crisis. And that is what you see in the campaign from the US Department of Health and Human Services to encourage vaccination, with the tagline, “We can do this.”

“We need you. We need you to bring it home,” said President Joe Biden, launching the campaign. “Get vaccinated. In two months, let’s celebrate our independence as a nation and our independence from this virus.” We, our, let’s. This is the language of much advocacy.

There is a problem, though; it doesn’t work for many Americans. It reflects collectivist values that simply don’t resonate with them. On average, vaccination rates are lower in counties and states that voted for Biden’s opponent, Donald Trump, who previously expressed his skepticism for vaccines. And studies showed that, worldwide, mask wearing was associated with collectivist culture, and mask refusal with a culture of individualism.

A parallel public messaging effort has come from the Ad Council, a nonprofit that produces advertisements that aim to tackle social problems, and it has resulted in a very different, more individualistic message: “It’s up to you.

It has focused on the part of the population that is neither enthusiastic about nor firmly against COVID-19 vaccines. “About 40 percent of the country made up the middle and had expressed on surveys that they were ‘open but uncertain’ or ‘skeptical.’ To have the greatest impact, the Ad Council’s campaign had to focus on them,” says the Washington Post.

The campaign may have just expertly hit the mark. “No one is telling you to get a vaccine the way they were telling you to wear a mask,” adds the Washington Post. “At the same time, the phrase carries a subtext of implied responsibility: It’s up to you to ask questions and get answers. It’s up to you to get back to the moments you miss.” This, quite different from the federal campaign, has an “overall approach of encouraging questions and respecting people’s personal autonomy and freedom.”

This framing will also likely work with those concerned about the health risks. “In the approximately 10% of the population who are strongly hesitant about COVID-19 vaccines, provision of information on personal benefit reduces hesitancy to a greater extent than information on collective benefits,” says a study in the journal The Lancet. “Where perception of risk from vaccines is most salient, decision making becomes centered on the personal.”

“Emphasize ‘protecting myself, loved ones and those in my community’ (rather than ‘coming together as a nation’),” says the Ad Council messaging. “Acknowledge that the ‘choice is yours to make,’ which connects with the deeply rooted American value of liberty.”

Both campaigns are currently running in the United States—the “me” and the “we.” The country needs both first person singular and plural, it turns out.

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The world in brief

Insights from across the planet, in ten bullets or fewer

  • The COVID-19 wave in India subsides, while a different wave arises: India’s terrible wave of coronavirus infections and deaths seems to be slowing. On Monday, cases fell below 200,000 for the first time in more than a month. “Experts believe that at a national level, the wave is waning,” the BBC reported. “It appears to have crested in states such as Maharashtra, Delhi and Chhattisgarh, but is still rising in Tamil Nadu, for example, as in much of the north east.” And the country’s plight continues to spark calls for assistance. “Other countries must help India comprehensively control COVID-19 and ensure that further dangerous variants don’t emerge,” writes Ramanan Laxminarayan, an economist and an epidemiologist, in Foreign Affairs. Even patients who are recovering from the disease are facing a new challenge: black fungus. The Associated Press reports a worrying surge in the often-fatal mucormycosis, which might be exacerbated by doctors overprescribing steroids to COVID-19 patients.
  • A global recovery takes shape: The global economy is recovering—unevenly, and somewhat unpredictably. “Advanced economies are enjoying a stronger recovery than we expected a few months ago,” the Financial Times reports. “This silver lining stems from an improving outlook for health, the power of government insurance which protected incomes during lockdowns and central banks facilitating cheap government borrowing.” Which parts of the world are booming? “The recovery currently looks like it will be stronger in the US, China, and the Asian emerging markets that are part of Chinese global supply chains,” writes economist Nouriel Roubini in the Guardian.
  • The Treasury needs more money: US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen warned that her department would need more resources to continue to administer relief packages. Testifying in Congress, Yellen “expressed confidence that the end of the pandemic recession was in sight, but said that the Treasury Department is facing an overwhelming task in disbursing hundreds of billions of dollars of relief money with the same budget that it had a decade ago,” the New York Times reported.
  • Incentives help vaccination effort: New efforts to make the vaccine-hesitant get the jab are paying off. “Interest in getting vaccinated against COVID-19 increased right after Dr. Rochelle Walensky, director of the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, announced two weeks ago that vaccinated people could take off their masks,” CNN reports. Some states, including Ohio, are also offering lottery prizes to the vaccinated. “The success of incentives in an era of the coronavirus remains relatively unknown, and the flashy draw of $1 million campaigns has stirred intense debate among politicians, economists and health officials,” reports the New York Times.
  • White House asks for more intelligence: Biden asked US intelligence agencies to gather more information on the origins of the COVID-19 pandemic and report back within ninety days, amid uncertainty about whether it arose from a lab accident or a jump from one species to another in the wild. The New York Times reports that the new White House urgency comes after intelligence officials said they had “a raft of still-unexamined evidence that required additional computer analysis.” As the Economist commented: “How can the world prepare for a future pandemic when it does not know for sure where the current one came from?”

The inside scoop

Insights from the Atlantic Council

Andrew Marshall is the Vice President of Communications for the Atlantic Council. He leads the Council’s media, digital, and editorial efforts, and coordinates the way the Council talks with its key communities.

The post The post-COVID world this week: The next vaccine millionaire and how vaccination campaigns are choosing their words wisely appeared first on Atlantic Council.

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The post-COVID world this week: A return to life, a ‘turnover tsunami,’ and today’s massive digital transformation https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/coronavirus-alert/the-post-covid-world-this-week-a-return-to-life-a-turnover-tsunami-and-todays-massive-digital-transformation/ Fri, 21 May 2021 20:53:54 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=393681 What can we expect from a post-COVID world after a pandemic that has reshaped international affairs? A world in which the digital transition is moving faster than previously predicted and more people move online.

The post The post-COVID world this week: A return to life, a ‘turnover tsunami,’ and today’s massive digital transformation appeared first on Atlantic Council.

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The future is here: A guide to the post-COVID world 05/21/2021

Welcome to your guide to where the world is headed during the pandemic era and beyond, from Andrew Marshall. Each week, we’ll bring you the latest and most significant expert insights and international news about how coronavirus is reshaping international affairs. To stay updated each week, sign up to the newsletter here.

Let’s take a spin around the globe, in seven minutes or less.

In top stories this week:

  • New York and other US cities are returning to life.
  • The United States is increasing vaccine exports (but it could do more).
  • Do we face a turnover tsunami at work?
  • But first…

The big story

This week’s key theme: Is digital adoption really taking hold?

Welcome to 2025. That’s how far into the future we are.

At least, that’s the thesis of Lloyds Bank in the United Kingdom, looking at the rapid increase in digital adoption during the pandemic.

“In the last 12 months, 1.5 million more people [in the United Kingdom] have started using the Internet, resulting in 95% of people now being online,” writes Stephen Noakes, the bank’s retail transformation managing director. “In 2020, predictive modelling indicated that it would take to 2025 for 58% of the UK to have high digital capability. In 2021, 60% of the UK now have this level of digital capability; we have made five years’ worth of progress in one.”

The title of this newsletter is in part inspired by a famous quote from sci-fi author William Gibson: “The future has arrived—it’s just not evenly distributed yet.” That has long been true of digital adoption. Some of us have been happily playing around with machine learning and Augmented Reality, while others are still trying to work out how to use their phones. The pandemic has nudged that curve.

“We’ve seen two years’ worth of digital transformation in two months,” said Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella last year. And again this spring: “Over a year into the pandemic, digital adoption curves aren’t slowing down. They’re accelerating.”

“There is no going back to the past that existed before the pandemic,” said the Economist in November. “Instead, COVID-19 has propelled the world into a very different future.”

In some areas, that seems certain. In financial services, the last year has only accelerated change. “By May, more than 45 percent of Americans had changed the way they dealt with their bank, a survey of 1,000 people by consultancy FIS found,” according to the Financial Times. In retail, “global digital revenue grew by 58% YoY in Q1 with two countries experiencing triple digit growth, the Netherlands (108%) and Canada (111%),” said Forbes magazine, quoting a study by Salesforce.

But perhaps the techno-optimism is overblown. UBS analyst Karl Keirstead found far more modest IT growth than most analysts expected, reported Barrons, a financial publication.

“The dream of digital acceleration is meeting the reality of a still-prevalent focus on cost savings resulting from the massive economic hit that organizations absorbed in 2020,” Keirstead wrote.

There are some obvious areas—collaboration tools, use of the cloud, and online shopping—where change has been rapid; in other areas, it is a struggle.

Around the world, many simply lack the resources, education, or technology to participate in this tech shift, especially in the global south. For the poor and disadvantaged, the techno-optimism was never realistic in the first place.

Even for those who do have the resources and the need, going digital isn’t always easy, and that has created a new industry. Nilanjan Adhya, chief digital officer for IBM Cognitive, turned to digital adoption platforms, a technology that eases the path of change, to help him persuade new users to get started with challenging products, according to Information Week. “When you are able to get users past that hurdle, they become more productive and we retain them at much higher rates,” Adhya said.

Change is hard. A startling survey from Boston Consulting Group shows that 70 percent of all digital transformation initiatives do not reach their goals. Of the $1.3 trillion that was spent on transformation in 2019, it was estimated that $900 billion was wasted. Digital adoption platforms like Walkme and Whatfix aim to help make that process less painful.

Just as we can spring into the future, so we can fall back. The dot-com crash of 2000-2001 probably set back innovation, for example. In 2001, after Internet adoption plateaued, the Wall Street Journal outlined a scenario where it took another thirty years for the internet to match television’s 98 percent US penetration. Today, 93 percent of American adults use the internet; we still aren’t there.

As people go back into the office this year, they may well discover the future is waiting for them; but it may just be the dead houseplants and dirty coffee mugs they left there in March 2020. The future is not evenly distributed, but neither, it turns out, is the past.

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The world in brief

Insights from across the planet, in ten bullets or fewer

  • New York returns to life: A slow reopening is underway across the United States and many European countries. The New York Times ran a beautifully written short piece by local reporter Michael Wilson on what that feels like in the city. “From the Bronx to Staten Island, Chinatown to Fifth Avenue, in Michelin-starred restaurants and humble corner diners, hardware stores and funeral homes, New York moved gingerly toward reopening on Wednesday,” he wrote.
  • India’s death toll rises: While one part of the world is reopening, India continues to suffer a dreadful daily toll. The country reported more deaths from coronavirus in one day than any other nation at any time, with 4,529 deaths on Wednesday. The numbers are almost certainly undercounts, according to the Associated Press. “As families upon families fall prey to the virus, this time around we are also seeing another disturbing trend: people losing more than one member in their household to COVID,” wrote the Times of India in a harrowing piece.
  • Children are getting vaccinated: The topic of children and vaccination is fraught. Vaccines have been made available to younger teenagers in the United States, and at least 600,000 children, ages twelve to fifteen, have received their first dose, said Dr. Rochelle Walensky, director of the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Dr. Anthony Fauci also said that younger children will probably get access to vaccinations by the end of this year or the beginning of 2022. Some people argue that vaccinating children is critical to fully reopening schools. Other experts argue that it would be better to export the vaccines since children are at lower risk than adults.
  • The United States announced that it would increase vaccine exports: In addition to sixty million doses of the AstraZeneca vaccine, President Joe Biden said he will ship twenty million doses of the Moderna, Pfizer-BioNTech, and Johnson & Johnson vaccines overseas. A substantial portion of those will be funneled through the World Health Organization’s COVAX scheme, said US State Department Coordinator for Global COVID Response and Health Security Gayle Smith at a news conference. India’s Serum Institute said that in response to the country’s spiraling level of infections it will suspend all exports until around the end of the year, “dealing a major blow to the global initiative to share jabs with poorer nations,” said the South China Morning Post. And while most countries are a long way from vaccinating their populations, “some are already making plans to deliver millions of booster shots into arms later this year,” the Wall Street Journal reported.
  • Heading back to work, probably: Most companies in the United States and Europe are now planning a return to work; fewer know what they will actually do. A survey by consulting company McKinsey found that 90 percent of employers will combine remote and on-site work, but 68 percent lack a detailed plan to implement the vision. That may be linked to the fact that many workers aren’t clear about what they want to do either. “There’s a wild card in the push to return to pre-pandemic life: Many workers don’t want to go back to the jobs they once had,” reports the Associated Press. “As the economic recovery continues and companies craft their return-to-work plans, experts and surveys show businesses need to be prepared for another potential disruption: a potential surge in turnover,” writes the Cleveland Business Journal, calling it a potential “turnover tsunami.”

The inside scoop

Insights from the Atlantic Council

Andrew Marshall is the Vice President of Communications for the Atlantic Council. He leads the Council’s media, digital, and editorial efforts, and coordinates the way the Council talks with its key communities.

The post The post-COVID world this week: A return to life, a ‘turnover tsunami,’ and today’s massive digital transformation appeared first on Atlantic Council.

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The post-COVID world this week: A win for the US, a duo that can save the world, and a guide to memorializing the pandemic https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/coronavirus-alert/the-post-covid-world-this-week-a-win-for-the-us-a-duo-that-can-save-the-world-and-a-guide-to-memorializing-the-pandemic/ Fri, 14 May 2021 16:11:43 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=390798 What can we expect from a post-COVID world after a pandemic that has reshaped international affairs? A world in which people will start to look back on this moment by erecting memorials, dedications, and more.

The post The post-COVID world this week: A win for the US, a duo that can save the world, and a guide to memorializing the pandemic appeared first on Atlantic Council.

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The future is here: A guide to the post-COVID world 05/14/2021

Welcome to your guide to where the world is headed during the pandemic era and beyond, from Andrew Marshall. Each week, we’ll bring you the latest and most significant expert insights and international news about how coronavirus is reshaping international affairs. To stay updated each week, sign up to the newsletter here.

Let’s take a spin around the globe, in seven minutes or less.

In top stories this week:

• Good news for the United States: “We’re winning. Be happy.”

• A note from these pediatricians that may change your mind about vaccinating your children (right now).

• Why our economic recovery lies in the hands of small and medium-size businesses.

• But first…

The big story

This week’s key theme: How the world may look back on this moment.

The pandemic is by no means over; many are still dying, and many more will do so. But there is already plenty of thinking underway about the memorials that may come out of the pandemic. British Prime Minister Boris Johnson said on Wednesday that he supports a memorial in London’s St. Paul’s Cathedral, and many other plans are underway around the world.

What might we see as the world considers how to commemorate the pandemic?

  1. A memorial can be a big permanent stone structure. That’s how we tend to think of memorials, and there are already plans to create some, including this beautiful and evocative structure planned in the waters off Uruguay. It won’t be the only stone memorial dedicated to a pandemic: Perhaps the best-known one dedicated to the plague is a magnificent Baroque column in Vienna, erected after a terrible outbreak in 1679. 
  2. But it can also be ephemeral. That’s how memorials to COVID-19 victims have been so far, like the United Kingdom’s National COVID Memorial Wall which features 150,000 red and pink hearts that were hand-painted by volunteers; or the candles lit on the National Mall in Washington, DC, to accompany the inauguration of President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris.  
  3. It can be functional. Previous outbursts of disease have driven public authorities to build hospitals and quarantine stations, but also a new canal to supply water to a French city or the Croton aqueduct to New York, both built after a cholera outbreak. A course at the University of Pennsylvania called Remembering Epidemics explores how in many cases, disease rewrites a city’s structure. “People don’t tend to see things like suburbanization, for instance, as related to pandemics, and one of my goals is to get people to start making those connections,” says architectural historian Aaron Wunsch. 
  4. It can be spiritual. One of the earliest memories we have of an epidemic is from the Hittites, an ancient Anatolian group around 1300 BC. The Plague Prayers of Mursilis II are very familiar laments for the dead and pleas to be saved; you can hear the same messages through the centuries.  
  5. It can be activist. The AIDS Memorial Quilt, which commemorates the lives of those who died from HIV/AIDS, is not just about memory, but about a community that came together to act. The National AIDS Memorial describes the quilt as “an epic 54-ton tapestry that includes more than 48,000 panels dedicated to more than 100,000 individuals… a living memorial to a generation lost to AIDS and an important HIV prevention education tool.” 
  6. It can be small and local. The tiny village of Eyam in the United Kingdom’s Peak District holds a Plague Memorial Service on the last Sunday of August. The village shut itself off from the world when the plague struck it in 1665, a selfless act that is still commemorated.  
  7. It can be musical. A lot of music was written around plague outbreaks in Europe, “reminding us of the widespread contemporary belief in the ability of music to promote wholeness and healing,” says Aaron James of the Toronto Oratory. More recently, John Corigliano’s Symphony No. 1 is an elegy for friends lost to HIV/AIDS. “The opening movement, titled ‘Apologue: Of Rage and Remembrance,’ begins with searing strings pummeled by percussion before it finally evaporates into chill air,” says Tom Huizenga of NPR.  
  8. It can be personal. There is a memorial in Rhode Island to a nurse who died of Spanish flu, one of surprisingly few to mark that health catastrophe. Henrietta Isabella Drummond volunteered for the American Red Cross during WWI and died in October 1919. It’s easier, sometimes, to visualize one person versus many.  
  9. It can be about time. We have days when we remember those who died in war, and some countries practice a moment of silence. Might there be a COVID-19 day or moment in our future? 
  10. It can be documentary. The Smithsonian, for example, in its Pandemic Oral History Project has collected short-form interviews with artists, teachers, curators, and administrators to document the crises set out by COVID-19. 
  11. It can be literary. Daniel Defoe’s A Journal of the Plague Year, written in 1665, is just that; and many will doubtless emulate him this year. Perhaps the best example of a book that uses disease as a metaphor for seeing the world more widely, though, is Albert Camus’ novel The Plague. “There’s no question of heroism in all this,” he wrote. “It’s a matter of common decency. That’s an idea which may make some people smile, but the only means of fighting a plague is—common decency.” 

Alongside the question of how we memorialize is the question: why? In sadness, anger, hope, fear? “We must envision commemorative spaces to hold grief and accountability,” wrote the nonprofit Monument Lab. “In other words, resist the tempting habit of building memorials that tell single stories of heroism and closure without reckoning with our nation’s traumas, grief, and inequities.” That will be hard, but necessary.  

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The world in brief

Insights from across the planet, in ten bullets or fewer

  • India continues to suffer from the ravages of the pandemic worse than any other country. The death toll exceeded 250,000 this week. “Experts still cannot say for sure when numbers will peak and concern is growing about the transmissibility of the variant that is driving infections in India and spreading worldwide,” wrote Reuters. Neighboring countries are closing their borders as they also experience a surge in cases. “It may already be too late,” said Time Magazine. “The B.1.617 variant of the virus, first detected in India, has now been found in 44 countries on every continent except Antarctica—including Nepal, the US, and much of Europe. Scientists say it could be more infectious and better at avoiding humans’ immune systems.”
  • On the way to kiddie-size: Vaccines may be ready for some children. The United States moved to make the Pfizer-BioNTech coronavirus vaccine available to young teenagers. An advisory committee to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention recommended the vaccine for use in children ages twelve to fifteen. “Many parents are eagerly anticipating the availability of vaccines for children, at least in part to speed their return to schools,” noted the New York Times. Some disagree with the step. “As pediatricians, we say please don’t use precious coronavirus vaccines on healthy children,” a group of doctors wrote in the Washington Post. “Many poorer countries have yet to receive a single vaccine shipment. In this context, it is difficult to justify using limited vaccine supplies to immunize young, healthy children at little risk of severe disease from [COVID-19].”
  • There’s finally some (real) good news for the United States. COVID-19 deaths in the United States have fallen to their lowest levels in nearly a year at around six hundred per day, reported the Associated Press. “America’s battle against the coronavirus is going great,” said Axios. “For the first time in a long time, nobody needs to cherry-pick some misleading data to make it seem like things are going well, and the good news doesn’t need an endless list of caveats, either. It’s just really good news. We’re winning. Be happy.”
  • A report on the World Health Organization’s handling of the pandemic has some sharp criticism—and some recommendations. “The review found a range of problems, from a slow initial reaction to the coronavirus to ‘weak links at every point in the chain of preparedness and response,’” wrote NPR, quoting the report by the Independent Panel for Pandemic Preparedness and Response. The panel said that COVID-19 was “a preventable disaster.” In particular, “The month following the WHO’s declaration was ‘lost’ as countries failed to take appropriate measures to halt the spread of the virus,” reported the BBC.
  • A library is wrapping up the pandemic with a little bit of forgiveness. Manchester City Council in England is waiving fines until the end of May to give tardy borrowers time to return those volumes they have been holding onto during lockdown. “Around 90,000 books and other library materials are currently unaccounted for, a third of which were out on loan before the first national lockdown,” said the Manchester Evening News. Some libraries in the United States have dropped late fees altogether during the pandemic, as fines often fall disproportionately on those with lower incomes.

The inside scoop

Insights from the Atlantic Council

Andrew Marshall is the Vice President of Communications for the Atlantic Council. He leads the Council’s media, digital, and editorial efforts, and coordinates the way the Council talks with its key communities.

The post The post-COVID world this week: A win for the US, a duo that can save the world, and a guide to memorializing the pandemic appeared first on Atlantic Council.

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Rothschild in Newsweek: A middle class foreign policy must address universities’ China dependence https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/insight-impact/in-the-news/rothschild-in-newseek-address-universities-china-dependence/ Fri, 14 May 2021 14:02:52 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=390669 Nonresident senior fellow Amanda Rothschild argues the United States must address American universities’ financial dependence on China, contending that this reliance harms the middle class in part by keeping tuition costs high.

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original source

Nonresident senior fellow Amanda Rothschild argues the United States must address American universities’ financial dependence on China, contending that this reliance harms the middle class in part by keeping tuition costs high.

Support from China allows higher education institutions to keep tuition high and avoid addressing the root causes of inflated costs, such as administrative bloat, which have little to do with learning. Rather than make it easier for universities to continue raising tuition and pricing out American students, the U.S. government should incentivize lowering higher education costs.

Amanda Rothschild

The post Rothschild in Newsweek: A middle class foreign policy must address universities’ China dependence appeared first on Atlantic Council.

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The post-COVID world this week: Predicting Latin America’s future, how some plan to reopen, and the pandemic’s impact on education https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/coronavirus-alert/the-post-covid-world-this-week-predicting-latin-americas-future-how-some-plan-to-reopen-and-the-pandemics-impact-on-education/ Fri, 30 Apr 2021 15:21:19 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=384524 What can we expect from a post-COVID world after a pandemic that has reshaped international affairs? Children in rich countries will return to school, while children in the poorest countries will be hit the hardest.

The post The post-COVID world this week: Predicting Latin America’s future, how some plan to reopen, and the pandemic’s impact on education appeared first on Atlantic Council.

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The future is here: A guide to the post-COVID world 04/30/2021

Welcome to your guide to where the world is headed during the pandemic era and beyond, from Andrew Marshall. Each week, we’ll bring you the latest and most significant expert insights and international news about how coronavirus is reshaping international affairs. To stay updated each week, sign up to the newsletter here.

Let’s take a spin around the globe, in seven minutes or less.

In top stories this week:

  • Scenarios for Latin America’s post-COVID future.
  • While India faces rising cases, the US and EU set out reopening plans.
  • Whatever happened to the flu season, anyway?
  • But first, an update on the pandemic’s impact on global education—and how to keep children from slipping through the net—from Natasha Somji, Senior Policy Manager at The ONE Campaign

The big story

This week’s key theme: We’ll have to get smarter about the world’s lost potential

At the height of the pandemic, 1.6 billion children were out of school. It was exhausting for parents and frustrating for kids. While children are starting to return to class in the United States and United Kingdom, the long-term implications could run much deeper. For example, one study estimated the education impact of World War II on earnings was still being felt forty years later.

While children in rich countries are returning to in-person school, children in the poorest countries will be hit the hardest. One-third of children globally do not have access to any form of remote learning, meaning lockdowns put a pause on their education progress. For some, that pause will become a permanent stop. In South Sudan, children missed 16 percent of their total schooling.

A new tool launched this week from The ONE Campaign, in partnership with the Global Partnership for Education (GPE) and Save the Children, quantifies the impact. The Lost Potential Tracker monitors, in real time, the number of children who reach their tenth birthday without being able to read and understand a simple story since 2015, when world leaders made a commitment to quality education for all children. 

Age ten is a critical milestone: it’s the age at which children should be switching from learning to read to reading to learn. These skills propel a lifetime of self-directed learning, influencing their ability to earn, innovate, improve their opportunities, and contribute to their societies. If children don’t hit that milestone, all that potential slows and inequalities deepen.

The tool shows that this year, over half the world’s ten-year-olds, or some seventy million children, will slip through the net. Today, tomorrow, and every day after, 193,000 children will celebrate their tenth birthday without being able to read their birthday card. That’s nearly twice the capacity of The Rose Bowl or FC Barcelona’s Camp Nou, the largest football stadium in Europe.

COVID-19 exacerbated a pre-existing crisis: an additional 11.4 million children will fall through the learning net this year. But crises can be hinge moments—when we pause, wake up, and realize we need to change something. 

ONE is calling for governments to rewrite this story and invest in the next generation. The first stop is fully funding the GPE, which needs five billion dollars this year to catalyze much-needed reforms in low-income countries’ education systems by investing in areas like quality teacher training and teaching at the right level.

This project is part of ONE’s Africa COVID-19 Tracker—which highlights the economic, social, and governance impacts of the pandemic and acts to change them. You can sign up for their weekly update at ONE.org/Aftershocks.

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The world in brief

Insights from across the planet, in ten bullets or fewer

  • India is overwhelmed by COVID-19. India is the focus of world attention as COVID-19 rages, with total cases passing eighteen million. “The world’s second most populous nation is in deep crisis, with hospitals and morgues overwhelmed,” reported Reuters. “We are witnessing a crime against humanity,” novelist Arundhati Roy wrote in a moving essay in the Guardian. The United States, United Kingdom, and other countries have sent assistance, including oxygen concentrators and ventilators. “But the international community is only just now starting to respond,” wrote Vox, underlining how the pandemic requires more co-operation across international borders. “There is a split scenario unfolding as the world battles the pandemic,” wrote CNN’s Aditi Sangal. “India’s Covid outbreak is a global problem that needs a coordinated response.”
  • The United States and Europe plan for life after the pandemic. While many countries struggle with death tolls and infection rates, some countries and cities are starting to plan for life after COVID-19. New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio said the city would “fully reopen” this summer. “Our plan is to fully reopen on July 1. We are ready for stores to open, for businesses to open, offices, theaters—full strength,” he said on MSNBC’s “Morning Joe.” French President Emmanuel Macron was set to announce new plans today. Starting June 2, the French government plans to replace the current state of health emergency with a “transition regime” that will run until October 31. 
  • A deluge of bankruptcies? Europe’s top financial stability supervisor, the European Systemic Risk Board, warned this week of a possible “tsunami” of corporate insolvencies. Financial support from governments has aimed at propping up companies that suffered in the pandemic, and that aid is tailing off. “It recommended that governments take a series of actions to mitigate the risk of a wave of corporate insolvencies, including developing more targeted policies to boost the solvency of otherwise viable companies and streamlining debt restructuring and insolvency procedures,” the Financial Times reported. Last year, the credit insurance firm Euler Hermes predicted “an insolvency time bomb” in 2021, with US bankruptcies projected to increase 57 percent from 2019 to 2021.
  • How we can prepare for the next pandemic: “Preparedness works,” says Tom Frieden, president and CEO of Resolve to Save Lives and former US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention director, in a new report. Epidemics That Didn’t Happen argues for improved investment and research now. “We need to invest money, we need to invest in technical support, we need to invest in strengthening institutions,” he told STAT news.
  • What’s up with the influenza that we never got? Have you had the flu this year? Most of us haven’t, and that’s interesting. “Since the novel coronavirus began its global spread, influenza cases reported to the World Health Organization have dropped to minuscule levels,” reports Scientific American. “The reason, epidemiologists think, is that the public health measures taken to keep the coronavirus from spreading also stop the flu. Influenza viruses are transmitted in much the same way as SARS-CoV-2, but they are less effective at jumping from host to host.”

The inside scoop

Insights from the Atlantic Council

Andrew Marshall is the Vice President of Communications for the Atlantic Council. He leads the Council’s media, digital, and editorial efforts, and coordinates the way the Council talks with its key communities.

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Chaudhary joins the American Pakistan Foundation to discuss Dr. Ali Khan’s book “The Next Pandemic: On the Front Lines Against Humankind’s Gravest Dangers” https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/insight-impact/in-the-news/chaudhary-joins-the-american-pakistan-foundation-to-discuss-dr-ali-khans-book-the-next-pandemic-on-the-front-lines-against-humankinds-gravest-dangers/ Wed, 28 Apr 2021 18:52:36 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=383397 The post Chaudhary joins the American Pakistan Foundation to discuss Dr. Ali Khan’s book “The Next Pandemic: On the Front Lines Against Humankind’s Gravest Dangers” appeared first on Atlantic Council.

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Brooks in Write About Now on lessons from the pandemic https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/insight-impact/in-the-news/brooks-in-write-about-now-on-lessons-from-the-pandemic/ Wed, 14 Apr 2021 18:35:00 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=378182 On April 14, Forward Defense Nonresident Senior Fellow Max Brooks was featured on the Write About Now podcast on the pandemic and Minecraft.

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On April 14, Forward Defense Nonresident Senior Fellow Max Brooks was featured on the Write About Now podcast on the pandemic and Minecraft. In the podcast episode, Brooks discusses the need for mental agility in responding to challenges like a pandemic, highlighting Minecraft as an educational tool for equipping the next generation to respond to twenty-first century challenges.

Forward Defense

Forward Defense, housed within the Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security, generates ideas and connects stakeholders in the defense ecosystem to promote an enduring military advantage for the United States, its allies, and partners. Our work identifies the defense strategies, capabilities, and resources the United States needs to deter and, if necessary, prevail in future conflict.

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Ee in China Focus on Talent Retention https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/insight-impact/in-the-news/ee-in-china-focus-on-talent-retention/ Wed, 14 Apr 2021 14:39:00 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=382004 On April 14, Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security Nonresident Fellow Shaun Ee was featured in China Focus for an award-winning essay on the benefits of immigration for the United States, with a particular focus on immigration and talent retention. He argues that the United States must encourage immigration while remaining sensitive to legitimate concerns about espionage.

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On April 14, Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security Nonresident Fellow Shaun Ee was featured in China Focus for an award-winning essay on the benefits of immigration for the United States, with a particular focus on immigration and talent retention. He argues that the United States must encourage immigration while remaining sensitive to legitimate concerns about espionage.

The flight of these high-skilled workers is not preordained, and appropriate interventions in the immigration pathway can help prevent it.

Shaun Ee
Forward Defense

Forward Defense, housed within the Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security, generates ideas and connects stakeholders in the defense ecosystem to promote an enduring military advantage for the United States, its allies, and partners. Our work identifies the defense strategies, capabilities, and resources the United States needs to deter and, if necessary, prevail in future conflict.

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Khan quoted in Financial Times: Invest now to repair ‘huge’ learning loss, educators urge https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/insight-impact/khan-quoted-in-financial-times-invest-now-to-repair-huge-learning-loss-educators-urge/ Mon, 05 Apr 2021 16:18:00 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=449988 The post Khan quoted in Financial Times: Invest now to repair ‘huge’ learning loss, educators urge appeared first on Atlantic Council.

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US Mission to Saudi Arabia announces new women’s entrepreneurship program in partnership with Atlantic Council, AmCham Saudi Arabia, and Quantum Leaps https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/menasource/us-mission-to-saudi-arabia-announces-new-womens-entrepreneurship-program/ Mon, 05 Apr 2021 11:00:00 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=372738 On March 31, the Atlantic Council’s empowerME initiative hosted an event in partnership with the US Mission to Saudi Arabia, AmCham Saudi Arabia's Women in Business Committee, and Quantum Leaps to mark the launch of their new joint program: IGNITING Women's Entrepreneurship and Innovation in Saudi Arabia.

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On March 31, the Atlantic Council’s empowerME initiative hosted an event in partnership with the US Mission to Saudi Arabia, AmCham Saudi Arabia’s Women in Business Committee, and Quantum Leaps to mark the launch of their new joint program: IGNITING Women’s Entrepreneurship and Innovation in Saudi Arabia. This will bring US entrepreneurs, experts, and business leaders together with Saudi counterparts to build relationships, share knowledge, and develop partnership opportunities via hybrid workshops and networking sessions.

empowerME Director Amjad Ahmad moderated a conversation about the economic changes underway in Saudi Arabia that are allowing more women than ever before to engage in the economy. Featured speakers included Endeavor Saudi Arabia Managing Director Lateefa Alwaalan, Digital Cooperation Organization Acting Secretary General Deemah AlYahya, Quantum Leaps, Inc. Co-Founder & President Virginia Littlejohn, and the US Mission to the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia Chargé d’Affaires Martina Strong.

Below is a summary of the speakers’ key points. 

Martina Strong, Chargé d’Affaires, US Mission to the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia

  • Leading US private sector companies have already partnered successfully with Saudi women: Strong explained that “our companies view these partnerships as their own paths to success,” citing UPS’s Women Exporters Program with the General Authority for Small and Medium Enterprises (Monshaat), ExxonMobil’s Global Women in Management Program with the King Khalid Foundation, Lockheed Martin’s investment in STEM education programs in Saudi Arabia, and the PepsiCo Foundation’s Tamakani accelerator with INJAZ Al-Arab as examples.
  • Saudi women are driving progress in conjunction with Vision 2030: According to Strong, Saudi women “made sure that women’s empowerment, entrepreneurship, economic opportunity, and security were at the heart of the G20 discussions during Saudi Arabia’s presidency in 2020.” In fact, the idea for IGNITE was born out of the Women 20 (W20) Engagement Group.
  • IGNITE is a platform for Saudi women to harness their entrepreneurial energy: Strong explained that the new program will offer a series of workshops and networking events with both virtual and in-person components over the next six months, culminating in an online Saudi women’s entrepreneurship summit during Global Entrepreneurship Week in November 2021. The primary goal is to enable “US business leaders and their Saudi counterparts to explore opportunities that Saudi entrepreneurs are generating every single day during this unprecedented period of sweeping changes and reforms in Saudi Arabia.”

Lateefa Alwaalan, Managing Director, Endeavor Saudi Arabia

  • Saudi Arabia has made great strides in supporting new startups: Alwaalan highlighted that Saudi Arabia recently jumped from forty-first to seventh place in the Global Entrepreneurship Monitor report, thanks to the government and the private sector “working hand-in-hand to make the ecosystem for entrepreneurship more supportive.”
  • Saudi women need encouragement to pursue more senior roles at startups: Alwaalan noted that her peers in the industry need support and mentorship “to find the courage” to fill C-Suite positions.
  • Breaking barriers to networking remains critical: Drawing on lessons learned at the W20, Alwaalan stressed that greater access to business networks will enable women to join the community of venture capitalists and angel investors and then support more women-led ventures. Gender balance on teams is particularly important for tech companies so that the life-changing technology they design is truly inclusive and reflects the needs of both men and women.  

Deemah AlYahya, Acting Secretary General, Digital Cooperation Organization

  • Gaining employment in the digital innovation ecosystem is a persistent challenge for Saudi women: The WomenSpark founder reflected on her experience in the IT sector, explaining that Saudi women can pursue careers there more easily than two decades ago. Still, there are not enough jobs for women who have formal training in IT, which is a lost economic opportunity.
  • More women can play a much larger role as job creators and investors: AlYahya’s experience taught her that “it’s not enough to educate a woman.” She highlighted two challenges: female entrepreneurs face issues raising funds, and women are often reluctant to become investors, despite owning 30-40 percent of the wealth in Saudi banks.
  • Economic and social benefits from women’s workforce participation: AlYahya argued that more Saudi women should join the workforce to increase the GDP during the period of post-COVID-19 recovery, to contribute as the kingdom seeks to diversify its economy, and to assume leadership positions in the office and at home so that “both parents will raise a generation that is innovative by default.”

Virginia Littlejohn, US Delegation Co-Head, W20 and Co-Founder & President, Quantum Leaps, Inc.

  • The government should change business and legal indicators in pursuit of 100 percent alignment: Littlejohn advised the Saudi government to revisit how vocational and university training prepares students for future employment, paying special attention to existing “dead zones” where well-educated youth cannot find jobs consistent with their training.  
  • International collaboration with business owners can accelerate Saudi women’s engagement: Littlejohn emphasized that STEM, e-commerce, and international trade are three areas in need of increased female participation. Partnerships between American experts and Saudi innovators can help accomplish this. For example, the International Trade Center will develop a major initiative to encourage women’s involvement in public procurement.
  • More research is needed on the impact of female entrepreneurship on finance: Littlejohn agreed with a point Amjad Ahmad made that additional data on the return on investments according to gender can have an enormous impact on the ecosystem, especially because current data shows that women founders have better returns than their male counterparts.

Allison Holle is a program assistant at the Atlantic Council’s Rafik Hariri Center for the Middle East & Middle East Initiatives. Follow her @AllisonHolle.

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Riaz in The Daily Star: A cancelled 1971 conference in Pakistan sends a message https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/insight-impact/in-the-news/riaz-in-the-daily-star-a-cancelled-1971-conference-in-pakistan-sends-a-message/ Mon, 29 Mar 2021 17:55:28 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=370308 The post Riaz in The Daily Star: A cancelled 1971 conference in Pakistan sends a message appeared first on Atlantic Council.

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Chaudhary joins the OPEN Tri-State to discuss women following their passion through non-traditional careers. https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/insight-impact/in-the-news/chaudhary-joins-open-tri-state-to-discuss-women-following-their-passion-through-non-traditional-careers/ Thu, 25 Mar 2021 18:25:30 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=368129 The post Chaudhary joins the OPEN Tri-State to discuss women following their passion through non-traditional careers. appeared first on Atlantic Council.

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Cole in Task and Purpose on the future of war training https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/insight-impact/in-the-news/cole-in-task-and-purpose-on-the-future-of-war-training/ Sat, 20 Mar 2021 13:00:00 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=368947 On March 20, Forward Defense Nonresident Senior Fellow August Cole and strategist P.W. Singer published an article in Task & Purpose titled "Microdrones, AI, and VR glasses: A sneak peek into the future of war and how we’ll train for it."

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On March 20, Forward Defense Nonresident Senior Fellow August Cole and strategist P.W. Singer published an article in Task & Purpose titled “Microdrones, AI, and VR glasses: A sneak peek into the future of war and how we’ll train for it.” In the article, Cole and Singer use creative narratives to convey that the new technology of future battles will require new approaches to education.

The flight of these high-skilled workers is not preordained, and appropriate interventions in the immigration pathway can help prevent it.

Shaun Ee
Forward Defense

Forward Defense, housed within the Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security, generates ideas and connects stakeholders in the defense ecosystem to promote an enduring military advantage for the United States, its allies, and partners. Our work identifies the defense strategies, capabilities, and resources the United States needs to deter and, if necessary, prevail in future conflict.

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Here’s how Amman can boost women’s workforce participation https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/menasource/heres-how-amman-can-boost-womens-workforce-participation/ Mon, 15 Mar 2021 14:39:17 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=365180 Jordan must climb out of an economic pit exacerbated by the COVID-19 pandemic. One key to promoting long-term economic growth is achieving greater female labor force participation.

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Unemployment is a dire problem in Amman, Jordan’s capital and largest financial center. Like much of the rest of the world, Jordan must climb out of an economic pit exacerbated by the COVID-19 pandemic; Jordan’s unemployment rate was 23 percent in the second quarter of 2020 (up from 19.3 percent in the first quarter of 2020). One key to promoting long-term economic growth is achieving greater female labor force participation. According to the World Bank, Jordan has “the lowest female labor force participation of a country not at war.” This article will focus on the situation in Amman, recognizing that, while some of the findings may apply to the country as a whole, various factors may also be impacting Jordan’s other cities and the rural areas in particular.

The reasons for Amman’s low female labor force participation rate can be grouped under the following categories: structure, norms, and laws in the labor markets; perception of women and their role in society; and childcare and transportation infrastructure.

Overview of Amman’s female labor force participation

Amman’s female labor force participation rate in 2020 was estimated at 17.1 percent compared to 22 percent in Egypt, 31.4 percent in Saudi Arabia, and 52 percent in the United Arab Emirates. The global average was 47.3 percent in 2019.

This situation is “shocking,” says Jordanian Nour Al Hassan, founder and CEO of translation company Tarjama, because women in Amman are highly educated and are seeking advanced degrees at higher rates than men. Al Hassan explains that Jordan “appears more modern than it actually is, but, in reality, the laws do not support women working. Flexible hours are an issue and on top of that you have cultural barriers.” The only woman-dominated sector in Amman is education, which had 63 percent women workers in 2019 according to Jordan’s Department of Statistics.

Source: Jordan’s Department of Statistics

Men dominated all the other sectors, with the exception of healthcare/social work, which had 45 percent women workers in 2019. This is not surprising, since worldwide women continue to be overrepresented in education and healthcare sectors.

Source: Jordan’s Department of Statistics

Compared to the percentage of women in the education and healthcare/social work sectors, the rate of female labor force participation in the largest sectors in Amman—wholesale and retail trade, the public sector, and manufacturing—is quite low. In short, women are extremely underrepresented in the sectors that together make up nearly 50 percent of Amman’s jobs.

Still, statistics about formal employment do not capture the significant informal economic activity in Amman, which includes everything from small online businesses to gig workers. Indeed, it is estimated that over half of all employment in Jordan is informal.

Women are increasingly utilizing new technologies and online platforms to sell handmade goods and offer their knowledge services from home via companies such as Tarjama. This trend will surely buoy women’s labor force participation, but as gender and development scholar Allison Anderson notes, “access to and use of information and communications technology (ICTs) is not in and of itself sufficient to overcome the numerous obstacles to women’s economic participation.” Women still need childcare infrastructure, societal and family support, and viable career paths to unlock the full benefits of ICT. Still, the current female labor force participation rates in Amman do not tell the full story and more accurate data about informal employment rates of women is needed.

Structure, norms, and laws in the labor markets that impact female labor force participation

Micro enterprises with five employees or less make up the overwhelming majority—an estimated 89 percent—of all private enterprises, which presents challenges. As Endeavor Jordan Managing Director Reem Goussous explains: “the majority of conservative families don’t want to have their daughters or wives working in a small setup where interaction is mostly with males, and working hours are long. This is not viewed as safe or culturally acceptable. This is why we see the larger and more established corporations such as banks have a disproportionately larger representation of women.” The number of medium, large, and small enterprises in Jordan is far lower than the number of micro enterprises, further limiting employment options for women.

Concerns about women’s safety in workplaces—and protecting women’s reputations—also stem from the lack of adequate legal protection against workplace sexual harassment and assault. According to JoWomenomics CEO and Co-Founder Mayyada Abu Jaber, “The current labor law actually mentions sexual assault, not harassment. Under the law, people who are sexually assaulted at work have the right to leave their job and get severance pay, but that is the extent of their options unless they want to pursue a criminal law claim, which could become a family issue and could lead to violent retribution.” The law does not stipulate a penalty for perpetrators of sexual assault.

Thus, if sexual assault or harassment occurs, there is not a mechanism to report abuse, protect one’s job, and ensure the harasser pays a price and is deterred from future offenses. “While the law says that the government can close a business if multiple violations are reported,” adds Abu Jaber, “that step does not address the problem and is in fact harmful to the economy.”

The legal barriers to women’s financial independence also prevent many women from pursuing a career. As Secretary-General of the Jordanian National Commission for Women Salma Nims puts it: “What we need is women’s economic autonomy, not just economic participation.” Because the legal system is biased towards the idea of the husband as the breadwinner, women who work and contribute towards household expenses and joint assets may pay a financial price for working and may not be awarded their fair share if a marriage ends. If women cannot achieve economic security and independence or enjoy some financial benefits from working at minimum, many will stay out of the workforce.

Perception of women and their role in society

Perhaps the most challenging issue that must be surmounted is attitudes about women. These attitudes are changing but are still a long way from accepting equity.

As Jordanian CEO of BizWorldUAE.org Helen Al Uzaizi describes, “Even if you have a strong family support network, the expectation of you as a woman is that you stay home or take on a job with a less demanding role. The university degrees women get have nothing to do with market needs. It’s just another checkmark to make them more attractive for marriage.”

This anecdotal evidence is supported by data. In the 2020 Arab Youth Survey, 73 percent of young Arab men and 70 percent of young Arab women said that they think women should work part-time or not at all. These attitudes are by no means found only in the Middle East. A 2019 Pew Research Center survey found that 76 percent of American adults think it is ideal for a father to work full-time, yet only 33 percent of American adults think it is ideal for a mother to work full-time.

Aside from the problematic stereotypes about women being “better” at caregiving and managing a household that these poll results underscore, these views are not in touch with reality. Working part-time is not feasible in many professions and it makes financial independence or rising to a senior role far less likely.

Childcare and transportation infrastructure

Women in Amman are primarily working in “traditional” professions such as teaching and healthcare. It can be difficult to enter these jobs if they have family care responsibilities or if the pay would not compensate for the childcare and transportation challenges the worker might then have to navigate.

Amman currently does not have enough affordable childcare options for families or safe, reliable, and affordable transportation for workers, creating additional roadblocks for women who want to work.

As Atlantic Council Middle East Initiatives & Rafik Hariri Center Deputy Director and Jordanian-American Tuqa Nusairat argues: “Jordan’s safety nets allow most families to get by, so many women don’t feel the burden of providing financially for their families as compared to similar economies in the region. The barriers for working women are high, and the financial return at the moment is too low.”

Recommended policy actions

To raise female labor force participation in Amman, the United States, international organizations, and Jordan’s government and activists should prioritize five areas:

  1. Expand childcare infrastructure: Recent laws in Jordan mandated creating on-site daycare for companies that have women employees with a combined total of fifteen or more children under the age of five and alternative arrangements for workplaces with a lower number of children. However, adoption is incomplete and there are concerns that this mandate may cause companies to cap the number of female employees to avoid triggering daycare responsibilities. Childcare that receives public funding and is not tied to a company having a certain number of female employees would be a better solution.
  2. Legal changes to prevent and respond to sexual harassment and assault: Activists such as Salma Nims, Secretary-General of the Jordanian National Commission for Women, have been working to address the current inadequate legal protections against sexual harassment in the workplace. Nims spearheaded public awareness campaigns in partnership with faith-based organizations and human rights groups to educate Jordanians in university, school, and workplace settings about what sexual harassment entails. According to Nims, this led the Labor Ministry to make changes that require new companies with ten or more employees to have a sexual harassment and violence policy.

    In June 2020, a campaign led by the International Labor Organization and United Nations Women raised awareness about this issue and pushed the Jordanian government to adopt more wide-ranging legislative changes. The country’s parliament is now considering amendments to the labor law’s sexual assault article. If these amendments pass, they will “define sexual harassment and offer employees more protection,” says Nims. However, she adds that “the social stigma in Jordan attached to reporting harassment along with the legal procedures required to prove an offense occurred will still pose challenges to addressing this issue.”
  3. Public transportation: Affordable, safe, and reliable public transit options are a must to enable women (and all workers) to get to work. Amman does not have a metro system and, while there are buses, their routes and timing are not sufficient for most commuters. Better public transportation options are needed to boost overall employment.
  4. Continued expansion of part-time, flexible, and remote work: One key to recruiting and retaining women is flexibility in terms of when and where work is performed in sectors where this is possible. Women all over the world face the burdens of the “second shift” (childcare, cooking, and cleaning) and “emotional labor” (e.g. managing a household). A silver lining of the COVID-19 pandemic is that many workplaces were forced into fully remote operations. This experience—which has proved to skeptics that remote work is both possible and productive—may prove helpful to women’s labor force participation in the long run. The gig economy, enabled by new technologies, is also expanding in Amman and offers new opportunities for women to use Ureed.com and other platforms for freelance work.

    In May 2019, Jordan amended its labor law to permit flexible and part-time work. Flexible work is a positive step, but it is not a panacea since not every job can be done remotely. Furthermore, as JoWomenomics CEO and Co-Founder Mayyada Abu Jaber puts it: “For many women, leaving the home to work gives them a sense of agency and helps them find themselves. Working from home can be smart if we do it smartly, but if we don’t, it could just add to women’s burdens by making them continue their childcare and housework while also doing paid work. Then they may just end up resigning.”
  5. Role models, mentoring, and networking support: Women and men need to see more positive examples of women succeeding professionally. Women will benefit from connecting with working women and male allies who can help them market themselves for jobs, discover employment opportunities, and provide emotional support along the way. Success stories and support networks will also help shift problematic attitudes about women over time as more women are able to enter and stay in the labor force. Additionally, this will help bring about additional legislative changes that are needed in terms of sexual harassment protection and recognizing working women’s financial contributions to families and more.  

Stefanie Hausheer Ali is deputy director of the Atlantic Council’s empowerME initiative at the Rafik Hariri Center for the Middle East.  

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Transcript: Malala Yousafzai on why girls’ education is one of the most sustainable investments https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/commentary/transcript/transcript-malala-yousafzai-girls-education/ Mon, 08 Mar 2021 21:04:29 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=362645 Going beyond a brick-and-mortar approach to expand access to schools for girls, Malala believes in improving the quality of education they're offered. But that quality is facing additional challenges from the pandemic.

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Watch the full event

Event transcript

Speaker

Malala Yousafzai
Nobel Laureate

Moderator

Shuja Nawaz
Distinguished Fellow, Atlantic Council

Introduction

Frederick Kempe
President and CEO, Atlantic Council

Additional remarks

Maliha Khan
Nonresident Senior Fellow, Atlantic Council

FREDERICK KEMPE: Good morning, good afternoon, and good evening to our guests joining from around the world. And we did time this particular program to take place in the American morning because we do know that more than half of our audience is from elsewhere in the world—and for this program, you’ll know why, as I introduce our speaker, that [is] particularly the case.

My name is Fred Kempe. I’m president and CEO of the Atlantic Council. And welcome to this edition of Atlantic Council Front Page, or hashtag #ACFrontPage, our premier platform for individuals of global consequence.

For today’s edition, I am honored to welcome the recipient of the Atlantic Council’s 2013 Freedom Award and of course the recipient of the 2014 Nobel Peace Prize, Malala Yousafzai. She has become the world’s most prominent activist for girls’ rights to education, and this is especially important as we kick off Women’s History Month. Known by her story that rattled the world in 2012, Malala—and I will refer her to Malala because she has become so well-known for her story around the world that she has become what we call mononymous, which is one name—Malala—that moves us all. She has used her experience to champion the movement for girls to have access to proper education.

On October 9, 2012, while on a bus in the Swat district after taking an exam, Malala and two other girls were shot by a Pakistani Taliban gunman in an assassination attempt in retaliation for her activism even at that age. She remained unconscious and in critical condition for some time. That attempt on her life, which she of course mercifully recovered from, sparked an international outpouring of support.

Many people go through terrible things. Not so many apply it in the way that Malala has, to serve the improvement of the state of the world through girls’ education. She founded the Malala Fund, which invests in educating activists and advocates who are driving solutions to bring down barriers to girls’ education in their communities across eight countries. Through her tireless work, she shared the Nobel Peace Prize and continues to pursue her own education without fail. And just last spring she graduated from Oxford, so congratulations on that as well.

I’d also like to recognize and thank Malala’s father, Ziauddin Yousafzai, who has been an instrumental partner to the Atlantic Council and without whom today’s event would not have happened.

This will be a special conversation in a new series launched by our South Asia Center’s new Pakistan Initiative, led by Director Irfan Nooruddin and Distinguished Fellow and Founding Director of our South Asia Center Shuja Nawaz.

In addition to the Malala Fund, we are grateful for the support given to this important venture by farsighted institutions and individual donors from the Pakistani diaspora and from within Pakistan.

Shuja Nawaz will moderate today’s discussion with Malala, which will include remarks by Maliha Khan, a nonresident senior fellow in our South Asia Center as well as the chief programs officer for the Malala Fund. So, Shuja, over to you.

SHUJA NAWAZ: Thank you very much, Fred. And a big thank you to Malala Yousafzai for joining us from England despite her very busy schedule. And again, I also want to add my thanks to her father, Ziauddin, who has been ready to respond over the years to all requests and was helpful in setting up this conversation—a conversation which comes, as you said, not only during Women’s History Month, but also three days before International Women’s Day. So it’s a very special occasion for us. And we are delighted that, to use Malala’s words, we are going to help “make a world where every girl can learn and lead.”

So on behalf of Irfan Nooruddin and the South Asia team, I want to welcome Malala and Maliha Khan, the chief program officer of the Malala Fund, to this conversation. Maliha is in Pakistan these days. Malala, of course, is in England. We’ll be joined later in the discussion by three practitioners—education practitioners. And the audience can also send questions, so after the initial discussion with Malala and Maliha we will turn to some of the questions, including those from the audience. When Malala leaves at the end of forty minutes for another commitment, we will continue our discussion with Maliha Khan, Basarat Kazim in Pakistan, Sabira Qureshi in Virginia, and Aanya Niaz in England.

Malala, thank you for helping us kick off this very special month and this very special week dealing with women. Let me begin by asking you to bring us up to date on the current state of your efforts to support girls’ education around the world working with the Malala Fund in eight different countries. And I assume that you are already thinking of expanding it beyond the initial eight. So what has been the biggest challenge for you in terms of promoting girls’ education, especially during this age of the pandemic?

MALALA YOUSAFZAI: First of all, I would like to thank Frederick and Shuja for such a warm welcome, and I’m really honored to be speaking here again. And I would like to give a shout-out to Noelle Warren, an eighth-grade student at Sidwell Friends. And I want to say hello to everyone in the audience who is watching us right now and will be watching us later. Thank you so much for your time today.

And, yes, girls’ education is a critical issue, and the Malala Fund has been working on highlighting this for many years now. Why I talk about girls’ education and why it is important to me is because I was one of the girls who could not go to school at age eleven. And I remember that day very well on the fifteenth of January 2009, I remember waking up and I was not able to go to school. Schools had been banned by the Taliban. And I cried for the whole day and I was questioning my dad that, you know, what would be my future if I cannot go to school. And I knew what had happened to many girls who were deprived of education. They had been pushed into early child marriages or into domestic labor or had been kept limited to their household and not allowed to achieve their dreams and, you know, all the dreams that they had to become a teacher, doctor, engineer.

So I did not want to see that future for myself, and I do not want to see that future for the millions of girls who are out of school right now. And Malala Fund has been responsive to all that is happening right now, including COVID-19. And our goal is to ensure that we create a world where all the 130 million girls can go to school, and those who are already in school can stay safe in school and receive the quality education that they need. And we work together with local activists in eight countries—including Pakistan, India, Afghanistan, Nigeria, Brazil—and they are looking at the issues that girls are facing in that region and in that area, and how they can look for solutions to address those issues.

SHUJA NAWAZ: Thank you. Now, you chose a very interesting approach. You have gone beyond the traditional donor approach, which is that of brick and mortar where you build schools and you expect that girls will start coming and then they will be educated. You are really concentrating primarily on the education part, not on building schools. How do you overcome the obstacles that societies, particularly in the developing world, are facing on the entry of the girls into the formal labor market, into the economies of the countries, into the societies of the countries after they’ve got their education?

MALALA: I think, you know, we want women to have the opportunity to participate in the economy, to participate in politics, and other areas in the country, and I think the first step to that is education. Education empowers women and girls to find a place for them in society, to become independent, and for themselves to not be dependent on other members in their family, as we all know that in many places when a girl is in her father’s house, she is dependent on her father and brother, and then she’s married off, and then she’s dependent on her husband. And you know, if there is a case of divorce or something like that, then she’s sent back to the father’s family and then she’s dependent again. So that education takes away that dependency in a woman’s life and allows her to stand on her own two feet.

And, yes, then even after getting an education there are further challenges that women and girls face in having equal opportunities. But I think education in itself is that necessary step that we must take to allow women to gain their place in society because many women do not even know that they have equal rights and that this society in which they are living right now, they are not paid equally, they are not treated equally, they are harassed, they face discrimination—that this is not OK, that human rights does not allow that, that their culture does not allow that, that the principle and the values that we hold do not allow that. But many women are not aware of that, and I think that awareness-raising is important.

And education is not just limited to schooling, but education goes beyond that. And I think we have—we need to continue to educate ourselves, to educate communities about what equality means and what their role is in ensuring that women gain and we all gain a place of equality.

SHUJA NAWAZ: Now, what impressed me—and I’m sure others will be interested in this concept—is that, again, unlike traditional donors, you have tried to create ownership within the countries where you operate. And you have a concept called Champions for Education so that there is continuity, there is local ownership. Can you talk a bit about that? And maybe Maliha can also give us some information on how that operates.

MALALA: Yeah. So I’ll start a bit.

My father and I, we were activists in Swat Valley and we know how impactful the activism of local activists can be. So I believe in the activism that local educators and advocates are doing. And right now there are amazing activists all around the world that Malala Fund is supporting. Our champions in Nigeria, for instance, in this time of the pandemic, have been working on providing school lessons through radios. They have been pushing for policy-level changes to ensure that secondary education is granted to children. They have been passing these laws.

And advocacy work is a long process and you may not see the outcomes soon. And you have to have that faith that it will happen if you keep on pushing for it. So Malala Fund has supported advocacy in Brazil, Pakistan, Afghanistan, in all these countries.

So there are three things that we focus on.

The first one is financing for education. And for that, policy-level changes are required and our champions in Pakistan and India and in all of these countries are pushing for that.

Secondly, it is the quality of education. And for that they focus on technology, they focus on creating gender-sensitive content and curriculum, and they’re pushing for policy-level changes, and they’re using technology and creating digital devices that can ensure that girls continue to learn. And we have a champion in Afghanistan who has done that. They have created this content of education and they have accumulated that so that children can have access to it through their mobile phones and through other digital tools that they have so even if in this time of pandemic a girl is in her house, she can continue her education.

And then the third one is social norms. And this is also Malala Fund’s priority because, as you mentioned we need to address the social values that women and girls are facing. And in that, local community leaders can play a key role to engage religious leaders, to engage parents, to engage teachers, and to engage local politicians and remind them that even their own culture and their own religion and faith promotes girls’ education and equality—that this is not something new, this is not something coming from the so-called West or whatever we call it.

For instance, in Pakistan, we need to push for this advocacy that Islam allows women to have equal rights, to have equal opportunities, and to have the right to education. If it’s Punjabi ethics or if it’s our Pashtunwali code of conduct, all of these cultures that we have, they also promote women to have a place. And even if there is something, then we need to change those values if they go against human rights because we are the ones who create these cultures and traditions, so we should be the ones who change it if they do not promote equality.

And Maliha can more to that.

SHUJA NAWAZ: Go ahead, Maliha.

MALIHA KHAN: That was an extremely comprehensive response, Malala. I don’t have too much to add.

The two things I will add that I think need to be emphasized [are] the reasons why we take this approach, Shuja, is that we feel very strongly that education is the right of every citizen. And if it’s the right of every citizen, that means it’s the responsibility of every government to provide that. And the girls are equal citizens, as everybody else is, so we feel very strongly that if we can support advocates who try to hold the government responsible for the rights that their citizens need to have, including the girls, towards a quality, safe, and free education, that is the best long-term investment that we can make rather than brick-and-mortar schools or any other type of support.

The other thing I’ll add is just a little bit on our education champions, that one of the key things that we try to support for them is networking. One activist alone can do many great things if they’re a Malala and are in that fortunate—or, rather, unfortunate—situation. But the collective of champions together along with their own wider networks, what they can do, by coming together and really pushing for specific issues as they come up, that we feel is an extremely strong force. So we also support the networking at the national level, at the regional level, and at the global level of all the sort of different networks of champions who are focusing on girls’ education so that they can learn from each other, they can support each other, and they can engage in collective action. And that, we feel, is the best investment we can make.

SHUJA NAWAZ: That’s a great point. And just to further strengthen it, our own experience at the South Asia Center when we had a very active Emerging Leaders Program was that we created a network which, even though we are not running that project any longer, is still existing and you have members of that network across the globe. So I think this is the ownership that Malala was talking about.

Let me ask about the relationship between government and private schools because it is still a large proportion of the students that go to government schools and they’re not well-run. So is there an ideal mix or are you trying to get more smaller, locally accessible private schools operating in the country? And then how do you improve the quality of education by improving the quality of teachers?

MALALA: If I’m honest, I think we want all schools to provide quality education to children. So no matter if you are in a private school or a government school, you should be getting the education that can take you to the opportunities that you want in your life. And especially if you are a girl, we want you to be safe whether you are in a government school or a private school. And you know, in our constitution, in human rights, it is the responsibility of the state and of the government to ensure that all children can have access to their education, that the state provides quality and safe education to all children.

So from that lens, it’s important to promote quality education in government schools. And, yes, in the short run we are pushing and we are asking private schools to also promote education and to focus on including girls and create—and doing further advocacy for girls’ education and taking a bit more efforts to ensure that girls are, you know, coming to school, and that they convincing their parents and local community leaders.

So the projects that we are supporting, you know, some of our champions, some of the activists that we are supporting, they do have their own schools or are they supporting schools that could be private or could be government schools. So we have not put any limitation. But our goal is to ensure that in our country, in Pakistan, the government plays its critical role, which is to ensure that all children have access to safe and quality education.

And you know, it’s sort of the quasi-public good, so the private sector may not be able to fulfill the needs and it may not be able to meet the demand. There would be those who cannot afford education [and would be] left out, and we do not want anybody to be left out if they cannot afford private schooling. And I think that the government has that key responsibility to grant education to every child and focus especially on girls.

SHUJA NAWAZ: No, of course, government can’t do everything. And as you well know, in Pakistan there are something like 25,000 madrasas or religious schools, and the majority of them are aimed at boys. Is there any attempt, that you are aware of, trying to get girls into those religious schools? Because if there are no private schools, if there are no government schools, the madrasa is the only option. And is there some way in which the government can regulate the madrasas in a way that they have to have girls’ madrasas?

MALALA: Madrasa is a religious place and a madrasa has very limited education that only covers the Quran and that covers religious content, and madrasas do not cover science. Madrasas do not cover maths. Madrasas do not cover arts. Madrasas do not cover languages other than Arabic, unfortunately. So madrasa right now, the structure that is in place, is not able to provide the school-level education.

And I know that there have been efforts made to ensure that there is sort of that minimum standard set for education, that whether a child is in a school—or in a public school, a private school, or in a madrasa that child has access to this much of education at this age in their life. But I think we need to be a bit more optimistic and we need to think ahead and we need to have that bigger vision to ensure that we provide the best-quality education to all of our children.

I know many, many students who are all close family and friends. The boys were sent off to madrasas, and if they spend three or four years in a madrasa then they are not able to catch up on the school years that they have missed and they are then limited in the opportunities that they have. They miss out on their education. They miss out on getting professional qualifications. So there are those barriers.

But I think it’s important that our government give serious attention to this issue and ensure that we promote a system of education which is inclusive, which includes all children, which is inclusive in terms of the class of people that it involves so that people of all backgrounds are getting their education. It doesn’t matter which income level they are coming from, what religious background they’re coming from, and whether they are a girl or a boy, that all of them have access to quality education.

SHUJA NAWAZ: Moving to something a little closer to your own tastes, you were not long ago on a radio program called “Desert Island Discs” in which you selected some songs that you would take with you if you were stranded on a desert island. And it struck me that it was an eclectic mix of music from the West as well as from your own country, and there was also a Pashto song. But an impressive addition to the list was a song which is an original poem by Faiz Ahmad Faiz, the famous Pakistani poet, called “Hum Dekhenge,” which has become an anthem for protest in South Asia, including in India last year when the women were protesting in the streets and stood up against the police ranks and sang that song. Can you tell us a bit about how you came to like that and put that in your playlist?

MALALA: I will be honest: It was one of the hardest decisions ever to select eight songs for “Desert Island Discs.” And I’m a Pashtun, and then growing up in Pakistan you grow up in such a rich culture that you are seeing Bollywood movies and watching Indian dramas, and you have the Pakistani entertainment industry as well, and then you are also listening to pop songs from the West and you are watching Hollywood movies as well. So I had quite a lot to cover, including Justin Bieber.

And also, these incredible songs that have brought revolutions, that have empowered people to speak the truth, and one of those powerful songs was “Hum Dekhenge” written by Faiz Ahmad Faiz and sang by Iqbal Bano. And just the history of the song where she sang it wearing a black sari, and just the roles and how she just uplifted that whole crowd by singing those two words of faith. That was such a powerful song, and it just reminds us all that truth shall prevail and truth will prevail, but that truth has so much power that it can change the world. It can bring justice. It can bring fairness and equality for all, and I believe in that. And I know that you cannot continue suppression and you cannot continue atrocities for too long because people will rise and people will speak the truth, and lies and falsehoods cannot last for long. And it is the words of faith that give us all so much courage and so much optimism about changing our future and making this world a safe place for all.

Yeah, so “Hum Dekhenge,” we shall see. And we shall see a world where all girls can have access to safe, quality, and free education.

SHUJA NAWAZ: Well, I think you are living your words. And more recently, not for the first time, you spoke out in support of the Nigerian girls who were kidnapped, and we are glad to know that they were finally released. So your words matter, too.

At this stage, Malala, I’m going to ask the audience if they have questions to send them over and my colleagues at the South Asia Center will share them with me. We’ll try and get them into the next fifteen minutes or so and we’ll get answers from you and Maliha, and then we’ll let you go at forty minutes after the hour, and then we’ll carry on our discussion.

So let me see if I can bring on one of the practitioners that I mentioned, Basarat Kazim. Basarat has been very instrumental in taking education to the people through mobile libraries. She’s also been very active on the international stage, and she’s started a new angle to what’s called STEM education by adding to the [letter] A, making it STEAM education. So let me ask Basarat if she has a quick comment and a question for you.

BASARAT KAZIM: Yes. I’m actually delighted to be in conversation with you, Malala. It’s wonderful.

Through our Projects on the Go, which is the mobile make-a-space that Alif Laila just started, we have launched an entrepreneurship program for girls in secondary schools, and we want them to use the skills that they learn to think of possible businesses that they can start up from the home. Would you have a message for them?

MALALA: Well, my message to girls is always believe in yourself. Believe in the dreams and aspirations that you have. Do not be afraid of anyone. No one can stop you. And go and change your future, and go and change the future of girls in Pakistan. Make your dreams come true. And you are the future of this country, and you can change it through your actions. So always believe in yourself.

BASARAT KAZIM: Thank you so much. Thank you.

SHUJA NAWAZ: I think next we will go to Sabira Qureshi. Sabira is another educational practitioner who has worked around the globe on gender issues and [worked] as an independent consultant on poverty alleviation, gender equality, women’s rights, and human rights. And she’s also not just talked about this; she has done something about it through her JAQ Foundation and through the Pehli Kiran Schools that she started in the Islamabad capital area, which among other things deal with education opportunities for children of disadvantaged communities, including those who have been displaced by the fighting in the borderlands. So maybe Sabira can talk about her experience briefly and ask you a question. Sabira?

SABIRA QURESHI: Thank you, Shuja.

Malala, as-salamu alaykum. It’s an absolute pleasure to join you in this conversation—pleasure and privilege. I actually met you many, many years ago in person at an Aurat Foundation seminar in Islamabad, and what struck me and has remained with me throughout all these years as we’ve seen—mashallah—you grow and just become such a world-renowned figure is when I asked you a question: Malala, what do you want to be when you grow up? And without hesitation, you said the prime minister of Pakistan. And that absolutely remained with me, that confidence—so that was amazing.

I know we have a very short time, so I just want to quickly [mention], as Shuja introduced in addition to some of the work I’ve been doing, twenty-five years ago started this very humble initiative with ten children under a tree. And today—mashallah—we have ten schools and more than three thousand children, and we’ve been educating them for the last twenty-five years from the most marginalized, vulnerable communities, which are home to the majority of out-of-school children in Pakistan. So I guess the question to you would be: Is there some way that the Malala Fund’s strategy can amplify the voices of these smaller organizations that are working towards the same goal and have developed these innovative, out-of-the-box solutions but they don’t have the voice and visibility? So is there something that can be done to amplify that?

MALALA: Thank you so much for your question, and very nice to see you again.

And, yes, so Malala Fund is currently working in Pakistan and we have worked there for, I think, three or four years now, and we are supporting local projects and local activists. And we know the power that these local projects can have and we know that if everybody is doing their bit and we all collectively work towards that goal, we will see change very soon. So we never underestimate the power that each and every project and each and every effort has in bringing the change that we all want to see.

And right now Malala Fund has been very focused on the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on girls’ education. And last year we did research and we looked at the impact that COVID-19 has had on girls’ education and it showed us that twenty million more girls are at risk of losing their education because of this pandemic, because the pandemic has pushed girls to stay at home. And when girls are at home, they are pushed into the housework, or they become financial supporters of the family, or they are pushed into early child marriages because that reduces the burden from the family and they cannot look after the girl. And if they can afford the education of one child, they often prefer to support their boys than the girls. And so there is the risk that these girls will miss out on their education and may not be able to return.

So Malala Fund has been supporting projects in Pakistan that are addressing these issues, that are also trying to work on promoting curriculum through mobile labs and through televisions and that are working together with the local communities, as well. And they conducted separate research in Pakistan, as well, and they did a survey which found that in this lockdown, girls are spending more time on housework than they are on their studying, and it just makes it very difficult for girls to continue their education. And in Punjab, as well, girls are nine times more likely than boys to spend their time on chores than on their schoolwork.

So Malala Fund has supported many champions in Pakistan, and Maliha can provide you with all the information on how to apply for the Champions Network and how to become part of it. But we have more than like fifty or something champions around the world right now, and they are doing incredible work to bring local-level, national-level, provincial-level, and global-level changes for girls’ education.

SHUJA NAWAZ: We have a question from the audience, Malala, and this deals with a call for open information and open government, particularly during the pandemic period, but there’s a problem of digital access. How do you get the disadvantaged communities online? And how do you assist them in getting their education when there are restrictions on what is available to them?

MALALA: So for me personally, when I was involved in this activism for girls’ education, we are often taught this concept that progress will occur with time, and you can always hope for better every year, and even if it’s slow you will see the results. But with this pandemic, things changed for all of us. And the risk of seeing a great loss in the progress that we have made so far, that even losing decades of progress that has been made in education—seeing more girls dropping out of school, seeing girls getting married or, you know, before age eighteen and not having access to education—I think it’s just a reminder that things may not always be as you expect them to be and you should always be prepared for such catastrophic changes like living in a pandemic right now and facing these health crises, which also come as economic crises, and then that affects families financial decisions.

And so in that, now we need to look at the future of education, and what is happening to education right now, and what will be the structure of education in the future. And right now, education has become digital. All of us are attending our classes through our laptops and phones and screens. We are attending classes on Zoom. And that is the education world that we are living in right now. And that raises the question of what happens to the education of girls in this scenario, and what if we have digital education for the next five years or ten years, and what if it becomes the future of education that we are living in a digital education world right now. The early studies have already shown that there is a gap in access to digital tools for girls’ education, and this will be the focus of Malala Fund to ensure that we continue doing our advocacy, our work on pushing for gender equality in access to digital education because there is that gender gap when it comes to that.

And that’s why our champions are actively involved in working on providing girls with the digital tools that they need to have access to education. And Maliha can add more to that, but I think that is—you know, that is the future of education.

And all of us, you know, as civil society members, as government officials, we need to look at what role can we play in this. And I think for government, as well, they have to be gender-sensitive in their policies, in their—in their decision-making. They cannot ignore the fact that there is gender gap in education, access to education, and access to opportunities. And when they also make decisions about access to digital education, they need to be gender-sensitive in that as well to ensure that girls do not miss out. They also cannot ignore the fact that in this pandemic girls will be affected the most and that—especially from poor or low-income backgrounds. So they—you know, we have to be more aware. We cannot just be blind to these facts.

Because of, you know, this blindness that we carry in the policymaking, so many children, so many girls, so many people from minority backgrounds, from low-income backgrounds miss out. So we have to be more conscious. We have to be more aware of these things.

And, Maliha, please add more to this if you would like.

SHUJA NAWAZ: Thank you. And I will ask Maliha if she can hold off on sharing the information with our audience for our next segment.

But before we let you go, a quick question from Aanya Niaz, who is the education advisor and co-founder of the Maple Advisory Group. Aanya, if you can get a quick question in we would let Malala go after that. Thank you.

AANYA NIAZ: Absolutely. Hi, Malala. It’s lovely to meet you. I actually missed you at Oxford by a year, and I think that’s the one thing that makes me sad. I studied education there, so lots to talk about.

OK, but quick, Malala, we’ve been seeing so much evidence and research coming out that the highest dropout rates for girls, especially in Pakistan and developing country context, is at the end of lower secondary, right? Girls aren’t going back to school after grade five, around the age of ten. In your immense experience and interactions with education systems around the world, what advice or ideas or guidance would you have for us to address that monumental loss of girls dropping out? How do we get them to come back or stay on?

MALALA: I think you just, you know, hit the right point. The secondary education of girls is that critical state where girls drop out. Most of the girls who enter primary school drop out of school in class six, class seven. And one report shows that only 13 percent of the girls make it to their grade nine. So we need to address, like, why are these girls dropping out of school. What are the issues that they are facing?

First, I think usually it’s lack of financial support from the families. Parents cannot prioritize the education of girls and they often prioritize the education of their boys. These girls also have the pressure of early child marriages. They are pushed into marriages. They’re forced into it. And There are these cultural norms as well that the education of girls is not important because if not now, later on she’ll get married and she’s not going to bring anything to the family, and you know, all the things that we all have heard ourselves, as well. And you know, these things occur very closely to us. We see it, as well, how, you know, in a household a girl’s future is taken away from her.

So that’s why, you know, so, so much needs to be done. We need policy-level changes. The government and—both the federal and the provincial government, they need to play their role in this [by bringing] in policies that ensure that girls gain their secondary education. We need to ensure that we grant twelve years of safe, quality education to all girls, and with a specific focus on the secondary education so we reduce the dropout of girls and also make sure that girls who do drop out can return to school if they decide to. Even in this pandemic time many girls have not been in a classroom, and it would be so difficult for them to go back to their schools. So we need to put more effort into this.

And you know, Malala Fund’s champions are involved in this. And I’m happy to put you in touch with them, as well, in how they’re working on ensuring that girls do not miss out and can go back to their schools.

SHUJA NAWAZ: Thank you very much, Malala, for that excellent answer. And thank you to my colleagues for asking these very pertinent questions.

I think we’ve probably kept you a little beyond the time we said we would keep you, and we are very grateful. So on behalf of President Fred Kempe and Director Irfan Nooruddin of the South Asia Center, I want to thank you, Malala Yousafzai, for taking the time to talk to us about girls’ education around the world and particularly in Pakistan. We wish you well.

MALALA: Thank you so much. Thank you so much for the opportunity, again.

And I would say goodbye, but before that I will just like to remind everyone that education is one of the most important sustainable investments that we can make. We are concerned about so many issues. We want reduced poverty. We want to tackle climate change. We want to reduce conflicts and wars. We want to ensure that we live in a world of equality, that there is no gender discrimination. But to address all of these issues there is one sustainable solution, and that is girls’ education.

Studies and data and research show us that when you educate a girl it improves economies because it adds up to thirty trillion dollars to the economy.

It helps us tackle climate change because women are more responsible. They make climate-sensitive decisions. And they—when girls are educated, it allows women to then compete for green jobs, contribute animation, and help build a low-carbon economic world.

And you know, it also improves public health. When women are educated, they take care of their own health, their own safety and protection, but also their family’s and everybody else around them.

They’re more aware of their own rights. They’re more aware of their body rights and what is OK and what is not OK.

So we must invest in girls’ education. If we want to see the future of Pakistan, the future of South Asia, and the future of this world improve, and we want to see it equal, we want to see it more peaceful, and we want to see it greener, safer, and freer, then we must invest in girls’ education and ensure that all girls around the world can have safe, free, and quality education.

With that, I would like to say goodbye to you all. And it was very nice talking to you all. Bye-bye.

SHUJA NAWAZ: Thank you.

MALALA: Thank you. Thank you.

SHUJA NAWAZ: OK. Time for us to move to the next segment. We will get our practitioners together with Maliha Khan and move on to the next segment of our internal discussion.

So welcome back, Maliha Khan, the chief programs officer of the Malala Fund, and of course nonresident senior fellow of the South Asia Center. Maliha is joined by our three practitioners who joined the earlier question-and-answer session, so Basarat Kazim, Sabira Qureshi, and Aanya Niaz.

Maliha, as you were listening in and particularly on this question of creating champions and how people can connect with you on that, what were the principal takeaways on your part?

MALIHA KHAN: Thank you. Thank you, Shuja, for that.

I think that I won’t answer the question of how do you apply to be a champion, et cetera. I think the pertinent question there is when you’re tackling [an] issue as big as education and access to education, retention and quality of education in South Asia, and you’re talking about well over a quarter of the out-of-school children in general and girls in particular coming from this region, I think that the way forward is combining all the different mechanisms and forces we have. And Malala Fund in particular believes in local actors, believes in small organizations and their ability to affect local change, as well as using international actors to act in the right way and to make the right decisions that will be optimal for that.

So my main takeaway is that we should all listen to Malala—continue to invest in education, particularly girls’ education, and that it is the local actors and the champions that are out there working in their local communities who are going to be the best able to do that.

SHUJA NAWAZ: Thank you.

Basarat, any special takeaways from you? And also, if you can shed a little more light on your STEAM initiative I think that would be interesting for our audience…

BASARAT KAZIM: Actually, what I would like to talk about is the networking. And I would be interested in knowing if the Malala Fund could actually start a platform where the girls who are being looked at in the programs that you are running in the eight countries could come together and become mentors and influencers for each other. Because we started projects like the Alif Laila, where children were working with children, and we found them very strong and very effective. And in the work that we are doing, especially in that STEAM project you were talking about, Shuja, the girls need a lot of handholding and they need mentorship. And sometimes when pairs are interacting and, you know, just helping them to feel good and confident, I think that would be a very big thing. Also, it would connect cultures.

So I don’t know what you would say to that, Maliha.

MALIHA KHAN: Yeah, it’s an excellent idea. I am a very strong proponent that. There’s a saying that says “nothing about us without us.” So there’s lots and lots of organizations that speak on behalf of girls, and I think the key thing is actually to allow girls to speak on behalf of themselves. When they’re not muzzled, when they’re not stopped and they’re given a platform, they are the best advocates for their own rights, as is every person who’s advocating for themselves.

So we’ve been doing that through our work with the different champions. We have lots of girl-focused activities. And we will also be launching a program that specifically focuses on girls and their voice and agency and their abilities to advocate for themselves, because as Malala has often said it’s not—she is—she but just represents the millions of girls who are out there who are advocating for themselves and provides a voice for that. And we would like to help in that—in that endeavor.

BASARAT KAZIM: Thank you.

SHUJA NAWAZ: This may also be something that my friends at the South Asia Center will be taking note of because this is perhaps something they could also think of in terms of the Pakistan initiative to help recreate a network similar to the Emerging Leaders Program that we once had.

Let me ask Sabira what she thinks was the main takeaway. And also, maybe shed some light on how the children from displaced communities that are part of your disadvantaged children whom you are supporting through your school systems, how—if any efforts are being made to integrate them into Pakistan—wider Pakistani society.

SABIRA QURESHI: Thank you, Shuja.

There’s a lot of work that still needs to be done on that account because the communities we work with are the most unserved, marginalized communities. And they don’t have access. Access is one of the key challenges, and for girls, it becomes even more challenging because just—because of all the other safety, et cetera issues, they just don’t reach any school, whether public or private sector. So our community schools go into the heart of the community, and that’s how we connect with them.

But a quick question for Maliha. It would help us if you could just share just a few key lessons with all the years of Malala Fund experience. What has worked best and what has not worked in terms of approaches and impact? And also, how some of the work of the Malala Fund, the benefits from that have reached the marginalized segments, children—out-of-school children who reside mostly in these vulnerable communities, particularly since some of the education champions that are supported by Malala Fund are for-profit entities. So how do you ensure that that sort of trickle-down benefits are reached?…

MALIHA KHAN: Yeah, happy to talk about that.

So Malala Fund has been working, you know, for almost seven years now in South Asia. For about six of those, Pakistan was our first country where we made the first investments in. We mostly invest, actually, in civil society organizations. We have a couple of innovative for-profits that are doing interesting types of social-enterprise work which we think is also an excellent way of going forward. So, for instance, in Pakistan, we have AzCorp that is publishing local-language and national-language materials for children because we know that a child in Pakistan never sees a book outside of their school curriculum. So having some material available for them. So that’s the work we’re doing with them.

We found that there’s no one solution. What we found works best is a formula. And the formula that works best is support a local organization that has a really interesting and innovative idea; support them not just for the implementation of the idea but also in creating and making their organization and institution vibrant and strong, because that’s imperative in them being able to take that forward; and then also invest in them being able to scale that up somehow, because we have to make it sustainable.

Now, that scaleup can be in many, many different ways. It’s often trying to get it embedded into government processes and structures because, as I said in the beginning, we’re very strong believers and proponent in the long-term, you know, sustainable impact is going to come from the government and the government investing in this.

And so I think the real move for the types of institutions and organizations that might be listening to us here today is we’ve gone very far down that route of holding these local organizations accountable for the delivery, not investing in their overheads, not investing in their organizations and institutions, and not investing in the sustainability of the initiative. We are very focused on the outputs—How many girls did you get into school? How many children did you reach? How many heads can we count as a return on our investment?—without thinking that, OK, when that finishes, what’s going to be left for that organization to work with?

So we are trying to turn that on its head. And it’s this formula that we believe is key in making the biggest impact in the longer term and also being the most sustainable in the longer term, and that’s what we have a vision for.

SHUJA NAWAZ: I think a key element in this, Maliha, will be how do you assess the quality, not simply the numerical output.

So let me ask Aanya in her experience, particularly in helping develop curricula, how do you work to craft a modern curriculum, especially for girls in Pakistan? And how do you measure that success over time along the lines that Maliha was talking about?

AANYA NIAZ: Excellent questions. Thank you, Shuja, for posing them.

I think that the power lies in what Malala has said, what Maliha has said, and actually what Basarat, Aanya, and Sabira have said as well. For so long, we on the outside have been trying to [find a solution] for somebody who’s on the inside. There is a distance between us and those we want to empower. We keep having dialogue, we keep engaging, we keep coming up with initiatives, but far away from those we want to help.

So, for an example, Malala Fund’s Champions Network initiative really resonates with me because for once we’re privileging the voices of those we’re trying to help. We’re letting them tell us what works for them. We’re not trying to discourage girls of any age, any socioeconomic background from being their own voices.

So, for me, to keep it brief, in order to inform the development of a modern curriculum, we need to speak to students who this curriculum is to be made for. We need to understand their contexts, their aspirations, their desires, the obstacles they face, the vocabulary they thrive on, stories they want to hear, stories that resonate in their households, adventures and stories and nursey rhymes that will resonate with them, and make a curriculum for those by privileging the voice for whom the curriculum is for.

In terms of measurement, I think I’d like to quickly just mention we tend to have ambitions, as Maliha was saying, that sort of are very different from the ambitions we have for high-income students: We focus on attainment, literacy, numeracy primarily. When we talk about low-income students. We say, are there enough of them in school, are they staying in school, how do we get data on that.

The way you can actually, in my opinion, be more thoughtful in how you measure success so you can sustain it is by devising, monitoring, and evaluation frameworks that capture variables that matter to the audience—that matter to the girls, that matter to their families. We need to understand internal and external variables that surround their understanding of education. Why do they want to learn? Ten years from now, what is the future of education for them? What does digital access mean to them? If we’re going to measure if a child is—can use a laptop or not, we need to understand what the use of that laptop is for the child, right?

So I’ll stop myself there.

SHUJA NAWAZ: Thank you. That’s a very good point.

And we have a couple of minutes left. Let me quickly ask Maliha—and maybe the others can chime in as needed—very briefly. We’ve been talking a lot about government—government should do this, government should do that. My own experience—and I may be an outlier—is that government is often flat-footed, and government is slow, and government takes a very long time to do things, whereas civil society and private sector can get things done in spite of government. So what is the role of civil society in this transformation that we are aiming for? Maybe Maliha can give us an answer based on her experience.

MALIHA KHAN: Shuja said the government is slow, but education is a long-term, you know, thing that we’re investing in. I think we’ve seen tremendous change in the last twenty, thirty years in primary education in making it available, particularly for girls. I think the next challenge is getting it to that secondary education.

Civil society’s role. I think in some instances we can fill in some of the gaps, but at the end of the day the provision of education, the quality of education, the retention around it, the safety around education, the government plays a very, very vital role. And civil society has to support the government in creating demand from the citizens, support the citizens to hold the governments accountable, and also help the government in making sure that quality, appropriate education is available. And that I do believe is the role of civil society.

Pakistan is one of the most charitable countries in the world, and we often really like to open schools. But as anyone who’s opened a school knows, it is a tremendously difficult, long-term, and very expensive venture. So I think a tremendous investment would be to help around these other areas in allowing the government to perform its responsibilities.

SHUJA NAWAZ: Thank you so much, Maliha.

And my apologies to the other participants. I just realized that I was looking at my clock and I’ve run out of time. But it clearly shows the need for us to continue this conversation, and I hope that we will be able to get all of you together again in a while to see where things have gone and see what can be done for the future.

Again, my thanks to Malala Yousafzai, to Maliha Khan, to Basarat Kazim, to Sabira Qureshi, as well as to Aanya Niaz, for making this such an interesting and useful discussion. And we wish everyone well, and I will be seeing you in another conversation in a few weeks’ time.

I’m Shuja Nawaz. Thank you for being with us.

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Why women must be at the center of the G20 agenda https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-atlanticist/why-women-must-be-at-the-center-of-the-g20-agenda/ Mon, 08 Mar 2021 17:54:08 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=362704 The fallout from the COVID-19 pandemic has been especially damaging to the economic well-being of women—worsening gender inequality by crippling women’s employment and earning opportunities while exacerbating household challenges such as violence against women.

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The fallout from the COVID-19 pandemic has been especially damaging to the economic well-being of women—worsening gender inequality by crippling women’s employment and earning opportunities while exacerbating household challenges such as violence against women.

Today—Monday, March 8—marks International Women’s Day, this year aptly themed “Women in leadership: Achieving an equal future in a COVID-19 world.” As the agenda takes shape for the Group of Twenty (G20) presidency—which passed to Italy in December 2020 in the midst of the coronavirus crisis—to address the pandemic, climate change, and other transnational challenges, the bloc must take steps to ensure women are central to the more equitable and inclusive recovery that it seeks, the world’s women need, and the global economy demands.

Gender inequality is certainly not a new feature of G20 economies; only around a third or less of women are formally employed in India, Saudi Arabia, and Turkey, and low rates of female labor-force participation have long mired economies worldwide. But since the onset of the pandemic in early 2020, women’s employment rates have fallen precipitously in many nations, usually at a quicker pace than those of men. In the United States, women suffered 55 percent of job losses in the first few months of COVID-related economic restrictions. By late 2020, some 2.5 million women had lost their jobs or dropped out of the workforce. In Latin America, women were 50 percent more likely than men to lose their jobs as the pandemic took hold—a figure that does not include losses among the large number of women working in the informal economy or performing unpaid work. In Turkey, surveyed women experienced higher levels of job loss than men did after the spread of COVID-19. Across the Middle East and North Africa region, estimates indicate that women will suffer a third of job losses even though they represent only a fifth of the labor force.

Even when women can find formal employment, wage disparities between women and men have been a key driver of inequality for years: women in the United States make only eighty-two cents for every dollar earned by men, and the gender pay gap is 23 percent globally. The global average of men’s overall income is nearly double that of women, due in part to the fact that women are more likely to be employed in lower-paid, lower-skill work with more job insecurity and fewer benefits.

Youth employment has also been highly vulnerable to the pandemic, dealing young women a double blow. In Argentina, for example, unemployment among those aged fourteen to twenty-nine increased significantly in the first quarter of 2020, to 18 percent, but the figure rose to 24 percent for young women. In the United Kingdom, sectors that shut down due to social-distancing measures employed 25 percent of young men under twenty-five years old but 36 percent of young women in the same age cohort. These sectors employed just 13 percent of workers over age twenty-five.

Beyond employment, women’s enterprises have also been further imperiled by the virus. The latest World Bank Findex in 2017 found that the financial-inclusion gap between men and women, measured in terms of having a bank account, remained at nine percentage points in favor of men in developing economies—unchanged since 2011. In several countries, even those in the middle-income strata, this gap is much more significant. In one COVID-19 impact survey of 30,000 small and micro enterprises worldwide, the gender disparity between shuttered businesses owned by women versus by men reached as high as 10 percent in countries with strict lockdowns. Women around the world also carry out as much as triple the unpaid household and care hours as men do. From India to Japan, and across Europe and the Americas, wage inequality combined with cultural or social norms push women to forego work, especially because of care constraints.

These dynamics account in part for COVID-19’s calamitous, disproportionate effect on women’s earning opportunities across advanced, emerging, and developing countries alike, putting economic participation and prosperity further from their reach. The Women 20 (W20) engagement group has been the traditional hub for consideration of gender issues at the G20. But to address the multitude of acute challenges faced by the world’s women, G20 leaders and finance ministers must now make use of the full range of policy instruments at their disposal. These include gender-responsive budgeting, entrepreneurial and employment tax incentives, healthcare, social-protection measures, improved property rights, increased hiring of women in government, and the collection of disaggregated data to better identify deficits and measure change. The G20 should also take a more integrated and intersectional approach, ensuring women’s inclusion across all of the forum’s engagement and working groups.

The Business 20 (B20), for example, should encourage businesses to promote women to management and decision-making roles; champion employer-provided childcare, healthcare and paid-leave policies, and digital access to close the gender digital divide; and expand access to the platform economy, workplace safety, and gender-elastic lending products and services, including loan-repayment deferments. The Energy Transition and Climate Sustainability Working Group should highlight women’s successes to entice more women to enter non-traditional sectors and engage men and families to shift social norms. Targeted lending and carveouts for women-owned small- and medium-sized enterprises in green business should also be promoted.

The Labour Working Group and Labour 20 (L20) should place the specific needs of women workers—including those in the informal economy—atop their agenda. That should include addressing issues related to wage gaps, childcare, upskilling and on-the-job training, and sexual harassment. As it tackles the education and employment crises, the Education Working Group and Youth 20 (Y20) should focus on young women’s training, skills, and digital access, as well as financial inclusion for productive self-employment and entrepreneurship. These efforts should embrace the future of work and the post-pandemic economy, including ensuring downstream STEM and technical vocational training for the emerging green, orange, care, and digital economies.

The Development Working Group can have an impact in this space by steering multilateral and bilateral donor resources toward the needs of women and girls in low-income countries. Given rapid urbanization in G20 countries and cities worldwide, the Urban 20 (U20) has an important opportunity to advance gender-sensitive urban planning, job creation, and city governance.

In its handover communiqué, the 2020 Saudi W20 stated that “G20 leaders must pave the way for equitable economic recovery where women, as equal partners and key economic actors, are part of the solution.” The Italian presidency must urgently heed this call and advance an energetic, holistic, women-centered agenda that mobilizes resources, directs financing, and ushers in data-informed policies. What’s needed is a strategy that both curbs the damage that the pandemic has inflicted on women and unlocks opportunities for reimagining women’s education, employment, and entrepreneurship in the post-pandemic era. If it succeeds in implementing this two-track strategy, the Italian G20 will be a boon to inclusive growth in member states and the global economy.

Nicole Goldin is a nonresident senior fellow in the Atlantic Council’s GeoEconomics Program and managing principal of NRG Advisory. Follow her on Twitter @NicoleGoldin.

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Khan quoted in The Pakistan Tribune: ‘Bring change to educate, educate to bring change’ https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/insight-impact/khan-quoted-in-the-pakistan-tribune-bring-change-to-educate-educate-to-bring-change/ Mon, 08 Mar 2021 17:31:00 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=450036 The post Khan quoted in The Pakistan Tribune: ‘Bring change to educate, educate to bring change’ appeared first on Atlantic Council.

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Malala Yousafzai: The pandemic is endangering long-term education for millions of girls https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-atlanticist/malala-yousafzai-the-pandemic-is-endangering-long-term-education-for-millions-of-girls/ Fri, 05 Mar 2021 22:47:19 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=362376 There were already 130 million girls out of school worldwide before the COVID-19 crisis, and an estimated twenty million more may never return to their classrooms once the pandemic is over, warned female-education activist Malala Yousafzai.

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This post was updated on March 7, 2021.

There were already 130 million girls out of school worldwide before the COVID-19 crisis, and an estimated twenty million more may never return to their classrooms once the pandemic is over, warned female-education activist Malala Yousafzai.

Malala, a recipient of the Atlantic Council’s 2013 Freedom Award as well as the youngest Nobel Peace Prize laureate, spoke about her activism at an Atlantic Council Front Page event moderated by Shuja Nawaz, distinguished fellow at the Council’s South Asia Center.

Speaking three days before International Women’s Day, Malala focused on her lifelong struggle to promote the education of girls ever since she was targeted in a 2012 assassination attempt by Taliban gunmen in retaliation for her activism.

“Girls’ education is a critical issue, and the Malala Fund has been working on highlighting this for many years now,” she said, recalling the day in January 2008 that she learned, as an eleven-year-old child in Pakistan’s Swat Valley, that local Taliban members, who had already prohibited TV ownership and playing music, had also permanently banned education for girls.

“I cried the whole day, and I was questioning my dad what would be my future if I could not go to school,” Malala said. “I knew what had happened to many girls who were deprived of education. They had been pushed into early child marriages, or into domestic labor, or kept limited to their household and not allowed to achieve their dreams.”

She added: “I did not want to see that future for myself—and I do not want to see that future for the millions of girls who are out of school right now.”

Watch the full event

How COVID-19 has hindered access to quality education

The Malala Fund, which she co-founded in 2014 along with her father, Ziauddin Yousafzai, currently supports fifty-seven “education champions” in eight countries: Afghanistan, Brazil, Ethiopia, India, Lebanon, Nigeria, Pakistan, and Turkey.

Over the next two years, the Malala Fund plans to invest $7.8 million to address the immediate and long-term implications of the pandemic on girls’ education. The investment will aim to keep girls learning despite school closures by supporting teachers with the resources and training they need to deliver quality education, while strengthening educational systems against future crises.

Since its founding, the Malala Fund has focused on improving the quality of education rather than a more traditional brick-and-mortar approach of constructing schools in developing countries, including her native Pakistan.

“We want women to have the opportunity to participate in the economy, to participate in politics, and other areas,” Malala said, noting that education alone allows women and girls to become financially independent.

“As we all know, in many places, when a girl is in her father’s house, she’s dependent on her father and her brothers,” she explained. “Then she’s married off and she’s dependent on her husband. If there’s a case of divorce, she’s sent back to her father’s family, then she’s dependent again. Education takes away that dependency in a woman’s life and allows her to stand on her own two feet.”

While education itself is important, awareness of women’s rights is also critical, especially in societies where women are treated as second-class citizens.

“Many women do not even know that they have equal rights. They’re not paid equally, they’re not treated equally, they’re harassed, they face discrimination. This is not OK. Human rights does not allow that,” she said.

Why the pandemic’s lingering effect on girls’ education could be “catastrophic

The Malala Fund aims to support the work of local activists around the world because real change for girls’ education, she said, happens at the local level—whether it’s helping Nigerian girls receive their lessons via radio during the coronavirus lockdown or giving young girls in Afghanistan access to schoolwork through mobile phones.

“It’s a long process and you may not see the outcomes soon,” she said. “You have to have faith that it will happen if you keep pushing for it.”

Malala said recent research in Pakistan’s Punjabi province shows that during the lockdown, girls were nine times more likely to spend time on chores than on schoolwork. That could wipe out advances made over the last several decades and lead to catastrophic consequences, she warned.

“The pandemic has pushed girls to stay at home, and when girls are at home, they’re pushed into housework, or they become financial supporters of the family, or they’re pushed into early childhood marriages because that reduces the burden on the family,” she said. “And if they can afford the education of only one child, [families] often prefer to support their boys [rather] than their girls.”

Only 13 percent of girls in primary school in Pakistan will make it to ninth grade, meaning the focus must be on keeping them in class long enough for them to receive secondary education.

“We need to ensure that we grant twelve years of safe, quality education to all girls and put a specific focus on secondary education, so we reduce the dropout of girls, and also make sure that girls who do drop out can return to school if they decide to, even if this pandemic time,” Malala said, adding that despite the presence of more than 25,000 madrasas, or Islamic religious schools, in her country, the vast majority of them are aimed at boys’ education.

Madrasas only cover [the] Quran and religious content. They do not cover science, math, the arts, or languages other than Arabic, unfortunately. So madrasas right now are not able to provide school-level education,” she said, urging the Pakistani government to give serious attention to the issue of gender parity in schooling “and ensure that we promote a system of education which is inclusive.”

Larry Luxner is a Tel Aviv-based freelance journalist and photographer who covers the Middle East, Eurasia, Africa, and Latin AmericaFollow him on Twitter @LLuxner.

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Nurkin discusses wargaming on Janes World of Intelligence podcast https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/insight-impact/in-the-news/nurkin-discusses-wargaming-on-janes-world-of-intelligence-podcast/ Fri, 12 Feb 2021 14:00:00 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=353461 On February 12, Forward Defense Nonresident Senior Fellow Tate Nurkin appeared on the Janes World of Intelligence podcast to discuss wargames: how to run them, the requirements for them, and how they benefit us. Nurkin argued that wargames have been frequently misunderstood, yet offer a chance to craft sounder policies for handling foreign policy crises.

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On February 12, Forward Defense Nonresident Senior Fellow Tate Nurkin appeared on the Janes World of Intelligence podcast to discuss wargames: how to run them, the requirements for them, and how they benefit us. Nurkin argued that wargames have been frequently misunderstood, yet offer a chance to craft sounder policies for handling foreign policy crises.

The flight of these high-skilled workers is not preordained, and appropriate interventions in the immigration pathway can help prevent it.

Shaun Ee
Forward Defense

Forward Defense, housed within the Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security, generates ideas and connects stakeholders in the defense ecosystem to promote an enduring military advantage for the United States, its allies, and partners. Our work identifies the defense strategies, capabilities, and resources the United States needs to deter and, if necessary, prevail in future conflict.

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Qaddour quoted in Arab News on Turkey opening schools in war-torn Syria https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/insight-impact/in-the-news/qaddour-quoted-in-arab-news-on-turkey-opening-schools-in-war-torn-syria/ Mon, 08 Feb 2021 15:44:00 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=352486 The post Qaddour quoted in Arab News on Turkey opening schools in war-torn Syria appeared first on Atlantic Council.

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Ukraine’s roadmap to an artificial intelligence future https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/ukrainealert/ukraines-roadmap-to-an-artificial-intelligence-future/ Tue, 19 Jan 2021 16:16:27 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=341650 Ukraine has recently adopted a National AI Development Strategy for the coming decade that aims to integrate artificial intelligence technologies into every sphere of the Ukrainian economy.

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In recent years, Ukraine’s world-class artificial intelligence (AI) industry has become something of a calling card for the country’s booming tech sector. Billion dollar Ukrainian startups including Grammarly and GitLab have managed to establish a global presence while maintaining AI offices in Ukraine. Meanwhile, as word has spread, global tech giants such as Samsung, Google, and Rakuten have established AI R&D centers in the country. 

This success has proved possible without the benefit of any significant state support. Indeed, many believe the vibrancy and dynamism of Ukraine’s AI industry are at least partially due to the relative absence of government interference in the sector.

The free market spirit that characterizes the Ukrainian tech sector led to considerable skepticism when plans were first unveiled in late 2020 for an official National AI Development Strategy to cover the coming decade. Approved by the Ukrainian Cabinet of Ministers, this Development Strategy seeks to harness the country’s existing AI capacity and channel it towards a number of strategic national priorities.    

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Initial reaction to the Development Strategy has been encouraging, with little sign of any significant industry backlash. This is perhaps not altogether surprising. Unlike many other ambitious but ultimately impractical Ukrainian reform roadmaps of recent years, the recently adopted AI Development Strategy is the work of an expert community with directly applicable real world experience in the private sector. Many of the people behind the initiative had previously participated in an earlier informal grouping of industry professionals that first began collaborating in 2013 with the goal of fostering a flourishing AI ecosystem in Ukraine.

Few would question the basic premise that Ukraine should be looking to prioritize the development of its AI advantages.

According to the 2020 Oxford Government AI Readiness Index, Ukraine is currently the number one artificial intelligence provider in Eastern Europe with 150 recognized providers compared to Poland’s 110. This represents a strong base to expand upon. However, most observers believe that anticipated progress within the AI industry over the coming decade will rapidly dwarf present levels of development. In the medium-term, AI is set to be at the heart of the mid-twenty-first century competition between nations, with Ukraine’s success largely dependent on its ability to capitalize on the country’s considerable current AI potential.

Ukraine’s new Development Strategy aims to embed AI technologies in every aspect of the country’s development. It seeks to reform the education system in order to provide the next generation of Ukrainian tech companies with the AI talent and qualified human capital necessary to drive the country forward. It also aims to accelerate the introduction of AI technologies throughout the Ukrainian economy to safeguard the global competitiveness of sectors ranging from heavy industry to agriculture.

The importance of integrating AI technologies cannot be overstated. For example, Ukraine currently ranks among the world’s top twelve arms exporters. However, by 2030, virtually all weapons systems are expected to feature elements of AI. If Ukraine fails to keep pace with this global trend, the country will inevitably lose market share and quickly find itself becoming uncompetitive. The same principles apply in virtually every sector of the Ukrainian economy.   

Due to current circumstances, most AI experts in Ukraine believe the two sectors that offer the greatest potential for progress are education and defense. The coronavirus crisis has created huge disruption within education systems around the world. A generation of schoolchildren has found itself forced to spend much of the past year engaged in distance learning. This has opened up unprecedented opportunities for technological solutions utilizing AI. These new habits are likely to outlast the impact of the pandemic. Meanwhile, Ukraine’s ongoing military conflict with Kremlin forces in the east of the country continues to drive demand for AI innovations that will boost Ukraine’s defense capabilities while saving lives on the frontlines.    

Ukraine’s agriculture sector is another area of the economy with obvious AI potential. The vast and rapidly modernizing Ukrainian agricultural industry is the ideal breeding ground for AI developments, with numerous success stories already demonstrating the ability of local ag-tech startups to expand on the international stage.  

Over the past decade, IT outsourcing has been the key engine driving the growth of Ukraine’s tech sector. This has helped produce remarkable annual rates of expansion over a sustained period, but Ukraine must now look to move up the food chain if the country is to reach its full potential in the global tech economy. This is the logic behind the recently adopted National AI Development Strategy.

The jury is still out on the effectiveness of Ukraine’s plans, but the appearance of this new Development Strategy is in itself an important statement of intent for a country eager to boost its international competitiveness in the rapidly evolving tech economy.

Vitaliy Goncharuk is the head of Ukraine’s Expert Committee on AI Development.

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The views expressed in UkraineAlert are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Atlantic Council, its staff, or its supporters.

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Ukraine’s education reforms are at risk of politicization https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/ukrainealert/ukraines-education-reforms-are-at-risk-of-politicization/ Tue, 22 Dec 2020 00:50:41 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=334509 The controversial recent confirmation of Serhiy Shkarlet as Ukrainian Minister of Education has dragged the country's ambitious education sector reform agenda firmly into the political fray.

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For the past three years, Ukraine has made relatively steady progress towards modernization of its education system while largely avoiding the political maneuvering that has stalled other reform programs. This nonpartisan success story is now under threat thanks to the controversial recent confirmation of Serhiy Shkarlet as Minister of Education and Science, an appointment that has dragged Ukraine’s ambitious educational reforms firmly into the political fray.

Shkarlet was first appointed acting Minister of Education in June 2020. He had previously spent a decade as rector of the National Technological University, a role that made him the youngest ever rector of a large Ukrainian university. Shkarlet has come under fire for comments he made in 2010 in support of then-president Viktor Yanukovych’s pro-Russian Party of Regions party and for his connections to the Yanukovych regime. He has also faced accusations that he committed plagiarism on a number of academic articles, including his doctoral thesis.

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Shkarlet was originally due to be appointed minister in summer 2020, but the Ukrainian parliament’s refusal to take up a vote on his confirmation and a round of student-led protests against him forced Prime Minister Denys Shmyhal to name Shkarlet to the cabinet in an acting capacity instead. His full confirmation passed by just one vote in mid-December amid highly partisan political tensions in parliament.

Shkarlet received votes from a majority of MPs in President Zelenskyy’s Servant of the People party, together with MPs from the pro-Kremlin Opposition Platform-For Life party and oligarch Ihor Kolomoisky’s For the Future. A coalition featuring European Solidarity, Fatherland, and Holos MPs all voted against Shkarlet. Opponents vowed to continue with attempts to block his confirmation and claimed the original vote featured illegal multi-voting on behalf of absent MPs.

These voting blocs will be familiar to close observers of the Ukrainian parliament, which has calcified into three factions over the past nine months. Many votes during the course of 2020 have seen Servant of the People MPs allying themselves with an unholy alliance of deputies representing pro-Russian and oligarchic interests. On less frequent occasions, Zelenskyy’s MPs have entered into an uneasy entente with Ukraine’s pro-European parties. Conflicts between the three loose groupings have often created deadlock among MPs and served to slow down the work of parliament.

Pro-Russian and oligarchic forces have been the most egregious obstructionists, holding up a key banking reform bill in April and submitting a court motion that set off this fall’s constitutional crisis. But the two other factions have also slowed the reform process on occasion. In July, Holos formally declared itself in opposition after the government introduced a bill backed by the Venice Commission to allow schools to teach in languages other than Ukrainian. Meanwhile, internal divisions within the Servant of the People party have prevented it from taking full advantage of a nominal legislative majority in order to pass business and anti-corruption reforms.

For the past few years, positive changes in the Ukrainian education system have been beginning to take shape. Largely unencumbered by political meddling, education officials and their international partners have laid out a range of sensible reform targets and made reasonable headway.

September 2017 legislation introducing the New Ukrainian School (NUS) reform agenda placed Ukraine on a path toward a more modern Western-style education format. NUS calls for ten key competencies for Ukrainian students, including communication in the Ukrainian language, communication in foreign languages, information technology proficiency, entrepreneurship, and civic literacy.

NUS reforms have already delivered three essential changes to Ukrainian education. This has included a long overdue transition away from an outdated curriculum that emphasized the role of the teacher toward a new, student-centered approach that gives young learners the intellectual space to be creative and ask questions.

The new curriculum also aims to develop applicable professional skills like computer programming and English proficiency that students will need to succeed in modern Ukraine and beyond. Additionally, it has introduced civic education and cultural awareness into the state curriculum, an implicit acknowledgement that an engaged citizenry is crucial to the open democracy that Ukraine strives to be.

NUS is not without its problems, however. For all the well-meaning principles of NUS, its rapid implementation has been challenging for teachers who often have precious few resources to transition to this wholly new approach to education.

Already overburdened and underpaid, many teachers in poorer areas hardly received any training in the new curriculum. Worse still, over 6,000 Ukrainian schools lack any internet connection at all, making it nearly impossible to teach the full suite of competencies outlined by NUS. Clearly, far more investment is necessary to give teachers the tools they need to make educational reform work for their students.

To his credit, Shkarlet has continued to develop Ukraine’s strong education partnership with Finland that began in 2017. Technical cooperation programs like the Finnish-led EUR 58 million EU4Skills program are crucial to improving education in Ukraine and maintaining its Euro-Atlantic trajectory. At the very least, Shkarlet has shown the ability to shepherd such programs and maintain relations with Ukraine’s European partners.

Shkarlet’s comments admiring Yanukovych and ties to the Yanukovych regime are worrisome, though his 2015 run for regional council in Chernihiv under the Petro Poroshenko Bloc suggests he is more political opportunist than Kremlin agent. Evidence of Shkarlet’s plagiarism also appears damning. If proven true, it should certainly be disqualifying.

However, the biggest danger associated with Shkarlet’s appointment may be the further politicization of education sector reforms. The modernization of Ukraine’s education system needs significant additional investment and competent guidance if it is to succeed. Political battles will only hinder this progress. With so much else on Ukraine’s reform agenda currently hostage to political considerations, it is far from clear whether Shkarlet is the right man for the job. 

Andrew D’Anieri is a program assistant at the Atlantic Council. He taught English in Ukraine’s Odesa Oblast as a Peace Corps Volunteer.

Further reading

The views expressed in UkraineAlert are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Atlantic Council, its staff, or its supporters.

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Brooks in ASIS International on storytelling and war strategy https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/insight-impact/in-the-news/brooks-in-asis-international-on-storytelling-and-war-strategy/ Tue, 01 Dec 2020 14:01:00 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=326803 On December 1, Forward Defense nonresident senior fellow Max Brooks was featured in an article by ASIS International on storytelling. Brooks explained how trapping people in a story can help them learn.

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original source

On December 1, Forward Defense nonresident senior fellow Max Brooks was featured in an article by ASIS International on storytelling. Brooks explained how trapping people in a story can help them learn. Through beginning with the big questions, Brooks educates people on the fragility of society in the face of national disaster.

That’s the story of war. Whoever adapts, wins… if you do the same thing over and over again, you will lose.

Max Brooks
Forward Defense

Forward Defense, housed within the Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security, generates ideas and connects stakeholders in the defense ecosystem to promote an enduring military advantage for the United States, its allies, and partners. Our work identifies the defense strategies, capabilities, and resources the United States needs to deter and, if necessary, prevail in future conflict.

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Nurkin quoted in U.S. News & World Report on adding value to neural networks and data science https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/insight-impact/in-the-news/nurkin-quoted-in-u-s-news-world-report-on-adding-value-to-neural-networks-and-data-science/ Mon, 23 Nov 2020 19:04:00 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=324452 On November 23, Forward Defense non-resident senior fellow Tate Nurkin was quoted in a U.S. News article titled “How to Learn Python: A U.S. News Guide.”

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On November 23, Forward Defense non-resident senior fellow Tate Nurkin was quoted in a U.S. News & World Report article titled “How to Learn Python: A U.S. News Guide.” Nurkin highlighted the added value of using Python to further machine learning capabilities and data science, which he called fundamental to defense and security.

[Neural networks and data science] are core to the future of nearly every industry and definitely to the future of defense, security capabilities, and operations.

Tate Nurkin
Forward Defense

Forward Defense, housed within the Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security, generates ideas and connects stakeholders in the defense ecosystem to promote an enduring military advantage for the United States, its allies, and partners. Our work identifies the defense strategies, capabilities, and resources the United States needs to deter and, if necessary, prevail in future conflict.

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Cole authors preface of US Marine Corps University graphic novel https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/insight-impact/in-the-news/cole-authors-preface-of-us-marine-corps-university-graphic-novel/ Tue, 03 Nov 2020 14:00:09 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=322345 On November 3, Marine Corps University released a graphic novel exploring the future of the Marine Corps titled “Destination Unknown, Volume 2.” Forward Defense Nonresident Senior Fellow August Cole authored the preface and served as a writing mentor for this project.

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original source

On November 3, Marine Corps University released a graphic novel exploring the future of the Marine Corps titled “Destination Unknown, Volume 2.” Forward Defense Nonresident Senior Fellow August Cole authored the preface and served as a writing mentor for this project. The stories in the graphic novel explore topics including Marine-manned satellites, laser communications, and artificial intelligence (AI) assisting Marine Corps Special Operations Command operations in real time. By doing so in a fictional book, the findings are much more accessible than they would be in a white paper.

Destination Unknown proves that many Marines are writers, artists, and futurists as well [as riflemen].

August Cole
Forward Defense

Forward Defense, housed within the Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security, generates ideas and connects stakeholders in the defense ecosystem to promote an enduring military advantage for the United States, its allies, and partners. Our work identifies the defense strategies, capabilities, and resources the United States needs to deter and, if necessary, prevail in future conflict.

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The post-COVID world this week: Europe shuts down again and economic optimism dampens—but a hopeful example in Miami https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/coronavirus-alert/the-post-covid-world-this-week-europe-shuts-down-again-and-economic-optimism-dampens-but-a-hopeful-example-in-miami/ Fri, 30 Oct 2020 10:00:00 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=315470 What can we expect from a post-COVID world after a pandemic that has reshaped international affairs? A world that uses its past resilience strategies to inform new ones, like in Miami.

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The future is here: A guide to the post-COVID world 10/30/2020

Welcome to your guide to where the world is headed during the pandemic era and beyond. Each week, we’ll bring you the latest and most significant expert insights and international news about how coronavirus is reshaping international affairs. To stay updated each week, sign up to the newsletter here.

Note: The Future Is Here will not release a November 6th edition, but will resume with a November 13th edition.

Let’s take a spin around the globe, in seven minutes or less.

In top stories this week:

  • France and Germany ordered lockdowns, while Melbourne, Australia lifted one—although its 111-day shutdown came at a steep price.
  • It’s hard to tell where we are on the economic-recovery graph—whatever letter shape it may be—as Canada and Singapore predict declining or uneven growth.
  • Ever wonder where planes are stored during the pandemic? A plane parking lot in the middle of nowhere is getting busier.
  • But first, we have a special dispatch from Andrea Snyder of the Atlantic Council’s Adrienne Arsht-Rockefeller Foundation Resilience Center. Here’s her take on this week’s big story.

The big story

This week’s key theme: How Miami’s resilience can inspire cities around the world

Repurposing is one of the globe’s latest trends amid the pandemic, and Miami-Dade County is one of the trendsetters.

In a new City Resilience Snapshot, the Resilience Center explores how Miami has repurposed existing strategies to respond to community needs during the coronavirus crisis.

As Miami Beach Mayor Dan Gelber told the Atlantic Council in April, his city was the first in Florida to implement a shelter-at-home order. And when students transitioned to at-home schooling, the city worked with AT&T and Comcast to expand internet access, while the local school board distributed laptops to students to ensure every student could attend their classes. So just how did Miami mobilize so quickly in response to COVID-19, and what can other cities learn from the county’s resilience in a time of crisis?

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Past adversity can forge future resilience

Miami’s preparedness can be credited in part to its previous experience addressing similar challenges. In 2016, the city was deemed “ground zero” for the transmission of Zika virus. At the time, Miami-Dade’s Chief Resilience Officer Jim Murley and other government officials developed a communications strategy to inform residents of the possible dangers and necessary precautions to take in regard to the mosquito-borne illness. Miami then incorporated the approach into its strategy to address COVID-19.

Miami also already had a vast network of nonprofits that were accustomed to dealing with hurricanes, rising sea levels, unemployment, and food insecurity across the city. Those organizations have now pivoted to containing COVID-19. They’ve also been successful in building trust among residents, which has boosted the effectiveness of campaigns to raise awareness and disseminate information about coronavirus.

Core to Miami’s response is that already-established community leaders in the private and public sectors have adapted their experiences facing coastal vulnerabilities, disease outbreaks, and economic hardship to help their constituents contend with a new threat.

The bottom line: Chief among the lessons from Miami is that rather than developing plans from scratch to respond to new shocks like the pandemic, governments should leverage their existing resources to work toward recovery and resilience. To build back better, government officials, nonprofit organizations, and civil society groups need to be agile and lean on one another for guidance.

Photo courtesy of Reuters / Vidal Targui / Andina / Latin America News Agency.

The world in brief

Insights from across the planet, in ten bullets or fewer

  • France has turned back the clock to spring-time lockdowns. France is returning to a nation-wide lockdown nearly as severe as the one it imposed in the spring, with measures requiring people to stay at home except to buy essential goods, seek medical attention, or exercise for one hour a day, Reuters reports. Anyone stepping foot outdoors will need to carry a document justifying their trips. Germany will shut bars and restaurants for a month from November 2 as coronavirus infections increase across Europe, the newswire says. The United Kingdom continues to resist following France and Germany into a second lockdown.
  • QUOTE: “Europe is at the epicenter of this pandemic once again,” the World Health Organization’s European director Dr. Hans Kluge told European health ministers, The Associated Press reports. Testing systems have failed to keep up with widespread levels of new cases, he said.
  • Whether K-, V-, or W-shaped, the upward-recovery phase of the pandemic is still beyond reach for many. Canada lowered its economic growth forecast for 2021, while Singapore’s central bank said its recovery will be “gradual and uneven.” Meanwhile, Eurozone banks have refrained from lending to businesses and households in the region as they prepare for a wave of loans that will not be repaid, the Financial Times reports.
  • The blowout US third quarter is not just an upward-pointing arrow. While US economic growth was the fastest in the third quarter in post-war history, that masks concerns that the bounce-back following coronavirus lockdowns has been incomplete and uneven, the Financial Times says. And that’s not all, according to The Associated Press; the resurgence of COVID-19 infections in the United States and Europe jeopardizes economic rebounds on both sides of the Atlantic, the news service reports.
  • But some banks are showing signs of COVID recovery. Deutsche Bank returned to profitability in the third quarter aided by strong performance at its investment bank, while HSBC delivered profits that beat analysts’ expectations, CNBC says. Meanwhile, Japanese bank Nomura had one of its strongest half-year performances in two decades, as the pandemic unleashed a wave of mergers and acquisitions involving Japanese companies that it advises, the Financial Times reports.
  • QUOTE: “China’s role as a creditor now means debt concerns are not just economic, but geopolitical,” Dambisa Moyo writes in the Financial Times. “China is one of the top lenders to the US—which gives the country’s political class enormous leverage—and also now the largest lender to emerging economies.”
  • New infections keep hammering the airline industry. Planemaker Boeing plans to cut another seven thousand jobs by the end of the year as the global airline industry continues to reel following a new surge in coronavirus cases, The Wall Street Journal reports. And the pain keeps coming: Airline traffic is expected to drop by half this year—and remain depressed next year and beyond. Meanwhile, planes no longer seeing sky blue are seeing desert red: A plane parking lot in the middle of the Australian Red Center desert is busier than ever, Bloomberg reports, as international Asia-Pacific travel remains depressed and over one hundred jets need storage and care while sitting idle.
  • The numbers say… London’s Heathrow Airport now expects 37 million passengers to travel through its terminals in 2021, down from the 63 million forecasted in June, CNBC reports. The prediction dropped just as Heathrow lost the distinction of being Europe’s busiest airport to Paris’s Charles de Gaulle. Elsewhere in Europe, one in four airports will face insolvency unless travel demand recovers by the end of the year, Bloomberg reports.
  • Melbourne’s 111-day lockdown has left a low number of infections but a heavy toll. One of the world’s longest COVID-19 shutdowns has ended, allowing about five million people in the Australian city to leave home and book a meal or have a drink, The Washington Post reports. The city reported no new cases on October 26 and 27, but the region’s economy and people’s mental health have suffered greatly, the Post adds. Taiwan, meanwhile, has recorded two hundred days with no new local infections, Bloomberg says. Experts partly credit its success to closing borders early and setting strict controls on travel.
  • Canada has learned from Thanksgiving, but will the United States heed the cautionary tale? Canada saw a spike in coronavirus cases after Thanksgiving celebrations took place on the second Monday in October, The Washington Post says. As cases in the United States soar again, the country ought to take note of its northern neighbor’s experience heading into the holiday season, the Post adds.
  • Holiday window shopping is turning into screen shopping during the pandemic. US consumers are set to spend $189 billion online during the holiday season of November and December, up a third compared to a year ago, the Financial Times says. The rise is another blow to brick-and-mortar stores across the country. But the package-delivery company UPS has benefited as more people shopped online during COVID-19 restrictions, with its quarterly profit rising 12 percent.

The inside scoop

Insights from the Atlantic Council

New Atlanticist

Oct 22, 2020

Let them eat debt: The G20’s disappointing response to the pandemic in developing countries

By Vasuki Shastry and Jeremy Mark

On the crucial issue of support for poor countries struggling against the economic impact of the global pandemic, officials described meetings as memorable largely for displays of US-China tension, rather than policy substance.

Africa China

New Atlanticist

Oct 27, 2020

Georgia’s parliamentary elections are surrounded by uncertainty

By Nino Ghvinadze and Laura Linderman

Amidst a global pandemic and the sudden escalation of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict between neighboring Armenia and Azerbaijan, Georgia is holding its first parliamentary elections since hard-fought electoral reforms were approved in June 2020 and several dramatic developments have increased uncertainty about the outcome.

Coronavirus Democratic Transitions

Issue briefs and reports

Oct 19, 2020

The United States and Central Europe: A road map for a democratic post-pandemic agenda

By Daniel Fried, Jakub Wiśniewski, Denise Forsthuber, Alena Kudzko

“The United States and Central Europe: A Road Map for a Democratic Post-Pandemic Agenda” outlines these themes and advocates for a common US-Central European agenda in seeking a better post-COVID-19 world.

Central Europe Coronavirus

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Middle East business leaders provide perspective on the economic impact of the upcoming US presidential election https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/menasource/middle-east-business-leaders-provide-perspective-on-the-economic-impact-of-the-upcoming-us-presidential-election/ Thu, 29 Oct 2020 16:33:50 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=314630 In an empowerME survey conducted in the last thirty days, thirty-two Middle East business leaders shared their views on the possible economic impact of the 2020 US Presidential election. Atlantic Council experts Kirsten Fontenrose, Amjad Ahmad, Mohsin Khan, and Jean-Francois Seznec analyzed the data and provided the following key takeaways.

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In an empowerME survey conducted in the last thirty days, thirty-two Middle East business leaders shared their views on the possible economic impact of the 2020 US Presidential election. Atlantic Council experts Kirsten Fontenrose, Amjad Ahmad, Mohsin Khan, and Jean-Francois Seznec analyzed the data and provided the following key takeaways.

Key Takeaways

Scowcroft Middle East Security Initiative Director and former US National Security Council Director for the Gulf Kirsten Fontenrose

  • 91 percent of survey respondents agree that US political and economic engagement is essential for future economic development and growth in the Middle East. This should be a glaring beacon to a next administration that the international business community at home and in the region desires the United States to remain at the table on issues of policy and fiscal and financial matters. However, this is not a statement on the US military presence in the region.
  • To what degree can the United States draw down its security engagement and maintain its influence on political and economic issues? How much of a footprint is necessary to have leverage with governments in the region on human rights, on contracting regulations or decisions about foreign ownership of companies, or on OPEC decisions? The challenge for US policymakers will be in striking that balance.
  • Almost a quarter of respondents were neutral or in mild disagreement with the idea that US political and economic engagement is positive for global energy stability. This may reflect feelings about the intense pressure placed on OPEC this summer before its meeting to discuss production cuts. It may also reflect the fact that US engagement on energy issues has, of late, carried with it the interests of the US shale industry.
  • But if we pull back and assume these respondents are talking about US engagement on political and economic issues more broadly, then we see that 78 percent of respondents feel that US engagement positively impacts the stability of global energy markets. For a next US administration, this is an overwhelming majority of a sample from the international trade sector operating in the region telling us that US engagement is important for international business operations, shipping and transport, manufacturing, and byproduct supply chains since quakes in the global energy market impact multiple areas of operation for multinational businesses.
  • The survey responses may also reflect fear that if the United States ignores the region, market forces or the interests of players like a self-interested Russia, or a hard-bargaining and transactional China or an Iran pumping without restrictions, would create market fluctuations that would be crippling to multinational businesses for whom energy stability is a critical component of their financial forecasts. The message is for the United States to keep a hand in the game.
  • 65 percent of respondents agree that China’s engagement in the region is driving growth. About 9 percent disagree, which may reflect concerns about competition or about the nature of Chinese political and economic engagement to benefit elites only and therefore not result in lasting development or growth.
  • What is interesting is that over 25 percent of respondents are neutral on the issue of China. US policymakers should take note of this. These are the people who will be on the fence about the pressure that any next US administration will inevitably place on Middle Eastern partner governments to scale back their involvement with China. The US government will need to state in very clear terms what the benefit to multinational business actors will be if these governments agree to do this, and demonstrate very clearly what the long term negative implications of increased Chinese engagement in the Middle East will be on the interests of multinational businesses.
  • 56 percent of respondents agreed or agreed strongly that China is a positive counterbalance to the United States. This should make US policymakers stand up and take notice. The United States hears frequently from regional leaders that China is a transactional partner while the United States is a strategic partner. But being perceived as an additional partner for transactional business is very different than being perceived as a positive counterbalance.
  • These responses tell us: 1) a majority of the sample of business leaders feels a counterbalance to the United States in the region is necessary and 2) that China is filling this need and doing a good job at it. However, is the investment good for societal members who may not be receiving the largesse from these transactions? It may be that in the long-term Chinese investment is good for business leaders and negative for societies.

empowerME Director and venture capital investor Amjad Ahmad

  • 65 percent of survey respondents agreed that China’s increasing political and economic engagement in the Middle East is positive for economic development and growth in the Middle East.
  • China is viewed positively in the Middle East, and the question for the United States over the next decade is, can we keep those that are neutral about China (26 percent of respondents) on the US side rather than having them go over to China’s side? The United States needs to make sure that its soft power, which took us generations to build, doesn’t disappear to China and other actors.
  • Only 29 percent of survey respondents agreed that US engagement has been positive for economic development and growth in the Middle East in the past four years. This is tied to President Trump’s impact globally, which has been negative. Sparking trade wars with China has negatively impacted the region since it is a trading hub. Sanctions, overall uncertainties, and pulling out of agreements also impacted trade. In addition, the energy issue seems very transactional now. Though you would think that regional business leaders would see Trump’s support of Gulf leaders (against Iran) as positive, the reality is that people in region do business with Iran, so it may be seen as the pendulum swinging too far in one direction.
  • 55 percent of survey respondents are neutral about whether Biden administration policies would positively impact the world economy. This underscores that the verdict is out on Biden. He hasn’t effectively articulated a vision for the global economy due to his focus on the pandemic and inequality domestically. The world doesn’t know what his economic vision is for the United States or the world. The results from the survey indicate a “wait and see” attitude about a possible Biden administration.
  • However, their views on Trump are clear with 65 percent of respondents suggesting that his policies have been negative for Middle East economies.
  • Given that 91 percent of respondents feel that changes in the US administration matter to Middle East economies, it signals that business leaders may welcome a change in the US administration.  
  • 78 percent of survey respondents believe that US engagement is key to the future of global energy markets. Business leaders continue to believe that energy is a dominant force for the region given the slow pace of economic diversification. While economic diversification has dominated many agendas across the region, more needs to be done to invest in sectors of the future.
  • One interesting finding from this survey is that views on US engagement are positive overall but negative on Trump and neutral on Biden. One explanation for this is that there’s always a positive bias when it comes to the US economy. The United States is still the number one performing economy in the world. Many Middle Eastern investors have significant interests in the United States. Sovereign wealth funds are overwhelmingly invested in US real estate and capital markets. There is a notion that the United States will get its act together and make the world a better place. The volatility of the past few years has impacted feelings about this administration and business leaders are yearning for stability Business executives want to reduce uncertainty and unfortunately this administration has created volatility both politically and economically across the world.
  • The market has digested a change in the US administration but has not factored in a contested election. Should this election be contested, it will likely be worse that the Bush-Gore election of 2000 given Trump’s stance on the legitimacy of the election process.

Nonresident Senior Fellow and former International Monetary Fund Middle East and Central Asia Director Mohsin Khan

US economic policy relating to Middle East and North Africa (MENA) is not going to change in any meaningful way in the near future, irrespective of the administration in power in 2021 onwards. Aside from existing aid commitments, specifically to Egypt, there is really no likelihood of additional US official financing flowing to the region. The virtual absence of US financial assistance is being filled by China and all signs point to it growing over time. The United States can influence multilateral financial institutions, like the IMF and the World Bank, to provide MENA countries additional financing, but the amounts are unlikely to be significant as these institutions themselves will be under financial pressure because of the resources they have made available to combat the economic costs of the pandemic. The IMF alone has already loaned over $10 billion or so to MENA countries this year. The US can also arm-twist the wealthier Gulf oil exporters to kick in more money, but it likely to impose political and strategic conditions on the recipient countries, which they may or may not accept.

The United States can certainly play a positive and constructive role in external debt reductions and debt payment moratoriums, which the current administration has supported and presumably the next one will too. This support has no consequences for the US taxpayer. Trading arrangements are another channel through which US economic policy can benefit MENA countries. But here the idea of a free-trade agreement, like the one with Morocco, between the US and other MENA countries anytime soon is a non-starter.

At the same time, US domestic economic policy can have important positive effects on Middle East economies. If these policies lead to a robust recovery, or what has come to be called a “V-shaped” recovery, then there is reason for some optimism. Faster growth of real GDP and demand in the United States will lead to increased imports from the Middle East, increased remittances from expatriate workers in the United States, and higher tourist receipts. Additional US investments, particularly financial investments, could also be forthcoming, easing the perennial external financing constraints that MENA countries, other than the Gulf countries and other oil exporters in the region, face. All In all, on the economic front, the United States certainly matters for the Middle East, but it is more the US private sector and not the US government directly.

Senior Fellow Jean-Francois Seznec

The Gulf business community sees the United States  as having been a stabilizing element for the economies, politics and security of the region. However, the United States is no longer the only frame of reference.  The main products of the Gulf, namely oil, natural gas and increasingly the high value-added chemicals, fertilizers and metals, by and large go to the Far East and to a lesser extent Europe. In return, the Gulf main imports are from the Far East (China, Taiwan, Korea and Japan) and from the European Union. The United States is still important, but its market share and economic influence is declining rapidly.

The region’s businesses are concerned by a potential US withdrawal from the Gulf. However, they do see China as a major partner now and increasingly so in the future. On the other hand, even though China’s trade and economic leadership has passed the United States’, Korea, Japan and Taiwan are economically very important to the region as well. In fact, these US allies may end up replacing somewhat the US economic influence and partly balance China’s growing importance. As long as the United States remains the guarantor of freedom of navigation, which does benefit China, this will continue to benefit the Asian allies of the United States. 

Perhaps the Achille’s heel of the United States and its allies’ economic influence in the region is the Gulf’s complete dependence on the US dollar. One can expect that China will very actively seek to transfer its trade to Renminbi based transactions, even if it means making the Renminbi freely convertible. Seeing the size of trade between China and the Gulf, this may happen sooner rather than later and the business community of the region is well aware of it.

Future of Iran Initiative Director Barbara Slavin

The most striking results from this survey are the large numbers – pluralities and in some cases large majorities – that view Trump policies as hurtful to regional economies. This contrasts with the widespread perception in the United States that conservative Arab states prefer Trump because of his “maximum pressure” campaign against Iran. Instead, it appears that most top business people in the region see sanctions and rising military tensions – as well as perhaps Trump’s mishandling of the COVID crisis – as negative for business and economic growth. They may not be thrilled by the idea of a Biden presidency but there will be few regrets, at least from a business perspective, to see the back of Trump.

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Qatar Development Bank CEO: The “blockade didn’t stop us from growing” and “prepared us for other shocks” like COVID-19 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/menasource/qatar-development-bank-ceo-the-blockade-didnt-stop-us-from-growing-and-prepared-us-for-other-shocks-like-covid-19/ Mon, 26 Oct 2020 17:53:47 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=313713 On October 26, 2020, empowerME hosted Qatar Development Bank CEO Abdulaziz Bin Nasser Al Khalifa for a conversation about Qatar’s efforts to boost entrepreneurship, diversify its economy, increase women’s economic participation, and prepare youth for the jobs of the future.

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On October 26, 2020, the Atlantic Council’s empowerME hosted Qatar Development Bank CEO Abdulaziz Bin Nasser Al Khalifa for a conversation about Qatar’s efforts to boost entrepreneurship, diversify its economy, increase women’s economic participation, and prepare youth for the jobs of the future. Below are the key takeaways from the discussion moderated by empowerME Director Amjad Ahmad.

Mission and work of Qatar Development Bank

  • Al Khalifa noted the Qatar Development Bank (QDB) was established in 1997 as a tool for the government to promote entrepreneurship and ensure accessibility to financing for the private sector.
  • QDB is focused on solving three issues to accelerate the growth of entrepreneurship and SMEs: (1) access to information, (2) access to funding, and (3) access to markets.  
  • Al Khalifa commented that changing mindsets regarding entrepreneurship is critical to growth. QDB aims to plant the seed of a future job as an entrepreneur – not a government employee – by providing information and training for SMEs, entrepreneurs, and middle school and high school students to convert ideas to projects that can add value to the economy.
  • QDB provides accessibility to financing via direct lending and partial guarantees. QDB’s debt portfolio is currently around 9 billion Qatari riyal. With the blockade, this has played a big role in resilience. QDB also provides accessibility via VC vehicles; the focus is on technology-related start-ups. One of the biggest issues the Middle East faces is accessibility to venture capital financing. Venture capital is an underserved market, and this is hindering development of the entrepreneurial ecosystem.
  • QDB works to provide accessibility to local and international markets. Since the government is the largest procurer of goods and services, QDB works to ensure SMEs and start-ups become the primary provider of services and goods to government.
  • QDB plays a policy advocacy role too, Al Khalifa explained, by exempting SMEs from advance payment guarantees. In terms of international markets, QDB manages the trade promotion organization to match local exporters with international importers. QDB analyzes what is produced locally in Qatar and matches it with what other nations are importing.

The impact of the blockade that began in 2017 by Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, and Egypt  

  • Al Khalifa noted that the blockade was a blessing and a curse. He said: “What doesn’t kill you makes you stronger.” He added that the private sector found out there are gaps that they had to fill. He also said: “The globe is not the 4 countries [that are blockading]. Within 6-7 hours, there is north of half a billion people that Qatar can serve.”
  • Trade with Turkey, Kuwait, Oman, and Iraq has grown since the blockade and will continue to grow, said Al Khalifa. He went on: “This blockade did not stop us from growing” and “the blockade prepared us for other shocks.”
  • He noted that not a single shipment of energy exports has been missed since the blockade, saying: “We deliver on our business promises.”
  • Al Khalifa added that when the blockade happened, the local private sector geared up and opened new plants and projects to support the local economy and QDB played a role by creating a situation room to identify gaps with SMEs and help match up them up with the government procurement system and give them priority.

Challenges due to COVID-19 pandemic

  • Al Khalifa described extensive efforts to support the private sector during the pandemic. He noted that funding was earmarked to support private sector SMEs (both ex-patriate owned and Qatari citizen owned). QDB also established a situation room and has conducted more than fifty virtual training sessions for businesses and entrepreneurs on how to deal with human resources, supply chains, and other business issues.
  • Qatar’s COVID-19 strategy is comprised of three phases: survive, revive, and thrive. The survive phase meant ensuring immediate accessibility to advice via a hotline for entrepreneurs and SMEs and linking them with emergency committees. The revive phase entailed ensuring SMEs  received proper advice and funding. The thrive phase, which Al Khalifa says is what Qatar is going through currently, entails looking at how to convert challenges into opportunities. He spoke about technology start-ups that have expanded to different countries as well as QDB’s work to match those types of businesses with VC funding to scale effectively.

Diversification and competitive advantages

  • Qatar’s area of strength in the region has been access to hydrocarbon, access to wealth, and human capital. “We have to ensure we are investing and preserving wealth for the future,” said Al Khalifa. He elaborated: “Now the assets need to create value and compete on a global level. We are doing this through a clustering approach. We are looking at what to double down on and how to expand on the value pockets. We can’t underestimate the role of national champions.”
  • In terms of economic diversification, Al Khalifa stated that Qatar is working to grow non-hydrocarbon sectors and understands that exports are essential in terms of diversification. He added that it will be important to create government revenues that are non-hydrocarbon and reduce the leading role of the government in the economy. Qatar is installing legislation and access to credit to ensure that the private sector can play a bigger role and reduce government competition with the private sector.
  • The challenge is how to become more competitive globally, said Al Khalifa, since Qatar is a small economy. Al Khalifa emphasized that Qatar’s financial sector is among the top performers locally and regionally and Qatar’s transportation sector is among the best.
  • Al Khalifa stated that Qatar’s “economy quadrupled in the last twenty years and that growth has yielded good results for infrastructure such as an airport and ports.” He also pointed to recent IMF predictions that Qatar’s economy will grow in the coming years, unlike most others in the region.
  • Just recently Qatar launched Qatar Fintech Hub and received more than 750 applications from more than 70 countries, Al Khalifa stated. Al Khalifa also highlighted Qatar’s infrastructure,  transportation sector, ports, and airports as examples of what sets it apart.
  • Al Khalifa noted that Qatar is blessed with natural resources, and that plays a role in Qatar’s wealth, but he added that Qatar is also blessed with wise leadership that has invested well in education.

How to grow the talent pipeline

  • Since Qatar’s local population is small, Al Khalifa emphasized that “We are moving in terms of making sure that Qatar is a welcoming environment” and has changed laws in terms of owning real estate. He added that the kafala system has been removed and ex-patriates don’t have to obtain approval from a current sponsor to move to a new job. This is happening in neighboring countries too. Everyone in the region is looking at this as an area of opportunity and everyone is competing for talent, he noted.
  • Al Khalifa said, “There are areas we are working on such as a permanent residency scheme we established a year and a half ago. We understand that talent is an important element.” He added that Carnegie Mellon, George Washington University, and other universities with campuses in Qatar are producing talented individuals, some who are Qatari and some who are not.
  • Cultural change is also important, according to Al Khalifa, and in particular, planting the seed among the youth about entrepreneurship. In 2018 and in 2019, Qatar was ranked by the Global Entrepreneurship Monitor among the top in terms of youth who intend to start companies and there were equal numbers among males and females. Qatar is working to ensure its education system produces the right talent, said Al Khalifa.

Women’s economic empowerment

  • Al Khalifa estimated that more than 30 percent of entrepreneurs are women and they are very active.
  • He emphasized that both men and women are gaining access to all the services QDB provides and that women are playing a leading role in terms of leading start-ups and leading organizations

Food security and investing in agricultural projects

  • Qatar is ranked among the top when it comes to food security. This wasn’t an accident—it was planned, said Al Khalifa. “We ensure we have the right logistical infrastructure for affordable and quality food for consumers. We’ve enhanced local production and have invested in agri-tech as a main area of focus,” he added.  
  • He explained that research is happening locally with R&D institutions and that a lot of the farms in Doha converted to be more productive. “It’s not easy to produce crops in Doha due to harsh weather, but technology helps. But that alone is not the right solution. We provide subsidized funding to local producers and logistical support” and created reserves and the right relationships between local private sector and international private sector markets, explained Al Khalifa.

FIFA 2022 World Cup

  • “All countries that have hosted a big event have gone through economic fatigue. In Qatar we were privileged to have enough time to plan well. We are bidding and hosting more events to capitalize on the great infrastructure we’ve created. We want to create an amazing, unforgettable experience. This is a cup we want the Arab world to be proud of,” said Al Khalifa.
  • Al Khalifa mentioned that Qatar started a competition for entrepreneurs to convert ideas relating to sports technology into projects. Qatar has opened up the competition to international ideas and start-ups with technology that can be incubated and accelerated and used for the World Cup and beyond.

Scale financing and growth capital

  • Al Khalifa spoke about Qatar’s efforts to attract more foreign capital and compete with other markets, noting “We have been trying but have not been successful yet. Why would they come? Normally, for the government money. We want to change this. We are building an ecosystem that according to GEM is the best. But it requires different elements. One is accessibility to funding through equity. Qatar and the region needs this.”
  • He explained that Qatar has been offering matching funds in sport tech. Qatar invites VCs working on sports technology to invest and then matches in hopes of becoming the hub of this type of start-up technology. Al Khalifa added: “We are the sport capital of the region. Sport technology VC is of immense importance.”
  • Al Khalifa closed by saying that “Qatar has always been open for business.” He encouraged anyone thinking of starting a business to come to Qatar.

Stefanie H. Ali is deputy director of empowerME at the Atlantic Council’s Rafik Hariri Center for the Middle East. Follow her on Twitter: @StefHausheer.

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Hruby in Bloomberg: Trump student visa plan will hurt Africa — and the United States https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/insight-impact/in-the-news/hruby-in-bloomberg-trump-student-visa-plan-will-hurt-africa-and-the-united-states/ Tue, 13 Oct 2020 16:32:00 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=335352 The post Hruby in Bloomberg: Trump student visa plan will hurt Africa — and the United States appeared first on Atlantic Council.

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Salman joins American Pakistan Foundation to discuss Supporting Quality Education in Pakistan https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/insight-impact/in-the-news/salman-joins-american-pakistan-foundation-to-discuss-supporting-quality-education-in-pakistan/ Fri, 09 Oct 2020 21:06:00 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=314464 The post Salman joins American Pakistan Foundation to discuss Supporting Quality Education in Pakistan appeared first on Atlantic Council.

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Absence of PhD programs contributes to weak research and development in the Gulf https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/menasource/absence-of-phd-programs-contributes-to-weak-research-and-development-in-the-gulf/ Tue, 29 Sep 2020 16:14:14 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=301832 The production of new knowledge is a very complex process and many factors contribute to the low levels of innovation exhibited by the Gulf countries. One factor that plays a role is the structure of tertiary education—particularly PhD programs.

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Economists have been studying how to improve an economy’s performance for centuries, resulting in the formulation of two basic principles: 1) the level of technological advancement is a key determinant of living standards and 2) the volume of resources allocated to research and development (R&D) is a key determinant of the rate of technological improvement.

Looking to history, we see the validity of these two principles. During the Golden Age of Islamic civilization (750-1250 AD), when the Gulf countries were part of the Abbasid caliphate, most of the desired elements of a technologically dynamic society were present; most notably, high levels of public and private spending on research. The result was pivotal advances in sciences and many other important fields and unprecedented levels of economic growth in the Arabian region.

Despite their high per capita incomes, the Gulf countries today have low levels of R&D spending. According to the latest available UNESCO data, Kuwait, Oman, and Qatar collectively allocate $3 billion per year to R&D. In contrast, US tech companies such as Amazon, Intel, and Novartis individually spend more than $10 billion per year on R&D. The low levels of innovation we see in Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries impede long-run economic growth and the ability to diversify their economies. While the underlying causes are complex, this article examines one component: the weaknesses of PhD programs in Gulf countries.

Low R&D, low innovation

In 2013, the average level of R&D spending as a percentage of GDP in the world was 2.1 percent, according to the World Bank. The Gulf countries’ corresponding figures were not very encouraging: 0.1 percent for Bahrain, 0.3 percent for Kuwait, 0.2 percent for Oman, 0.5 percent for Qatar, 0.1 percent for Saudi Arabia, and 0.7 percent for the UAE.

The low levels of Gulf R&D are reflected in low levels of innovation. For example, in 2018, out of the 2.3 million total patent applications in the world, the contributions of the Gulf countries were eleven for Bahrain, one for Kuwait, four for Oman, nineteen for Qatar, 1,078 for Saudi Arabia, and fifty-six for the UAE. In other words, the GCC countries collectively accounted for around 0.7 percent of the world’s population, yet only 0.05 percent of the share of patents. While patents are undoubtedly an imperfect gauge of innovation, a similar picture emerges for alternative indicators, such as industrial designs, the output of scientific papers, or the international ranking of the region’s universities.

Attracting the world’s top talent is important for innovation, but only if that talent is permanently integrated into the economy. In the Gulf countries, the problem of low innovation is exacerbated by the fact that much of it is performed by migrant workers temporarily in the country. This means that much of their knowledge will return with them once they return to their home country. For example, the King Abdullah University of Science and Technology (KAUST) in Saudi Arabia proudly reports that it has the highest citation rates per faculty member in the world. Yet, according to Google Scholar, none of the top fifty faculty are Saudi citizens. In contrast, though leading scholars working in innovation powerhouses such as the United States and Switzerland may arrive as foreigners, many will earn citizenship and remain there for the rest of their lives, contributing to the accumulation of knowledge in the country.

Weak PhD programs

The production of new knowledge is a very complex process and many factors contribute to the low levels of innovation exhibited by the Gulf countries. One factor that plays a role is the structure of tertiary education—particularly PhD programs. Countries that realize high levels of technological progress typically possess certain characteristics. First, their universities’ primary mission is the production of cutting-edge research, with teaching tacitly being a way of funding the research conducted by the faculty. This is reflected in small teaching loads for professors, which can be as low as two courses per semester for an assistant professor and even lower in elite universities. Second, there is a large number of full-time PhD students who improve the research productivity of the faculty. They perform the more time-intensive elements of research, such as gathering and cleaning data. They also grade the assignments of undergraduates and often teach entire courses, allowing professors to focus on writing papers and attending conferences.

In contrast, in the Gulf countries, these characteristics are largely absent. In the eyes of a Gulf government, the job of a university is to teach, with research relegated to a secondary purpose. As a result, faculty often have mammoth loads of five courses per semester—even at the level of associate or full professor—depriving them of the time and concentration required to produce cutting-edge research.

In addition, there is a very low incidence of PhD programs, preventing faculty from accessing an important input into the research production chain and further increasing the teaching burden. Moreover, when students in Gulf countries enroll in PhD programs, they usually insist on doing their full-time job while pursuing the degree part-time or full-time during evenings and weekends. This means that they are incapable of supporting faculty research efforts, whether that’s through directly performing the time-intensive elements or by teaching undergraduates.

Why do PhD students attempt the herculean task of getting a doctorate while doing a full-time job and often raising a family? This is partially an issue of funding; stipends are either small or completely absent, which is a symptom of low R&D spending. However, the students themselves sometimes exhibit the “wrong” attitude and pursue a PhD for credentialism, seeking the prestigious title of “Dr.” instead of research skills and contributions to the field. For many Gulf PhD students, their dissertation is the last piece of research they will ever do. In technologically advanced countries, a PhD thesis represents the first of many publications for those seeking a doctorate.

How can innovation be improved?

The tempting solution to this problem is to throw money at it—increase spending on PhD programs, on graduate stipends, on research grants, and so on. Yet this is unlikely to be effective for two reasons. First, in the current economic climate with low oil prices, the funds might not be available. Budget deficits and public debts in the Gulf countries are large and rising, exacerbated by the coronavirus pandemic. Second, even if the requisite funds are marshalled, the best-case outcome is a significant increase in the production of scientific papers. Transforming this into the sort of technological progress that improves living standards requires addressing deficiencies in other components of the knowledge production chain, such as primary and secondary education, intellectual property, venture capital, and so on.

Consequently, policymakers should consider taking a more holistic approach to improving innovation. Notably, the countries that do excel in innovation have very high percentages of R&D spending coming from private sources, with publicly-funded R&D often yielding unproductive esoteric research that has no discernable impact on living standards. The latter is reflected in the large volume of research funds allocated to the humanities in public universities, leading to wave after wave of PhD students who are unable to secure livelihoods that relate to their specialization. This should make the Gulf governments pause before they simply pump public funds into research. Policymakers need to understand why so many PhD students in countries such as the United Kingdom are funded by industry and why the high-quality research produced by professors in the UK is often dependent upon grants from the private sector.

Which policies should the Gulf countries implement?

In terms of concrete reforms, the Gulf countries need to build on their existing ability to attract top global talent by creating a path to permanent residency and possibly citizenship. This will help ensure that first-rate researchers have an incentive to transfer knowledge to local economies they work in and invest in building scientific communities that are a prerequisite for sustainable technological advancement. During the aforementioned Golden Age, the scientific environment was characterized by elite cosmopolitan research teams whose members were all permanently settled in Abbasid lands, possessing no plans to return home upon the expiration of a guest worker visa.

Beyond this, policymakers should ensure that a much higher percentage of PhD students are working exclusively on their research, rather than juggling their PhD and a job. They need to emulate the Abbasid model of apprentices working under scholars in the pursuit of knowledge and skills, rather than degrees on paper. Boosting student stipends would help, as would tackling some of the superficial credentialism in the Gulf public sectors.

Finally, universities need to adjust their missions so that the production of knowledge is the priority. Teaching must always be important, but the primary function of top scholars should be the production of cutting-edge research, not grading undergraduate quizzes.

Dr. Omar Al-Ubaydli is the Director of Research at the Bahrain Center for Strategic, International and Energy Studies in Bahrain. Follow him on Twitter: @omareconomics.

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James Clyburn: The question now is whether America can ‘repair our faults’ https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-atlanticist/james-clyburn-the-question-now-is-whether-america-can-repair-our-faults/ Wed, 23 Sep 2020 20:46:39 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=299305 The pandemic has “demonstrated that there are some significant fault lines in the country,” US House Majority Whip James E. Clyburn told the Atlantic Council. “The question now becomes whether or not we’re going to be able to repair those faults.”

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The COVID-19 pandemic has “demonstrated that there are some significant fault lines in the” United States, according to US House Majority Whip James E. Clyburn. Against the backdrop of the country’s struggles to overcome the coronavirus outbreak and national unrest over racism and inequality, “The question now becomes whether or not we are going to be able to repair those faults.”

America’s continued leadership in the world, the South Carolina congressman argued during an Atlantic Council Front Page event on September 22, depends on the answer—and the United States has the capacity to answer in the affirmative. “It is going to take having to come back from some things, but we’ve done that before,” said Clyburn. In fact, he noted, that’s the “magic” that Alexis de Tocqueville, the 19th-century French sociologist, attributed to the United States: that what made the country great was not that it is “more enlightened than any other nation, but rather because we’ve always been able to repair our faults.”

Here are some highlights of what Clyburn said about US influence abroad, the pandemic’s impact on congressional priorities, and the kind of leadership that makes it possible for the country to repair its faults.

The United States must lead by example

  • Renewal at home = renewal abroad: When the United States fails to abide by its creed of “liberty and justice for all” at home, it undermines the nation’s influence abroad, Clyburn asserted. We “cannot believe for one moment that we’re going to have a domestic policy on one track and foreign policy on another track.” Renewal at home and more effective US engagement abroad “complement each other” and are “not a tradeoff,” he argued.
  • In today’s world, the US will be held to account: “There may have been a time in our history when [the US] could profess one thing and do another,” and still maintain its global standing, Clyburn noted, “but that’s not going to be the future.” The country has long presented itself as, in Ronald Reagan’s words, a “shining city upon a hill,” and in many cases it has been that, but until now it has “never really been held to account for whether or not all of our practices have borne that out,” he said. “Going forward, that is going to be the case. The world is getting smaller and smaller every day, and as a result of that the things that we say and do are heard and seen instantaneously around the world.”

  • Darkest before dawn: While some liken America’s national struggles to “darkness,” Clyburn asserted that “dawn will arrive, and we will overcome this.” He agreed with the argument made by US Senator Chris Murphy that the current anti-racism movement, if embraced by US leaders, could place the country in a position to help shore up and advance democracy around the world. Speaking from his own experience campaigning for civil rights (and being jailed for it) in the 1960s, Clyburn noted that democracies don’t move “on a linear plane” but rather like “a pendulum.”
  • Foreign-policymaking powers in play: While the Constitution grants Congress foreign-policy powers, Clyburn agreed that much of the legislative body’s role has shifted to oversight of the executive branch’s conduct of international affairs, diminishing its power in shaping American statecraft. He was uncertain about this balance of power in the future. “We’ll know after the November 3 elections whether or not [Congress] is in the right place” to mold US foreign and national-security policy, he added.

Watch the full event with Representative Clyburn:

COVID could transform the work of Congress

  • A new focus on the home front: Although the pandemic has presented US policymakers with immense challenges, Clyburn said that he expects the crisis to reshape spending priorities in Congress “in a very positive way” by forcing lawmakers to “get serious about doing what’s necessary for education to be more adequate than it is today, for healthcare to be more available than it is today, and for housing to be more affordable than it is today.” As an example, he cited the fact that the pandemic has revealed the need to expand broadband access nationwide so that students can attend online classes and doctors can connect with patients for telehealth appointments.

  • A moment for ‘10-20-30’?: Clyburn believes that the pandemic, which has hit communities in the United States inequitably, has underscored the need to take what he calls a “10-20-30” anti-poverty approach that allocates 10 percent of any federal agency’s appropriated programmatic funds to communities where the poverty level has been 20 percent or higher for the past thirty years. “We have got to begin to invest in these communities” struggling with “persistent poverty,” he said.

Leadership is borne of “blessed experiences”

  • Lewis and Ginsburg show the system can be transformed: Reflecting on the deaths this year of former US Congressman John Lewis and former US Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg, Clyburn noted that despite having faced racism and sexism, respectively, they continued to push for change. “Those are two of the best examples we can have as to why you shouldn’t give up on the system,” he said. While the challenges they faced were not “pleasant,” he noted that tough experiences can also be “blessings.” Americans can honor Lewis and Ginsburg by striving for equality in the face of adversity, he said: “Make the commitment and do not be deterred by the obstacles that may get in your way.”

  • Diversity in leadership matters: Reflecting on his experience, Clyburn credited his time leading his local NAACP youth council with helping catapult him to Congress. He commended the Atlantic Council’s Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion Council for its work to “help shape international thought about this country. That’s got to happen. I don’t see us being successful as a country if it doesn’t happen.”

Katherine Walla is assistant director of editorial at the Atlantic Council.

Further reading:

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Ukraine’s education sector reforms are under threat https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/ukrainealert/ukraines-education-sector-reforms-are-under-threat/ Thu, 10 Sep 2020 18:05:41 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=295438 Education sector reform is widely seen as one of the more successful transformations in Ukraine since the country’s 2014 Revolution of Dignity but this progress is now under threat amid a changing political climate.

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Education sector reform is widely seen as one of the more successful transformations in Ukraine since the country’s 2014 Revolution of Dignity. For the past six years, systemic reforms under a series of different education ministers have brought the Ukrainian education system closer to European standards and created better opportunities for young Ukrainians.

This progress is now under threat. The climate in the Ukrainian education sector changed dramatically in March 2020 with the dismissal of what was a largely reformist government and its replacement by members of the country’s discredited political old guard.

A new education minister has yet to be appointed. Instead, the ministry is currently being led by a third acting minister within the space of less than half a year. The appointment of current Acting Education Minister Serhiy Shkarlet did not even manage to secure the support of the Ukrainian parliament’s education committee, but this has not prevented him from beginning to roll back a series of pro-European changes within the education system. Equally alarming is the disappearance from education among the current government’s priorities. This is equally evident in terms of public policy discourse and funding.

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The reforms that are now in danger began in 2014 with a new Law on Higher Education.

This served as a gateway towards greater European integration for Ukraine’s extensive network of universities and institutes of higher education. It granted universities enhanced autonomy, decentralized many of the controlling functions previously held by the Education Ministry, launched new regulatory bodies that aligned with the standards of the European Higher Education Area, and paved the way for the fight against academic dishonesty.

Another important moment was the creation of the National Agency for Higher Education Quality Assurance (NAQA), modeled on the type of independent institution found in all progressive countries. The key functions of the NAQA included maintaining a degree of quality control within Ukrainian higher education and reducing the scope for corruption and academic dishonesty. This new institution took on a number of functions previously handled by the Education Ministry, such as the accreditation of educational programs and the award of scientific degrees.

In 2016, the Ukrainian government launched the New Ukrainian School (NUS) reform initiative in an ambitious bid to radically transform the approach to education in Ukrainian schools and meet the demands of the twenty-first century economy. This involved a revised curriculum with an emphasis on practical and soft skills, together with extensive teacher training and significant reequipping of schools. The first Ukrainian schoolchildren to study within the NUS framework entered classes in 2018, meaning that the first NUS graduates are due to complete their school education in 2030.

Today, almost 1.5 million Ukrainian schoolchildren are studying within the framework of these NUS reforms. So far, the feedback has been overwhelmingly positive. According to a recent study, parents and teachers both support the reform, while children are developing new competencies in areas ranging from decision-making to teamwork.

The dramatic shifts in the Ukrainian political landscape following the presidential and parliamentary elections of 2019 did not initially result in major changes for the education sector. However, the March 2020 dismissal of PM Oleksiy Honcharuk and his reformist government marked a turning point. From that moment onward, Ukraine’s post-2014 educational reforms began to run into increasing difficulties.

Under the pretext of fighting the coronavirus pandemic, the new government of PM Denys Shmyhal proposed to shift UAH 4.9 billion (over 65% of the development funds allocated by the state for education and science) to the government’s Anti-COVID Fund. This lost financing has not been replaced.

The government has also struggled to resolve the educational challenges created by the pandemic. Little effort was made to establish the necessary infrastructure to manage a major distance learning program.

There is an urgent need to provide Ukrainian schoolchildren with the gadgets and internet access that would make distance learning an effective alternative to in-class teaching. According to a survey conducted by the Democratic Initiatives Foundation in July 2020, 21% of Ukrainian schoolchildren reported problems with home internet access during the initial lockdown period, while 19% lacked digital devices for e-learning. Due to these shortcomings, distance education risks exacerbating already pronounced issues of educational inequality within Ukrainian society.

While the government can expect to receive a degree of understanding as it struggles to cope with the unprecedented coronavirus crisis, it is harder to justify the apparent attempts to undo many of the progressive changes introduced to the education sector in recent years.

The Education Ministry has recently submitted a bill for government consideration that aims to undermine the independence of the NAQA and restore centralized ministerial management over the education sector. This would directly contradict European Higher Education Area principles.

The bill proposes to transform the NAQA from a collegial body into a central executive organ, leading to a loss of political independence and subsequent exclusion from European structures, which do not permit governmental bodies to become members. Furthermore, the bill stipulates that all NAQA employees must be civil servants, which would prevent professors, researchers, students, and employers from participating in management processes.

In parallel to these proposals, the Education Ministry also wants to regain its prior powers related to the awarding of scientific degrees and accreditation of educational programs. This is not a European practice, nor will it promote the principles of integrity that unpinned earlier reforms.

In a further blow to financing, the current authorities have frozen longstanding efforts to negotiate a landmark loan of around USD 200 million from the World Bank in order to fund education sector reforms. The parties had reported reaching the final stage in talks earlier this year, but this potentially game-changing investment into the Ukrainian education system is now on hold.

The current disruption of reforms and attacks on the independent institutions established since 2014 risk derailing Ukraine’s efforts to bring the country’s education system closer to modern European standards. Instead, Ukrainian education is in danger of returning to the overly bureaucratic post-Soviet ghetto it languished in prior to 2014.

This is not entirely new. Ukraine witnessed a similar reversal of reforms in 2010, when the incoming government of pro-Kremlin Viktor Yanukovych rolled back reforms including independent external testing and modernization of the national curriculum.

The current anti-reform trend may demoralize the country’s teachers, many of whom have put considerable effort into the changes introduced since 2014. It took a number of years to overcome skepticism towards the reform agenda embarked upon after the Revolution of Dignity. If the dismantling of the country’s pro-European education reforms continues, it may become impossible to revive faith in the reform process.

Liliia Hrynevych is the former Ukrainian Minister of Education and Science (2016-2019). Ivanna Kobernyk is co-author of the “New Ukrainian School” reform concept.

Further reading

The views expressed in UkraineAlert are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Atlantic Council, its staff, or its supporters.

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How Ukraine can go from brain drain to brain gain https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/ukrainealert/how-ukraine-can-go-from-brain-drain-to-brain-gain/ Tue, 25 Aug 2020 20:43:26 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=291609 Highly skilled Ukrainians continue to leave the country in order to further their careers. Greater efforts are required to keep this key demographic in the country for the benefit of the wider Ukrainian economy.

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In many instances, .01% of anything may seem like a negligible and insignificant portion. However, in an economy that struggles to recruit and retain top talent, the 20,000 Ukrainians, or .01% of the country’s total working population, who qualify as highly skilled labor working abroad are one of the factors why Ukraine consistently lags behind its neighbors.

According to the World Economic Forum Global Competitiveness Index, Ukraine’s capacity to retain talent ranks at an abysmal 129 out of 137 featured countries. Continuing failure by government and business to recognize and invest in people as Ukraine’s biggest economic driver is leading to an ongoing high-skilled migrant crisis. Simply put, the best and brightest are leaving.

With more than 10% of the country’s approximate 20 million labor force working abroad at any given moment, it is easy to understand why the flow of Ukrainian labor migrants has caught the attention of businesses, policy makers and the general public. According to World Bank data, low-skilled labor migration significantly contributed to the USD 16 billion in remittances that entered Ukraine’s economy in 2019. While highly skilled Ukrainians represent a relatively tiny portion of Ukraine’s migrant flows, their departure creates a deficit of Western-style top talent.

There are a number of key factors behind these departures, including macroeconomic and political uncertainty. For example, in the last six months alone, local salaries have deflated 18% in US dollar terms due to a falling exchange rate, while the National Bank of Ukraine’s Chairman has resigned citing political pressure. There is also a deficit of small- and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) that are able to create a market of competitive compensation and attractive positions relative to neighboring economies.

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In February 2020, the Zelenskyy administration green-lighted a loan program for SMEs. This scheme allocated UAH 2 billion to provide affordable loans to Ukrainians living abroad who wish to return home, or individuals residing in Ukraine who are considering starting a business. Aiming to stem the problem of mass emigration while stimulating Ukrainian’s entrepreneurial spirit, the program offers loans of up to UAH 1.5 million (roughly USD 55,000) with annual rates of 5%-9% for up to 5 years.

This is a welcome initiative. However, critics say the loan amount and interest rates are not enticing enough for serious consideration by those who are looking to grow medium-sized businesses that would provide the most economic value. Furthermore, the pandemic’s economic strain has caused conditions where risk-adverse behavior is embraced and entrepreneurship is put on hold. In order to grow the number of SMEs, the government must diversify its strategy for retaining, growing and attracting high skilled labor through innovative projects and partnerships across the public, private and NGO sectors.

There is fierce competition among nations in Central and Eastern Europe to attract top talent from one another, with many nations such as Estonia, Lithuania, and Poland publicly funding recruitment initiatives targeting neighboring professionals. Often their initiatives operate through targeting talent on social media through paid ads and redirecting users to websites offering easy relocation guides, government-supported business financing programs, job postings, consultations, and document processing.

To remain competitive with its neighbors, Ukraine must follow suit and allocate funds within its national investment agencies such as UkraineInvest or the National Investment Council to replicate the success of these programs. Ukraine has an opportunity to target Central and Eastern European entrepreneurs and tech companies who are looking to set up satellite offices. Ukraine’s proximity allows for regional entrepreneurs to maximize business efficiency and reduce costs without sacrificing on time-shifts, cultural differences, easy communication, and cost-effective travel. This could attract new investment while at the same time helping to retain highly skilled IT talent which currently departs in droves.

The government should also look to take innovative steps domestically and initiate a career development loan program in partnership with banks such as PrivatBank in order to offer reasonable interest rates for professionals looking to enhance their qualifications abroad. Currently, income levels for young professionals do not allow for the savings necessary to self-finance further professional education. It is common practice in North America for students to take loans to partly finance their education in combination with their savings. Allowing the same in Ukraine could significantly increase the supply of Western-trained professionals.

In the private sector, Ukrainian corporations should launch internal professional development programs to motivate employees, create loyalty, increase productivity, and support leadership succession planning. Understandably, corporations may be skeptical about investing significant funds in a single employee’s development. Many will fear that the employee will remain in the educational institution’s country or leave to a competing firm after graduation. However, best practice shows that organizations can mitigate risk through signing and enforcing contracts stipulating a return of funds if the employee no longer wishes to remain with the organization.

To popularize the concept throughout the private sector, local business associations such as the American Chamber of Commerce, European Business Association and others should engage in a special awareness campaign, showcasing successful cases from abroad as well as local leaders who currently implement these practices.

Collaboration between the public sector and international donor organizations offers a promising launchpad for further development in growing and retaining highly skilled talent and creating value for the government. Establishing programs where there is a three-party agreement between donors facilitating education grants, large state-owned enterprises being readied for privatization, and candidates prepared to enter the SEO post-graduation could prove to be particularly efficient. Candidates could use their future employer for different practical case studies.

For now, international development and charitable organizations are bridging the gap by offering educational grants. Nevertheless, these programs have a limited capacity in servicing the educational ambitions of Ukrainian students wishing to attain top qualifications and return home. Growing national managerial institutions so that local talent does not have to look for greener pastures abroad means collaborating with industry-leading educational institutions and bringing their knowledge and talents to home soil.

Domestically, the Kyiv School of Economics (KSE), which is widely considered Ukraine’s premier business school, has recently secured a permanent campus thanks to a generous gift from Dragon Capital, Ukraine’s leading investment bank. This gift will assure that KSE has stable operations and can focus on building a quality business education product for the local population. Another good example is that of the Ukrainian Corporate Governance Academy, which has formed a relationship with one of the world’s top business schools, INSEAD, to offer their executive corporate governance education certifications in Kyiv by having professors fly in and lecture. This format has led to the certification of 264 top Ukrainian senior executives.

Ukraine’s future offers the promise of economic growth, but the speed and efficacy of this growth is only as good as the highly skilled talent driving it. The current Ukrainian administration and those that follow must address this long-term challenge. They must foster cross-collaboration between international donors, the private sector, and national institutions. Refocusing strategy on retaining, growing and attracting Ukraine’s highly skilled talent will always pay far higher dividends than the current inbound remittances sent home by the .01% who are currently working abroad.

Anton Waschuk is the SEED Grant Program Manager and Economic Leadership Program Coordinator at Western NIS Enterprise Fund. Andriy Kamenetskyy is an Account Executive for Ukraine, Azerbaijan, Belarus and Georgia at Microsoft, and WNISEF SEED Grant recipient and MBA graduate at UCLA.

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The views expressed in UkraineAlert are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Atlantic Council, its staff, or its supporters.

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Digital crossroads: How to pilot data trusts for good https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/geotech-cues/how-to-pilot-data-trusts-for-good/ Fri, 21 Aug 2020 19:49:25 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=289194 While much of public discussion around data has focused solely on the debate of data privacy protection versus deregulation and economic productivity, data trusts represent legal, technology-enabled constructs that allow for more equitable ways of sharing the profits among different stakeholders. In this structure, a relationship of fiduciary responsibility would exist not only with the shareholders, but also towards the data owners and producers, and where the data economy would happen "with people" instead of "to people".

The post Digital crossroads: How to pilot data trusts for good appeared first on Atlantic Council.

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Data sets are essential for the commercial success of a personal data-dependent consumer society where customization is key. Much-needed development of innovative solutions in health, education, the environment, and city management depend on data. Building national economic resilience and accelerate recovery depends on data.

While much of public discussion has focused solely on the debate of data privacy protection versus deregulation and economic productivity, data trusts (also known as data commons or data cooperatives) represent legal, technology-enabled constructs that allows for more equitable ways of sharing the profits among different stakeholders. In this structure, a relationship of fiduciary responsibility would exist not only with the shareholders, but also towards the data owners and producers, and where the data economy would happen “with people” instead of “to people”.

On Wednesday, August 12, 2020 at 12:00pm EDT, the Atlantic Council’s GeoTech Center hosted a panel of experts in the fields of data analytics, AI and data governance, neuroscience, engineering, and digital transformation that discussed practical steps to build and pilot data trusts. The panel included Michael Ingrassia, president and general counsel of Truata; Wally Trenholm, chief executive officer of Sightline Innovation; and Atlantic Council nonresident senior fellow Dr. Divya Chander, also neuroscience faculty chair at Singularity University. Dr. David Bray, Director of the GeoTech Center, and Mr. George Zarkadakis, Atlantic Council nonresident senior fellow and digital lead at Willis Towers Watson, moderated the discussion.

A new social contract

Participants in the panel first explained the value that data trusts adds to the marred public debate around data regulation and, especially, how these mechanisms could help protect the democratic systems in which we live, while successfully reducing the growing ethical, social, and economic tensions inherent in a world of technology-induced changes. Following that logic, Mr. Zarkadakis argued that data trusts “turn the table on the status quo” and introduces two game-changing ideas. First, data trusts separate the collection of data from its processing. Second, data trusts create a new form of governance around data collection, where the governance – a group of trustees or another form of a centralized administrative body – has a responsibility towards the data owners, unlike what usually happens in regular corporations, which respond exclusively to their shareholders.

The funding dilemma

With data trusts it is essential to recognize and unravel the dilemmas inherent to how a data trust operates and is funded. This requires answering: who owns the data? Is a data transaction irrevocable or can the ‘original owner’ recover it? If the latter is true, how can a data trust help carry out longitudinal studies?

Complicating the equation, Mr. Ingrassia explained that data are “both an asset and a contingent liability,” – unlike common currencies, the more data one gathers, the more that owner will need to put in place the necessary mechanisms and technology to protect the privacy and rights related to that data.

The panel also discussed how, when protecting data privacy and rights, companies or data trusts face two main decisions: do they limit their investment to comply with the applicable legal regimes, or are they up to a higher moral standard? And, how to build a data trust so that it is large enough that it works, but simple enough so that users have the necessary clarity to be able to exert their rights?

Let’s start with non-profits”

Panelists emphasized the importance of determining who are the real beneficiaries of a data trust. Panelists emphasized that protection of privacy must happen throughout the data collection process and not as an afterthought. As a way to avoid misuse or abuse of collected data, the panel agreed it would be best to decentralize that data as it is being collected and then provide the access keys “to those we really trust”. With this same logic, the experts suggested a launching a data trust pilot with a non-profit as a first step.

Dr. Chander advised on educating public participants both on the data sources employed and empowering public participants to be informed regarding choices associated with data-related transactions. Dr. Chander insisted on the idea of data literacy, especially highlighting the sensitivity of biometric data, which often not only includes information about the source, but also the genetic codes of its family.

Meeting the global challenge of COVID-19

In addition to the debate around transparency and ethical responsibility, the panel also discussed the value of data ownership as means to facilitate accountability and enable ethical management of that data. These principles become even more important with the shock of the ongoing pandemic, and the additional opportunities and challenges that it brings to the data industry.

When asked, Mr. Trenholm highlighted how the greatest business opportunity before the hit of COVID-19 came from monetization of data assets — while the top tier companies make large profits from the data they collect, Trenholm believes there is still a large number of entities, ranging from hospitals, medical systems, or cable networks, that have a “direct relationship with the costumer”, but lack the technology to process and successfully exploit the data gathered. He strongly believes there is opportunity to build a collaborative framework between these entities, add financial value to their data assets, and make them attractive in the market.

The panel, however, agreed that, since the start of COVID-19, urgent need has arisen to increase collaboration between the different jurisdictions and stakeholders regarding data. Through the shared use of data, the aim is to leverage the health crisis to create better detection and proactive responses to waves of this and other disease outbreaks, while also finding solutions to large-scale unemployment linked to the disruption caused by COVID-19.

Data, a public good

A common goal in the debate around data governance is the idea of capturing the value of data trusts and empowering innovation, while protecting their privacy. To achieve this, Mr. Zarkadakis suggested thinking of data as a common good, as opposed to the idea of an individual’s asset often impossible to both track and tailor. During the event, he envisioned a future where data trusts both deliver value to society and enable stakeholders to share the profits associated with a data trust activity equitably. As an example, the experts imagined data trusts helping to generate revenue to fund basic income to support workers in the gig economy.

The panel further called on society to self-organize and claim its part in the data economy; they invited governments, social entities, businesses and entrepreneurs to lead the change, decide together what they stand for, build a legal structure, and find the way to solve the problems associated with technology-induced changes in the world.

Next steps

Government budgets a shrinking, labor markets are turbulent, and concerns regarding privacy loss and excessive surveillance are growing. Liberal democracies will have to act soon, if they wish to prevail in the face of the growing, technology-induced pressures they are subject of – and piloting data trusts response a great first step to address these dilemmas.

Full Event:

GeoTech Cues

Jul 1, 2020

We can increase public participation in data and avoid surveillance states: Here is how

By David Bray

The world needs a collective effort to gather and share data to steer society and nations back to full operations, and to provide early indicators and warnings of future pandemics. Current methods for accessing data owned by public and private institutions and private citizens today are not able to guide COVID-19 recovery. The new data access frameworks in this initiative can succeed while strengthening societal welfare, prosperity, and peace around the world.

Civil Society Coronavirus

The post Digital crossroads: How to pilot data trusts for good appeared first on Atlantic Council.

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Why a well-intended ‘Digital Platform Agency’ may not fit our global, networked world https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/geotech-cues/why-a-well-intended-digital-platform-agency-may-not-fit-our-global-networked-world/ Fri, 21 Aug 2020 16:30:54 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=290308 Ultimately, when considering the reality that "Statutes and Regulatory Models Adopted for the Industrial Era are Insufficient for the Realities of the Internet Era", any solutions must consider where the metaphoric puck is going vs. where the puck is.

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Recently a proposal posted by authors linked with the Harvard Shorenstein Center on Media, Politics, and Public Policy surfaced that proposed the United States consider creating a Digital Platform Agency focused on regulating what digital platforms provide as services, do with data, and interact with customers.

The proposal that was posted is part of an analysis that concludes “Statutes and Regulatory Models Adopted for the Industrial Era are Insufficient for the Realities of the Internet Era”. Such a conclusion seems sound and appropriate for the challenges of the last five years that the U.S. and other countries have faced. However, the conclusion of creating a ‘Digital Platform Agency’ may not fit our global, networked world for three reasons:

  • This is a nation-state focused proposal, potentially appropriate for the 20th century when the world was not as networked as it is now, instead of a networked-focused one. Specifically, other nations, such as Estonia where one can become an e-Resident of Estonia without having been born or residing in Estonia or the European Union’s General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR) where the EU expects other countries respect the data rights and choices of members of the EU regardless of where they are located in the world, already have pivoted to a networked world. Any solution that U.S. or other countries pursue in this space must be network-centric instead of nation-state specific.
  • This is a government-led solution, which while not inherently inappropriately by itself, risks perpetuating challenges where solutions in this space are done *to* people instead of *with* people. By creating a government entity at the federal level, potentially removed from the local circumstances and different community needs of the U.S. public, this agency risks trying to find a one-size fits all for the different parts of the United States (much less the world). As readily apparent by the polarizing issues of the last five years, what communities in California want from digital platforms differ from what Texas want, both of which may differ from what New York wants, etc. In an era in which people were not connected as directly as they are now with their government — when news and information flowed at the essentially one-way speed of radio and newspapers — U.S. federal government agencies had the luxury of time to consider and work solutions that spanned the nation. Now, however, everyone is awash in a deluge of news, media, and information — and social media permits anyone (or any bot) to post news, media, and information of varying degrees of accuracy. This dramatic change in the media landscape calls into question any single-agency solution attempting to find a one-size fits all for the United States that does not involve regional and community differences.
  • A Digital Platform Agency would appear to be platform-centered solution to the problems discussed in the aforementioned proposal, focused on regulation of said platforms even though it would appear data is at the root of these challenges. To its credit, the proposal notes “enormous power of data control in the hands of a limited few tech platforms, is further harming innovation” yet by focusing on the platforms, the proposal might be missing the metaphorical forest for the trees. Data sets ultimately are what give the platforms revenue, influence, and power. If the public were more involved in data activities, and had a locus of choice involving their data, then regulation of platforms might not be necessary. It could be the authors of the proposal intend for the agency to focus on data and approach solutions from a data lens, however by calling for a Digital Platform Agency it seems that the focus on Platforms vs. improving better practices, norms, and choice around data is not an adequate fit. The proposal also notes the volumes of data that would require sensemaking to inform any policy action, yet glosses over this saying “artificial intelligence” would resolve this — omitting what would be the appropriate training data sets to apply machine learning or other AI techniques.
networks spanning the planet
The new geopolitical realities of data and tech might make a nation-state approach to a ‘Digital Platform Agency’ not fit the changing world.

New digital crossroads

Ultimately, when considering the reality that “Statutes and Regulatory Models Adopted for the Industrial Era are Insufficient for the Realities of the Internet Era”, any solutions must consider where the metaphoric puck is going vs. where the puck is. Any solutions must also consider how to achieve shared partnerships, shared outcomes, distributed implementations — which includes five key questions:

  1. Should each nation have its own Digital Platform Agency? Does this make sense in a connected global world?
  2. Should the networked platforms be allowed to be free to do whatever they want, without some community or national oversight? Does laissez faire make sense either?
  3. Is anyone empowering the people to have a voice? How do we work to find solutions different, diverse communities while also avoiding a “one-size fits all” approach either for regions of the United States or other parts of the world wanting to work together?
  4. How do we advance Internet availability, affordability, and digital accessibility recognizing that most of these services, in a free market, are done by transnational, private sector companies? Challenges of Internet availability and affordability for humans persist in the United States and globally — as do challenges of Internet accessibility for those who need the Internet to be accessible for those with different visual or auditory needs. This must be addressed in tandem with any solution involving the public, industry, and governance of digital platforms.
  5. How can we *do* technology and policies *with* people and communities, vs. to people and communities in a timely fashion? We are now in an era requiring create public involvement in activities that used to be done “behind a curtain” in industry or government, recognizing that public involvement needs to avoid exploitation by different lobbying groups attempts to apply pressure by selective mobilization of a large group. Such involve would need to be done recognizing challenges of both scale and timing as well for public involvement too.

One unclear question about the Digital Policy Agency proposal is how would such an entity interact with private sector entities regarding the challenges of misinformation and disinformation? These challenges are inherently linked to the flows of finance and influence tied to media and politics as highlighted in this Financial Times article. Right now there is too much money to be made and political advantages afforded to misinformation online — and those who strive to point it out and counter misinformation have their voices lost to the more pervasive sentiments of anger, fear, and division. Effectively countering misinformation and disinformation requires taking a systemic look at shared partnerships, shared outcomes, distributed implementations tied to:

  • Incentivizing a large community to work together and in so doing, create a set of shared desired outcomes and goals tackling misinformation and disinformation. This includes producing signals to which global markets will respond.
  • Ensuring that the diverse interests are incorporated into digital products, services, and most importantly data. Development of such products, services, and data activities also must be distributed and engage the public.

We also need to recognize the challenges associated with an increasing number of automated bots, algorithms, and other digital “things” that can appear to be human, influence humans, and trigger human actions. Approximately 2014 marked the year that people became the minority for Internet-based traffic (41% people vs. 59% bots).

GeoTech Cues

Jul 1, 2020

We can increase public participation in data and avoid surveillance states: Here is how

By David Bray

The world needs a collective effort to gather and share data to steer society and nations back to full operations, and to provide early indicators and warnings of future pandemics. Current methods for accessing data owned by public and private institutions and private citizens today are not able to guide COVID-19 recovery. The new data access frameworks in this initiative can succeed while strengthening societal welfare, prosperity, and peace around the world.

Civil Society Coronavirus

Pragmatic next steps

Perhaps a better first step to address these issues is to start listening and learning tours with different parts of the United States and other countries as to what people want when it comes from digital platforms, digital choice, data rights, and data obligations.

A second, parallel step, would be to require existing digital platforms to clearly post their methods and ways the public can see how the platform’s services, algorithms, and data collection activities operate at a level to be sufficiently informed and exercise human choice. Either the government or a non-profit could assemble all these methods in one place — similar to the AnnualFreeCreditReport.com website that allows the public to “one stop shop” their credit reports from TransUnion, Experian, and Equifax — as an easy to view, easy to use service for the public.

Lastly a third step would be to pilot Data Trusts (also known as Data Commons or Data Cooperatives) with the public focused specifically on digital platform-related activities and positive social outcomes. A specific initiative would establish a Data Trust for Good to provide regional information associated with platform-related services and activities. The information contained within the trust would inform, for example, whether the services were increasing the polarization and distrust in societies or helping to inform societies and promote a net positive good? The pilot project would involve multiple stakeholders seeking to demonstrate a cross-sector, cross-country approach to creating and governing a Data Trust in partnership with the platforms themselves in a way that did not result in surveillance states nor less than agile, top-down solutions.

We must find ways in the United States and other open societies to do data *with* people instead of *to* people. The proposal that the authors linked with the Harvard Shorenstein Center on Media, Politics, and Public Policy proposed should be applauded for its focus, even if the target might need to be adjusted. Hopefully some of the suggestions here might better vector the cursor-on-target to address the geopolitical realities of our global, networked era.

gtc hands on table together

Be Benevolent,
Be Bold, and
Be Brave in our challenging times. 

We all can lead. Positive “change agents” — individuals willing to work across sectors and nations to help illuminate better ways through the shared turbulence we are experiencing — are needed now more than ever.

The post Why a well-intended ‘Digital Platform Agency’ may not fit our global, networked world appeared first on Atlantic Council.

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What world post COVID-19?: A conversation with Dr. Conrad Tucker https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/commentary/what-world-post-covid-19-a-conversation-with-dr-conrad-tucker/ Thu, 20 Aug 2020 13:39:19 +0000 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/?p=286381 Dr. Conrad Tucker, professor of mechanical engineering at Carnegie Mellon University, explains how the pandemic is changing the conversations around higher education and emerging technologies.

The post What world post COVID-19?: A conversation with Dr. Conrad Tucker appeared first on Atlantic Council.

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This interview is part of a series conducted by the Atlantic Council’s Foresight, Strategy, and Risks initiative on the potential impacts of COVID-19. The interviews feature insights from the FSR initiative’s Nonresident Senior Fellows, a set of experts drawn from across a wide range of fields. In this interview, Dr. Conrad Tucker, professor of mechanical engineering at Carnegie Mellon University, explains how the pandemic is changing conversations around the value of higher education, the relation of technology and labor, and the applications of machine learning.

How is COVID-19 reshaping the higher education landscape?

I think COVID-19 has highlighted the value of in-person interaction. What is it about a physical classroom experience that makes it conducive to engagement and can that same engagement be achieved in a virtual platform? Those still are open questions. While academics have pondered these questions for some time, COVID-19 has accelerated the need for them to be answered. Perhaps these differences are due to our own human biases. If we were all born into a world of just video conferences and virtual interactions, would in-person interactions feel out of place?

But today, there are many students who still emphasize their desire to be physically on campus, because that’s where they see the value of learning and interaction. From a policy or academic point of view, the balance now becomes, how much risk are organizations or research labs willing to take to have students physically on campus? 

Activity on the Carnegie Mellon University campus continues into the evening one night during a past semester. Photo by Zhuoqian Yang, Unsplash.

What is the interaction between COVID-19 and the curve of technological change? 

People are starting to rethink the impact of automation in our society. For many labor-intensive jobs, if they were augmented by robots, would that have helped keep the economy going? Because of COVID-19, will we see more investments in deployments of robotic systems (due to robots’ inability to catch these biological pathogens)? On the flip side, robots and digital systems are also susceptible to cyber “viruses.” Would we be replacing one set of viruses with another?

On this relationship between technological change and human labor, what does the conversation at Carnegie Mellon University (CMU) look like right now?

It’s actually very interesting what we’re seeing from a research perspective because there typically are two camps of researchers. There are the experimentalists and there are theorists/computational researchers. On the computational side of things, our research hasn’t been as negatively impacted because we work on algorithms and data. However, for people who do experimental work in the lab, there may be the extra burden of exploring ways to advance their experimental research work, while simultaneously mitigating the risk exposure to COVID-19. For some colleagues, significant portions of their research operations had to be adjusted to account for COVID-19-related physical distance restrictions.

When you map that to society as a whole, I wonder how organizations will rethink where they make strategic investments. If I’m an automotive manufacturer, am I going to invest more in physical value-added products? Or is it going to be more in the digital landscape, which may be less affected by the next pandemic? That is just one of many possible examples. But it is the kind of conversation that researchers at least are having.

A fully automated warehouse in Verona, Italy, operates during the pandemic. Photo by Arno Senoner, Unsplash.

What do you think the impact of all this will be on CMU?

As much as I’m part of the academic system, I have for several years questioned whether or not this business model is sustainable. The university is surrounded by digital innovations and publicly available knowledge. For example, there is well-known, highly cited, high-quality lecture content on YouTube. It’s not uncommon for students currently in physical spaces to supplement their knowledge using these publicly available repositories. Sometimes they even start there and use the classroom experience to supplement what they’ve learned or maybe even just to ask follow up questions.

I’ve been doing some research on digital immersive technologies. Now, you can capture an entire physical 3D space using scanning technologies. This translates to having a three-dimensional virtual environment that could potentially be utilized to perform activities that one would normally do if you were in a physical setting. Can we add value beyond just a virtual video call so that students have enhanced interaction with learning content and their peers?

I have a former graduate student who is working on real-time translation of what his physical hands are doing and mapping that onto the virtual space. One question is if he were to do a scientific study to see what the learning outcomes are for this type of setup versus the classroom physical setup, are there learning differences? This is an active area of research in the education domain. The point is such technologies exist today, and the long-term question is can we combine these technologies in ways that are comparable to physical settings that we currently have?

In terms of collaboration with peers, we’re still looking at a reality where engagements and interactions have either been postponed or just not possible at all. Despite the promise of virtual and augmented reality, it is difficult for me to replicate flying to the CMU Africa campus in Rwanda and meeting with a group of students in their physical space and learning about the culture there. Those kinds of collaborations are very difficult to replicate in a virtual setting. Over the long run, we may live in a world where it’s a hybrid of these technologies mixed with physical interaction.

Issue briefs and reports

Jul 7, 2020

What world post-COVID-19? Three scenarios

By Mathew Burrows, Peter Engelke

A preliminary look at the geopolitical implications of the pandemic and possible directions for the global system after the still-unfolding crisis.

Coronavirus G20

So, for you, the classic formulation of the university will remain, but it’s going to have to adapt and embrace hybridity?

Yes, and I think we may see a consolidation. There are several institutions that have been well ahead of the curve when it comes to online content and creation, the question then becomes do you need ten videos of Newton’s law to be able to learn that content? Or do you just need the best version?

We may see a consolidation of these different online efforts, but in terms of the physical brick and mortar campus, I think there’s a lot of soul searching and questions.

What we’ve seen over the past several years is sometimes a reductionist idea of education, where higher education is defined as being just a grade point average (GPA) and a degree. We are in this predicament about the university and its purpose because we do not acknowledge that the college experience is so much more than just being in a classroom.

My hope is that universities see this as an opportunity to expand the scope of how they define their mission. Higher education is analogous to a controlled experiment environment, where young adults are able to learn, collaborate, and mature as individuals in society, where they can grow but also fail—and of course learn from their failures.

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  • This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.

How do universities continue to brand, market, and validate the central purpose and experience of higher education?

My hope is this pandemic results in universities revaluating their branding message to students, parents and society as a whole. Because if it just boils down to “here’s a grade, here’s a job” messaging, then universities are in a reductionist trap. They may be the architects of their own demise.

My most memorable experiences in college were outside of the classroom and included projects that connected classroom theory to real world applications, participating in campus clubs, etc. I think that strengthens and highlights the fact that the world is so diverse, that ideas and thoughts on a campus arise from many different places. I think that is really what needs to be emphasized at the university.

Do you have any pointers for how we should be thinking about machine learning and robotics in responding to the pandemic?

Yes. One of the areas that we’ve seen is about data ownership and privacy. Several technology companies have partnered to develop contact tracing technology to combat the spread of COVID-19. That’s great, and contact tracing definitely has the potential to help to contain hotspots. But when you start thinking about how such data can be potentially misused by organizations or entities, it opens many different policy questions.

Recently, there was a technology research group that developed a wearable thermal camera system. It’s like you’re wearing a hat or glasses and as you walk down the street, you can look at each person’s temperature. That may help determine if someone has elevated temperature that correlates to COVID-19. But it also could open the door to discrimination or privacy issues.

So, as a society, we need to make sure that we continue to have the conversation about who owns data, who has access to data, and how we can put policies in place that don’t result in exploitation.

The post What world post COVID-19?: A conversation with Dr. Conrad Tucker appeared first on Atlantic Council.

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